BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on today's MLB games
BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB games
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00:00Welcome to the Beck UL Daily Boost.
00:06I'm Lucy Burge of Beck UL and I am joined by Matt Horner and we have a Nerfy Parlay
00:12Odds Boost in a trio of games for tonight.
00:16This is a boost on a Nerfy in Rays Cardinals, Red Sox Royals, and Mets Rockies.
00:22This is boosted to plus 575 at Deezers.
00:24What do you think of this one, Matt?
00:26Yeah, I don't mind this at all.
00:28I mean, Tampa Bay and the Cardinals, the Cardinals have been kind of average, honestly.
00:32Their offense has kind of dropped off a bit recently.
00:35The Rays have been bad against righties all season, so I don't mind this quite honestly
00:39at all.
00:40I mean, the Rockies, Nerfy, that is why this price is so high.
00:43Plus 575.
00:44You get the Mets in Coors Field.
00:46Their offense has been great.
00:47Obviously, they weren't yesterday, so, you know, there's that.
00:50But overall, it is going to be quite frightening, I guess you would say, to be taking any time
00:55you take a Nerf in Coors Field.
00:56It's pretty frightening.
00:58Red Sox and the Royals.
00:59The Red Sox have been pretty hot lately, honestly.
01:01Their offense has started to get going against a couple regression candidates for the Royals.
01:05But honestly, that one is more of like a 50-50 to me, so I don't mind that.
01:09I like the Rays and the Cardinals, and God, let's pray for the Nerfy in Colorado.
01:16But plus 575, worth a sprinkle.
01:18Yes, let us pray.
01:19Yeah, the Red Sox lead in the OPS batting average.
01:22You know, many, many things.
01:24So, not on record, but, you know, somebody this morning on Twitter said to me something
01:28about Alex Verdugo and William Brayu, and somebody replied and said, well, Alex Verdugo
01:35is on the better team.
01:37And something in me awoke.
01:39I had not felt that, like, defending the Red Sox against Yankee fans in so long.
01:44I don't want to be like, if you look at the numbers, don't look at the record, if you
01:47look at the numbers, he actually doesn't.
01:50Red Sox are the better team right now.
01:52So, yeah, just so everyone is aware, it was like, oh my God, I feel like I'm 13 years
01:58old again, and I'm defending the Red Sox.
02:00It was a very awakening moment.
02:03So that was exciting.
02:04So get in on this OzBoost, plus 575, I just have to say that, plus 575 at Deezers, yes.
02:10And get in on that, and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.
02:14Bet $10, get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering
02:20code LUCY when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now.
02:24And at betql.com, check out our exclusive sportsbook offers there as well.
02:28And of course, follow us on Twitter at sharp underscore side underscore and at LUCYLVERGE.
02:35Our favorite bets today, I am going with one of these games.
02:38It is the one that maybe makes this boost a little bit more valuable here.
02:44It is in the Rockies Mets game, it is Pete Alonso to hit a home run, hopefully not in
02:49the first inning, but somewhere in any other inning.
02:52Pick any other inning, Pete Alonso, please.
02:54He has one home run in his last five games, three in his last nine games, for 23 home
02:58runs this season against Ryan Feltner.
03:01He's batting 600 with a home run and two singles against him.
03:05Every time I bet on Pete Alonso in the past week or so, he does nothing.
03:09So I'm going to bet on Pete Alonso to hit a home run until he does it again.
03:13So Pete Alonso to hit a home run today.
03:15There you go.
03:16Don't mind that at all in cores.
03:18You were talking about the Red Sox, how you want to go off about that.
03:20The White Sox won a baseball game.
03:23Matt, congratulations.
03:24I was going to say.
03:25The White Sox, they won five to one over the Oakland Athletics.
03:29Mark it on your calendars.
03:3021 straight losses.
03:32We finally won a baseball game.
03:34Everyone rejoice.
03:35Everyone be happy in Chicago.
03:37Our team is total trash.
03:39Anyway, OK, so.
03:40You never know.
03:41What if they win every game going forward now?
03:43They won a game, so they're back.
03:46White Sox are back.
03:47They have to win 12 more games to avoid being the worst team in baseball history.
03:51Can they win 12 more games?
03:52Maybe.
03:53I don't know.
03:54They go 13 game winning streak.
03:58That would be amazing if they somehow did that.
04:00All right.
04:01So for my best bet tonight, we're going to the Brewers and the Braves game.
04:05I'm going to take a Sandy and Harley here.
04:07You can play separate if you want.
04:08Like I always say, I give a couple of bets out, you can play them separate.
04:12Braves first five on the money line and the over seven and a half in this game.
04:16I really like.
04:17They look at the Brewers.
04:18They have Freddy Peralta on the mound.
04:20He's been declining.
04:21I think fatigue is starting to get to Peralta.
04:23If you look at his first three months, 346 expected fifth, a 22.4 percent strikeout to
04:29walk ratio.
04:30Very good numbers.
04:31You look at his last five starts, 4.45 expected fifth and only a 14.7 percent strikeout to
04:37walk ratio.
04:38So he's started to decline quite a bit, and I think fatigue is starting to get to him.
04:42On the other side of the Atlanta Braves are starting Chris Sale.
04:45As we know, both of our former teams, the White Sox and the Red Sox, have had Chris
04:48Sale on their roster.
04:50Guy's fantastic.
04:51He's a legend.
04:52He's probably going to win the NL Cy Young this year as long as he can stave off Paul
04:56Skeen's the hike train for him.
04:59Sale definitely deserves it.
05:00He's been fantastic.
05:01264 expected ERA, 265 expected fifth going against the Brewers in their weaker split.
05:07They're worse against lefties than they are righties.
05:08So I think he can dominate there against them.
05:11So I love them in the first five innings, but I like the over seven and a half here
05:14as well to end the game with at least eight runs because perfect weather conditions put
05:19on my weatherman cap again.
05:21We got temperatures over 90 degrees at first pitch in this one.
05:24The hotter weather always plays into more offense.
05:27Plus, it's looking like winds are going to be blowing out the center field at 10 miles
05:31per hour or more.
05:32So you got winds blowing out, you got a high temperature right there.
05:35Seven and a half just seems like a low number to me for the game.
05:38So give me the over seven and a half and give me the Braves first five money line here.
05:43You can get that as a same game parlay at plus 152 on DraftKings, or you could play
05:48them separate.
05:49Like I said, either way, those are my favorite bets.
05:51Very nice.
05:52Get in on all of our bets and the odds boost plus 5.75 at Teezers and subscribe to the
05:57BetQL Daily Boost wherever you get your podcasts.