IHSG tak mampu mempertahankan penguatan dan berbalik melemah 0,57% ke 6.935,261 Sesi I Jumat (7/6). IDX Infrastruktur -1,05% dengan BREN – 9,70% dan kembali ARB dan menjadi Laggard utama di pekan ini. IDX Sektor Teknologi -0,61% dengan GOTO -1,67%. Dari Keuangan, BBRI-1,78%. IDX Sektor Barang Baku +0,59%, dengan MBMA +5,26% dan MDKA +2,44%.
Dari global, Bursa ekuitas Wall Street berakhir variatif, Kamis, dengan Dow menghijau sedangkan S&P 500 dan Nasdaq Composite ditutup sedikit lebih rendah, menjelang laporan pasar tenaga kerja, mundur dari rekor tertinggi yang dicapai pada sesi sebelumnya.
Dari global, Bursa ekuitas Wall Street berakhir variatif, Kamis, dengan Dow menghijau sedangkan S&P 500 dan Nasdaq Composite ditutup sedikit lebih rendah, menjelang laporan pasar tenaga kerja, mundur dari rekor tertinggi yang dicapai pada sesi sebelumnya.
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TVTranscript
00:00 Thank you for joining us in this segment.
00:03 We will review the business of this day.
00:06 The company is experiencing a deep correction.
00:10 It's already at 6,800.
00:13 You can still participate in the interactive WhatsApp
00:17 at 0812 8788 3723.
00:21 As shown on your TV screen.
00:24 We are now connected through Zoom with Chris Aprileoni,
00:28 the branch manager of Capital Security.
00:31 We will talk to him now.
00:32 Good afternoon, Chris. How are you?
00:35 Good afternoon, David.
00:37 Thank you for taking the time to be on IDX Channel.
00:40 We are back to the last trading session of this week.
00:44 This week, IHSG has experienced a deep correction.
00:49 Even the intraday today is at 6,800.
00:52 And it's touching the lowest intraday level
00:55 from the year-to-date perspective.
00:58 What is your analysis?
01:00 What are the weaknesses that have occurred?
01:02 And from a global perspective, what are the positive sentiment?
01:05 If we look at our market,
01:09 the trend for the opening of the market has been green.
01:14 There were reports earlier.
01:16 But since the brand can be transacted at 9.55,
01:20 the trend for IHSG's graphic and the sentiment of selling has been reversed.
01:25 So, the perception has been down.
01:30 So, if we look at the market movement in the past two weeks,
01:36 it is indeed affected by the FCA factor of the brand.
01:39 Okay.
01:41 What is the direction for the future of Indek Hargassam Kabungan, sir?
01:44 Since the brand will still be under special supervision,
01:48 the opportunity or the rejection will still be wide open next week.
01:51 What is the direction for Indek Hargassam Kabungan?
01:53 On the other hand, the market leaders are still waiting for the release of the main workforce
01:57 from the United States, which will be the reference in the Department of Fed next week.
02:02 Mr. Chris.
02:03 If we look at today,
02:06 the portion of the brand for IHSG is still around 0.4% when it comes to ARB.
02:12 So, if the brand still experiences ARB in the next week,
02:18 it means that the IHSG will still be under pressure,
02:21 let's say, in the 1-1.5% range.
02:25 So, if we look at the IHSG,
02:29 we can see that the brand is still in the ARB position.
02:34 So, the possibility is that the next week, it will still be under pressure.
02:38 But if we look at the market perception,
02:42 maybe the brand will have a rebound in the 5,000 range.
02:44 We hope that the decline will stop in the 5,000 range,
02:48 so that the effect on the IHSG is not too big.
02:52 Okay. For Indek Hargassam Kabungan,
02:54 with the pressure that continues in today's trade,
02:58 what is the change from the overall pattern for Indek Hargassam Kabungan,
03:03 which previously also passed the All-Time High level,
03:05 and some previous trades also passed the 7,300 level, Pak Kris?
03:10 If we look at it,
03:12 due to the sentiment of the brand that entered the FCA,
03:16 there are also some, if we look at it,
03:19 in the last month, foreign companies continue to experience sales in our market.
