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00:00To Happy Valley we go is the Nittany Lions host UCLA.
00:07A four touchdown number, Kev, in favor of Penn State.
00:10UCLA has been covering.
00:12They covered us more than a three touchdown dog against LSU.
00:16More than a three touchdown dog last week against Oregon.
00:19Can they keep it closer than four TDs this week in State College?
00:23I believe so.
00:24Sneaky.
00:25I've bet every Penn State game this year and I'm actually 4-0 on all my Penn State wagers,
00:29which I'm pretty excited about.
00:31Maybe I have a good read on this team.
00:32Let's find out.
00:33I'm on UCLA plus 28 and a half.
00:35If this was 27 and a half, I'd probably back off.
00:38This is a monster amount of points to lay in conference against what is a semi-competent
00:43football team.
00:44UCLA has played a solid half against LSU and Oregon and a nightmare half in both of those
00:50games.
00:5145 minutes of, again, somewhat competent football and this is a 21 point loss a year.
00:57Penn State's much better than them.
00:59I don't think the books have made a disgraceful number in this game, but I think they've made
01:02it a bit too high here, so I'm taking the 28 and a half with UCLA.
01:06We disagree and this is where we're going to go head to head because I really like Penn
01:10State in regards to this matchup.
01:12The one factor is it's an East Coast trip for UCLA.
01:16It's not a 730 kick.
01:17It's a noon kick.
01:18We talk about the inability for UCLA to run the football one dimensional 62 rushing yards
01:24per game.
01:25The biggest factor for me is this, 58% third down defense.
01:28That is atrocious.
01:30One of the worst in college football.
01:32When you're allowing opposing offenses to sustain drives, I think it's a long day for
01:37UCLA.
01:38I think Drew Aller breaks out, rushing attack.
01:40I think this is one game where Penn State lays it to them bad.
01:44I think they win by 40 or more.
01:45The Bruins, the worst scoring offense in the Big Ten, averaging less than 15 points per
01:50game.
01:51A rushing offense at the power conference level, only 57 yards in both of UCLA's cover
01:57the last two weeks as a three touchdown dog or greater.
02:00Both stayed under 46 and a half the total today at Penn State.