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00:00:00added significance to a week two victory on the road for Buffalo in a divisional
00:00:06game they take the victory over Miami in outright fashion winning as a two and a
00:00:11half point underdog in South Florida against the Dolphins again 14 times
00:00:16that's it that Buffalo has been an underdog since the start of 2020 why do
00:00:21I use that time frame Ranieri it's the four consecutive seasons that the Bills
00:00:25have won in AFC East divisional crown 14 times a dog seven outright victories
00:00:32eight and six against the spread in Buffalo and Miami entered last night
00:00:37co-favorites in the AFC East both at plus 180 both just 10 cents in front of
00:00:43the New York Jets and a plus 190 number following week number one despite some
00:00:49odds positivity entering the season and New York entering as the divisional
00:00:54favorites in the AFC East here's where things stand right now of course not
00:00:59just based on a dominant Bills performance in South Florida but the
00:01:03injury uncertainty surrounding to a tongue of Iowa we start with Buffalo
00:01:08plus 105 the Bills now the division favorites in the AFC East once again in
00:01:14the shortest numbers we have seen on the bills any point of this offseason
00:01:19preseason training camp now into the regular season to contend for an AFC
00:01:23title and win a Super Bowl 6 to 1 Ranieri to win the AFC 11 to 1 to
00:01:29hoist a Lombardi trophy yeah and listen all that makes sense it's a great start
00:01:35for the Buffalo Bills right now a ton of uncertainty for the Miami Dolphins
00:01:41right now I mean that those numbers could be they might as well be 120 to 1
00:01:45at this point because until they can figure out what the quarterback position
00:01:50is going to look like and and mark this down here Ben Stevens today I am telling
00:01:56you the phone call has already happened there will be a reunion with Ryan
00:02:01Tannehill in a Miami Dolphin uniform by the time we get to the next Dolphin game
00:02:07they need somebody like that to be able to come in with the kind of weapons that
00:02:13they have here I do think Buffalo is shown and but here's the other problem
00:02:18with Buffalo Ben we've seen this before have we not with Josh Allen and a
00:02:22Buffalo Bills we've seen this kind of dominance early in the season and go
00:02:26whoa they're gonna be on the stop up but yeah well there's still a dude named
00:02:31Mahomes playing and until they can beat him I'm not interested in hearing about
00:02:35what a Super Bowl team this is yeah there's never been a question about
00:02:40Buffalo with Josh Allen since 2020 when he started playing like an NMVP caliber
00:02:45quarterback what they can do in the regular season four straight divisional
00:02:50championships however in that four-year run only one appearance in the AFC title
00:02:55and that was four years ago in 2020 in Arrowhead they got bounced by the Chiefs
00:03:00the last three years they've been bounced in the division around despite
00:03:04having home field advantage each of the previous two seasons so three of the
00:03:09four years bounced in the division around three of the four years bounced
00:03:13by that guy Patrick Mahomes and his Kansas City Club has your outlook at all
00:03:19changed on Buffalo then or does it still remain the same it's a new casting crew
00:03:24in large part for Buffalo but Josh Allen is still the quarterback is it a wait
00:03:30and see approach I guess then still on the bills in your mind Rene of actually
00:03:34being a true AFC title contender there as long as Josh Allen is healthy and
00:03:40under center they're gonna have a chance now I will caution of Bills fans
00:03:44and they know this you have not played a real defense yet and keep you know that
00:03:51the the problem with having Josh Allen running around all the time now like he
00:03:56is he's gonna get killed by better defenses and then all of a sudden now
00:04:01you got a worry kind of like what Miami's worried about the whole reason
00:04:04they stopped running him is because they were trying to prolong his availability
00:04:09and not have him get killed they keep running this the better defenses that
00:04:14they play there's going to be some problems here so I hope they can find a
00:04:19better mix of then just Josh Allen scrambling left Josh Allen scrambling
00:04:23right so the Jets of course Joe on Monday night football we recap the game
00:04:28together on Tuesday morning did not look very good in Santa Clara against the 49ers
00:04:34in gangrene entered the year again with some odds positivity in some late
00:04:39movement before the season kicked in front of Buffalo and Miami as the AFC
00:04:44East title favorites their price now two to one they trail the Bills by nearly a
00:04:49buck of course the Jets are just trying to get to the playoffs for the first
00:04:53time since 2010 the last time they won a division was 2002 which was the year of
00:05:02some division reshuffling around the National Football League to have
00:05:06divisions of four teams to look the way they do it's been more than two decades
00:05:11since the New York Jets won a divisional crown plenty of football coming your way
00:05:16on a football Friday a huge game as many of them are inside Arrowhead Stadium
00:05:23that features the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Cincinnati Bengals it's the
00:05:27marquee matchup of Sunday in the afternoon window on in-game live on
00:05:32Sunday Joe Ranieri and Mike Fluitt will be previewing that game as the early
00:05:38window wraps up before we dive into the numbers for this specific Sunday
00:05:43showdown let's look at the history between this budding rivalry in the AFC
00:05:47the narrative Joe around the first three meetings between Burrow and Mahomes was
00:05:52that Joe had Patrick's number and Cincinnati was ahead two regular season
00:05:57matchups late in both 2021 and 2022 went the way of the Bengals but knows most
00:06:03notably it was 2021 the Bengals winning the AFC championship in Arrowhead in
00:06:10overtime but as of late Kansas City has had the answer they edge out Cincinnati
00:06:16the following year in the AFC championship game they go on to Super
00:06:20Bowl 57 and win their first of now two consecutive Lombardi trophies over
00:06:25Philadelphia and then last year Joe Burrow did not play in the week 17 game
00:06:29but still very important for Casey because if you remember at the time the
00:06:34Chiefs were slumping there was a thought that they could lose the AFC West a
00:06:39division they had won seven consecutive seasons and they picked up a 25-17 win
00:06:44over Jake Browning and the Bengals but it's been a good series between these
00:06:50two organizations which is interesting when you look at the numbers for Sunday
00:06:55yeah and the problem is and this is a just a huge value play for me bad
00:07:01because I was all over Cincinnati when this line opened up at six and a half
00:07:04then it was six now it's down to five and a half here it wouldn't shock me if
00:07:09it even gets to five listen this is total overreaction to what we saw from
00:07:14Kansas City against Baltimore keeping in mind that Patrick Mahomes in that game
00:07:19had six count him six plays of at least 20 yards or more last week I can assure
00:07:27you Joe Adarumo there and the Trey Henderson are not going to allow Patrick
00:07:33Mahomes to sit back there and throw the ball all over the field and beat them
00:07:38deep here Joe Burrow always Zach Taylor always
00:07:42terrible out of the gate in game one but then what happens is as the season
