池上彰のニュースそうだったのか!! 2024年9月14日 令和の米騒動や総裁選＆代表選など今知りたい最新ニュースを池上彰が詳しく解説！
池上彰のニュースそうだったのか!! 2024年9月14日 令和の米騒動や総裁選＆代表選など今知りたい最新ニュースを池上彰が詳しく解説！
#EnglishMovie #cdrama #drama #engsub #chinesedramaengsub #movieshortfull
#EnglishMovie #cdrama #drama #engsub #chinesedramaengsub #movieshortfull
Category
📺
TVTranscript
00:00Since the summer of this year, there has been a lot of news.
00:05In supermarkets all over Japan, you can't buy rice.
00:09This is the so-called Reiwa rice riot.
00:13In this era, where there is almost no problem with food,
00:17why is this happening?
00:21The typhoon season has arrived.
00:24On October 10, there was a major damage caused by the strongest wind and rain in history,
00:30but why is it that even modern technology doesn't know where to go?
00:36The presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party and the presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party
00:41have become the news of the day.
00:46Is there anything that citizens should know about elections where everyone can't vote?
00:53I'm sure there are some questions.
00:56Today, I will explain those things in a way that is easy to understand.
01:01For the Japanese, the staple food, rice, is of course important.
01:07We were able to recognize this lack of rice, right?
01:11Now, let's think about the relationship between Japan and rice, which can be seen from the lack of rice.
01:18It's a series of if you know it or not.
01:23This has been big news since the summer,
01:26but I think there are still a lot of people who can't buy it, and the price is high.
01:31Matsumura-san, do you have the qualifications of a rice sommelier and a white rice sommelier?
01:36I used to be a rice consumer ambassador for JA, and I told everyone to eat rice.
01:42But this year, there was a shortage of rice, so I sold small ones.
01:46I went to buy those small ones, and I went to buy them, and I bought them.
01:53What kind of ability does a rice sommelier have?
01:57Unlike a wine sommelier, I don't know the taste of this rice,
02:03so I just put my knowledge in it.
02:05I studied a lot.
02:07I also took an exam.
02:09This year, there was a shortage of rice in Reiwa.
02:14There are various reasons for the shortage of rice, and there are some things that can't be said just by this.
02:20One is that the harvest price of rice decreased in Mosho last year,
02:24or that foreign travelers began to eat a lot of rice in Inbound.
02:28Or the season when there is less rice in August.
02:32In other words, in September, new rice will come in, so the season when there is less rice will come soon.
02:38Or there was an earthquake, and the information of the Nankai Trough came out, so I ran to buy it.
02:43Or if a typhoon comes, I'll buy it on the spot.
02:46Or if there is a report that there is a shortage of rice,
02:48I'm worried about that, so I run to the supermarket.
02:52It is said that this is the case due to various complex factors.
02:58If you sow rice in March and make a seedling,
03:02it will grow from May to June and wait for the rice to grow.
03:08If you wait about two months for the rice to grow firmly in the rice,
03:14it will be harvested around September and shipped in October.
03:18This is the flow until the basic rice is made.
03:23Here, if you look at the water level of the private rice stock,
03:27August is the season when there is less rice every year,
03:31and it is said that this shortage of rice was caused by various factors.
03:43I hope you can feel the importance of rice again
03:46because of this shortage of rice.
03:51First of all, how much rice do you think Japanese people eat in a day?
03:58Nihao, how much rice do you think you eat in a day?
04:02Is it rice in a day?
04:06Eight hundred grains.
04:10That's a lot of rice.
04:15I think I eat about 1,000 grains a day.
04:18Mr. Ishii, how many rice grains do you eat in a day?
04:22If you eat rice in a day,
04:26I think I eat about six grains.
04:29What's wrong with your body?
04:33I'm sorry. I'm just saying.
04:36The consumption of rice per person per year is 51.1 kg in 2023.
04:43It's 140 grams a day,
04:46so it's about two cups of tea and half a cup.
04:51That's the image.
04:53But in the old days, people ate more.
04:55It was down to 118.3 kg in 1962.
05:00In 2023, it was halved compared to the peak.
05:05That's amazing.
05:07That's amazing.
05:10Then why have you stopped eating rice compared to the old days?
05:16It's the same for the Endo family,
05:19but there's more bread in the morning.
05:23There's a lot of delicious bread,
05:26so I think that's affecting it.
