Braves vs. Guardians: Atlanta Favored in MLB Showdown

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00:00you start with best versus best in Atlanta. The Atlanta Braves,

00:03the best record in all of MLB 17 and six, they take on the team

00:09with the second best winning percentage in all of Major League

00:12Baseball, the Cleveland Guardians at this moment after a

00:15win yesterday at home bouncing back against Boston, 18 and

00:20seven. So today in the ATL, it's the Braves and the Guardians

00:24Atlanta greater than a $2 favorite best versus best. Why

00:28is Atlanta greater than a $2 favorite against Cleveland?

00:30Everybody's scared to bet against Atlanta and sometimes

00:32rightfully so at this point, particularly the weather

00:34conditions down there in Atlanta, 74 degrees with a wind

00:36blowing in here from right field at 10 miles per hour. But

00:40here's the interesting part. Take a look at Logan Allen, the

00:42left handed pitcher on the mound, struggling this year as

00:44some lefties do against right handed batters. Benny's faced

00:4694 of those, a 271 ISO power number and a 379 weighted on

00:50base percentage. So immediately where your eyes go to the right

00:53handed batters in the lineup tonight here for the Atlanta

00:56Braves. Now let's take a look overall at the lineup itself.

00:59You figuring left handed batters, left handed pitchers,

01:01right handed pitchers, not going to be any difference for the

01:03Atlanta Braves. But there is a market difference. Acuna, Albies

01:06and Riley typically do damage against everybody. But take a

01:09look against lefties this year. Oh 37 ISO power number for

01:12Acuna, 136 for Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley at 138. That

01:16doesn't match up. There's two guys in the lineup tonight that

01:18I would take a look at for RBI props tonight if you're looking

01:21for that brave section. It's Marcelo Zuna, 38 at bats, he's

01:24faced against left handed pitching. How about this? 226

01:27ISO power number and a weighted on base percentage of 458.

01:29Sensational also with a low K rate below 20% against lefties.

01:33Adam Duvall, 33 bats he's had against left handed pitching

01:36this year, Ben. 259 ISO and a 378 weighted on base percentage.

01:40If you don't want to take a look at that high price there, that

01:42high total, those two guys there plus money, Ozuna and Duvall

01:45here to get an RBI apiece. I think that makes some sense in

01:48this matchup.