00:07:47progresses they get better better and better turnovers killed the offense last
00:07:51week against New England I promise you that will not be the case here I am
00:07:56fully anticipating a night and day turnaround with what we're gonna get
00:08:01from the Bengals in this one five and a half points spread in favor of the
00:08:06Chiefs 47 and a half is the over-under for Sunday in Kansas City it should be
00:08:12no surprise to see Mahomes and the Chiefs as a home favorite even a hefty
00:08:17home favorite against a team that I would still think we expect to contend
00:08:22for an AFC crown and it hasn't been Buffalo it hasn't been Baltimore it
00:08:28hasn't been the Chargers or the Raiders or the Broncos or the AFC West the only
00:08:33team that has really stood in the way of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the
00:08:38AFC in the last five years is Joe Burrow and Cincinnati so that five and a half
00:08:44point spread the only issue Rene you're right since he does get better as the
00:08:48season progresses just not often at least in the last two years by week two
00:08:54we said this after Cincy dismally lost their season opener as a seven and a
00:09:00half point home favorite against the New England Patriots the Bengals since
00:09:04knocking off the Chiefs in OT in the 2021 AFC championship game and playing
00:09:09in Super Bowl 56 in Los Angeles the next three seasons including this year have
00:09:15lost their season opener outright booked as at least a touchdown favorite in the
00:09:20previous two years Rene they have also lost week number two of course in 2022
00:09:27they won four of their next six they ended the regular season winning eight
00:09:32straight they had 110 straight entering that AFC title in Kansas City against
00:09:37the Chiefs last year before Joe Burrow got banged up after the 0-2 start
00:09:42since he won four of their next five they lost to Houston the following week
00:09:46we're looking pretty good early in that short week Thursday night football game
00:09:50against Baltimore before the wrist injury that sidelined Joe Burrow for the
00:09:54remainder of the season and Joe there's been some videos showing Joe Burrow week
00:10:01one against the Pat's shaking out the injured wrist from last year there
00:10:06appeared to be an issue with the way he grabbed a Gatorade bottle on the sideline
00:10:11it doesn't sound like you are concerned about Cincy entering this matchup
00:10:16against Kansas City should the betting public be well they're not either Ben
00:10:23because this opened up at six and a half and yet here we sit on Friday the money
00:10:27ain't coming in on Kansas City so how he grabs a Gatorade bottle apparently
00:10:33doesn't bother the folks that shape the market right now and I'll tell you why
00:10:38to me it's very simple we can both agree that there are certain quarterbacks in
00:10:43the NFL in which they have done enough and a big enough sample size where you
00:10:48give them the benefit of the doubt like Joe Burrow for instance as an underdog
00:10:5417 2 & 2 against the number is in his career as an underdog of more than two
00:11:00points and guess what in those games 10 and 3 straight up as a underdog when
00:11:06they're getting two or more points here and don't forget the Bengals under Joe
00:11:11Burrow when they have failed to score 17 points in the previous game they're 11
00:11:17and 2 against the number in the next game give me Cincinnati stop fading Joe
00:11:22Burrow the rest is fine and when you think about that AFC championship game
00:11:28in 2022 that Kansas City answered at home from losing the year prior in OT
00:11:33the Bengals were a four and a half point underdog in that game so they did end up
00:11:38covering the number of course as we shared last week as a home favorite with
00:11:43Patrick Mahomes as the starter in Kansas City since the start of 2018 after the
00:11:49win and cover against Baltimore to open up the season the Chiefs are now 28 27
00:11:55and 3 against the spread but to Joe's point in 2020 Joe Burrow only played 10
00:12:01games but I think in every one the Bengals were an underdog if you even
00:12:06take when the resurgence in Cincinnati happened starting the following year in
00:12:102021 the Bengals as a dog 14 and 7 against the spread 14 and 7 ATS they
00:12:20have been very very good when getting points last week Joe Burrow only a
00:12:25hundred and sixty four yards to 29 and a half is the number for this week the
00:12:31Bengals have moved back in the marketplace to a 10 to 1 price now to
00:12:35win the AFC we'll see how it goes so the more key matchup of Sunday might
00:12:43actually be in the afternoon hours for 25 p.m. Eastern time to kick in KC
00:12:49between the Chiefs and the Bengals but Sunday night football is still a very
00:12:54intriguing matchup to H town we go the Texans host the Bears six and a half
00:12:59point spread in favor of Houston 45 in a hook is the over-under part of the
00:13:05reason Joe this is a very compelling matchup is because you have the number
00:13:09one overall pick from this year versus the number two overall pick from last
00:13:13year that would be Caleb Williams versus CJ Stroud CJ Stroud who had a
00:13:18sensational rookie season four thousand one hundred and eight passing yards ran
00:13:23away with the offensive rookie of the year award by like week six week seven
00:13:28and led his team to a playoff appearance a divisional championship
00:13:32and a playoff win in his very first NFL season the same expectations that are
00:13:38kind of being tossed around when it comes to Caleb Williams and the Bears so
00:13:44this is another one of these great situations been in week two where we get
00:13:48a whole lot of overreaction right I will just tell folks that while yes Caleb
00:13:53Williams look like oh are you ready for this a rookie that's exactly what he
00:13:58looked like there the reason that they loaded the defensive side of the ball
00:14:03was for that reason there you do realize the look-ahead line to this game was
00:14:09about three three and a half and then of course the immediate reaction after they
00:14:15barely won that game against Tennessee is that oh no Houston's gonna be you
00:14:20know their World Series champ and they bet this thing up Ben as high as a
00:14:24touchdown it looks like it's come back here just a hair and to me this is all
00:14:29about the value that you get with the Chicago Bears that is a real defense Ben
00:14:35make no mistake about it it's certainly gonna be better than what the Houston
00:14:41Texans faced against Indy which by the way coming off a two-point win against a
00:14:46division rival is never an easy game to play the following week and that's what
00:14:51they got right now with Chicago on the road albeit in Indianapolis the Colts
00:14:57did cover as a three and a half point home underdog I'll get to the trends for
00:15:01the Texans as a favorite with CJ Stroud in just a moment but Joe to your point
00:15:07the Bears often under Matt Eber Flus have been booked as an underdog he has
00:15:12been the head coach for 34 regular season games now 35 but they were
00:15:17favored by a field goal and a hook last week in the Windy City and because of
00:15:21the defense and special teams in the second half rally against the Titans
00:15:25they covered the number but in the previous two years as a dog 11 16 and 1
00:15:30against the spread and not very good 2022 Eber Flus' rookie season as a head
00:15:36coach just 5 and 10 against the number often as an underdog last year better
00:15:40including in that home stretch they were 6 6 and 1 ATS as an underdog