05:29It's said that there is a big difference in eating habits.
05:33Here's a graph.
05:35It used to be how much rice and bread were consumed per person per year.
05:41In the past, rice was used for more than 60,000 yen,
05:46and bread was used for a little over 20,000 yen.
05:49But look, it's reversed in 2011.
05:52And now, bread is used for a lot of money.
05:58There's a big difference in eating habits.
06:01Especially in Heisei,
06:03everyone would gather around the table and eat together.
06:08In fact, in the case of rice,
06:11in 2011, two years ago,
06:13the annual expense was deducted from the noodles.
06:17It wasn't just the bread,
06:19but the noodles, pasta, and udon.
06:22That's why it was deducted.
06:26It's said that there are fewer people eating,
06:29but there's not enough rice this year.
06:33In the past,
06:35there was a time when people ate a lot of rice,
06:38but there was leftover rice.
06:42At that time, the government was trying to reduce the amount of leftover rice.
06:48Do you remember what kind of policy it was?
06:53I don't know.
06:55I don't remember at all.
06:57I just ate it. I'm sorry.
07:00The rice was left over.
07:02Oh, the source, the source.
07:04I'm glad it was the source.
07:06I'm sorry. I was eating rice in my head.
07:09It's impossible.
07:11It's called the source policy.
07:15The important rice, which is the staple food of Japan,
07:18must be protected by the government.
07:21Therefore, in the past,
07:23the rice was managed by the government,
07:25and the government bought the rice from the farmer
07:28and sold it cheaply to consumers.
07:30There was a system to protect the farmers.
07:34However, due to changes in food habits and increased production,
07:39there came a time when rice was left over.
07:43The government began to ask the farmers not to make rice anymore.
07:49This is the source policy.
07:53This is the source of rice.
07:55Mr. Niiyama, what is the source of rice?
07:58The source is like the area of the rice field.
08:02That's right. It's the area of the rice field.
08:05Mr. Matsumura, who is a rice sommelier,
08:08what is the source of rice?
08:10What?
08:12I don't know.
08:14I don't know.
08:16It's about 1,000 square meters.
08:19It's a pretty large area.
08:21In other words, the source was the government's policy
08:25to stop making rice there.
08:29However, if the farmer says,
08:31don't make rice, the income will decrease,
08:34so we will pay subsidies to farmers who have reduced production.
08:37In other words, the government pays money,
08:40so please stop making rice.
08:42Please take a break.
08:45In this way, the government adjusted the distribution amount
08:49so that the price of rice did not fall.
08:556 years ago, in 2018,
08:58the source policy was abolished.
09:01The reason was that the number of farmers who lost their jobs due to aging
09:05and the number of farmers who could earn more than rice.
09:10However, one of the major reasons is
09:14to increase the competitiveness of the market.
09:19In other words, if the government says
09:21that the source policy is to make only a certain amount of rice,
09:25everyone will lose the will to compete
09:28and make rice freely and actively.
09:31If that happens,
09:33if cheap rice is imported from overseas,
09:36Japanese producers will lose the competition.
09:39Therefore, the government decided to abolish the source policy
09:42to increase the power of farmers.
09:46In order for Japanese rice farmers to survive,
09:49it is important to have a free mind and competitiveness.
09:52Therefore, the government liberalized the rice that had been managed until then
09:57and offered a new business chance to rice farmers.
10:02Saika, what if the producer tells you
10:05to do as the script says?
10:08Well, I will resist.
10:12I want to do what I want to do.
10:16If the producer tells me to do as the script says,
10:18I won't read it.
10:21Saika, you are still young.
10:25Do as the script says.
10:30Do as the script says.
10:33Although the source policy was abolished,
10:35farmers who still cooperate with the source policy
10:38like Mr. Endo,
10:41are still paid by the government.
10:48Everyone,
10:49do you think that the number of rice that doesn't work has increased recently?
10:54In fact, this was also the result of liberalization.
10:59The number of new varieties of rice has increased.
11:01That's right.
11:03There are a lot of new varieties of rice.
11:05This is the new variety of rice that has been registered in the Reiwa era.
11:13How about you, Mr. Ita?
11:14Is there anything you know?
11:15I have an old man from Yamagata prefecture.
11:18He told me that this rice was new and delicious.
11:21It was really delicious.
11:23There are many varieties.
