• 7 hours ago
Ahead of its expected landfall late Saturday, Nov. 16, or early tomorrow in Catanduanes, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Super Typhoon Pepito (international name: Man-yi) continues to pose a “potentially catastrophic and life-threatening situation” for the northeastern Bicol region.

READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/11/16/signal-no-5-as-sty-pepito-nears-landfall

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00:00Super Typhoon Pepito, as of our latest analysis,
00:07huling nakikita siya sa layong 120 kilometers,
00:10silangan huya ng Virac, Katanduanes.
00:13So, kung tutuusin, halos malapit na po ito sa kalupaan.
00:16Yung rain band so outer part nitong bagyo ay
00:19nakaka-apekto na ngayon sa malaking bahagi
00:22ng Bicol Region at ng Eastern Visayas.
00:25Taglay pa rin ito ang lakas ng hanging
00:27umaabot sa 195 kilometers per hour near the center.
00:30At Gastenes, o yung pagbugso ng hanging,
00:33umaabot po sa 240 kilometers per hour.
00:36So, kung mapapansin natin,
00:37yung kanyang strength napakalakas po,
00:39195 kilometers per hour.
00:41Mapaminsala itong bagyong ito
00:43kayang at nasa super typhoon category.
00:45At base po sa ating signal,
00:48yung latest na signal na pinalabas po natin,
00:51signal number five na ngayon,
00:53dito po sa Katanduanes,
00:54maging sa northeastern portion ng Camarines Sur,
00:57habang signal number four dito sa Camarines Norte,
01:01northern and southeastern portion ng Camarines Sur,
01:04at northeastern portion ng Albay.
01:06Uulitin lamang po natin,
01:08signal number five sa Katanduanes
01:10at northeastern portion ng Camarines Sur.
01:12So, meron tayong extreme threat to life and property
01:16due to super typhoon Pepito.
01:18Habang dito sa signal number four,
01:20significant to severe threat to life and property.
01:24So, balikan lamang po natin itong radar image
01:28na nakuha po natin sa ating Doppler radars
01:32at nakita nga po natin,
01:33yung rain bands nitong bagyo ay nakalapat na
01:36o nakaka-apekto na sa Bicol region
01:38and some parts of eastern Visayas.
01:40Ito yung kanyang centro po.
01:41So, approaching po ito sa landmass
01:43at nakikita natin papalapit ito sa Katanduanes.
01:46Sa ating pong forecast,
01:48possible po na between 8 p.m. to 11 p.m. tonight
01:51ang landfall scenario.
01:53Pero, meron din pong increasing chance
01:55na ito pong mata ay umakya at ng bahagya
01:59at hindi po siya totally lumapat sa landmass.
02:01But nevertheless, yung effect po niya dito sa Katanduanes,
02:05sa Camarines Sur Albay, Sur Sugon,
02:07sa halos buong Bicolandia,
02:09ay same lang o pareho lang effect,
02:12whether lumapat po siya totally sa Katanduanes
02:15o maglandfall o hindi po at tumaas po ng bahagya.
02:19So, again, reminder po,
02:21same lang po yung kanyang effect
02:23dahil yung eye wall ng bagyong si Super Typhoon Pipito
02:28pwedeng maranasan po yan sa Katanduanes
02:30at ilang bahagi ng Camarines Sur Albay
02:32at sa mga dadaanan pa po nitong bagyo.
02:36Kaugnay dyan, signal number three naman ngayon,
02:38sa Polilio Islands,
02:40northern and eastern portions ng mainland Quezon,
02:42rest of Camarines Sur, rest of Albay,
02:45northern portion of Sur Sugon,
02:47eastern and central portions of northern Samar,
02:50northern portion of eastern Samar.
02:52Signal number two naman,
02:56sa southern portion ng Isabela,
02:58Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya,
03:00Ifugao, Bingit, La Union,
03:02Pangasinan, Aurora, Nueva Ecija,
03:04Bulacan, Tarlac, Pampanga,
03:06Sampales, maging dito po sa Bataan.