00:15:45Chicago won five of their final seven games last regular season which led to
00:15:51the debate around Justin Fields would Chicago retain the number one overall
00:15:55pick but kind of lost in that discussion Joe was Matt Eber Flus taking back the
00:16:00reins as the defensive play caller in the Windy City even as the head coach in
00:16:04a defense that really sport that great end of the season the five victories
00:16:10in the last seven games and that was on display Sunday against Will Levis who
00:16:15boy that guy stinks at the quarterback position and then Joe you go maybe to
00:16:20some overreactions from the prop perspective Caleb Williams entering his
00:16:25rookie debut for the Bears last week at Soldier Field 242 and a half was his
00:16:31passing yards prop okay maybe a little bit lofty for a guy that was 14 of 29
00:16:36for only 93 yards the number is dropped by nearly 30 yards entering Sunday
00:16:41night football in Houston 214 in a hook for Caleb on the other side for CJ
00:16:47Stroud 263 and a half is passing yards prop yeah and I would imagine that yeah
00:16:54we're gonna get a few more yards here and expectations were once again
00:17:00diminishing here because of what we got last week but I love why I love week
00:17:05two and week three in the NFL Ben the overreactions are just crazy after one
00:17:11game love it and we'll get to some of those overreactions at least in my
00:17:15estimation when we start our number two on this football Friday on the other
00:17:20side of the break you might see 214 and a hook for a Bears quarterback and say
00:17:24that seems pretty fair for what we know in Chicago last year CJ Stroud became
00:17:29the fifth rookie quarterback to throw for more than 4,000 yards the Bears have
00:17:34never had a 4,000 yard passer in a single season in franchise history
00:17:39Caleb has to be better than 215 yards if the Bears are going to be a winning team
00:17:44and earn a playoff berth he cannot be Justin Fields reincarnate in terms of
00:17:50the passing yards numbers in Chicago do the same thing keep an eye on that prop
00:17:55for Sunday in Houston our number two on this football Friday is up next
00:18:00welcome to our number two live right here on this football Friday on the
00:18:05early line on sports grid he is germinary I am Ben Stevens we are
00:18:09already deep into the week to slate around the National Football League
00:18:13plenty of previews and picks come your way in this second hour our three
00:18:19germinary a lot of college football conversations as well and we're gonna
00:18:24have to ask our guests in this second hour your co-host on Sundays Mike Blewett
00:18:30a college football conversation as well because of the fact his Boston College
00:18:36Eagles ranked 24th in the country visit Columbia Missouri tomorrow to take on
00:18:41the six ranked Tigers in the only ranked versus ranked matchup that we have we'll
00:18:46get a lot of that NFL insight from Big Blue on this football Friday as well
00:18:51yeah I I didn't see that happening and I'm fairly certain when we ask Mike
00:18:58Blewett if he had BC as a top 25 team at this point I'm fairly certain he is
00:19:05going to say yeah no but hey and if they win that game we're talking top 15 Ben I
00:19:12mean the sky's the limit here now for Boston College yeah no doubt about it
00:19:18trust in the chin his name is Bob Bill O'Brien all right
00:19:24early window on Sunday three of the four best prices to win the NFC
00:19:29Championship all in action that includes the favorites out in that conference the
00:19:3349ers in Minneapolis the Lions who played San Francisco in that NFC title
00:19:38game a season ago they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a playoff rematch from
00:19:43the division around a season ago and the Dallas Cowboys can they get through an
00:19:49NFC Championship game finally for the first time in nearly three decades we
00:19:55talked a lot in the opening hour Joe we looked at the game in Kansas City some
00:19:59market overreaction there between the Chiefs in the Bengals perhaps maybe
00:20:03Sunday night football as well between the Texans and the Bears how do you feel
00:20:07about this one Dallas nearly a touchdown favorite at home against New Orleans the
00:20:13Saints potentially had the most impressive victory of week number 147
00:20:18to 10 absolutely blowing out Carolina in a Saints offense that was inept a
00:20:23year ago scores 47 points Dallas though as a slight road underdog in Cleveland
00:20:29wins outright on the very day that Dak Prescott became the richest player in
00:20:33National Football League history nearly a touchdown in favor of the boys at the
00:20:39star in a home debut in Jerry world what gives so we knew that the New Orleans
00:20:46Saints do our biggest concern with New Orleans coming to this year was the
00:20:50offensive line right there I'd be there a long time right tackle ended up
00:20:54retiring we weren't sure whether or not they were going to be able to recruit
00:21:00enough draft enough and sign enough to kind of offset that and yet they were I
00:21:06believe they ranked as the best pass rush offensive line last week but I
00:21:11don't know if that's because Carolina is just absolutely terrible on the
00:21:16defensive side of the ball or Clint Kubiak you know is the offensive
00:21:21coordinator around in New Orleans and boy oh boy the Apple didn't fall too far
00:21:26from the tree Derek Carr was using play action all over the place he was
00:21:31dropping back and slinging it and they were able to run the ball so this is
00:21:37gonna be Mike Zimmer against a Kubiak with Dallas and New Orleans Derek Carr
00:21:43looked real I mean real comfortable there forget that it was Carolina the
00:21:49play action the weapons he has and if that offensive line holds up and you
00:21:54know Kubiak I mean his dad was one of the best schemers and block you know
00:21:59navigators there is the offensive lines were always amazing under him if New
00:22:04Orleans can stand up against that pass rush of Dallas we're gonna get a lot of
00:22:08points in this game and I think we're gonna get a ton of points in this game
00:22:11so you see that total 46 and a half the Cowboys scored 33 the Saints were the
00:22:17only team to go past 40 last week in week number one they were the best
00:22:22scoring offense of the weekend now New Orleans to start last season first month
00:22:28and a half with Derek Carr as its quarterback struggle eighth worst
00:22:33scoring offense in the National Football League averaging just a tick over 18
00:22:37points per game but started to play better down the home stretch they
00:22:41actually ended the regular season ranked in the top 10 averaging nearly 23 and a
00:22:45half points per game again 47 points last week against Carolina and you see
00:22:51the total at 46 and a half I think this game Joe has a really big chance for the
00:22:58Saints to kind of change the narrative around its team last year with Derek Carr
00:23:02entering the season the divisional favorites in the NFC South this year
00:23:06kind of the forgotten team the Bucks won a division for the third straight
00:23:09year and it was Kirk Cousins and the Falcons that had all the offseason love
00:23:14next up we go to Detroit playoff rematch from a season ago in the divisional
00:23:20round Baker Mayfield and the Bucks Jared Goff and Detroit the Lions winning in
00:23:25overtime against the Rams on Sunday Night Football to end out our first full
00:23:29Sunday slate 26 to 20 Detroit covers as a four and a half point home favorite
00:23:35the Bucks were great against the Washington Commanders winning