11:24For example, Mr. Kuma's Kagayaki.
11:27For example, Mr. Kuma's Kagayaki.
11:28For example, Mr. Kuma's Kagayaki.
11:30Just by looking at the name, it doesn't look like rice.
11:32That's right.
11:34In the background of the birth of many new varieties of rice,
11:38there is also a decrease in the competition between the three regions.
11:41In other words, it is a competition between the three regions and other prefectures.
11:45For example, in Niigata and Yamagata prefectures,
11:47each prefecture is trying to sell more and more rice.
11:50Each prefecture is trying to make a completely new product
11:52and open up its own brand.
11:57As a result of this movement,
11:59new varieties of rice are coming out one after another.
12:04Japan is a country that promotes the liberalization of rice farming,
12:07but it is not doing nothing for the rice,
12:09which is an important staple food of Japan.
12:14Recently, we often hear in the news that
12:16Japan is buying rice in case of an emergency.
12:20What did Japan say about this?
12:23Ms. Matsumura.
12:24Yes.
12:25You are a rice sommelier.
12:26Japan is buying rice in case of an emergency.
12:31What did Japan say about this?
12:33Recently, we often hear in the news that
12:36Japan is buying rice in case of an emergency.
12:38Yes.
12:39Japan is buying rice in case of an emergency.
12:41For example,
12:42Japan is buying 1 million tons of rice
12:45in case of an emergency once every 10 years.
12:49Japan buys about 200,000 tons of rice every year.
12:53After 5 years,
12:55the old rice is sold as feed.
12:59Japan is buying rice in case of an emergency.
13:01For example, the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011
13:03and the earthquake in Kumamoto in 2016
13:06were supplied by the government.
13:11Actually, the reason why this rice-saving system started
13:15is because of a certain incident
13:17that caused great confusion in Japan because of rice.
13:21Do you remember it?
13:23A certain incident?
13:25That means it happened when there was not enough rice, right?
13:29What?
13:30Yes.
13:31Not in Reiwa,
13:32but when there was a real rice-saving system?
13:34No, no.
13:35You don't have to go back to the Taisho era.
13:39At that time?
13:40Before Reiwa?
13:41In Heisei.
13:42Yes.
13:43There was a Heisei rice-saving system.
13:45It was in Heisei 5.
13:47Heisei rice-saving system.
13:48It happened in Heisei 5, 31 years ago.
13:51It was a record-breaking event.
13:53The Heisei rice-saving system.
13:58Japan was in chaos because there was not enough rice.
14:04The more people lined up to buy rice,
14:10the more people started to steal rice.
14:15Anyway, there was not enough rice,
14:18so people started to import rice from other countries.
14:21It was a big chaos.
14:24And people had to buy a lot of rice to buy rice in Japan.
14:30Yes.
14:31Because of that,
14:33people started to stock up on rice
14:36to prevent the worst-case scenario of lack of rice.
14:40I see.
14:41That's recent.
14:43Governor Yoshimura of Osaka said
14:45that the government should import rice
14:48because there was not enough rice
14:50and everyone was in trouble.
14:52He said that in the news.
14:54At that time, the government said
14:56that it would not import rice.
14:58What does that mean?
14:59The government thinks about the farmers
15:01in the Agriculture and Fisheries Commission.
15:04In other words, when new rice comes out,
15:06when government imports rice,
15:08there will be a sudden surplus of rice.
15:10Because of demand and supply,
15:12if the price of rice goes down,
15:14the farmers will be hit.
15:16So the government said,
15:17please wait a little longer.
15:19New rice will come out soon.
15:21I see.
15:22In Japan,
15:23rice was not freely imported
15:25until it could be supplied on time.
15:28However, in the Heisei rice riots,
15:30it was an emergency,
15:32so foreign rice was imported.
15:34After that, the riots were settled safely
15:37and the amount of rice was recovered.
15:41In fact, since then,
15:43Japan has continued to import rice
15:45even though it is not necessary.
15:47Did you know that?
15:49No, I've heard of it.
15:51For the time being, rice has been released
15:53and imported from time to time.
15:56I feel that it is not necessary,
15:59but if it is not done,
16:01it will be a little pressure.
16:03That's what I think.
16:05That's right.
16:06Even though there is a surplus of rice,
16:08Japan is in a state
16:09where it must import rice.
16:12There used to be GATT.
