Dallas vs. OKC Game 4 Analysis: Narrow Betting Odds
Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00What stands out to me, Dallas was a bigger favorite, and again, we're talking short numbers
00:08here, but a two-point favorite in game number two.
00:11It was back and forth, it was tightly contested, Dallas less of a favorite, despite having
00:17that 2-1 series advantage tonight in game number four.
00:21It's just a point, it's just about 20 cents on the money line.
00:24Yeah, three guys played over 40 minutes here, so to say 40 minutes or more for the Dallas
00:28Mavericks in game number three, that was Donchick Irving and P.J.
00:31Washington.
00:32How about P.J.
00:33Washington's 40 minutes?
00:3411 of 23 from the field, 5 of 12 from three-point range, which included 27 total points, because
00:39we always do that, hey, show me that box score before the game started.
00:42Well, look at Donchick, Icari, Irving are just going to barely get above 20 points apiece
00:46at 22 and 22.
00:48That should be a win for OKC, because we always do this, but what did SGA score?
00:51Of course, scored 31 points in that game, and they were still able to not get a victory,
00:56which now, it's put-up or shut-up time tonight.
00:58But if we are just looking at lines here at the FanDuel Sportsbook and saying, what makes
01:02the most sense in this game?
01:04That is a lot of respect for OKC at a plus-one price, as you say with Donny.
01:08What kind of respect is that?
01:09They're not even favorites here.
01:10Being a road favorite in a playoff game is really hard to do, and they're just on the
01:14cusp of doing that.
01:16But if we're looking at the betting statistics at the FanDuel Sportsbook tonight, 64% of
01:20those spread wagers still coming in here on the Dallas Mavericks.
01:23This is one of those games that we take a look at and say, when your back is up against
01:26the wall, which in round number one, OKC didn't have that.
01:29They even won game number one on their home court.
01:31Now you want to see how they handled adversity.
01:33They lost in game number three.
01:34You can't lose game number four.
01:36I like OKC tonight, and I think they're getting a lot of respect with only getting one point
01:40on the road here tonight, Ben.
01:42Yeah, I would agree.
01:44Listen, they didn't get blown out in game three.
01:47They didn't go on the road after losing game two, booked as a five-point home favorite
01:51in OKC against the Mavericks, and say, all right, that wasn't our game.
01:55It did not work out in game three.
01:58They lost the game by four as a two-point road underdog in their third road playoff
02:03game with this young core.
02:05I remain optimistic about this Oklahoma City team.
02:09Tonight's total of 215 is the lowest we have seen in any of the four games so far in this
02:14set.
02:15Shea Gildress, Alexander, sensational in game number three, 31 points, 10 boards, six dimes.
02:22You know who has been great for Dallas in these last two victories?
02:26Not Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, who were really solid in game number three on Saturday,
02:30each scoring 22 points.
02:32It's been P.J. Washington leading the charge from deep, 27 points in back-to-back games,
02:38making at least five triples in games two and three.
02:43That I think has been the difference, Donnie, for the Mavericks taking this 2-1 series lead.
02:49Haven't we always talked about that with the Dallas Mavericks?
02:51You know, you've got two superstars.
02:53Somebody else has to step up.
02:54They've been finding that.
02:55And also, as we talk about those B players here, the Batmans and Robins, we expect to
02:59play well.
03:00But give me those secondary guys who play better at home.
03:02Let's see what Washington has once again tonight, because that's one of those guys.
03:05Look, if he's hitting five three-point shots or more a night, they're going to win more
03:09of the basketball games than they lose, because you know you're going to get honest efforts
03:12out of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving in that backcourt.
03:15Big game tonight.
03:17Let's see what the Thunder have.