00:23:39comfortably 37 to 20 in the final score probably not even all that indicative of
00:23:45how good Tampa was Baker Mayfield nearly 300 yards for passing touchdowns the
00:23:50Buccaneers easily covering as a three and a half point home favorite but now
00:23:54on the road they're getting more than a touchdown Detroit lay it more than a
00:23:59touchdown and a playoff rematch from a season ago that also features Joe the
00:24:04only total total north of 50 for Sunday that highest number at 51 and a hook
00:24:09yeah opened at 48 48 and a half and while the market told you what they
00:24:14thought of that number as you mentioned Ben over 51 and a half but it's
00:24:18interesting you brought up that matchup that playoff battle back in January with
00:24:23these two teams because let's look at that if we could the Lions closed as a
00:24:27six-point favorite against the Bucks in that playoff game right yeah the problem
00:24:33is the Tampa Bay defense is ten times worse than it was on that team in
00:24:40January while Detroit's defense in between free agency and the draft is
00:24:46much much improved don't forget Shaquille Barrett was the big Buccaneer
00:24:51edge rusher last year they didn't resign him they also lost Devin White this
00:24:56offseason they also lost their starting quarterback Carlton Davis who by the way
00:25:01is on the Lions and to make matters worse Antoine Winfield out now after he
00:25:08got hurt along with their starting quarterback Zion McCollum so they
00:25:13basically have nobody left in the secondary and the linebacking crew that
00:25:17represented that team a year ago in that playoff game and yet they were a six
00:25:22point favorite there it opened up at six here and it's now up to seven and a half
00:25:27and I could not agree with the line move more these are two totally
00:25:31different teams defensively only the Lions got better and the Bucs got worse
00:25:36give me the Lions all day in a blowout here
00:25:39Oh 31 23 Detroit victorious last year in the division round total of 49 and a
00:25:46half did go over it was a one score game the Bucs had the football back late in
00:25:51the fourth quarter deep in their own territory Baker Mayfield ended up
00:25:55throwing his second pick of the afternoon last season Joe these two
00:25:59secondaries ranked in the bottom six around the NFL to the six worst passing
00:26:04defenses around the National Football League both given up nearly 250 yards
00:26:08per game and we saw that on display Baker threw for 349 yards
00:26:13Jared Goff 287 and two touchdowns now let's go to the Twin Cities Minneapolis
00:26:19back at home hammering the New York Giants but who amongst us has not 28 to
00:26:25six the win in MetLife but Sam Darnold efficient solid Justin Jefferson
00:26:30catching a touchdown as well San Francisco great on Monday night look in
00:26:34the ilk of the NFC frontrunner once again five and a half point spread in
00:26:39favor of the 49ers in Minneapolis total 46 and a half Christian McCaffrey not
00:26:45expected to play in this game for a second consecutive week what do you like
00:26:49Joe I like what they're doing with Sam Darnold even he completed his first 12
00:26:55passes and it wasn't dinking and dunking band 33% of those passes were over 10 or
00:27:01more yards watch out Sam Darnold building a little confidence and isn't
00:27:05this exactly where we fade the 49ers on the road in that how it works I think so
00:27:11San Francisco has been a favorite in every single football game since the
00:27:15start of 2023 now to the AFC contenders next live right here on this football
00:27:21Friday on the early line we focused on the NFC now we turn our attention to the
00:27:26AFC in this segment will Aaron Rodgers lead the Jets to a victory on Sunday in
00:27:32Nashville not an easy start to the year perhaps Joe for New York just based on
00:27:37travel and scheduling logistics to begin 2024 Monday night out in Northern
00:27:43California short week back home for a few days head out to Nashville to take
00:27:49on the Titans the schedule and the travel not all that kind playing
00:27:53Tennessee after the display we saw out of Will Levis in week number one maybe
00:27:59that's a little bit better on paper the Jets a three and a half point road
00:28:02favorite total of 41 and a hook this line has been moving it was three and a
00:28:07half four and a half now back down to just north of a field goal how do you
00:28:12handicap the matchup in Tennessee on Sunday afternoon I would there's no way
00:28:18that you can trust Will Levis not to turn the ball over especially when the
00:28:24defense gets ratcheted up and I promise you the Jets defense will be better than
00:28:28they were against the 49ers they're also not taking on the 49ers offense or
00:28:34offensive line here so I do think the advantage Jets on defense Aaron Rodgers
00:28:40I have more faith in him not turning the ball over when it matters most and
00:28:44much like we saw last night with Buffalo take you know you can't be careless with
00:28:50the ball to her and that's exactly what ended up happening in that game and I
00:28:54got the feeling even though they're a home dog band how can you trust Will
00:28:59Levis and this Tennessee team if they're down to make enough smart plays and not
00:29:04turn the ball over against a Jets defense who's got to be hungry I can
00:29:08only look the Jets here in this one this is one of my favorite spots on the
00:29:14entirety of the week to slate I think Aaron Rodgers and the Jets perform very
00:29:20well I think they can put up a lot of points but mainly I think the defense
00:29:24responds and that was the main concerning part Joe of Monday night not
00:29:28the rest of a 40 year old quarterback coming off of a torn Achilles a little
00:29:33bit of the ground game struggling against San Francisco perhaps but the
00:29:37defense for the Jets if they are going to snap the 13-year playoff drought
00:29:41that's what was concerning they get a golden opportunity against this Tennessee
00:29:46team well Levis can make me eat my words at some point never thought he would be
00:29:51a successful NFL quarterback do not expect that after what we saw week
00:29:55number one perhaps the worst interception and there's been a ton of
00:29:58bad ones perhaps the worst interception these two eyes have ever seen as he's
00:30:02falling option pitch that was taken back by Chicago for the game-winning
00:30:07touchdown that resulted in Levis in the middle of the play on the field at
00:30:14Soldier Field doing a surrender her Cobra on his knees a memefied moment of
00:30:20week number one Joe if you had to guess since Robert Sullivan came the head
00:30:26coach of gangrene how many times have the Jets been booked as a favorite on
00:30:32the road no less not not maybe twice if we're lucky once so I think nine nine
00:30:41times in total Joe nine times in total since the start of 2021 that's just as a
00:30:47favorite as a road favorite four times four times okay Robert Sullivan came the
00:30:53head coach in 2021 and the New York Jets overall have been booked as a favorite
00:30:59only nine times a road favorite four times they are two and two straight up
00:31:04as a road favorite they are five and four straight up as a favorite overall
00:31:09and they are three five in one against the number the only team booked as a
00:31:14favorite less than the New York Jets in the last now three plus years be the
00:31:20other team in New York the giant just seven times but that to me Joe is a very
00:31:27fascinating case that we talked about on Tuesday following Monday night Donnie