16:15I think you've heard of GATT and Uruguay Round.
16:19It was an international agreement
16:21that Japan had to freely import rice.
16:24It was a world agreement.
16:26Japan said that it would not import
16:28even a grain of rice.
16:30Then, when Japan tried to freely import rice in the world,
16:34Japan said,
16:35Japan said,
16:59No matter how much domestic rice is left,
17:02it is a minimum access rice
17:04that is imported every year as a duty.
17:08Minimum access rice imported
17:10is used in the food industry as a staple food.
17:14It is consumed for processing,
17:16feed,
17:17and support.
17:21And from 1999,
17:23foreign rice other than minimum access rice
17:26can also be imported.
17:30Originally, imported rice is cheaper than Japanese rice,
17:33so if it is sold as it is,
17:35there is a possibility that the price competition will be broken.
17:38To prevent this from happening,
17:40foreign products are charged a high tax
17:43so that they cannot be sold cheaply in Japan.
17:47To make it easy to understand,
17:49I will explain it in a very simple way.
17:51In the case of beef, which is 38.5% of the total tax rate,
17:55if 1000 yen is imported,
17:57the price in Japan will be 1385 yen.
18:03So, how much tax do you think Japan is imposing on imported rice?
18:10It's a huge number, isn't it?
18:12Is it 50% or half?
18:17How about you, Mr. Endo?
18:1860%.
18:1960%
18:20Matsumura-san, who won the sommelier's award for knowledge.
18:24I shouldn't have said that.
18:27I'm scared.
18:28I'll say a little more.
18:3068%.
18:31I see.
18:33It's not enough, isn't it?
18:35Really?
18:37280%.
18:40What do you mean?
18:41Isn't it too much?
18:43In other words, Japanese rice is expensive at the international level.
18:46If you pay 280% of the tax on cheap foreign rice,
18:50the price will be the same as that of Japanese rice.
18:54That's why we're trying to protect Japanese rice.
18:57That's why it's such a big number.
19:00So far, we've seen the Japanese agriculture from the rice crisis in Reiwa.
19:04What do you think will happen to the lack of rice this time?
19:07That's the point, isn't it?
19:09The Minister of Agriculture and Fisheries, Nori Sakamoto,
19:11said something about the rice crisis in Reiwa.
19:15From September, new rice will come out.
19:18You don't have to be in such a hurry.
19:20Please act as usual.
19:23That's what he said.
19:26It's true that we're in this situation now,
19:29but we're not in a hurry.
19:31If we're in a hurry, the price of rice will go up,
19:34and we'll disappear from the sky.
19:36If we wait calmly,
19:38I think we'll be able to overcome the lack of rice this year.
19:43When I think about it,
19:45rice is really important.
19:48For example, the price of wheat increased a lot during the coronavirus.
19:52Or when the price of wheat skyrocketed in Russia and Ukraine,
19:57I was relieved that there was still rice in Japan.
20:02I think we need to pay attention to the fact
20:05that it is food safety insurance
20:08and food safety insurance.
20:15Typhoon No. 10 caused great damage all over Japan.
20:19It was the strongest typhoon in history.
20:24It's raining heavily.
20:27It's like a storm.
20:32Many roads are flooded.
20:36Right next to the house.
20:38Even such a heavy rain.
20:41Now is the season when the typhoon comes the most in a year.
20:47Let's check the weather forecast for the typhoon in the first place.
20:55Today's weather is sunny or rainy.
20:58It was sunny, cloudy, and rainy.
21:01That's what the news says.
21:03The weather forecast is judged by the weather forecaster.
21:08Is that so?
21:10It's not a satellite or a sensor.
21:13There are various predictions,
21:16but the weather forecast is decided by the weather forecaster.
21:22The weather forecaster decides the weather
21:24because the weather forecast is not reflected in the weather forecast or radar.
21:32However, the weather forecaster's observation
21:35makes business more efficient.
21:38From March of this year,
21:40it will be held only in Tokyo and Osaka.
21:44Typhoon No. 10.
21:46I don't know where to go.
21:49That's what the news said.
21:52The weather forecast is much more accurate than before.
21:56The weather forecast for that day is 80 to 90 percent.
22:02In the morning, it started to rain around this time,
22:05so the weather forecast is much more accurate.
22:08It's a time when you can predict the weather with a pinpoint,
22:11but you don't know where to go.
