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00:00 [MUSIC]
00:03 Suarez probably does get to five strikeouts, but
00:05 he doesn't always do it through the strikeout, Davis.
00:08 Like he gets a lot of ground balls.
00:09 He's not afraid to pitch to contact.
00:13 Mets, they do strikeout sometimes.
00:18 This is like a pass for me, I think.
00:19 This is a tough one to call, but I guess I would lean over, but
00:22 why would I wanna lay minus 140 on a strikeout problem?
00:26 >> Well, Craig, remember these London series, remember the first time they
00:31 played, it was Yankees, Red Sox, and we didn't really know what to make of it.
00:34 We didn't know what it would look like.
00:36 The park factor is insane.
00:40 The park factor in 2023 was 142, and in 2022, it was 171.
00:46 That basically means, I mean,
00:48 they're kinda playing in a college baseball stadium.
00:51 Like the over under for these games,
00:53 the amount of runs that we were expecting to score are very high.
00:57 So that is gonna feed into the K props,
01:00 which is neither of these teams are gonna want the starting pitcher to wear it.
01:05 So the pitch expectation, I mean, the out expectation for
01:09 these guys is much lower.
01:11 I would take the under.
01:13 I mean, I would just blanket take the under on all starting pitching stuff and
01:19 I mean, definitely shade over.
01:21 Like I bet the Mets hitting props are probably not appropriately priced for
01:27 the change in venue cuz the Mets offense has been so bad and Suarez has been good.
01:32 So I would maybe take a look at that.
01:33 [MUSIC]