AccuWeather's Tony Laubach was live from Salina, Kansas, on the AccuWeather Network on Oct. 30 to talk about the potential for severe weather in the region.
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00:00Yep, and where there's severe weather, there's a Tony Laubag who is live from Salina, Kansas.
00:07Tony, you were sending us in videos already starting to feel the atmosphere charged up.
00:13And of course, I hear the wind blowing that southerly flow. Right, Tony?
00:21Yeah, and you know, that's one of the key ingredients it's going to make today. I think
00:25very volatile for a lot of folks across the eastern half of Kansas. You're hearing it here
00:29and I'm standing in the wind and you talk about southerly flow, you talk about low-level shear,
00:34and you want that out of the southeast. This wind is blowing out of the south-southeast,
00:38so we've got the low-level shear in place already. A couple of the questions are going to be storm
00:44mode, how many storms we're going to see, how quickly they form into a line. That I think is
00:49going to make or break whether or not we see a significant number of tornadoes out of today's
00:53setup, but certainly damaging winds and large hail are going to be a big concern. We'll show you
00:58that severe weather map and we'll talk about exactly where that threat area is. You see kind
01:02of a widespread threat almost from the southern Iowa all the way down into Oklahoma, even into
01:08north Texas, but we've got that area highlighted pretty much in that eastern Kansas range and it's
01:13basically right along, the starting point is right along the interstate I-135. That is the
01:19interstate that goes north out of Wichita and connects up to I-70 where I am currently at,
01:24the junction here in Salina, Kansas, the junction of I-135 and I-70 and then points east. We're
01:30looking at two areas, there are two areas I'm focusing on. One of the areas is going to be kind
01:34of along and north of I-70 for early afternoon storms. We could be talking about as early as
01:39lunchtime. Those I think are going to produce more of a damaging wind and hail threat and then we're
01:44going to be starting to look as we get closer to sunset the area south of I-70. This is going to
01:49include cities like here in Salina, McPherson, Newton and that includes folks in Wichita as well.
01:56The good news with the folks in Wichita, you're going to be right on that edge where that front
02:00is going to be depending on initiation. We could hope that that front sweeps through before it
02:05produces those storms but I do think Wichita, Kansas is going to be one of the bigger cities.
02:09It's going to be and probably the more significant threat for those tornadoes. I think we see a little
02:15bit more isolation in those storms. Not necessarily discrete supercells per se and we will see quite
02:21a few storms but they'll have a little more space to them as opposed to what we'll see further north.
02:27That is going to be a pretty small window though I think as those storms push east toward areas like
02:31El Dorado, Independence, Kansas and then eventually down into northern Oklahoma. You're going to start
02:36to see those cells merge and become a line of storms which will then continue to move off to
02:40the east through the overnight hours with that damaging wind and large hail threat. I am
02:44positioned here in Salina, Kansas. It's very rare to wake up in an area where you're probably going
02:49to stay so biggest challenge for me in the early part of the day is going to be staying put. It's
02:54very easy to kind of overanalyze things when you're in an area and you don't really have to
02:58move very much. I think I'm going to take that early couple of storms here maybe two between two
03:03and four o'clock see what develops here in this vicinity and then work my way down to the south
03:08and get myself ahead of the storms which I think are going to be the bigger shows later on this
03:13afternoon into the early evening hours. Again probably within the hour before sunset and then
03:17about two or so hours after that so between six and nine central I think is the best tornado window
03:22down here. Yeah no doubt about that Tony. It's going to be a busy day. Hey this is one of the
03:27first fronts that's actually had gulf moisture in the southern plains all month but you know the
03:32price for the rain is the severe weather. Yeah thank you so much Tony. You are there. Stay safe.
03:37We'll check back in with you.