03:23 This is also due to the movement of the brand that is too significant.
03:29 The opening immediately dropped,
03:31 while the IHSG was 0.5-0.6% yesterday.
03:35 So, the strange thing is that their trading algorithm,
03:40 by looking at the movement of the brand like that,
03:42 will certainly trigger the algorithm to sell in our market.
03:47 So, this is what causes some big traps,
03:51 especially banking,
03:53 this has been under pressure in the last few weeks
03:56 due to this brand transaction.
03:58 Pak Kris, aside from the projection for Indek Hargassam Kabungan in the coming weekend,
04:03 it will still be more tense.
04:05 You said there is a potential rebound for the brand when it reaches the 5,000 level.
04:10 Is this an indicator, Pak Kris,
04:12 is this just a kind of expectation and perception from the market shareholders,
04:16 but technically, this also goes into the calculations.
04:19 Your analysis?
04:21 If we look at it,
04:23 technically, it is not being noticed right now,
04:27 because the brand itself,
04:29 if we look at the highest area yesterday at 12,000,
04:33 there is support at 9,000, support at 7,000,
04:37 it continues to be penetrated with nothing too difficult to penetrate.
04:43 Even today we see that with the ARB of the brand today,
04:47 it only needs around 14 billion.
04:50 So, if you look at the support or resistance area,
04:54 it seems that it is not right for us to talk when a stock enters the FCA.
05:01 So, we see, okay, what is the perception of the public?
05:04 With the hope that maybe in a certain price area,
05:06 the public is crowded or maybe there are some institutions also see,
05:11 oh, the 5,000 area is a fairly interesting area to be observed,
05:15 to fight the sales pressure in the brand,
05:19 so that it stops the ARB.
05:22 So, this is what we have to prepare for a few days or weeks ahead.
05:29 Okay, so this means that the potential for the IPO price is still very far, Mr. Kris?
05:35 Yes, for the IPO price, maybe in the 700 area, it seems that it is still quite far.
05:41 Okay, so what kind of recommendation is it, Mr. Kris, for the brand, still WNC only?
05:46 The brand is actually easy to see.
05:49 We see whether the IAP does not experience ARB or still experiences ARB.
05:55 If the brand's IAP does not seem to enter ARB or the minus is close to 10%,
06:02 then the possibility will be a positive sentiment for the index,
06:05 for the index to get back the rebound and others should also get a positive sentiment.
06:11 Okay, analysis for the brand and again, the decision to invest is still in the hands of the IDEX channel.
06:17 The deep pressure of the SAMK's family during today's trading, Mr. Kris,
06:20 has reached 6,800 BKB banks, which seems to make a contribution.
06:25 One of them is BBRI, sir.
06:26 Today, BBRI is experiencing the deepest weakness compared to other BKB banks.
06:33 And coincidentally, Mr. Kris, there are two questions in our interactive WhatsApp.
06:37 I will try to read the first one.
06:40 I will try to check Mr. Victor from Malang.
06:45 Mr. BRI, today, it's going down, can it be entered and what should be the price?
06:51 Then BBRI is also asked, I will also try to check this,
06:56 Mr. Andrew from Tanggulang Selatan, for the next month, where will it go?
07:00 Why does it keep going down? It has taken a position of being stuck at 52.75.
07:05 What is the analysis for BBRI?
07:07 Yes, for BBRI, if we pay attention, I was once confused that the foreign algorithm
07:12 will see the movement of the bank and the movement of the IFP.
07:16 Well, because there is such a movement, because BRI or banking,
07:21 the foreign basis is also quite large in its portion in the Bank of Indonesia.
07:28 So, of course, why is the BRI's pressure quite high?
07:31 Because the foreign also continues to experience the sale.
07:35 If we look at BRI itself, in the last week, foreign has issued as many as 2 trillion.
07:41 Then in a month, 7.5 trillion have been issued.
07:45 This is what causes the BRI to have the highest pressure compared to other banks.
