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Flooding rain and a few severe thunderstorms are likely across the Gulf Coast states as a system tracks over the region.
Transcript
00:00 Well, so much needed rain.
00:01 That's what we're going to be
00:02 talking about across the central
00:04 Gulf Coast states and the Southeast.
00:05 As we go over the next 24 hours,
00:07 I say much needed.
00:08 Take a look at the drought monitor here.
00:11 You know when when the season started,
00:12 when the early summer started,
00:14 where was the drought?
00:15 It was in West Texas,
00:16 but as we continue to see that heat build,
00:19 not only across Texas,
00:20 but the central Gulf Coast states.
00:22 The drought then started to extend
00:24 eastward and does include most of
00:26 Mississippi Southern Mississippi
00:26 and also in the Louisiana area.
00:28 And now you're starting to see that
00:30 drought start to encroach to the
00:32 Northeast across southern parts of
00:34 Georgia, Alabama and the upstate
00:36 of South Carolina.
00:37 But we are looking at some much needed rain.
00:39 I want to show you the water vapor loop here.
00:43 Now we've had rain this morning from
00:45 what was a very powerful Hurricane Lydia.
00:47 It made made landfall near Porta
00:49 Vallarta yesterday afternoon.
00:51 That moisture going into Texas.
00:52 That's why it's been raining here,
00:54 but we've also watched this.
00:56 Look at this area.
00:57 Tropical moisture.
00:58 You see the dark greens and the white.
01:01 That's an area of low pressure that's
01:03 been moving northward from the Bay of
01:06 Campeche now I don't think this is going
01:08 to develop I think there's too much
01:10 wind shear here but there's a lot of
01:12 moisture with this and that is all
01:14 headed where and you can see as far
01:17 West as New Orleans as far east as
01:19 Tampa and Orlando within this zone.
01:21 We're going to be picking up a lot
01:23 of showers and thunderstorms and
01:24 actually some locally heavy rain here.
01:26 On on the satellite and radar you
01:28 could see already that rain falling.
01:30 Here's our an area of low pressure
01:32 now north of this warm front.
01:34 We have a drier air mass in place.
01:36 And what are you doing?
01:37 You taking all this tropical
01:39 moisture to ram it northward.
01:40 It's going to comply,
01:41 collide with that dry air.
01:43 That's why you're going to see a
01:45 large shield of rain with this as
01:47 we move through this afternoon and
01:48 tonight there it goes with the rain
01:50 getting all the way up toward Interstate
01:52 20 now from let's say Birmingham
01:54 toward Atlanta toward Columbia.
01:55 I don't think we're getting heavy rain,
01:57 but it's going to be a soaking rain.
02:00 I could see about 1/2 inch,
02:01 maybe up to an inch of rain,
02:03 and that's going to cause travel delays.
02:05 The heaviest rain that was going to be
02:07 farther South right along Interstate 20.
02:09 Soaking rain around New Orleans toward
02:11 Gulfport, Mississippi toward Mobile,
02:12 Alabama.
02:12 Watch that rain after 2 o'clock.
02:14 Start to spread into where Pensacola,
02:16 Panama City, Apalachicola.
02:16 Still, there's that soaking rain,
02:18 southern parts of Alabama and Georgia.
02:20 The other thing I want to point you out
02:22 with point out with the rain is that
02:24 I want to point out right now is look
02:27 at this what we call is a V notch signature.
02:29 You see that on the southern tail of this.
02:32 This is where you have severe weather.
02:34 Now this is at 6 o'clock where
02:36 watch where that area is going.
02:38 It is going into North Florida tonight.
02:40 I'm worried that we could be looking
02:42 at severe weather well after dark
02:44 tonight across North Florida and
02:46 that will include the big bend of
02:48 Florida toward Tampa as well and I
02:50 can see Orlando in this as well.
02:52 There's a heavier rain continuing
02:54 also across the eastern Carolinas.
02:56 And even tomorrow morning you see
02:58 these thunderstorms, southern Georgia,
02:59 and into the panhandle of Florida.
03:01 I'd worry about that.
03:03 These are severe,
03:04 so we have a very nasty night coming
03:06 here weather wise across North Florida
03:08 and southern parts of Georgia.
03:10 Then everything ends from West to
03:12 East as we head toward tomorrow and
03:15 will start to improve the weather.
03:17 However, keep an eye on this
03:18 area tomorrow afternoon.
03:19 Once again across the central
03:21 Florida Peninsula.
03:22 There may be additional strong
03:23 to severe thunderstorms.
03:24 How much rain?
03:25 Quite a bit now it's going to be
03:27 falling in about an 18 hour period,
03:29 so I don't think we're looking
03:31 at flash flooding,
03:32 but this rain will cause at least
03:34 localized flooding and there's going
03:35 to be a ponding of water on the roads.
03:38 I-10 is going to be impacted even I-20
03:40 and the reduced visibility will
03:42 cause slowdowns certainly from
03:43 New Orleans toward Appalachia,
03:45 Kola, Pensacola,
03:45 Tallahassee toward Jacksonville.
03:46 2 to 4 inches of rain,
03:48 but even from Tampa toward Savannah
03:50 and close to Montgomery there will
03:52 be an inch or two and then we can't
03:55 forget about the severe weather.
03:56 Some risk means spotty,
03:58 severe thunderstorms that will
03:59 have isolated tornadoes,
04:00 water spouts,
04:01 locally damaging wind gusts,
04:02 and there's certainly going
04:03 to be some downpours here.
04:05 Once you get in that moderate area,
04:07 that's where you're looking at the
04:08 orange from Cedar Key toward Miami.
04:10 Now you're talking that the severe
04:12 thunderstorms are going to be more numerous.
04:14 As I mentioned,
04:15 this is going to be a very stormy
04:18 night across the southeast,
04:19 specifically Central and Northern Florida.

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