03:09At signal number two din sa Metro Manila,
03:11Cavite, Rizal, rest of Quezon,
03:14Laguna, Marinduque, rest of Sur Sugon,
03:17Bureas Islands, Antico Island,
03:19central portion of eastern Samar,
03:23northern portion of Samar,
03:24and rest of northern Samar.
03:26So, paalala lang din po natin,
03:29baka may nagtatakang mga kababayan natin,
03:31na signal number two ngayon,
03:32pero maaliwalas yung panahon,
03:34halos walang nararamdamang sama ng panahon.
03:37That is because meron po tayong lead time
03:39na halos 24 oras pa po.
03:41So, posible po nating maramdaman,
03:43sa ilang lugar dito,
03:45at depende po sa pagtahak
03:47o sa pagtakbo ng bagyong ito,
03:49posibil nating maramdaman yung sama ng panahon
03:51sa mga susunod na oras.
03:52So, meron tayong lead time na 24 oras pa po.
03:56Then, signal number one naman,
03:58sa mainland Cagayan,
03:59rest of Isabela,
04:01Apayao, Kalinga, Abra,
04:03mountain province, Ifugao,
04:04Bingget, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur,
04:07Batangas, northern portion of occidental Mindoro,
04:10kasama na ang Lubang Islands.
04:13Signal number one din sa northern portion
04:15ng oriental Mindoro, Romblon,
04:17rest of Masbate,
04:18rest of eastern Samar,
04:20rest of Samar, Biliran,
04:21northern and central portions ng Leyte,
04:24northeastern portion ng southern Leyte,
04:26northernmost portion ng Cebu,
04:28kasama na ang Bantayan Islands,
04:30northernmost portion ng Iloilo,
04:32northern portion ng Dinagat Islands.
04:35Then, signal number one din po,
04:36sa natitirang bahagi pa ng eastern Samar,
04:39rest of Samar,
04:41Biliran,
04:43I think na, ayan,
04:44Biliran, northern and central portions of Leyte,
04:47northeastern portion of southern Leyte,
04:50northernmost portion of Cebu,
04:51kasama na ang Bantayan Islands,
04:53northernmost portion of Iloilo,
04:55at northern portion ng Dinagat Islands.
04:59Okay, so,
05:00sa track na ipinalabas po natin,
05:02again, halos,
05:04halos consistent naman po yung kanyang track,
05:06especially yung cone of uncertainty natin.
05:09Lumiliit po siya as time goes by,
05:11pero nakikita nga po natin,
05:12sa cone of uncertainty,
05:14posibleng Katanduanes, ang landfall area,
05:16or dito din po, sa northern part ng Katanduanes,
05:19pwede din pong dumuan dyan ang sentro.
05:22So, nakikita natin,
05:23natatahakin po nito basically,
05:25ang eastern section ng Bicol,
05:27and then eventually po,
05:29by tomorrow,
05:30ng hapon o gabi,
05:32pwede po itong mag-landfall sa,
05:34between Aurora and Quezon province.
05:36At, at, tuluyan po nitong tatahakin,
05:38o magkokross at magtatraverse sa landmass natin dito,
05:41sa central at sa northern Luzon,
05:43base sa ating latest track.
05:45So, ibig sabihin,
05:46itong lawak ng diametrong po ito,
05:50kapag tinignan po natin at sinundan po natin yung track,
05:53maapektuhan halos buong southern Luzon
05:55sa mga susunod na oras,
05:56buong southern Luzon,
05:57including Metro Manila,
05:58central Luzon,
05:59and some parts of northern Luzon.
06:01Kaya meron po tayong pinapalabas na signal,
06:04o tropical second wind signal,
06:06para meron po tayong reference kung,
06:09ano po gaano kalakas ng hangin
06:10ang pwede maranasan po natin sa ating lugar.
06:15Samantala, narito naman ang ating rainfall forecast
06:18in the next 24 hours.