07:52 What is the recommendation, Mr. Chris, and when investors are stuck at 52.75 for BBRI?
07:59 Okay, if at 52.75, maybe now we see technically,
08:04 there is still no area that continues to experience a decrease in pressure with a volume that is still quite high.
08:11 So, the White Nancy is the first.
08:13 If you want to average down, maybe in the area of 4200,
08:17 below 4200, maybe later you can average down to reduce the average.
08:22 So, when it goes up again, it's not too far.
08:26 Okay, the closing today at 43.50, weak at 3.33%.
08:32 Earlier, Mr. Andrew was stuck at 52.75, 4200 levels for averaging down to minimize the losses.
08:40 Then, Mr. Victor from Malang, the recommendation is more towards White Nancy, right?
08:45 Correct. If you want to average down, maybe White Nancy first,
08:49 because the decline is still big, the volume is still quite high, so it's better to wait.
08:55 Okay, with the price decline today, 43.50, earlier the level of averaging down at 4200,
09:04 how do you see, is it at 42.00 is a strong enough resistance,
09:09 or when it goes down to 42.00, the pressure from BBRI will still be quite wide in the future?
09:17 Okay, fundamentally, I see that the lowest BBRI may be in the area of 3800.
09:24 That's the bottom that can be reached by BRI.
09:27 But maybe from 4200 to 3800, the difference is still within 10%.
09:34 So, it still makes sense for us to start buying in the area of 4200.
09:39 Okay, analysis for BBRI which today contributed to the weakening of the SAMKabungan price,
09:45 the position is weak at 3.33%, earlier 4200 for averaging down,
09:51 and fundamentally, the worst scenario is at 3800 rupiah per share for BBRI,
10:02 and the part that wants to enter was delivered to White Nancy first,
10:06 and again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the shareholder, IDX Channel.
10:10 How about the other BKB banks, Pak Kris?
10:13 Outside of BBRI, there are BBCA, BBRI, and also BBNI.
10:18 Are the conditions relatively the same, or maybe technically,
10:22 there are still things that can be observed so far, especially in the face of trading in the future?
10:28 If we look at it, of these 4 banks, technically, the best is the independent bank.
10:35 Today, it still records an increase of 1.62%, but again, the volume of the increase is not too significant.
10:46 So, there should be plenty of opportunities for correction, especially if the brand is still ARB,
10:55 so there is still a negative sentiment towards BNX.
11:00 What about the support and resistance for BBRI, Pak, and also the recommendations?
11:04 Independent banks, if you want speculation in the support area,
11:08 in the 6100-6200 area, it is the buy area.
11:14 The closest is the resistance in the 6500 area.
11:19 Okay. The closing today at 6275, a strong 1.62%.
11:24 Intraday, earlier, it was in the red zone, it dropped to 6150.
11:28 And again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the shareholder, IDX Channel.
11:32 Pak Kris, we'll hold for a while, Pak. I will try to convey
11:36 the trading closing update in the second session of this day, the weekend weekend,
11:40 and also some graphic information that was successfully collected by our team.
11:45 And the shareholder's decision is still closed in the red zone,
11:49 with a weakening of 1.10%, and unable to return to the 6900 level,
11:57 where the closing position of the second session today is at 6897.950 intraday throughout the day.
12:07 It was opened in the morning, then moved to the green zone,
12:11 to 694.115.
12:15 Then the lowest level today is 6887.812,
12:19 and this is also the record of the lowest intraday level by year-to-date.
12:24 Let's go straight to the first graphic.
12:27 We will try to see an update of the closing of several other indexes
12:30 in the middle of a weakening in the GASAM-Kabungan index throughout the day.
12:34 We will try to see the closing position of MNC36, which experienced a weakening of 0.58%.
12:41 Jakarta Islamic Index, weakening at 0.88%.
12:45 LQ45 also weakened at 0.91%, at 883.951.
12:52 Next, we will try to see the sectoral movement rotation of MIRSA,
12:56 where health led the strengthening at 1.20%, transportation and logistics,
13:01 strengthened at 0.60%.
13:03 Finance today became a heavyweight at 1.35%, technology also weakened at 1.31%.
