Outbreak of rain, heavy in places, will continue into early Thursday, however some of the heavy precipitation easing towards the afternoon. Fairly dry everywhere else. Temperatures raising, especially in the south. – This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the morning of 02/05/24. Bringing you today’s weather forecast is Aidan McGivern.
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00:00 Hello again. After a lively night in some places with heavy rain and thunderstorms,
00:07 the weather eases a little during Thursday but we're still going to see some outbreaks
00:12 of rain, even some thundery downpours through the rest of the day. It's a fairly messy situation
00:18 across Europe at the moment, big temperature contrasts and low pressure sitting across
00:22 central Europe. That's the recipe for some heavy rain for some. But an area of low pressure
00:28 to the west of the UK and one across central Europe brings a plume of warmth in from the
00:35 east and as that clashes with the cooler air coming around the low to the west, we've got
00:40 this frontal boundary and that's been the focus for the outbreaks of rain overnight
00:44 and that will continue to be the focus for some heavy downpours through parts of Wales,
00:49 south-west England and further thundery showers potentially moving up across central and southern
00:54 parts of England into mid Wales through the morning. Much of this eases by the afternoon
00:59 although the focus shifts north so north Wales, north Midlands could see some thundery downpours
01:05 by the afternoon. Much quieter across northern parts of the UK, Northern Ireland, Northern
01:10 England, Scotland mostly dry. Some cloud coming into north-eastern parts, north-east England,
01:16 south-east Scotland for example and that's really going to limit temperatures here with
01:20 11 or 12 Celsius possible around coastal parts and that low cloud making it feel quite miserable
01:26 with the wind from the North Sea. Meanwhile, we've got some real warmth to the air mass
01:32 across western Scotland, a lot of sunshine here and in some spots for western Scotland
01:37 we could get up to 20 to 23 Celsius. Likewise for north-west England into the Midlands,
01:43 east Anglia even. Depending on sun amounts, depending on where showers end up, there's
01:49 the potential for low 20s. Cooler though where we've got the outbreaks of rain continuing
01:53 across south Wales and the south-west. And that continued northward shift carries on
01:59 through Thursday evening and overnight. The frontal boundary I mentioned is pushing north
02:04 so Ireland into Wales, parts of the Midlands, that's where the rain will end up by the end
02:10 of the night, mostly north of the M4 I'd say, drying up to the south of that and staying
02:15 dry for northern England, Scotland and northern Ireland with plenty of clear spells towards
02:19 the north-west, further cloud coming in from the North Sea to affect north-eastern parts
02:24 and temperatures in most spots staying up in the high single figures or so. Now we start
02:29 off Friday with a lot of cloud across the central third of the UK and it's slow moving
02:35 this weather front so it's really across southern Scotland, northern and central England. Wales,
02:41 parts of northern Ireland will keep the cloud and will keep this ongoing risk of outbreaks
02:46 of rain and thundery showers going. On and off rain I suspect, hit and miss heavy showers,
02:52 not everywhere will be wet through the day but you can see the persistent nature of some
02:57 of this rain, it will be fairly damp in places. To the south of the M4, well plenty of sunshine
03:02 and a fresher feel I think, a cooler air mass from the south-west. But we've got the warm
03:08 air continuing across Scotland, not going to feel like it in the east because of the
03:12 low cloud but in the west, still the potential for the low 20s, could be the warmest spot
03:17 in the UK on Friday afternoon, somewhere like Fort William or Oban. Now Friday night continues
03:23 with that northward progression of the weather front before another low from the Atlantic
03:27 pushes in for the weekend. So further messy weather this weekend, outbreaks of rain and
03:33 showers around but not wet through the whole period, there will be some warm sunshine at
03:38 times two.