22:14Don't you think it's really strange?
22:18That's right.
22:20I've been watching TV lately,
22:23and I feel sorry for the weather forecaster.
22:27It's natural to be right,
22:29but I don't want to be attacked in the studio when I'm wrong.
22:33I can't watch that,
22:35so I think it would be better to make it a little better.
22:39That's right.
22:40The weather forecast is the only thing in the news that tells the future,
22:44so it's not always right.
22:46You said a good thing.
22:48Even with modern technology,
22:51why don't you know the course of a typhoon?
22:56The weather forecast is calculated by supercomputers.
23:00It predicts what will happen with supercomputers.
23:04What's important is the accumulation of past data.
23:08For example, there's a chance of a flood, right?
23:11How do you think they predict that tomorrow's chance of a flood is 30 percent?
23:17That's right.
23:19You can predict the atmospheric pressure, right?
23:23You can see how much rain is falling when the atmospheric pressure is the same in the past.
23:29For example, if it rains 30 out of 100 times in the past,
23:33the chance of a flood is 30 percent.
23:36It's like statistics.
23:38It's based on past data.
23:42However, I think the past data has become useless.
23:48When the climate changes due to global warming,
23:52the past statistics become useless.
23:56That's why it's hard to predict.
24:01Speaking of the typhoon No. 10,
24:04it's the strongest typhoon in history.
24:07It's a typhoon that's never been here before.
24:12That's why it was hard to predict the course.
24:17In addition, there are many things that have not been clarified.
24:20For example, the Kanrei quake made people lose their minds.
24:24In addition, there was also the impact of global warming.
24:29When typhoons come close to Japan,
24:32they suddenly change direction to the east, right?
24:35It's called the Hensei wind.
24:37It rides on the west wind and goes around the east.
24:40But this time, the Hensei wind was in the north,
24:43so the typhoon couldn't ride on the west wind.
24:46As a result, people lost their minds.
24:49The Hensei wind went up to the north.
24:52I think it's the effect of climate change and global warming.
24:56By the way, Mr. Ijuin,
24:58it used to be said that typhoons wouldn't come to Hokkaido, right?
25:01Yes, it was said so.
25:03Typhoons usually come at a certain angle.
25:06Typhoons usually come to Kyushu and pass through Wakayama.
25:11That's right.
25:12When the typhoon rides on the Hensei wind and goes around Japan,
25:16typhoons come to the land.
25:19The energy of typhoons is seawater.
25:22When the seawater temperature is high,
25:24the water vapor evaporates rapidly.
25:26The water vapor becomes the source of energy,
25:29and the typhoon develops.
25:31When the typhoon comes close to Japan,
25:33the seawater temperature drops,
25:35so the energy decreases.
25:37When the typhoon comes close to Japan,
25:39the seawater temperature drops,
25:41and the typhoon disappears before it goes to Hokkaido.
25:44I think it's the effect of global warming.
25:46The seawater temperature around Japan is very high.
25:49The typhoon developed as it came closer to Japan.
25:53It has never happened in the past.
25:55According to the analysis of researchers,
25:57the maximum wind speed may have increased by 7.5%
26:00due to global warming.
26:07At the end of the typhoon news,
26:09you will hear this.
26:12The typhoon has changed to a tropical low pressure.
26:16What do you think when you hear this?
26:20I think the typhoon is gone.
26:23I think it's okay.
26:26I can't say it's definitely okay.
26:30This doesn't mean the typhoon is gone.
26:35Then, what is a tropical low pressure?
26:39The only difference is the wind speed.
26:43The maximum wind speed in the central region
26:46is 17.2 meters per second.
26:49If the wind speed decreases,
26:52it means the typhoon is gone.
26:55It doesn't mean that heavy rain or storm are gone.
27:00It rains a lot.
27:03In the past, the typhoon was a zombie typhoon
27:06that developed again after the tropical low pressure
27:09and returned to a typhoon.
27:12Zombie typhoon?
27:15The reason why the typhoon is a strong typhoon
27:19is because of the railway schedule.
27:23This is also because of the current situation.
27:27In the past, there was no schedule.
27:30The Shinkansen stopped on the way.
27:33We had to spend the night in the car of the Shinkansen.
27:37We had a lot of experience.
27:40If we had planned in advance,
27:43the Shinkansen wouldn't run tomorrow,
27:46so we had to make other plans.