13:10 We move on to the next graphic,
13:13 stocks that experienced significant strength,
13:16 and tried to support the GASAM-Kabungan index until the pressure became less and less deep.
13:22 The first one from the BKB Bank is BMRI,
13:26 closed and strengthened at 6.275.
13:29 SMGR also strengthened at 4.010 after experiencing quite a great pressure,
13:34 in the opposite direction.
13:35 KLBF today also strengthened at 1.600,
13:37 and INTP, still from the cement producer, also strengthened at 7.700.
13:41 Next, the stocks that today became a heavyweight of MIRSA,
13:45 from the BKB Bank, there is BBRI, we also reviewed it earlier,
13:49 closed and weakened at 4.350.
13:52 BBCA also stressed at 9.325.
13:54 Aman Mineral from Barang Baku at 11.625,
13:58 and BPNI also stressed at 4.700 rupiah per share.
14:02 Update on the closing of the second session,
14:04 and hopefully it can be a reference for you,
14:06 especially in dealing with trading next week.
14:08 MIRSA is still in IDX, in the closing session,
14:11 and we still invite you to participate in our interactive WhatsApp,
14:15 as shown on your television screen later.
14:18 Let's just see the options recommended by MIRSA
14:22 in the middle of the Samkabungan housing crisis,
14:24 and maybe it can be a reference for you,
14:27 especially in dealing with trading in the next week.
14:30 To analyze the graphics on your television screen,
14:32 there are four options that are recommended.
14:34 The first is SMGR from the cement producer,
14:37 which is recommended by 3.700 to 4.800 rupiah.
14:42 KLBF is also recommended by 1.550 to 1.730 rupiah.
14:46 And ERA from retail is also recommended by 3.90 to 4.60 rupiah.
14:51 And Telkom is also recommended by,
14:53 from the telecommunications infrastructure,
14:55 the support is 2.900 rupiah,
14:57 and resistance up to 3.400 rupiah per share.
15:01 The options recommended,
15:04 and again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the MIRSA IDX channel.
15:08 We continue to discuss again with Pak Kris Aprilyoni,
15:11 who is the branch manager of the Capital Security Chief Executive.
15:15 Pak Kris, the four options that you recommend, sir.
15:18 The first from the cement producer,
15:20 there is SMGR, Pak Kris, we both know,
15:23 the emittance in this sector is still facing quite a heavy challenge, Pak Kris.
15:29 In the middle of overproduction,
15:32 and then also yesterday, some factories built in Indonesia,
15:36 it comes from China, also made a negative sentiment.
15:39 And before that, SMGR also had a fairly deep correction last week, if I'm not mistaken.
15:44 And in the last few hours, it tried to rise again.
15:47 What is your analysis for SMGR?
15:49 Yes, SMGR, if we look at the news, it does not look interesting.
15:54 The keynote is down, then the competition is also increasing.
16:00 What needs to be noticed, actually, I see the interesting thing from SMGR is
16:04 this big company is sold with a PBC of 0.6 times,
16:08 where we know SMGR is a fairly large cement factory in Indonesia.
16:13 And yes, in the short term, the possibility will be suppressed,
16:17 but we see that there may be potential from the IKM later,
16:20 and then Indonesia with its development should still be quite a lot,
16:25 and need quite a lot of cement.
16:27 So I see in the future, SMGR should be priced at Rp 4,000, maybe it's too cheap.
16:36 Maybe we see the SMGR peak is in the range of Rp 14,000, Rp 15,000 or Rp 20,000.
16:44 With Rp 4,000, the correction is too excessive.
16:48 Maybe it can go back to Rp 8,000, maybe below Rp 20,000,
16:52 but the normal SMGR area may not be in the range of Rp 4,000.
16:56 Okay, what is the level, Mr. Chris, with some of the considerations you have mentioned earlier?
17:01 The current price is still quite cheap, with support, I said earlier, in the range of Rp 3,800.
17:10 With the support of Rp 3,800, it is a support area that should be quite strong,
17:17 so the current price is actually not too far from Rp 3,800, so it's still quite interesting.
