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00:00Next up, a rather compelling number that does intrigue me.
00:08In fact, slightly confounds me, two and a half points spread.
00:12That's it.
00:13Prime time in Provo in favor of undefeated BYU against Kansas.
00:19Lisa Guy, when you look at this number, we know how good the Cougars are in Provo.
00:25Why is it only two and a half in favor of an undefeated team against a three-win football
00:30team in Kansas?
00:31Because Kansas actually played the way they were supposed to play at the start of the
00:35year, putting up 45 points and 237 yards on the ground in Arrowhead last week against
00:40a top-ranked or a top-15 team in terms of Iowa State going on the road.
00:44They need to win out to just get to a bowl.
00:48I like the points.
00:49I think it's a fishy line, two and a half, a lot of pressure on BYU to remain undefeated.
00:53I really like the over.
00:55I think we blow through that later today.
00:56Yeah, the line to me is completely unsurprising.
00:59They think BYU is bad, and their belief is Kansas is good.
01:02We saw it last week with the Iowa State number, where that was just two and a half.
01:05We've seen it in every single BYU.
01:08They are TCU.
01:09I'm pretty sure Max Duggan is going to replace Bratislav at some point this season.
01:13It's what we've seen here.
01:15To me, the big question is, can BYU stay unbeaten in regular season play to give themselves
01:21security heading into a Big 12 title game, where they're still heavy favorites to appear
01:26in, but I promise you they'll be dogs in.
01:29They will be, because they're 50 cents back of Colorado right now to win the Big 12 championship,
01:33despite the fact they are undefeated and right now would be in first place in conference
01:39standings.
01:40Just quickly about BYU, 30-3 straight up in true nighttime games, 7 p.m. Eastern time
01:46or later in the last five college football seasons since 2019.
01:51We'll have more on that matchup, comparing the quarterbacks, Jalen Daniels playing as
01:55expected in the last three for the Jayhawks and BYU, that is Jake Retzlaff, the quarterback
02:02for BYU.
02:04Now we head to Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Purdue, playing host to Penn State, Kev Nittany
02:10Lyons, 29-and-a-half point favorite, bounced back from the loss against Ohio State, doing
02:15what the Nittany Lions do, winning in a wideout game and winning comfortably as a favorite.
02:21Full number here, more than four touchdowns against the Boilermakers.
02:24How do you see it?
02:25Yeah, first time for me that I lost two straight in a Penn State game this season.
02:28I don't know if Nick Singleton is in the doghouse.
02:30I don't know if Katron Allen has somewhere sneaky in an NIL deal that he has to take
02:34over this backfield.
02:36It's left me a bit puzzled here.
02:38I look at this game and lean under, but I'm telling you, I'm circling this one like a
02:43shark.
02:44Let Penn State fall short of the expectations that we've seen from the Oregons and Ohio
02:48States of the world here, and I'll be pouncing all over it again.
02:50An absolute crime they're ranked fourth.
02:52Yeah.
02:53A crime.
02:54They've won 10 straight in the series.
02:55It's Penn State or Boston in terms of laying the spread.
02:57I can't bet this line, and Purdue's dead man walking.
03:00I mean, Walters hasn't really done a great job there in terms of Wes Lafayette taking
03:04over for Brahm, not playing well on the defensive side of the ball.
03:08Should be a blowout.
03:09Just 5-and-11 against the spread as an underdog with Ryan Walters, an underdog in all seven
03:14or seven of their eight FBS games this year.
03:1621-and-6 ATS.
03:17Again, Penn State, 29-and-1 straight up when they have been favored to win a football game
03:24since 2022.
03:2521-8-and-1 against the number.
03:28They're just 0-and-5 straight up in games booked as an underdog.