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00:00What a big ball game in minnesota
00:03Fine moving. Yes
00:06Creeping but we see seven five and a half. They look like they're gone donny. Tell me vikings falcons
00:12What do you see across the board?
00:13I'm telling you we're opening up at four and a half at this point here six and a half's now showing if you just go
00:18Fandle to fandle six is five and a half's amidst smorgasbord
00:23Jumping on this side i'm going on this side which way we go and there's no way
00:27You could ever have a best bet from this game with the way those lines are moving. Yes, and it is my best bet today
00:32I see it clearly laser focused
00:35I see a team in terms of atlanta that's lost three straight by an average margin a defeat of 11.2 points per game
00:42We see minnesota have close wins and back-to-back weeks. They pull it out against arizona
00:47Defeat chicago by three on the road in overtime
00:49They've won five straight by 6.7 points per game
00:52We're right there in terms of the fandu market and minus six and a half, but it comes down to this
00:57I have the more consistent quarterback sam donald over kirk cousins. I know he's going home
01:02I don't care about that perspective
01:04I watch this game play out in terms of indianapolis and minnesota on that prime time where minnesota blitz joe flacco
01:10Early and often he couldn't do absolutely anything in regards to that matchup kirk cousins coming off a four
01:17Interception performance. I think brian floors that front seven get after it and I think they run it they throw it
01:23They have their will in terms of do whatever they want against the a smash job vape special minus the six and a half
01:33I said it chris kosky for you, buddy. Yep
01:36Quarter and a half into the game. We just
01:39You don't have to watch it anymore. I like it run to the corner store. That's it. Yep. So
01:44this is a
01:46very very interesting game because
01:48last week I looked at atlanta as
01:52I'd like to bet the falcons here
01:54But I don't trust them and the number's fine. Let me back off
01:58I feel very very similar in this game. I'd like to bet the falcons here. Yeah
02:03If you give me seven
02:05I think i'm almost maybe playing a little trick on myself because I know they're not going to give me seven
02:08So that's how I get to I only lean the falcons, but i'm not going to bother and I also saw a play out against
02:14Denver's front seven. He didn't even make it through the end of that game. They put they benched him for michael pinnock
02:19They were getting after it in terms of the edge if that offensive line can't hold up
02:23He's going to be in trouble today
02:24And then there's more turnovers short fields and i'm expecting jj to hit pay dirt at minus 105
02:30I'll tell you what is interesting too when you look at the atlanta falcons like this was a team once you got all the injuries
02:34The tampa bay was like we're gonna stroll like this is the easiest division. We're ever gonna win
02:39Now you're in some turmoil after a game last week where you have a high paid quarterback
02:43That you're trying to ask yourself. Is he really going to be our starting quarterback even in 2025?
02:48Let alone the rest of the regular season
02:50It comes down to me joe because I love brian florida's defensive coordinator
02:53That defense is going to be cooking their two dome teams
02:55Yeah
02:55But also it is key where that dome is at because it's going to be loud in minnesota
02:59These john robertson to look at is that rushing profits 68 and a half if you are one dimensional
03:04Which means that running game is not working
03:06There's a chance for a blowout today 14 plus point win for the minnesota vikings
03:09But if bijan can somehow say, you know, what let me calm the waters here 70 plus yards on the ground
03:14It's not all on kirk cousin. It's not going to be all excited here
03:17I think that's the way so once again if you're saying I want to bet the atlanta falcons
03:21I don't even bet the falcons. I just bet bijan robinson because if he struggles today, they're getting blasted
03:26so the vikings are
03:29A frustrating watch for me because after they lost that game to the rams
03:33We were all together on prime time on game time
03:37We went through a number of updated win totals and my favorite one
03:40minnesota
03:42Under 10 and a half at a plus price, right? They've gone on a five game win streak
03:46I am not frustrated because I was wrong
03:49I am frustrated because they have looked how I thought they would and that is why I guess lisa
03:54i'm a little maybe surprised with your confidence in minnesota because
03:59Look, they've won five in a row. And if you you know, if you want to you know
04:02Look at the box scores with one eye closed, right? Ah, the vikings are hot, right? They're not playing well
04:07No, they are not again. I knew that it was a softer schedule
04:10But I thought one of the south teams could clip them. They got to play mac. They got to play flacco
04:17It worked out in their favor, right? Right down the chicago
04:21eberflues nightmare
04:23Rolled the way it always does and then gannon made a huge mistake last week the field goal and everything
04:28And look they've made some plays right but in the five game win streak, they've only covered two of the games, right?
04:33They've won win of of more than one possession. So this is a vikings team that is actually
04:40Reminiscent of the last time kirk was there with a good vikings team that everybody knew
04:46They're gonna get right and you bring up great points
04:48But let's keep in mind as well when they went on the five game winning streak. It started in jacksonville, right?
04:53They they won that game 12-7 then they went to tennessee
04:56They win that game by margin is basically I believe a five five and a half point favorite
05:01And then they went on the road to to chicago, right? They win
05:04Pushed that matchup. It was minus three and a half for much of the week
05:07They pushed three world games then they come home. They play a team that needed that win in terms of arizona
05:12Arizona is no joke and we we sat on this desk and talked about how dominant the arizona cardinals defense was in terms of the front
05:19Seven blitz packages getting after it in terms of the quarterback
05:22They battled back in that game and kyler's a mobile quarterback
05:25So he was able to make plays with his legs extend plays outside the pocket
05:30I I just don't think you're gonna get that from kirk cousins when he's stationary and we've seen them play stationary quarterbacks
05:37Minnesota's front seven eats so that's where i'm looking in terms of this matchup again
05:41It's a chess match
05:42But the fact that they're at home and they can run it with aaron jones and they can't they have the best player on the
05:47Field with justin jefferson that came on with 98 reception yards. I think he breaks out, you know
05:52It is interesting the way you look at their schedule though after blasting the texans a couple months ago after that packers game
05:5831 29 23 17 they lose 31 29
06:01They lose 30 to 20 then the winning streak that they have which is five games that you point out
06:04Which again, it's hard to win in the nfl. Don't get me wrong eight points five points ten points three points one point here
06:09So there's a chance that you can still hang around because that defense is good. That's what they rely on
06:13But for me, it's just about bijan robinson
06:15He can run them into this football game and keep it close and maybe get the victory if he's not up to the task
06:20I don't think they win this game