27:49We didn't overdo it.
27:52We can say proudly that the Shinkansen stopped
27:55because of the schedule.
27:58I think that's how it is now.
28:01It's hard to get used to it.
28:04Some people get angry that it didn't rain
28:07even though they had planned in advance.
28:10I don't know how they feel,
28:13but I think it's better to be brave
28:16than to stop suddenly.
28:19In the past, people thought it was common sense
28:22not to be hit by a typhoon.
28:25The more people get excited,
28:28the more they complain.
28:31It's really hard to predict
28:34when the weather changes
28:37and the past results are not helpful.
28:40We should not complain
28:43because the weather forecast is wrong.
28:46I think that's how it should be.
28:50The presidential election of the People's Party
28:53and the presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party
28:56are on the news every day.
28:59But the people don't have the right to vote, do they?
29:04What do we know about the election
29:07that determines the top of one party?
29:12The presidential election of the People's Party.
29:15This is the presidential office of the People's Party.
29:18It's a small office.
29:21Why is it small?
29:24Because the chairman of the People's Party is not usually here.
29:27Where is he usually?
29:30He is in the prime minister's office.
29:33In other words, the presidential election
29:36determines the leader of the People's Party.
29:39However, the chairman of the People's Party
29:42is likely to be the prime minister of Japan.
29:45After the election of the chairman of the People's Party,
29:48all the members of the parliament
29:51will vote for the prime minister.
29:54Then, the People's Party has a majority.
29:57As a result, the chairman of the People's Party
30:00will be elected by the prime minister.
30:03That's why this is the big news.
30:06The chairman of the People's Party
30:09is not always the prime minister.
30:12In the current situation,
30:15the chairman of the People's Party
30:18is likely to be the prime minister.
30:21Therefore, the person who is in the presidential election
30:24may be the prime minister.
30:27Who will be the prime minister?
30:30Let's take a look.
30:33For example, a new prime minister
30:36in his 40s may be born.
30:39In the United States,
30:42a female president may be born.
30:45In Japan, if a woman becomes the prime minister,
30:48a female prime minister may be born for the first time.
30:51Who will be the prime minister?
30:54If she becomes the prime minister of Japan,
30:57will we vote for this or that party
31:00in the next election?
31:03Let's think about it.
31:06The number of candidates for the prime minister
31:09is the lowest in the past.
31:12That's right.
31:15In the past, there were only 5 candidates
31:18for the prime minister.
31:21But this time, there are so many candidates.
31:25As a result of the big news
31:28from last year to this year,
31:31there are more candidates.
31:35What is it?
31:38Is it a money laundering problem?
31:41As a result of that,
31:44something is gone.
31:47It's like a division of labor.
31:50That's right.
31:53As a result of the money laundering problem,
31:56the division of labor was eliminated.
31:59What is the division of labor?
32:02The division of labor is a group of members
32:05who are connected by political opinions.
32:08If the division of labor is eliminated,
32:11why are there more candidates for the prime minister?
32:14If the division of labor is eliminated,
32:17even if there is someone who wants to be the prime minister,
32:20the division of labor will support him.
32:23So the prime minister should not be the prime minister.
32:26There were a lot of restrictions.
32:29But this time, the restrictions on the division of labor are gone.
32:32In the past, there were many candidates
32:35for the same division of labor.
32:40Many divisions of labor have already been disbanded.
32:43It is planned to be disbanded.
32:46As long as Mr. Aso is the top division of labor,
32:49it will not be disbanded.
32:52However, Mr. Aso told the same division of labor
32:55to vote for this candidate.
32:58He didn't say anything like that.
33:01There are many other reasons why there are so many candidates.
33:04There are many other reasons why there are so many candidates.
33:07It's because the prime minister, Mr. Kishida,
33:10didn't run for office.
33:13In other words, if Mr. Kishida
33:16runs for office as usual,
33:19the ministers who support Mr. Kishida
33:22will support Mr. Kishida.
33:25That's why there are so many candidates
33:28who support Mr. Kishida.
33:31But if there are so many candidates,
33:34there are people who say they can't win.
33:37Yes, there are.
33:40But why do they support Mr. Kishida?
33:43There are people who are well-known among the people,
33:46but there are also people who are not well-known among the people.
33:49I see.
33:52I see.
33:55I see.
33:58I see.
34:01I see.
34:04I see.
