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00:00 (upbeat music)
00:02 - I am a big fan of leaning into George Kittle
00:17 and taking some of the overs on his props this week.
00:20 Because I think there's two ways for success.
00:23 Number one, Debo Samuel is not out there
00:25 or he's out there in a limited capacity.
00:27 When Debo Samuel is not on the field,
00:30 George Kittle is targeted on 23% of routes run.
00:33 That's actually a higher rate than Brandon Iyuk.
00:36 And so I think George Kittle is going to get
00:38 some of that workload.
00:39 Now he's not gonna get that wide receiver one workload.
00:41 That's gonna go to Brandon Iyuk.
00:43 He's in for a good game as well.
00:44 But George Kittle, who's got a lower receiving prop,
00:47 I think he's gonna get a lot of the work
00:49 because of the absence of Debo Samuel.
00:52 And then in addition, you've got the other way with,
00:55 even if Debo's out there,
00:56 this is still in our favor.
00:58 And that is that this Detroit Lions defense
01:00 is terrible against tight ends.
01:02 They actually rank one of the 10th worst teams
01:04 in yards per attempt allowed to tight end targets.
01:08 They've struggled mightily against tight ends
01:10 and they haven't really even played any good tight ends.
01:12 They allowed a decent game to Cade Otten last week
01:15 after he went off the week before.
01:16 They should have been tuned up
01:17 to try to slow down Cade Otten.
01:19 He still was able to have a lot of success last week.
01:21 And that's Cade Otten we're talking about,
01:24 not George Kittle.
01:25 There's only been two tight end ones
01:27 that this defense has faced all year.
01:30 And they struggled in those games.
01:31 They allowed two touchdowns to Mark Andrews
01:34 and they allowed Cole Komet to go for 66 yards
01:37 on five catches.
01:39 I think those are the two best tight ends
01:41 that this team has played.
01:42 They're gonna be in for a world of hurt
01:43 when they go up against George Kittle.
01:45 (upbeat music)
01:48 (upbeat music)