00:31:31and I were breaking it down Monday night entering the season opener for Aaron
00:31:34Rodgers in Santa Clara with a team expected to win double-digit games if
00:31:39Aaron Rodgers remains healthy and a team expected and favored at close to a two
00:31:44to one price with a minus in front to snap the 13 season postseason drought
00:31:49how often are they going to be booked as a favorite or perhaps how many more
00:31:54times an underdog there a three and a half point road favorite for what will
00:31:58be the fifth time in now four years under Robert Salah and the Jets are 18
00:32:03and 34 in that span now let's focus on number eight in white not Will Levis
00:32:10that's Aaron Rodgers 227 and a half is his prop Joey only threw the football
00:32:1821 times on Monday or 23 times on Monday the attempt prop was 33 and a half
00:32:23against the Niners Tom Vecchio loved the under it was a great look 32 and a
00:32:28half is the number for week number two do you think Aaron Rodgers and the Jets
00:32:32open it up a little bit more offensively on Sunday against the Titans well I I
00:32:38think first and foremost they they are going to need to establish the run right
00:32:42they're going to need to get Breeze Hall going and I can promise you if they have
00:32:47success on that front Aaron Rodgers will will pick them apart and have an
00:32:53opportunity now keep in mind oh that's a pretty good secondary that Tennessee
00:32:57has put together via the draft and free agency including you know Sneed is now
00:33:03in that secondary not Kansas City anymore so you know that's sauce and
00:33:10company are gonna have their hands full on one side and I do think that
00:33:14secondary against Aaron Rodgers that's why I think the running game is going to
00:33:18be valuable if they can get it going it's gonna open everything up for Aaron
00:33:23Rodgers down the field 73 and a half the number for Breeze Hall rushing plus
00:33:28receiving is 104 and against the Niners who are a top five rushing defense last
00:33:34year only 68 yards on the ground as a team just 3.6 yards per carry the
00:33:40largest spread of the weekend is for the Ravens in their home opener back in
00:33:45Baltimore eight and a half point number in favor of the flock Joe against the
00:33:49Raiders 41 in a hook is the total is this line of overreaction from how bad
00:33:55the Raiders were last week in Los Angeles absolutely it is there is no way
00:34:01in the world they should be laying this many points here against against this
00:34:06team nothing about the Ravens offensively looked smooth and in
00:34:12midseason form in that game there and I can promise you the defense of the
00:34:18Raiders is going to get is gonna get theirs I'm not buying it no way they
00:34:24should be over a touchdown favorite the Raiders were coached by Antonio Pierce
00:34:29for nine games as the interim they won five and against the number they were
00:34:34seven one at one against the spread just pay attention to that for around week
00:34:39two Sunday next a few divisional duels on the Sunday week to slate that feature
00:34:44teams from the NFC let's start in the NFC West and we go to Arizona where the
00:34:50Cardinals will play host to the LA Rams and this is an intriguing line to me Joe
00:34:56would love your thoughts as well Arizona home favorite laying a point and a half
00:35:00minus 120 on the money line the over understands at 47 and a hook Jonathan
00:35:06Gannon became the head coach of the cards last year to begin 2023 this will
00:35:10be his first game leading Arizona as a favorite an underdog all 18 that they
00:35:18have played under Gannon and covering by the hook despite blowing a two touchdown
00:35:23first half lead against Buffalo last week in Western New York they're now 10
00:35:27and 8 against the spread under Jonathan Gannon the Rams the underdog here with a
00:35:33total of 47 and a half is the line correct I know we're kind of splitting
00:35:38hairs here with a couple of cents on the money line but should Arizona even
00:35:42be the slight home favorite yeah it's a tough spot here for both these teams
00:35:49number one we saw although I was impressed I mean listen McVeigh is a
00:35:52genius offensively and what he's able to do the problem with that Rams game when
00:35:58you consider the fact that the Rams on the road against Detroit last week lost
00:36:03a couple of more members of the offensive line and we're having to go
00:36:07makeshift and they still took that game over time against that offense against
00:36:13Detroit tells me that yeah they they are going to figure some things out they can
00:36:18never be counted out and that defense of of Arizona is going to be a work in
00:36:24progress it's very young they spent draft assets on stocking up on that side
00:36:30of the ball it's going to take them a little while but this does feel like a
00:36:34Rams team on the road that is going to figure out ways to win games they
00:36:39probably shouldn't and I think this is going to be one of them it's going to be
00:36:45really interesting because there's a couple of injury things that I believe
00:36:48lead us to Arizona being a slight favorite mainly the offensive line for LA
00:36:55but of course we'll talk Puka Nakua who is not expected to be back for Los
00:36:58Angeles for a few weeks but you also look at the offensive line Joe Noteboom
00:37:04Rob Havenstein and even their right guard missing in practice that's Kevin
00:37:11Dotson that's a very makeshift offensive line for the Rams that entered the season
00:37:16banged up and left Sunday night in the Motor City even more injured I still
00:37:22think though Sean McVay with a week to prepare for that will figure things out
00:37:27for Los Angeles we'll get to our pick six in our number three but I like
00:37:32looking at LA as an underdog despite not a great track record winning games
00:37:37outright as a dog under Sean McVay what do we do with this game Rene also a
00:37:42point-and-a-half spread also minus 120 on the money line the total down by
00:37:46about five points 42 and a hook Sunday afternoon in Washington it's Jaden
00:37:54Daniels home debut for the commanders against the New York Giants everything
00:37:59in my core says Washington is winning this game outright and if I only got a
00:38:03lay a point-and-a-half or just minus 120 of juice on that money line give me the
00:38:07commanders each and every time but it feels a little bit tricky to me at this
00:38:14moment what do you make of the divisional duel of these NFC East foes
00:38:18yeah it's Giants for me and it's Giants all day long there listen anybody watch
00:38:25that game last week Cliff Kingsbury did not take the the reins off of Jaden
00:38:32Daniels everything he was throwing Ben I mean there were no downfield shots I
00:38:37think only twelve and a half percent of his past attempts actually reached ten
00:38:42or more yards everything was about the running backs and the running game and
00:38:47to get some yardage that way there yeah no the running backs were their leading
00:38:52receivers I do think the Giants defense will have more luck against this rookie
00:38:58quarterback here than they did last week I think everyone's looking towards
00:39:03Washington I think there's gonna be some growing pains there and I do think Brian
00:39:07D'Abel and Daniel Jones will have some success moving the ball with Malik
00:39:12neighbors in this one yeah it's Giants or pass for me in this one yeah that's
00:39:18listen I'm not going to bet on the New York Giants I think at any time this
00:39:22year but I don't know if I'm betting Washington laying minus 120 on that