34:07I see.
34:10I see.
34:13I see.
34:16I see.
34:37I see.
34:40I see.
34:43I think those who raise their votes
34:46are people who are members of the 3 political parties,
34:49and likewise people who are members of local government.
34:52That's what I think.
34:55Besides the people of a municipal party,
34:58there are people who vote.
35:01Aside from the members of the District municipal party,
35:04there are also people who are members of a political party.
35:07Mr. Nijiyama, what sort of people are they?
35:10You mean people who support the party on a daily basis?
35:14Yes, that's right.
35:16That's all.
35:18If you think about it,
35:20it's like a member of a fan club of the People's Party of Japan.
35:25The party members include politicians,
35:29but many of them pay annual fees to support the party.
35:36What do the party members usually do?
35:39For example, they distribute leaflets to the members of the party,
35:43or they come to support the members of the party
35:47when they run for the election.
35:50That's what they do.
35:54By the way, what are the conditions for becoming a member of the party?
35:58A member of the party is someone who is over 18 years old and has a Japanese nationality,
36:03but does not have the status of other political parties,
36:06and pays annual fees of 4,000 yen.
36:10That's a member of the party.
36:12And on the outside, there are people like a fan club called party members.
36:15Those people can vote in the general election.
36:21A member of the party is a member of the party.
36:24On the other hand, a party member is not a member of the party,
36:28but a member of a group that supports the party.
36:33So, is there a duty to follow the rules of the party?
36:37Also, there is a difference in the amount of money you pay.
36:42So, some people become a member of the party because they want to get the voting rights?
36:47It seems that some people are like that.
36:49The JCPOA often says,
36:51if you become a member of the party, you can elect the Prime Minister of Japan.
36:56It seems that some people are involved in the party by saying this.
37:00Is it not allowed to apply?
37:02Become a member of the party, pay money, and become a member of the party?
37:05It is not allowed now.
37:07As a rule of the JCPOA,
37:09you need to be a member of the party for more than two years to get the voting rights.
37:14This time, as a special case,
37:16if you joined the party last year and paid the fees,
37:19you can get the voting rights.
37:22Is this the same system for other parties besides the JCPOA?
37:25The rules are different, but it is decided by each party.
37:30Not only the JCPOA, but other political parties also have members.
37:34Most parties can join the party if they pay several thousand yen a year.
37:40The money is allocated to the party's activities,
37:44and instead, many parties are given the voting rights to decide the top.
37:51So, if you become a member of the party,
37:54you like the party very much,
37:56but if you are only familiar with politics,
37:59you can't say that.
38:02For example, if a member of the party's family becomes a member of the party,
38:06and if one of them becomes a member of the party,
38:08and if you become a member of the party,
38:10your family will become a member of the party, too.
38:13If you are a member of the JCPOA,
38:15you are a business partner of the JCPOA,
38:19and if you want to continue the business,
38:21you have to join the JCPOA.
38:24If you become a member of the JCPOA,
38:26you have to pay 4,000 yen a year.
38:31So, when I go to the central part of Japan,
38:34many people in the shopping malls are members of the JCPOA.
38:38I don't say that I am a member of the JCPOA,
38:41but there are many people who are actually members of the JCPOA.
38:44That's why there are more than 1 million members of the JCPOA in Japan.
38:51Even though it's an election in the JCPOA,
38:53he is giving a speech on the street.
38:56What is this for?
39:00It's because I can hear the popularity and opinions of the people in the election.
39:06And he was also in the general election in the JCPOA.
39:12As you can see, the JCPOA is a very ordinary person.
39:18The results of the general survey and the results of the JCPOA are almost the same.
39:27So, people who are popular among the people are popular among the JCPOA.
39:34So, while appealing to the people broadly,
39:37he is also aware of the JCPOA.
39:40For example, in the 2001 street speech,
39:42former Prime Minister Koizumi said,
39:44He said he would destroy the JCPOA.
39:47As a result, everyone applauded and celebrated.
39:49Then he got the membership of the JCPOA.
39:52In the end, if he is supported by the people,
39:54the JCPOA and the general JCPOA will also support him.
39:59There is such a calculation.
40:04This is what the general election of the JCPOA looks like.
40:09In the national election, the vote by the people is equal,
40:13but the general election is different.
40:15For example, I compared this to a comedy contest.
40:22In the general election, the votes of the judges by the comedians and the votes by the fans are equal.
