Analisis Saham Pilihan: BBCA, BNGA, BBNI,CPIN
"Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Program Power Breakfast, Kamis (03/10/2024) dangan Tema Analisis Saham Pilihan: BBCA, BNGA, BBNI,CPIN"
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00:00Thank you for joining us, viewers, and we will take a look at Samsung's choices today
00:05recommended by Mr. Hanswey, Capital Market Observer.
00:08And as you can see on the television screen, it looks like this is Samsung
00:12recommended by Mr. Hans, dominated by Samsung based on mutual funds.
00:17There is BBCA with level support at 10,300, Resesense at 11,200, Buy recommendation.
00:23Bank Niaga with level support at 1,860, Resesense at 2,020, Buy recommendation.
00:29And BBNI with level support at 5,300, Resesense at 5,850, Buy recommendation.
00:35And Cepin with level support at 4,700, Resesense at 5,100, Buy recommendation.
00:43We will discuss one by one, Mr. Hans, although you mentioned earlier that
00:47Samsung is based on mutual funds, this is interesting to be able to enter the middle of the market weakness above 1%.
00:54BBCA, why BBCA, Mr. Hans?
00:57Yes, BBCA, technically speaking, if we look at it, it has weakened.
01:02So in almost two weeks, a week or more, the weakness occurs in BCA.
01:08Usually if the market is rebound, BCA will definitely lead the strengthening.
01:13So we see the purchasing potential in BBCA.
01:18So the level is at 10,325 to 10,550.
01:24As a place for us to accumulate purchases.
01:27Cut loss below 10,100, our target is 10,950 to 11,200 for BBCA.
01:36Okay, the last level is at 10,500, which means it's still far from the level of support you recommended.
01:41Will there be a weakness for BBCA in two weeks?
01:43Buying can be cut.
01:4610,325 to 10,550 for BBCA.
01:52So if there is a weakness, we can definitely accumulate purchases for BBCA.
01:57Maybe if it's below 10,000, then we will consider it.
02:05Okay, good. For BBCA, in the target price, until the end of the year, what level will you see, Mr. Hans?
02:13If we think about it, I don't see that the market will really get stronger.
02:20Because we don't have a lot of catalysts.
02:23So as long as there is enough optimism about the cut by the Federal Reserve,
02:29I don't think the Fed will make another cut.
02:33After that, the positive event for us is the appointment of a new government.
02:39And the market is waiting for the cabinet's arrangement.
02:42Then, of course, the Fed will push economic growth.
02:47But we have to pay attention to the U.S. voters.
02:51Because it will definitely affect the financial market.
02:55If you look at some of the things, it doesn't look like there's a lot of really positive sentiment.
03:02So the market will be strong.
03:04Maybe BBCA will also move up to 11,000-12,000.
03:11Until the end of the year, right?
03:13Okay, from BBCA, we go to the bank.
03:16The latter is rarely discussed and also recommended.
03:19What's interesting about the banks, Mr. Hans?
03:22Actually, if we look at it, the trend keeps going up.
03:27So in mid-June, the trend of the stock market is moving up.
03:34In the last few weeks, the stock market has been corrected quite a bit.
03:41But technically, there is an indication that the weakness momentum is decreasing.
03:47So we recommend the stock market in an uptrend in the medium term.
03:54And in the short term, it will be corrected.
03:56So it can be a weakness for the stock market.
03:59The level is 1860-1900.
04:03Cut loss below 1800.
04:05Our target is 1970-2020 for the stock market.
04:10Okay, the last level is 1870.
04:13It's still in the buying area, Mr. Hans, for BNGA.
04:16Yes.
04:17Okay, it's the same as BCA?
04:19Yes, that's right.
04:21You can buy it like BCA.
04:23Fundamentally, is it interesting for BNGA to be collected in the long term, Mr. Hans?
04:27Yes, we think the banks are still quite interesting.
04:31So after the COVID period, the bank's resources for COVID are over.
04:39It turns out that the energy of the banks is still good.
04:43In the middle of the expectation of a drop in the price of flowers,
04:46this tends to benefit the banks.
04:50So this is what drives us to think that the banking sector is one of the things that is interesting for us.
04:59Okay, for BNGA itself, in the last week, it has weakened by 2.85%.
05:05This can be used to enter the BNGA stock with a discounted price.
05:11From our BNGA to BBNI, what is the analysis like, Mr. Hans?
05:14Yes, BBNI is actually almost similar if we look at it.
05:19So the rally has been quite high since mid-June.
05:25This BBNI correction is quite massive.
05:28So we see quite a lot of declines since mid-September.
05:33But if we look at the candlestick,
05:37it indicates that there is already resistance to downward pressure in the middle of the index that was corrected yesterday.
05:44So from there, we recommend that BBNI can be bought at 53-54.
05:52Our cut loss is below 51, our target is 56-58-50.
05:57Okay, the last level at 5,400 is still in the buying area, Mr. Hans.
