IHSG Berbalik Rebound ke Level Psikologis 7.600
IHSG berbalik +0,48% ke level 7.600 -an tepatnya di 7.653,069 di sesi I Rabu (4/9). IDX Sektor Barang Konsumen Non-Primer +1,66% FILM +6.7% dan NETV +9,45%. IDX Sektor Infrastruktur +1,39% BREN +6,59%. IDX Sektor Kesehatan +1,03% KLBF +3,27%. Sementara emiten migas AKRA -2,03%, MEDC -1,69% di tengah koreksi dalam harga minyak mentah dibawah USD70 per barel.
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TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for joining us and in this segment, we will review how the trade is going all day today and we remind you again, you can still participate on WhatsApp Interactive at 0821-8788.723 as shown on your television screen later.
00:22And now we are connected via Zoom with Mr. Agananda, who is the Investment Education from Yuanta Securities.
00:30Mr. Agas, good afternoon. How are you?
00:33Good afternoon, Mr. David. I'm fine, sir.
00:35Thank you for taking the time to be with us on IDX Channel.
00:38Mr. Angga, let's start with the technical side of Indekargasam Kabungan today.
00:44It was under pressure in the first session after the opening.
00:48It was around 7,500.
00:50Then Indekargasam Kabungan went back and the current position is still around 7,600.
00:57What is your analysis on Indekargasam Kabungan that went back to 7,500, Mr. Angga?
01:05Okay, thank you, sir.
01:07In my opinion, the rebound that happened today is a rebound from the minor support from IHSG at the moment.
01:17As we know, IHSG is in a very bullish trend right now.
01:23So, in my opinion, this is still within the normal correction limit, sir.
01:30Okay, the direction for Indekargasam Kabungan with the rebound that happened today, sir, is it short-term or long-term?
01:37For the short-term, the minor support seems to have hit, which is at the number of 7,450 to 7,550.
01:47Then for the resistance itself, I still see that for the short term, IHSG has to try to make a higher high from the level it has been through, which was a few days ago at 7,721.
02:06If IHSG manages to make a higher high above that, IHSG will automatically have a big opportunity to continue its rise to 7,843.
02:20Okay, is there still a chance to break through to the latest highest level?
02:25With anticipation for the next few days related to the meeting of the FED, related to Indekargasam Kabungan in September.
02:35To relate to the sentiment for the increase in the flower rate, it seems that I see that the market has moved first, or what we call the price in, towards the sentiment.
02:49So, in my opinion, my view is that when the FED is really going to lower the flower rate on the 18th, the market will experience a little volatility.
03:02So, it will be a little corrected with the tendency, but still bullish to strengthen the IHSG.
03:08Okay, the strengthening of Indekargasam Kabungan during today's trade is supported by Big Cap shares, which has a large capitalization value or the largest in the Indonesian stock market.
03:18I want to go to the brand first, Mr. Angga. Today, the brand is strengthening above 9% and moving above the level of 11,000.
03:26What is your analysis for the brand in the midst of the strengthening that happened when it experienced quite a deep pressure in the previous trade?
03:35Okay, as we know, we see that this brand is the largest capitalization of the IHSG, it has beaten the BCA.
03:44So, we see here that the rise of the brand today is quite significant, it has reached a level of 11,100 and above like that.
03:53Now, for the brand itself, the area is already in the resistance area.
03:58So, this is actually an area for people to do what is called taking profit.
04:05For the support area of the brand itself, for the support area of the brand, the safest area is around 9,800 to 10,000.
04:14With the target of continuous strengthening, if it can break through to the level of 11,000, the next target can be around the level of 12,250 to 13,000, more or less like that.
04:30Okay, is there a chance to break through to the highest level like that, Mr. Angga?
04:35There is still a big chance, sir.
04:36Okay, but is this position for the brand already profitable, sir? Or is there a potential for profit-taking?
04:42If you want to enter, do you wait for the correction first, or as long as it is still above the support at 9,800, the brand will be safe?
04:53What is the analysis like?
04:55In my opinion, it is better for those of us who do not have the goods, it is better to wait and see.
05:01We have to buy at a relatively discounted price.
05:06When the rally goes up like this, we are forced to buy with the assumption that it will continue to go up.
05:12Because in my opinion, the risk will be great.
05:14As we know, stocks like this brand, the volatility is also very high.
05:20In one day, it can go up fast, once it goes down, maybe the balance will be quite painful.
05:25Okay, apart from these B-CAP stocks, still from the Rayogo Pangestu Group,
05:30PTRO is also quite attractive today, Mr. Angga, where PTRO is closed at level 14,000.
05:37It seems that the highest level of intraday is also stronger than 7.69%.
05:42From a fundamental point of view, as we have said earlier,
05:45from the investment side, it has shrunk significantly, although from the income side, it has experienced an increase.
05:49How do you see the view of the investor?
05:54Even though the performance is not the same, the stock price has shrunk significantly,
05:59but the investor is still eager to enter the PTRO stock today.