17:23 Okay, the closing today at Rp 410 is 1.52%.
17:28 We move on to the second option, from health, there is KLBF pharmacy.
17:33 We have also mentioned earlier, Mr. Chris, from some of the fundamental news circulating,
17:39 that the BUMN pharmacy is not doing well so far.
17:43 What is your analysis for KLBF?
17:46 KLBF is a pharmacy company that I think is quite good,
17:51 where the sales are still growing every year, the sales are still quite good,
17:55 but the price is quite deep, from yesterday it was at the highest, at Rp 2,300,
18:01 now it is only in the range of Rp 1,500-1,600, with the issue that KLBF will also buy back the stock.
18:08 We see that the stock price has started to be quite cheap,
18:12 technical has started to enter the uptrend phase, with dividends also growing every year.
18:18 So, in my opinion, KLBF is in the middle of the weakness of ISK,
18:23 ISK has fallen quite deep, KLBF is quite resistant to ISK weakness,
18:27 is a good indicator for KLBF.
18:30 The condition of the BUMN pharmacy, which is not good, will it have an impact on KLBF,
18:37 or maybe on the health sector as a whole, Mr. Chris?
18:41 Okay, if we look at the health sector itself, the problem is indeed there is KF and INAP,
18:46 the stock price is falling, but if we look at the full health sector area,
18:53 such as Silo, Mika, KLBF, which has a fairly large market cap, NSCH, and several other IPO,
18:59 the stock price performance is also quite good.
19:02 If we look at the health sector, people are more prioritizing health.
19:11 So, with the addition of many viruses that are currently circulating,
19:15 the health sector is still quite good.
19:18 Outside, the BUMN companies are still being targeted,
19:25 not only in the health sector, but also in other sectors.
19:29 Okay, we move on to the third option from Retail for the era, sir.
19:33 The 412 coverage is 0.48%.
19:36 What is your analysis for the era?
19:39 I see the 390 coverage area is quite strong,
19:47 where the era has just launched, there is a new coffee,
19:52 and the sentiment is quite good, which should be a booster for the era this year.
20:02 So, I see the 400 area is quite an interesting area for us to enter.
20:08 Okay, the coverage today at 412, when the first session is held on Monday,
20:12 can we directly enter or have to wait at 400, exactly at 400, Mr. Chris?
20:19 Today, the area is close to low, so the pressure area is still quite large.
20:25 So, on Monday, we can wait at 400-410, which is a good area to enter.
20:31 Okay, from the era, we move on to the last option, the telecommunications infrastructure.
20:36 There is Telkom, you also recommend it well.
20:38 For Telkom, technically, it has undergone a fairly deep correction, Mr. Chris,
20:44 especially in the last few months, from January to the end of the year,
20:50 the correction is quite deep, even to 2800.
20:53 In the last few months, Telkom has been able to return to the level of 3000.
20:59 What is your analysis?
21:01 The opposition that does Telkom, so it can return to 3000,
21:05 is this position strong enough to move to a higher level,
21:10 or is there still potential to 2900?
21:13 Okay, the potential area to 2900 may be there,
21:17 but we should see Telkom should be able to return to the area of 3000 easily.
21:23 People see Telkom when there is Starlink, it can trigger the downfall of Telkom.
21:30 If we look at it, maybe Telkom can survive with the presence of Starlink.
21:34 Starlink will not eat the market of Telkom,
21:38 because in addition to the price, Starlink's speed does look fast,
21:43 but Indonesian people still have a lot of people who have not yet obtained the internet,
21:48 and they also need cheap internet.
21:52 While Starlink enters with an internet that is quite expensive,
21:56 if we look at it, maybe twice as much as the price of Indiom.
21:59 So the current area is quite interesting,
22:03 maybe because of the fear of that,
22:06 but in terms of telecom, it can still give us a 6% dividend.
22:11 If we enter the current area, it is a large enough area to hold Samsung Blue Chip like Telkom.