00:39:26money line you look at the final box score for Jaden Daniels 88 yards on the
00:39:32ground two rushing scores maybe looking at his rushing yards prop would be where
00:39:36I go 17 of 24 buck 84 actually had the best passing performance out of the
00:39:41three rookie quarterbacks that started week number one but a ton of those 184
00:39:48yards by my quick math at least 70 came on the final touchdown drive or at least
00:39:5360 on that final touchdown drive to end out regulation Michael joins us next on
00:39:59this football Friday welcome back to a football Friday live right here on the
00:40:05early line on sports grid we'll look at the start of week number two Thursday
00:40:09night in Miami we'll also set the stage for the rest of the week to Sunday slate
00:40:15around the NFL we do so with a regular and a constant here on a football Friday
00:40:22that signifies a football Friday on the early line Mike Bluett I have been
00:40:27Steven's germinary over on the left side as well or right side of your screen my
00:40:33left but blue before we dive into the National Football League and everything
00:40:37we need to discuss we start with a little college football question my
00:40:40friend because your Boston College Eagles are involved in the only ranked
00:40:44versus ranked top 25 tilt on the entirety of the Saturday week three
00:40:50slate in college football just as we all expected Missouri and BC are only ranked
00:40:57matchup in Columbia the Tigers a 16 and a half point home favorite total 53 in
00:41:04a blue it in a ranked versus ranked matchup your BC Eagles the lid on seems
00:41:09a little bit disrespectful to have a three-score spread Ben I'm happy for
00:41:15everybody to keep doubting those Eagles obviously they're off to a good start
00:41:19Missouri off to an incredible start against Missouri State and Buffalo they
00:41:23have yet to allow a point I think we'll break that streak we won't be scoreless
00:41:26and I just think the Bill O'Brien addition clearly has made such a massive
00:41:32difference I think all three of us know that coaching in college football is
00:41:37tantamount to being able to transform your program and he has done that in a
00:41:43couple of short weeks they have a long way to go in order to be able to produce
00:41:46offensively consistently but they've done a great job defensively and they've
00:41:51taken care of business against an inferior opponent against the Florida
00:41:55State team that's probably not what we thought it was definitely not what
00:42:00anybody thought they were there but you gotta love Bill O'Brien he's got listen
00:42:04the hardest part about a NFL guy coming to college ranks is getting the kids to
00:42:08buy in and the results have been there early so I do think it's gonna be a fun
00:42:13year to keep an eye on what BC can do it was not fun for Miami Dolphin fans last
00:42:19night blow it in fact it was a nightmare unfolding in front of them there with
00:42:24the injury to two in the concussion what were your takeaways there what'd you see
00:42:28last night so I don't want to be critical of two in any way I'm just
00:42:33surprised he didn't slide I think we we've all been concerned about this for
00:42:39the last year or more and I think it has the opportunity to totally transform the
00:42:49path that the Miami Dolphins are going down there's no guarantee that to it can
00:42:54come back anytime soon if ever so Mike McDaniel just got that extension a
00:43:00couple of weeks ago and you have to wonder what his path forward will be I'm
00:43:05not suggesting that he's on a hot seat of any kind but I listen to you earlier
00:43:09in the show and I think you nailed a lot of the things Buffalo is really
00:43:14utilizing Josh Allen in the in the best ways that he can we don't know if that's
00:43:18a great long-term plan because as you try to do this over the course of four
00:43:23months it doesn't matter the size or the speed or the ability of the
00:43:27quarterbacks if they're taking hits all the time it's going to wear them down I
00:43:31thought it was interesting to see Khalil Shakir take a step forward in the
00:43:35offense they're really only guys that obviously had to run their offense in
00:43:39the first half so what we saw in the second half was really running clock
00:43:44especially at the was injured so yeah good news early for the Bills I have
00:43:50still questions about what they can do defensively good to see them get the
00:43:54turnovers last night even though a couple of them were fluky yeah
00:43:58absolutely blue and when you look at this game of course there's a lot that
00:44:03will be said for the Dolphins in the coming days what the future is of to a
00:44:07Tunga Bailoa we're not going to project that out at this moment but there's the
00:44:11good of what Buffalo did and in the opening half with everybody healthy the
00:44:15Bills were dominant and when you look at the AFC East divisional odds now in
00:44:20the overall outlook for both teams of course Miami's odds have been altered by
00:44:25the uncertainty around to a Tunga Bailoa so our focus is on the Bills plus 105 to
00:44:30win the AFC East the shortest price we have seen on Buffalo at any point since
00:44:35the odds became available to win the AFC or a Lombardi trophy six to one eleven
00:44:41respectively blue it's a new look Buffalo team really on both sides of the
00:44:45football and there were some questions for the Bills to be answered throughout
00:44:492024 but they're booked as the favorites to win the AFC East now for what would
00:44:54be a fifth consecutive season does it feel fitting to have Buffalo as the AFC
00:44:59East favorites right here right now it's pretty short we're clearly what happened
00:45:06last night is impacting the odds quite a bit but you have to understand we're
00:45:11going to find out a lot more about the Bills in the next month we've got Jags
00:45:15at Ravens at Texans at Jets that's the next month for the Bills so congrats on
00:45:20the win going down to Miami and getting it and in week one coming back and
00:45:25getting the victory over the Cardinals but this next month is going to be could
00:45:29be vastly different from what they saw in the first two weeks the Cardinals are
00:45:33a team that are being built in Miami is obviously a team that's currently in
00:45:37disarray so assuming that the Ravens and the Texans and the Jets are and the
00:45:42Jaguars are who we think they can be over the course of the next month this
00:45:46Bills competition could be brutal and if they came out of it one in three it
00:45:50wouldn't stun anybody I don't think listening or or talking about it right
00:45:54now this is gonna get a lot harder for them and I think the defense is going to
00:45:58have to be the the side that shows me more Alan and James Cook and getting
00:46:03Shakir and Kincaid involved is a good thing we'll see more of that but the
00:46:08defense is going to have to be the one that brings it to the table they've lost
00:46:11way too many players for us to assume that they're going to be the Bills that
00:46:16they were a year or two ago gotta love the overreaction and week two here in
00:46:22the NFL and one of the games Ben and I talked about earlier the marquee matchup
00:46:27it'll be in the late slate of games is Cincinnati traveling to Kansas City this
00:46:32line opened up six and a half almost a touchdown in fact but now looks like the
00:46:38market influencers aren't quite sold that this Bengals team is going to get
00:46:42run over and why would they they tend not to against my homes here what do you
00:46:47think of this matchup so I think there is clearly people reacted quite a bit to