06:02Okay, in terms of valuation, what is BBNI compared to other banks?
06:07Because if you look at some of the recommendations,
06:10BBNI often comes in and the valuation is quite cheap.
06:16What do you think, Mr. Hans?
06:18Yes, if we look at it, BBNI is one of the things that we think is very interesting.
06:26Usually the valuation is always a bit more left behind than other banks.
06:33So we see that BBNI can be bought.
06:39The price book value is usually cheaper than the four largest banks.
06:46So that's why we still recommend BBNI as our choice.
06:52Okay. What about the term of investment for BBNI?
06:55At the moment, we are trading for a few weeks to buy BBNI shares.
07:05Okay. Does it also apply to the trading with the BBCA, Mr. Hans?
07:09Yes, that's right. If we think about the shares of the banks, we can still accumulate it first.
07:17Until the end of the year, I think the property of the banks is interesting because of the downward trend.
07:24Okay. From BBNI, we go to Cepin. What is it like, Mr. Hans?
07:29Yes, if we look at Cepin itself, this stock is in a downward trend.
07:38We do see that there is also a problem with the price of chicken, which is a bit depressed in the market.
07:47But if we look at it, it seems that if it is approached, it is at a fairly strong support level,
07:54it looks a bit like a double bottom, even though the support is a little lower now.
08:01But the volume of the downward pressure is decreasing.
08:04Then some of the last candles indicate that the market is a bit sideways in the Cepin stock.
08:10So we recommend buying 4700 to 4760.
08:17If the market loss is below 46, our target is 4950 to 5075 for Cepin itself.
08:25Okay, those are the choices that Mr. Hans has made today,
08:29including BCA, Niaga, BNI, and Cepin.
08:34Okay, we still have an analysis related to the opening of the C1 business for HSE today.
08:39After the next segment, we will continue Mr. Hans and the company with us. We will be back soon.
08:44Thank you for still joining us.
08:46Now we will look at the opening data of HSE this morning in the C1 business.
08:51We passed through the data from RTI for IDX so far.
08:55Opened to strengthen 0.1% at level 7570.764.
09:03Then for sectoral movements, sectors that lead to strengthening in the opening of business 1 today
09:09are the technology sector, basic, infrastructure, and transportation,
09:13followed by the health and non-cyclic sector.
09:17You can also see the complete data at RTI and Pulsatab.
09:21Gainers so far are Medco, BSBK, Energi, Goto, LSIP, Tinsera, PYFA, Harum, and Toba.
09:30Then there is AMMN, Brand, Bumi, BRMS, Hexa, Aksi, Kleo, and Games.
09:37The ones I just mentioned are the top losers.
09:42And I will continue to discuss with Mr. Hans.
09:45Mr. Hans, you mentioned earlier that the consumer goods and retail sectors are interesting to be covered.
09:50Maybe if we discuss in a specific way, which one is interesting, Mr. Hans?
09:59In Indonesia, our retail sellers are still good.
10:05Then the level of the flower tribe will move down,
10:09which means that this sector is still interesting.
10:12We see Aces and MAPI.
10:15MAPA and MAPI are three sectors that we think are still quite interesting from the retail sector.
10:23There is ACST, then MAPI and MAPA.
10:28This is actually almost the same in one group.
10:34Okay, what's interesting is related to S1R itself.
10:37There is a sentiment related to the name change and there is also concern
10:41that consumers may not be too familiar with the new name of S1R itself.
10:46But then you see that the movement is quite interesting.
10:49This is related to the sales figure of S1RK, which is very good,
10:55so why is it still recommended for S1R itself?
10:59Yes, if we look at S1R, the sales trend is actually at least the last three years.
11:08If we look at 2022, 2023 and forecast 2024,
11:14it turns out that the sales trend is still moving in the trend that goes up.
11:20Then if you look at the price book value, the forecast is 2.44.
11:25Then the pair is maybe in the first year, it's probably around 20.
11:33So, Aces is still interesting,
11:37in the middle of the expectation that the flower has fallen, the new government,
11:43the retail sector should still be interesting.
11:47If we look at IASG in S1R, it was opened to strengthen, Mr. Hans,
11:51how do you project it to S2R in the closing market later?
11:56Yes, it looks like the index is weakening,
11:59so we think the possibility of strengthening this can last,
12:04so it won't move too far.
12:07Maybe it will try to go back to level 76 and support level at 7500.
12:14If we look at yesterday, the low was 7501,
12:19yesterday the high was 7619,
12:24so maybe it will be in this thin range,
12:27but the probability of the index today will rebound,
12:30even though we see that the global has not risen too much,
12:33of course we think our index will also move a bit sideways in today's market.
12:38Okay, interesting.
12:39Based on some of the analysis you have provided,
12:41hopefully this can be a reference for market players to do today's investment strategy,
12:46but then the decision to invest back to you.
12:49Mr. Hans, thank you for joining us this morning,
12:52good luck and health for you. See you.
12:55Yes, thank you, sir.