This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the weekend 14/11/2024. A big change is on the way across the UK as high pressure moves away and allows more unsettled weather to arrive during this weekend. It'll also turn colder...
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00:00Hi there, and welcome to the Met Office weekend weather forecast.
00:03Significant changes are on the way for the UK's weather over the weekend as the high
00:08pressure that has kept things relatively benign for some time begins to move to the west.
00:13As that happens, the weather over the weekend turns more changeable, more unsettled.
00:19But at the same time, this cold front introduces colder air initially just to northern parts
00:24of the UK and the temperature contrasts between the cold air in the far north and the milder
00:29air further south will lead to an intense band of rain moving through Scotland on Friday
00:34evening, so expect some heavy rain for a short time and some gusty winds as that front sinks
00:40south.
00:4110pm there for Glasgow and Edinburgh, pushing into Belfast around midnight.
00:45That front is sinking south though, and ahead of it, we keep the same old weather pattern.
00:50Relatively benign conditions, variable amounts of cloud across much of southern and central
00:55England and Wales.
00:56Some cloud break, leading to a few fog and frost pockets first thing Saturday, but otherwise
01:01a lot of cloud and some drizzle here and there.
01:04Brighter skies behind the weather front across Cumbria into parts of Northumberland as well
01:09as Scotland and Northern Ireland first thing Saturday, but you'll notice a change in the
01:15temperature.
01:16It's going to start to feel much colder as these winds arrive from the north-northwest.
01:19They'll also carry frequent showers, which will be falling as sleet and snow over northern
01:24Scotland, particularly for Shetland, where there could be some settling of the wet snow
01:27above a couple of hundred metres.
01:29Meanwhile, it stays relatively mild further south, albeit very cloudy, and some outbreaks
01:35of rain sinking into central parts as this front moves south.
01:39The front moves south, the colder air begins to spread south, but it's briefly interrupted
01:44on Sunday by this weather system sliding in from the Atlantic and containing milder air
01:49once again, but also some outbreaks of rain.
01:53Those outbreaks of rain are likely to push into Northern Ireland first thing, as well
01:57as parts of south-west Scotland, eventually that showery rain turning up across Wales
02:01and western and northern England.
02:04To the south, east and north of that, we're going to see some brighter weather and northern
02:09Scotland is still subject to some frequent sleet and snow showers, still feeling very
02:13cold here, whilst further south it's relatively mild and we're likely to see some rain later
02:18in the day for southern areas, but throughout much of the afternoon it's bright spells and
02:22one or two showers.
02:24Now these outbreaks of rain across central parts will be heavy and persistent at times.
02:29There's an element of uncertainty still with this system about how much the area of low
02:33pressure it's associated with deepens.
02:36Most likely, this is the kinds of weather we can expect on Sunday, but there's a smaller
02:41chance, around 15% chance, that a deeper, more developed low crosses the country and
02:46that would of course lead to more widespread heavy rain and some very strong winds.
02:50So something that we're still keeping an eye on as we go through the next couple of days.
02:55Nevertheless, it's northern Scotland where we're likely to see the wintry weather continuing
02:58on Sunday, perhaps some hill snow for the Pennines as this system moves away and it
03:03will move away so that at the start of next week we see colder, northerly winds sweep
03:08south across most of the UK.
03:10But once again, later Monday, we've got one of these weather systems in the mix arriving
03:15from the Atlantic and again containing milder air at outbreaks of rain.
03:20And this is another one of the situations where there's some uncertainty about the development
03:23of an area of low pressure arriving from the Atlantic and the exact track.
03:28Now at the moment, the most likely scenario is that it will bring some outbreaks of rain
03:32and perhaps sleet or hill snow to southern parts of the UK as a relatively shallow area
03:36of low pressure, whilst the northern two-thirds of the UK sees bright spells, cold winds and
03:42also some sleet and snow showers primarily affecting coastal parts.
03:46But there are other scenarios, one in which there's no low pressure at all and another
03:51in which there's a very well-developed area of low pressure that moves in further north
03:56across the UK and brings widespread heavy rain in the south and some persistent snow
04:01further north with the risk of blizzards over hills and some very strong winds.
04:05So of course that would be the most impactful scenario and something we're keeping a close
04:10eye on as we go through the next few days.
04:12But like I say, this is the most likely setup and hopefully we'll have a bit more detail
04:16on what you can expect into the start of next week as this wintry weather continues in our
04:21Weather Studio Live which you can catch live on Friday at 12.15pm or you can watch on Catch
04:26Up via the Met Office YouTube channel.
04:29If you subscribe, you'll never miss an update.
04:31Bye-bye.