00:46:55that being a big line these teams have played each other tight in the past I
00:46:59would say though I think this is the this could be the fourth time in the
00:47:03last six years that the Bengals start off oh and two so Zach Taylor is bringing a
00:47:08lot of these oh and two starts to the table before they turn things around I
00:47:13say Cincinnati played as bad as any team did last week it looked like they were
00:47:17still in preseason mode I will say that the angle I like in this game because of
00:47:22the way that these two teams have played each other and tend to play week over
00:47:25week is the second half under the the Kansas City Chiefs last season were the
00:47:31lowest scoring second half defense and Cincinnati was a top-10 scoring defense
00:47:36in the second half we see Lou Adorama their defensive coordinator and Steve
00:47:40Spagnuolo the Chiefs defensive coordinator coordinator really locked
00:47:44things game so at 20 half that you high for me that's the number that I'm most
00:47:50in favor of in this game and Isaiah Pacheco I think is establishing his
00:47:54rushing attack his his number is inflated quite a bit over the last few
00:47:59days so make sure you remember but I would take anything over 63 and a half
00:48:04since he now the sixth best price to win the AFC championship at 10 to 1 some
00:48:10market regression understandably so losing the season opener at home booked
00:48:15is more than a touchdown favorite against New England the Chiefs plus 290
00:48:19to win the AFC still to AFC contenders at least that is the thought right now
00:48:24quickly here blue Sunday night football in Houston the Texans play near a
00:48:28touchdown at home against Caleb Williams and Chicago total 45 and a half what's
00:48:34your play for Sunday night interesting one I'm gonna take I'm gonna stick with
00:48:40a prime time under we've hit a couple here in a row I think that we need to
00:48:46see more of the Bears offense they got the win congrats to Caleb Caleb wasn't
00:48:50particularly good but for a couple of defensive and special teams touchdowns
00:48:54didn't really put much up I like the Texans to control this game and keep it
00:49:00under I don't see an explosive matchup at all Sunday night until we see more
00:49:04out of the Bears Houston now has the expectations and as the favorite side
00:49:10under CJ Stroud including last week in the opener in Indy just three and six
00:49:15against the number as a favorite we'll see what Chicago does as a dog more to
00:49:20come on a football Friday now let's continue diving through the Sunday slate
00:49:24on this football Friday with our very own Mike fluid a couple of
00:49:28questionable quarterbacks now have answers to make on Sunday let's start
00:49:35blue in Jacksonville at Trevor Bank Stadium the Jags home opener against the
00:49:40Cleveland Browns now there are some off the field issues once again with the
00:49:44Sean Watzer another sexual assault accuser of Watson came forward this week
00:49:49she is set to meet with the National Football League as he has maintained
00:49:54Watson denies any wrongdoing as for the football perspective to Sean Watson has
00:49:59been absolutely abysmal in the 12 games he has played as Cleveland starting
00:50:04quarterback his poor performance of course could not happen to a worse guy
00:50:09so we take all of this to Jacksonville the Jags a three-point home favorite
00:50:14Trevor Lawrence was great in the opening half for Jacksonville they were blank
00:50:18last week on the road in Miami 41 and a hook is the total the Jags a three-point
00:50:25favorite blue what do you like in this matchup I think has the potential to be
00:50:30pretty ugly I'm leaning towards an under again here the Browns is Watson is
00:50:36clearly going to be the story week in week out for them and they bring a lot
00:50:40to the table defensively at times but they're also working with an offensive
00:50:45line that is not what they need it to be right now they got a couple of guys on
00:50:49IR that they're hoping to come back and contribute but without Nick Chubb there
00:50:53a subpar offensive line a clearly a subpar quarterback I don't know what you
00:50:58can expect out of them I think you're gonna start looking at team totals as
00:51:02well for the Browns and for the jet team total for the Brown 19 and a half
00:51:09so it's indicative of how which really are not respecting them I don't think
00:51:14the Browns can get to 20 points this week so general in general I like the
00:51:20Jags laying three but I'm more partial to an under or a Browns team under in
00:51:25this one so here we go again with your Steelers and a road under like we had
00:51:34again last week now back on the road mile-high taking on Bo Nicks who listen
00:51:39I I thought I thought was pretty decent in that debut even though he did have
00:51:46some turnovers in that one but what it just feels like oh look at it Tomlin on
00:51:51the road another under begging you to take the over right begging you to take
00:51:57that game at 30 and a half and I'll tell you Joe and I watched every second of
00:52:02that game together we were never getting to 30 in Atlanta never they could have
00:52:08played more quarters maybe Boswell put it would have put through another field
00:52:12goal maybe but the Steelers offense again wasn't pretty nothing in the red
00:52:18zone for them fields executed some big third down plays but when they needed
00:52:25some first downs to consistently get the offense going they couldn't on the flip
00:52:29side the defense was awesome and that was against Kirk Cousins and an
00:52:33offensive line both of whom we'd say on paper are better than the Broncos
00:52:37offensive line and Bo Nicks so I think Bo Nicks gonna have a tough time again we
00:52:42can look at a team total under for the Broncos I don't think this gets to 37
00:52:46points I'd be surprised one thing to note is that you will consistently see
00:52:54Najee Harris get a lot of carries this season certainly right now and I just
00:53:00think that needs to be a part of your approach to games with the Steelers I
00:53:05don't think they're gonna air it out too much I've thought for months that it's
00:53:10going to be a conservative game plan regardless of who's under center
00:53:13Najee's going to get a lot of touches so you can look for a rush attempts yet
00:53:18rushing yardage overs for Najee Harris is an interesting trend to keep in mind
00:53:23Bo Nicks in his debut last week against the 12s in Seattle 26 of 42 138 yards
00:53:31did not have a touchdown pass but two interceptions did have a rushing score
00:53:35to make it a single-digit game and give a little bit of life to Denver in the
00:53:39fourth quarter but when the announcer calling the game Adam Archuleta for CBS
00:53:43he's the quarterback throw the football and before the ball is even in the hands
00:53:47of either a receiver or a DB and goes oh no it's not necessarily the best thing
00:53:53now I did bet Bo Nicks is season-long rookie passing prop at 2850 and a hook
00:53:59to the over not a great start for me neither is his prop on Sunday 166 and a
00:54:06half against Pittsburgh what is interesting in this matchup of course is
00:54:11the quarterbacks on the other side for the Steelers Mike Tomlin telling
00:54:14reporters earlier this week they are slated to start Justin Fields for a
00:54:18second consecutive week no props out just yet though for Pittsburgh either in
00:54:24pass yards or any other categories we know how good the Steelers have been
00:54:28under Tomlin as an underdog even in the last season plus since the start of 2023