06:04Yes, in my opinion, based on the fundamental value, with the technical value,
06:10Mr. David is right, it may not be the same.
06:14Because the fundamental value, in my opinion, is quite overvalued.
06:17Like the current price, but if we look at it technically,
06:22technically, PTRO is still in a very bullish trend.
06:27With an upside, the increase is still quite limited to the area around 15,500.
06:41But the support is quite far below, which is around 11,000-11,200.
06:48The recommendation with the significant increase today,
06:52again, I have known the significance, it is prone to profit-taking, not PTRO.
06:57For PTRO, in my opinion, it tends to profit-taking.
07:01If you already have the goods, maybe you can consider to start selling slowly,
07:06while we follow the trend.
07:09But if you don't have the goods yet, it's better to wait and see
07:14until we see there are consolidation patterns like that.
07:18What is the recommended level of profit-taking?
07:22The closing level is not a problem today?
07:24Yes, it's okay.
07:26At the current closing level, 14,200-14,500 is okay.
07:32Okay, the range is still quite wide to be chased by PTRO.
07:35When it comes to profit-taking, what is the recommended buyback level for PTRO?
07:41For buyback, I recommend a bit below,
07:45around 12,800-11,200.
07:52Okay, the analysis for PTRO today is also one of the supporters of Indekargasam Kabungan,
07:577.69% in the position of 14,000, and it seems to be an intraday record
08:02that was created by PTRO throughout today's trading.
08:07Mr. Angga, let's move on to the stocks that are today's heavyweights for Indekargasam Kabungan.
08:15As we mentioned earlier, in terms of commodity prices,
08:19raw oil today and yesterday experienced quite a deep correction.
08:23This also seems to be illustrated by the stocks in this sector.
08:26There are Medco, Acra, Elsa, Energi, today experienced quite a deep correction.
08:32How about your analysis?
08:35Maybe we will go to Medco first.
08:37Mr. Angga, today the correction is 3.59% at 12.10%.
08:42For Medco itself, I see that Medco, from sideways,
08:48now tends towards the line, in my opinion,
08:50because the closing is in the form of lower low.
08:53So, for my suggestion, for Medco itself,
08:57the support now, in my opinion, the support will drop
09:01to around 11,100 to 1150.
09:08That may be a relatively safe area if investors want to make purchases in that area gradually.
09:16Okay, the closing today at 12.10% decreased to 3.59%.
09:20How do you see the support that needs to be monitored for Medco?
09:27The support that needs to be monitored is at the crucial number,
09:31at 11,100.
09:37That is the strong support.
09:39If the support is not strong enough to withstand,
09:42I see that the decline will be deeper,
09:45can reach the area of 1,000 to 1,020.
09:48But from the technical point of view, will Medco be able to withstand?
09:52Maybe from the percentage point of view, will Medco still be above 1,000?
09:59For Medco itself, maybe to withstand the consolidation area at 12.75%,
10:06maybe it will be a little difficult.
10:08Because we also see that today Medco itself opens the gap down.
10:12Here we also notice that the volume today is also quite massive.
10:20So here Medco itself, in my opinion,
10:23will be difficult to return to the price range of 1,250 to 1,280,
10:31which is the area of the consolidation phase.
10:35Okay, from Medco we move to Acra, Mr. Aga.
10:38Coincidentally, there is a question on our interactive WhatsApp.
10:40I will try to read it.
10:43The first one is asking about Acra.
10:46It has taken a position at 14.10%.
10:49The profit is still maintained or the entry level is still maintained.
10:53The question comes, I will try to check.
10:56From Malvin Sitte, from Depok, West Java.
10:59How is the analysis?
11:01Can it still be held, sir, with the determination today 14.35%?
11:04Okay, for the entry level at 14.10%,
11:08if it closes at 14.35%,
11:10in my opinion, it can still be held, it can still be kept
11:13for Acra strengthening to around 14.75% to the area of 1,500.
11:18With a limit on the risk if Acra is closed to form a lower low at 1,390,
11:25for the closing to form a lower low there,
11:27it is considered to reduce the portion or maybe cover below like that, sir.
11:34Okay, the closing today at 14.35% weakens at 2.71%.
11:40And at the same time, there is a question from Malvin Sitte from Depok, West Java.
11:44I will try to move to Energi, sir.
11:47Today also experienced a rather deep weakness,
11:50although at the closing of the second session,
11:52the weakness is a little more limited.
11:54What is the analysis for Energi?
11:57For Energi itself, the movement is still quite sideways,
12:04but its movement does not form a lower low,
12:07so it is still relatively safe,
12:11for example, to buy in the current area,
12:13this is an ideal entry area,
12:15because the stop loss level is also very narrow,
12:19so it is relatively safe.
12:20With the upside, the energy increase to the number 216 to the number 228.
12:28Okay, the analysis for Energi, sir.
12:31Earlier there was also Medco, then there was also Acra,
12:35which today experienced a rather deep correction,
12:38in the middle of a weakening of the position of raw oil prices,
12:42especially for WTI, has moved below the level of US$70 per barrel.