Poll Shows President Biden's Approval Rating Has Gone Up, Pollster Explains Why That Could Be

3 months ago

A post-debate Emerson College poll shows former President Donald Trump beating President Biden in a head-to-head matchup. Matt Taglia, Senior Director at Emerson College Polling, joined Brittany Lewis to discuss.

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Transcript

00:00It's no secret that it's been a bad two weeks for President Biden.

00:05He's been flooded with questions about his mental fitness, his mental acuity.

00:09Can he serve for four more years?

00:12And but there is a little bit of good news, a glimmer of hope for him in your polling.

00:17You found that his job approval rating increased by 2 percent over the past month from 37 percent

00:22to 39 percent.

00:24Is there any indication of why that is?

00:28That's right.

00:29I would caveat that with that.

00:31It's a slight increase, but an increase nonetheless.

00:36And we see that that's coming mostly from voters over the age of 60, from black voters

00:43and minority voters overall, as well as independents.

00:48So those are three groups that are certainly must wins for the Biden campaign.

00:55I think that he should be happy with that.

00:59But that said, a majority still disapprove roughly 18 percent of Democrats even disapprove

01:08of President Biden's job performance.

01:11So, you know, again, it's not necessarily the best news, but it's not the worst news.

01:17And I think some of this could come down to the fact that, you know, folks did watch the

01:24debate between President Biden and former President Trump.

01:29And I think maybe some of them liked what President Biden has done or what he stands

01:35for, but at the same time don't necessarily want to commit to voting for him right now.

01:41So while they may have increased in approval after hearing about some of the things that

01:46he's done, things that he wants to do, they aren't necessarily committing to voting.

01:51A slight uptick is good, but 39 percent isn't that high.

01:55So right now he's sitting here less than four months away from November, from Election Day.

02:01He's the incumbent facing increasingly bad news.

02:06Historically, it's 39 percent right now where he's sitting, running for reelection.

02:11Is that good news for a president?

02:14No, that's not good news.

02:17And you know, we can see that his overall vote share is higher than that.

02:22So it's not as if, you know, one is going to predict the other.

02:26But we do see historically that unpopular, severely unpopular presidents like President

02:31Biden don't tend to win elections.

02:36So you know, I would be, as the Biden campaign, working to do everything I can to get that

02:42approval number up.

02:43That is an indicator of several of how he might expect the vote to turn out on Election

02:50Day.

02:51And, you know, frankly, I don't see how he will necessarily capture enough of the vote

03:00share to win on Election Day without roughly 40 percent approval.

Poll Shows President Biden's Approval Rating Has Gone Up, Pollster Explains Why That Could Be

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