00:54:34Pittsburgh 7 and 5 both straight up and against the number as an underdog
00:54:40including the outright victory in Atlanta as a favorite last season 4 and
00:54:453 against the spread this to me blue is one of the most compelling spots on the
00:54:50board for Sunday in Lambeau the Packers home debut for a team that entered the
00:54:55year with a ton of optimism how has that changed with Jordan love on the shelf
00:55:00not placed on injured reserve which is positive but not expected to play of
00:55:05course on Sunday against the Colts Indianapolis three-point road favorite
00:55:11as Malik Willis gets the start for Green Bay how do you see this football matchup
00:55:16playing out in Wisconsin on Sunday afternoon I will say him not being on
00:55:21the IR is also maybe indicative of their level of desperation right they they
00:55:26don't have great options to go to and I think they in some ways it could be I
00:55:31don't think the Packers are a panicky organization but I think it's indicative
00:55:36of when we hear that he's out three to four weeks and they're like maybe let's
00:55:39not put him on IR yet look when you've given the guy 250 million dollars and
00:55:45you need him you shouldn't be able to sit him out for weeks and be able to
00:55:50move forward so I'm a little concerned about how desperate they may become to
00:55:55force him back into the action now that Colts Texans game was awesome I really
00:56:00thought that was the best game last week and I thought the Colts proved a lot
00:56:04even though they were at home and they take an L that's against a really
00:56:08spirited Texas Texans team that has a lot of offense to bring to the table so
00:56:13I'm impressed with the Colts I do give them the chance to go on the road and
00:56:18get the upset here great weapons for the Packers but when have we seen Malik
00:56:23Willis do anything it's gonna have to be the Aaron Josh the Josh Jacobs show
00:56:28and I don't know that they can do it I like the Colts in this one 67 and a half
00:56:33is the pass yards prop for Malik Willis he has made three career starts he has
00:56:38never thrown a touchdown he's only three intercepts for next if Mike fluid is
00:56:44here it means it's a football Friday and it means we break down every single
00:56:49matchup around the weekend and Sunday slate in the NFL let's talk some
00:56:54interconference intrigue for the games that we have on Sunday no more
00:56:59surprising victory weekend number one the Patriots winning outright as a seven
00:57:04and a half point dog in Cincinnati against the Bengals if you bet the over
00:57:09of New England's win total at four and a half the lowest entering this season
00:57:13that was one you did not expect to get you to at least five so you might be
00:57:18feeling pretty good if you even had the stones to bet the over for New England
00:57:22Seattle pretty good at home against Bo Nix and the Broncos in his debut they
00:57:27cover as a five and a half point favorite winning by six but the final
00:57:31score wasn't truly indicative of how in control Seattle was of that football
00:57:36game especially in the second half the Seahawks a three and a half point
00:57:40favorite blue on the road in Gillette Stadium against the Patriots on Sunday
00:57:45afternoon second lowest total of the weekend at 38 and a half what do you
00:57:50like can the Pats start 2-0 or at least cover a number for a second straight
00:57:55week I think entirely possible we I don't think they're hiding their game
00:58:01plan at all very straightforward the Bengals ran 48 plays and that's because
00:58:08the Pats were taking the air out of the ball they had an eight and a half minute
00:58:12touchdown drive the Pats only ran 63 plays it's not like they set the world
00:58:17on fire offensively but that's what they're going to try to do they are far
00:58:22better defensively than they are offensively credit to preset for
00:58:28managing the game that way but remandre Stevenson getting out tons of touches is
00:58:32what you're gonna see we can week out this year again I'm leaning towards and
00:58:37under but not all these games can go under I happen to think it's gonna be a
00:58:42low-scoring week in the NFL and I think you start to again look at team talk
00:58:46right now based on the way the Seahawks played I'm inclined to say take the
00:58:53three-and-a-half however I do think it's important early in the season to note
00:58:58that we are still getting some value on teams based on early season results we
00:59:05talked about how the bills are just getting a huge credit for the win the
00:59:09two wins thus far which are good wins but not we're not impressed with them
00:59:15handling their business against a Miami team in disarray and a Cardinals team
00:59:19that has a long way to go I just think that there's too much influence with
00:59:22early season results and you have to wonder if the Seahawks and the Pats
00:59:27played three or four weeks from now would this really be a three-and-a-half
00:59:30point line if the Seahawks ripped off a couple of wins and we see what the Pats
00:59:35are really going through offensively I think you might be getting some value
00:59:39here on the Seahawks even though they are a road favorite the game that
00:59:45everyone's gonna be looking at without a doubt here blow it has got to be the
00:59:51battle of terrible versus terrible although listen Carolina can't be as bad
00:59:58as they looked right I say it all the time it feels like every week with you
01:00:01right it can't get worse right it can't get any worse well take it on the
01:00:06Chargers how much worse could it get here blow it they stink we can talk
01:00:12about the disappointing performances by the Bengals and everybody there's no
01:00:16question that the team that played the worst football is the Panthers I will
01:00:22say the Giants gave him a run for their money but the Panthers were awful they
01:00:25were down 30 nothing at halftime I have played made plays in this game I took
01:00:30the Chargers team total over in the first half it's only ten and a half and
01:00:36their first quarter total is only four and a half you can take all the rushing
01:00:41prop attempts that you want I think they're going to try to run it down
01:00:45their throat like they did last week Joe you and I hit the JK Dobbins over prop
01:00:50last week he's they said that he's gonna ride the hot hand but it's clear that
01:00:54Dobbins is getting a chance Derek Brown the Panthers best defender is out for
01:00:59the season so what are they going to do I have no idea what they're trying to do
01:01:05defensive here I think this is all Chargers I don't think it's going to be
01:01:10fancy but I think they're gonna run it down their throats and I I'd look for
01:01:14those team total overs for the Chargers particularly in the first half as they
01:01:17are establishing the run and the Panthers try to figure out how to live
01:01:20without Derek Brown and I will and as I will share in our pick six I still think
01:01:25J.K. Dobbins number is slightly light this week against Carolina Blue you
01:01:30mentioned Ravondre Stevenson getting a ton of touches for New England that be
01:01:34in the game plan 25 carries a buck 20 against Cincy and a touchdown his
01:01:38attempts prop still 16 and a half Bryce Young to start off his sophomore season
01:01:4413 of 30 for a buck 61 and two INTs the guy has thrown for more than 250 yards
01:01:52once in his NFL career he has been under 200 in nine of the last ten games
01:01:58Mike Blewett we'll see you at Geron area on Sunday we appreciate the time as
01:02:02always