40:33In a contest, the judges of the comedians are lined up here.
40:38On the other hand, the fans vote.
40:42The votes of the judges are 367.
40:52In addition, the votes of the members of the JCPOA are 367.
40:57In other words, the proportion is the same.
41:02However, there are more than 1 million members of the JCPOA,
41:06so it can't be one vote per person.
41:10That's why it looks like this.
41:13For example, the JCPOA members such as Mr. Kishida have 10 points,
41:17but the fans have only 1 point.
41:20It's like this.
41:23In fact, the JCPOA has 3,000 points,
41:28but the members of the JCPOA have only 1 point.
41:31In other words, there are 3,000 members,
41:34so it can't be one vote per person.
41:38That's why it looks like this.
41:40Sayaka, how many groups will advance to the final in the M-1 final?
41:46Anyway, it's an interesting combination.
41:48Anyway, it's an interesting comedy.
41:5010 groups will advance to the final.
41:53Among them?
41:543 groups with high judges will advance to the final.
41:57It's like a final vote.
42:02In the case of the M-1 final,
42:04if you vote once and get a majority, you will win.
42:09But if you don't get a majority...
42:12The two people with the most votes will be voted again.
42:16The final vote will be held.
42:18This is also a vote by two people.
42:21First, the members of the JCPOA have 367 votes.
42:25On the other hand, the members of the JCPOA have 47 votes.
42:27The JCPOA votes will be counted one vote at a time.
42:30This is how it works.
42:32In the case of the JCPOA,
42:34the members of the JCPOA and the local council
42:37have voted in advance.
42:39The two people with the most votes will be voted again.
42:43In the case of the JCPOA,
42:45the two people with the most votes will be voted again.
42:48The two people with the most votes will be voted again.
42:51This is how it works.
42:53In the JCPOA,
42:55the members of the JCPOA and the local council
42:58will be voted again.
43:02So even if you were second in the first vote,
43:05there may be a big reversal.
43:09If there were a lot of people like this time,
43:12I don't think it would be possible for one person to win.
43:16There is a possibility that it will be a final vote.
43:18In the case of the JCPOA,
43:20the local council has only one vote.
43:23In the case of a final vote,
43:25the number of members of the JCPOA will be very high.
43:29If the members of the JCPOA do not get enough support,
43:32they will not be able to run.
43:37Not only the general election,
43:39but also the presidential election to decide the top of the JCPOA
43:42has become news.
43:46In the case of the JCPOA,
43:48if you take the whole,
43:50one-fourth of the members of the JCPOA are members of the National Assembly,
43:53one-fourth of the members of the JCPOA are local council members,
43:56and one-fourth of the members of the JCPOA are general members.
43:59The majority of the members of the JCPOA
44:02will be the representative of each point system.
44:05In the case of the JCPOA,
44:07the members of the JCPOA and the local council are equal.
44:10In the case of the JCPOA,
44:12the members of the JCPOA are slightly more important than the general members of the JCPOA.
44:17After the general election of the JCPOA,
44:20it is said that there will be a general election soon.
44:23Then, there is a possibility that the JCPOA will change the government.
44:26Then, there is a possibility that the JCPOA will change the government.
44:29Then, there is a possibility that the JCPOA will change the government.
44:32So, there is no possibility that the top of the JCPOA
44:35will become the next prime minister.
44:38So, there is no possibility that the top of the JCPOA
44:41will become the next prime minister.
44:44If Mr. Yoshida becomes the next prime minister,
44:47if Mr. Yoshida becomes the next prime minister,
44:50if Mr. Yoshida becomes the next prime minister,
44:53Mr. Yoshida and Mr. Abe will be the next prime ministers.
44:56So, there is a possibility that Mr. Yoshida will become the third prime minister.
45:01In addition,
45:02in the next general election,
45:05the JCPOA and other parties other than the JCPOA
45:08may have a new party that will change the government.
45:11the JCPOA and other parties other than the JCPOA
45:14may have a new party that will change the government.
45:17I used to think that it didn't matter much
45:20because I wasn't a member of the JCPOA.
45:23But, if Mr. Yoshida becomes the next prime minister,
45:26he will be the next prime minister.
45:29On the contrary,
45:32if Mr. Yoshida becomes the next prime minister,
45:35he will be the next prime minister.
45:38That's what I want to do.