06:20So, today hanggang bukas ng hapon,
06:23intense torrential,
06:24o yung tinatawag natin,
06:25na matindi hanggang sa halos,
06:27walang humpay ng mga pagulan,
06:29ang pwede pong maranasan dito sa Camarines Norte,
06:31Camarines Sur, Albayat, Katanduanes.
06:33So, ang range po nyan ngayon hanggang bukas ng hapon,
06:37pwede maranasan itong ganitong klaseng pagulan,
06:41matindi hanggang sa halos,
06:42walang humpay ng mga pagbuhus ng ulan,
06:44dahil kay Super Typhoon Pepito.
06:46Samantala, heavy to intense naman,
06:48ang pwede maranasan sa Sorsogon,
06:51Northern Samar,
06:52dito po sa Quezon Province.
06:55At moderate to heavy,
06:57dito po sa Masbate,
06:58Samar, Eastern Samar, Biliran,
07:01Leyte, Batangas,
07:02Marinduque, Cavite, Laguna,
07:05Rizal, Bulacan,
07:07at, yes, Bulacan po,
07:09kasama po dyan at maging yung Aurora.
07:11So, moderate to heavy,
07:13hindi ko naptaman hanggang sa malakas ng mga pagulan,
07:15ngayon hanggang bukas ng hapon.
07:17And then, bukas ng hapon,
07:19hanggang Monday ng hapon,
07:21o Lunes ng hapon,
07:22posible rin ang intense to torrential ng mga pagulan,
07:26dito po sa Aurora, Nueva Ecija,
07:28Quezon Province,
07:29Nueva Vizcaya, Pangasinan,
07:31Quirino, Binguet,
07:32at dito po sa Nueva Vizcaya, Binguet,
07:36Quirino, at sa Quezon.
07:38Habang heavy to intense naman,
07:40Sala Union, Tarlac,
07:42Zambales, Pampanga,
07:43Bulacan, Metro Manila,
07:45Bataan, Rizal, Cavite, Laguna.
07:48At kasama po dito sa heavy to intense,
07:52ang Camarines Norte.
07:53Moderate to heavy naman po,
07:55posible pa rin sa Camarines,
07:57Sur, Batangas,
07:58Marinduque, Isabela,
08:00Ifugao, Mountain Province,
08:01Ilocos Sur, Abra,
08:03Calinga, at maging sa Cagayan.
08:05At para po sa mas detalyado na information regarding this,
08:09pinupost po natin yan sa ating social media accounts
08:12at maging sa website ng Pagasa
08:14para po makita natin yung kompleto na detalya
08:17tungkol po dito sa rainfall advisory po natin.
08:20So, again, paalala po natin,
08:23doble o trikle ang pag-iingat,
08:24lalong-lalong na sa mga low-lying areas
08:27dahil posibleng-posibleng ang mga pagbaha,
08:29even yung mga paguhon ng lupa
08:31dahil sa tindi ng mga pagulan
08:32na pwedeng dala po nitong
08:33si Super Typhoon Pipito.
08:37Samantala, narito naman ang storm surge warning
08:39na ipinalabas ng pag-asa.
08:41Ngayong alas dos po ng hapon,
08:43so makikita nga po natin
08:45yung more than three meters na wave height
08:48ay pwede po maranasan sa halos buong Katanduanes,
08:51sa eastern coast ng Camarines Sur,
08:54eastern coast ng Camarines Norte,
08:56at sa ilang coast pa po ng Albay at Camarines Sur.
09:00Maging dito po sa
09:02parting ito sa may dinagat islands,
09:04more than three meters, posible po yan.
09:06And nandito po sa coast ng La Union.
09:09Habang yung one to two meters,
09:10posibly po yan sa eastern coast ng Isabela,
09:13eastern coast ng Aurora, eastern coast ng Quezon,
09:17at dito sa southern coast po yan,
09:19ng Calabarzon,
09:20dito sa my part ng Masbate,
09:23at sa northern eastern coast ng Eastern Samar.
09:25Ito din pong storm surge warning,
09:27pinapalabas o pinopost
09:30at ina-upload din po natin yan
09:31sa ating social media sites
09:33at maging sa ating website,
09:35para po sa mas detalyadong informasyon.
