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00:00All right, we're back with you right here on Pro Football Today, where we were just
00:05talking about the NFC West and the race with really all four teams still very much so in
00:12the mix.
00:13It is, though, a fascinating situation with the San Francisco 49ers now getting back Christian
00:19McCaffrey.
00:20I remember back when I was still optimistic that this Niners team was going to be able
00:25to find a way with good old Brock Purdy.
00:29No McCaffrey in the way, MV Purdy had himself a real chance to do good things.
00:36And then they lost to the Arizona Cardinals, but then they beat Seattle.
00:40And then he played the worst game of his career against Kansas City.
00:44And the more you watch it, you can tell they do miss Christian McCaffrey, who is a guy
00:51that is very tough to replicate specifically in the receiving game.
00:56They didn't even throw the ball to Jordan Mason.
00:58Isaac Arendo got a few attempts last week, but he's not CMC.
01:05And what I think is so incredible in McCaffrey's first game of the season, where we're thinking
01:10the workload could be limited, they're playing a Tampa team that we know has throughout the
01:14year has been stout against the run.
01:18touchdown, rushing, receiving numbers, just, just 99 and a half.
01:24It's 100.
01:25It's 100.
01:26Welcome back, McCaffrey, last year's offensive player of the year, Donnie.
01:31The books are expecting to do it all.
01:33Yes.
01:34And I do expect them to put him right back into the fire, which means that ball on the
01:37goal line is not going to Jordan Mason.
01:39It's not going to Kittle on the outside.
01:41It's not going to Debo Samuel on a toss sweep.
01:43It's going to go directly to Christian McCaffrey.
01:45If he is anywhere near what he was previous, he's going to get those opportunities show
01:49and he's going to cash in on those.
01:51Now, granted, you know, the way I do it, I slow play it sometimes.
01:54If you're coming back from an injury, I can't just jump on the bandwagon.
01:57But all expectations are this guy should be firing on all cylinders.
02:00He should.
02:01But again, the injuries that he had with the Achilles tendonitis and not one but both legs.
02:07That's always a cautionary concern, right?
02:09So for me, if I'm backing Christian McCaffrey in this game, I took the receiving yards because,
02:15again, you don't want them to go up to the line of scrimmage, get hit, take those pounding
02:19early on.
02:20They will slowly acclimate him into the offense.
02:22So I did Altum Kev up to 40 plus at plus money.
02:27I believe it's like plus 178 in the receiving game.
02:30Let's let's see him catch the football and then I'll know that he's really back.
02:34I'll take a shot on that regard.
02:36Not the Russians.
02:37For me with McCaffrey, I, you know, we've talked about Tampa's defense at a primetime
02:42spot on Monday.
02:43They've they've just given up a ton of passing touchdowns.
02:47Exactly what happened again.
02:48My home's through for three.
02:50But we know Brock can throw touchdowns to CMC.
02:53The more as we get closer, I am actually starting to think McCaffrey is just going to come back
03:00and get 20 carries and seven targets because that's who they are.
03:06I don't expect this to be an easy game for them today.
03:08No, Tampa doesn't is not going to lay down for anyone.
03:10I think the Bucs have seen that.
03:11I think if the Bucs can get healthy out of the by next week, they're going to still give
03:16the Falcons a little bit of a run within that division.
03:20We'll see if the timing does kind of break their way here.
03:24So I am expecting kind of full CMC.
03:27I think the questions are, are we getting good numbers on McCaffrey minus 200 a score?
03:34It's more.
03:35It's better odds in Saquon Barkley, who we talk about with his his numbers within the
03:40offensive player of the year race.
03:41It's around a Derrick Henry Price, who is the offensive player of the year favorite.
03:46Again, a ninety nine and a half rush receiving.
03:50How many running backs have more more asks of them than that today?
03:54Saquon Camara, who's like wide receiver one to Lacey for New Orleans.
03:59So that he's plus 240 to score to like Debo's ten to one.
04:04The gap on McCaffrey and everyone else is just it's so difficult.
04:10It's so it's so tough to bet.
04:12What about the Tampa side, then, because I know that you've been trying to kind of clip
04:16some value on this Bucs roster through the past few weeks, taking the Tampa side with
04:22the spread plus six and a half to line open early in the week before McCaffrey.
04:26It was five and a half.
04:27We're seeing six and a half, potentially sevens in this in this matchup.
04:31I'll still take the points with Tampa, I will say under the total, because, again, I don't
04:36know if he's going to be just as productive, missing so much time and you can rely on them
04:42that much.
04:43Now, Tampa Bay is giving up a lot.
04:45They're coming off a Monday night game.
04:47They lost the game, you know, heartbreakingly in overtime.
04:50They utilized both Bucky Irvin and Rashad White in the rushing attack and the receiving
04:55game.
04:56That's their best option.
04:57We're not seeing secondary wide receivers.
05:00No Sterling Shepard listed.
05:01No Trey Palmer.
05:02I'm only seeing Jalen McMillan, twenty seven and a half and Kate Aughton.
05:07But Kate Aughton just can't be the only option.
05:10It has to be those running backs coming out of the backfield with the screen game.
05:13I lean to the younger, though, I think this is a you're getting a benefit with the fifty
05:18and a half because McCaffrey came back into this lineup an extra one, two points.
05:23I'm going to sell it.
05:24Give me Tampa Bay in the under.
05:25By the way, we do this a lot.
05:27That line opened up at five and a half and goes to six and a half.
05:29I don't really buy that, to be honest, which then tells me to look at why San Francisco
05:33is so heavily favored in this game.
05:35Yes, we understand Christian McCaffrey is coming back.
05:37Yes, we saw a primetime football game go to overtime.
05:39So you think the Bucs would be a little bit more tired.
05:41But I honestly have many more question marks still with the San Francisco 49ers, six and
05:46a half at home in Santa Clara.
05:47All right.
05:48I'm buying into that.
05:49Six and a half on the road.
05:50Granted, I don't know if I'm going to take either side, but this line just absolutely
05:54screams San Francisco to me.