八点最热报 | 美联储从2022年3月到2023年7月已经连续激进加息13次。全球经济对于美联储何时降息一直给予高度关注。美联储主席主席鲍威尔在上个星期五的杰克森霍尔全球央行年会上表明，如今通胀商行风险已减弱，暗示美联储已经做好降息的准备。（主播：颜江瀚）
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00:31Powell said that high inflation is a global phenomenon,
00:34which reflects people's common experience.
00:36At present, the risk of inflation has been reduced,
00:39which means that the time has come for policy adjustment.
00:43The direction of policy has been clear.
00:46The Wall Street Journal described Powell's speech
00:49as almost marking the historic anti-inflation action of the United Nations.
00:54It is also the strongest signal so far.
00:59According to the United Nations,
01:02although Powell did not disclose the specific time and magnitude of the reduction,
01:06market traders generally expect the United Nations
01:09to lower the federal fund interest rate by 25 points
01:12at the monetary policy conference in mid-September.
01:18U.N. President Powell said yesterday
01:20that high inflation is a global phenomenon,
01:23which reflects people's common experience.
01:26He emphasized that the U.N. will strive to drive a strong labor market
01:30and at the same time strive to restore price stability.
01:33Powell pointed out that the current risk of inflation has been significantly reduced,
01:37indicating that the time has come for policy adjustment.
01:40Four and a half years after COVID-19's arrival,
01:43the worst of the pandemic-related economic distortions are fading.
01:47Inflation has declined significantly.
01:50The labor market is no longer overheated
01:54and conditions are now less tight than those that prevailed before the pandemic.
01:58Our objective has been to restore price stability
02:01while maintaining a strong labor market.
02:04As for the timing of the decline,
02:06Powell said that this will depend on the future of market data
02:09and the comprehensive assessment of risk.
02:12Although inflation is now slightly reduced,
02:14the unemployment rate is still climbing.
02:17Powell pointed out that this is mainly due to more people
02:20entering the labor market,
02:22rather than the deterioration of the labor market.
02:25Therefore, he is confident that inflation will return to 2%.
02:29Job gains remain solid but have slowed this year.
02:32Job vacancies have fallen
02:34and the ratio of vacancies to unemployment has returned to its pre-pandemic range.
02:38Nominal wage gains have moderated.
02:40And all told, labor market conditions are now less tight
02:44than just before the pandemic in 2019,
02:47a year when inflation ran below 2%.