09:39Samantala, ito din po
09:41yung tinatawag natin possible flood height
09:43due to three meters storm surge height.
09:45So, for Quezon province,
09:47sa areas po nito, posibly po yung
09:50three meters storm surge height,
09:53o yung daluyong dito po sa isla,
09:56sa part ng Polilio Islands,
09:58sa eastern coast po ng
09:59Mauban, Quezon, dito po sa Pagbilao,
10:03sa Padre Burgos, Lucena City,
10:06posibly din po yung storm surge or inundation
10:08dahil sa storm surge o daluyong.
10:10So, para po makita po natin
10:12yung detalyadong informasyon dito
10:15nasa website at nasa Facebook page
10:17at Twitter accounts,
10:18ex-accounts din po natin ito.
10:20Yung Katanduanes, possible flood height
10:23due to three meters storm surge height,
10:26ay dito din po sa Panganiban,
10:29dito po sa Viga,
10:31Gigmoto, Bato,
10:33at maging sa San Andres.
10:35So, ayan, visit our website
10:37and yung ating Facebook page din po,
10:39para makita natin yung detalya
10:41at kung anong mga specific na municipalities o lugar.
10:44Samantala sa northern Samar,
10:46dito po mataas din po yung chance
10:48ng inundation or
10:50nadulot ng storm surge
10:52na almost three meters height.
10:54Dito po sa San Policarpo,
10:56sa Lapinig,
10:58Arteke, at dito po sa
11:00Sulat, San Julian.
11:02Okay, ito po
11:04yung karagdagan na information
11:06yung ating high tide
11:08for today. So,
11:10in include po natin yung 5pm
11:12onwards. So, makikita natin
11:14for Giwan Eastern Samar at
11:165.59 kanina, halos
11:18.94 meters yung
11:20taas po ng
11:22tidal height natin.
11:24At sa Katbalogan Samar naman, at
11:2611.15 later on, ay 1.92
11:28meters. Sa San Jose
11:30Northern Samar, sa 5.15pm
11:32ay 1.35 meters.
11:34Sa Bulang Sorosogon, at
11:3610.50 kanina, or mamaya
11:38nagabi, 1.51 meters.
11:40Sa Ligaspi City, Albay,
11:421.69 meters.
11:44Mamaya, or ngayon Bumbuyan,
11:465.28 kanina.
11:48Masbate City,
11:5010.46pm later,
11:521.93 meters.
11:54Sa Jose Pangaliban Kamarinasur,
11:561.78 meters.
11:58Pa sa Cauca Marinasur,
12:002.10 meters.
12:02At sa Veracatanuanes,
12:045.30pm, 1.65
12:06meters. So, ano po yung kahalagahan
12:08ng informasyon na ito, para po
12:10maintindahan natin na high tide po
12:12sa mga lugar na ito. So, eastern coast
12:14po ito, kung saan ay nakataas
12:16ang ating mga wind signals. So,
12:18high tide na po siya,
12:20yes, high tide na po siya, tapos
12:22meron pa po tayong threat of storm surge.
12:24So, may additional factor po ito, kung
12:26bakit we're expecting yung mas
12:28mataas na alon at mga mas mataas
12:30na banta po ng storm surge
12:32sa mga lugar na ito.
12:34Okay, yung
12:36warning po natin, nakataas
12:38din dito sa Catanduanes,
12:40northern eastern coast ng Kamarinasur,
12:42Kamarinas Norte,
12:44eastern coast of Quezon, kasama ng
12:46Polilio Islands, northern Samar,
12:48Aurora, Isabela,
12:50eastern coast of Cagayan,
12:52eastern coast of eastern Samar,
12:54sa Albay, Sorsogon, Dikaw,
12:56at Buryas Islands. Ibig sabihin
12:58napaka-delikado po ng
13:00lagay ng karagatan sa mga lugar
13:02na ito, maalon hanggang sa napaka-alon.

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