22:18 Okay, the four options recommended are SMGR, KLMF, ERA, and Telkom,
22:23 with various considerations earlier,
22:25 and again, the decision to invest is still in the hands of the IDE channel.
22:29 Pak Chris, we still have one more segment, there are still a few questions on our WhatsApp Interactive,
22:33 we will continue later, and we will be back in a moment.
22:37 We have reached the last segment, and thank you for those who are still joining us.
22:42 Pak Chris, we will continue again,
22:44 straight to the next question on WhatsApp Interactive,
22:47 this does not mention the name and location,
22:49 and this time asking if the BRPT stock has been recommended to enter,
22:54 level entry, support and resistance for BRPT.
22:57 Okay, BRPT has a strong enough support in the 940 area,
23:01 from yesterday, it is rarely penetrated,
23:05 so if you want to speculate, with the brand we estimate from Rp 5,000,
23:10 the bottom area, so maybe the 940 area is quite interesting,
23:14 to be a strong support area for BRPT.
23:18 What is the resistance in their PD?
23:21 The resistance is close to the 1045 area.
23:24 Okay, the coverage today at 965 is 1.03%.
23:30 We move on to the next question, I will try to check.
23:35 From Ibu Soba from Bali, thank you for joining us,
23:40 this is asking about the BRPT,
23:42 we also had a technical discussion,
23:45 we haven't reviewed the BRPT,
23:47 why is it always low, what price can it be?
23:51 Today at 595, it is 4.03%.
23:55 What is the analysis and risk profile for KF in the middle of the weakening?
24:00 KF is a company that is not interesting,
24:04 technically, it is making the lowest point area again,
24:08 so this is a bad area if we look at it technically,
24:13 so it's better to avoid it first,
24:15 because the effect of the news is from the enough that is checked by the KPK,
24:24 so it's better to avoid it first.
24:27 Okay, in this case, investors also have to update,
24:32 from the fundamental investment side,
24:34 that wants the stock to be made as an investment, right?
24:39 Yes, that's right, to see a stock that can be invested,
24:42 not all big companies can be invested,
24:45 so it must be really observed from the labor side,
24:47 from the energy side, it must be really checked.
24:50 Okay, we go to Bandung, West Java, there is Clay,
24:53 thank you for joining us,
24:55 asking about Samsung based on CPO,
24:57 Mr. Elship, can it be entered before RUPST, Mr. Chris?
25:02 Okay, if we look at the CPO sector itself,
25:07 it's still not interesting, because the movement is not too significant,
25:11 and the performance last year, 2023, was lower than 2022,
25:17 so maybe if there is a dividend distribution,
25:20 the dividend is also not too big,
25:22 let's say 35%, maybe around Rp40,
25:25 which means that it is close to 5% for Elship.
25:29 So if you want to speculate from RUPST,
25:32 Mr. Lu, the dividend distribution of Rp40,
25:35 then it goes up, it's sold, please.
25:37 But sectorally, Elship is still not interesting enough for entering.
25:43 Okay, last, Mr. Chris, Mr. John from Jakarta,
25:47 just joined the interactive WhatsApp, asking about Gotoh, sir.
25:50 With the internal correction, has it been recommended to enter or not for Gotoh?
25:54 Okay, Gotoh, every time it touches the 50s area, it often bounces,
25:58 so if you believe in Kinerja Tech,
26:02 with the hope that the American flower will be able to descend
26:07 later in the August meeting, God willing,
26:10 it may be quite interesting to start accumulating Gotoh below Rp60.
26:16 Okay, the closing today at 58, weakening at 3.33%,
26:20 and again, the decision to invest is still in the hands of the viewers of IDX Channel.
26:24 Thank you for those who have participated in our interactive WhatsApp,
26:27 and please join us again in time and in the same program in the trading in the coming weekend.
26:31 Mr. Chris, thank you for joining us as always, sir.
26:34 Yes, thank you, Mr. David.
26:36 Thank you, Mr. Chris Aprilioni, Chief Branch Manager of Capital Security.
26:40 Finally, I am David Sandoval and all the staff who are on duty say thank you and see you again.
26:45 Welcome back.
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