Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00There is so much to dive into in this week 16 slate around the National Football League
00:05We will do that now with our pick six our favorite bets for the weekend the categories
00:11Just so you know another reminder if you have not been here with us much throughout this football season
00:16Anytime touchdown score somebody likely to hit painter a moneyline underdog a team likely to pull off the outright
00:24Upset and keep a game close our favorite under of the weekend points at a premium
00:30online with a sprinkle of
00:33Plus money our favorite yardage prop it could be on the ground through the air a receiver
00:38Whatever you like and then we combine forces for a two-leg six-point teaser that our producer extraordinaire
00:44Joe Friso made sure to point out that my leg lost last week Joe
00:48You had Buffalo up to plus eight and a half the Bills won outright in Detroit
00:53I had the commanders as a seven and a half point favorite for the game take six off
00:58Minus one and a half really just expecting them to win outright
01:02They did against the Saints, but by just one
01:07Point because the Saints were gifted a few extra seconds to get a playoff to score a touchdown
01:13at the end of regulation
01:15Poor officiating cost us a perfect teaser
01:18Hey, what are you gonna do you get back on the horse this week and make sure it wins before we get there though
01:23We start with those painter picks anytime touchdown scorer Joe who where what game?
01:30All right. So let's a bit of trivia here. Does anybody happen to know?
01:35Who holds the record for the most catches in a season without a touchdown?
01:40The answer is going to be Trey McBride and guess then who I am backing for an anytime touchdown
01:47Trey McBride listen, it's a must-win game for Arizona
01:51And it's it's Kyle Murray's favorite target make no mistake about it
01:56Carolina has given up ten touchdowns the tight ends this year. That's the most in the league
02:01I would expect Kyle Murray to end this record and force some targets into his favorite receiver there
02:09I think Trey McBride at plus money. Yeah, I got him for an anytime touchdown finally this year
02:17Arizona needs to bounce back. I mean they did beat. What is it? Is that Siri trying to get involved with the pick six?
02:25She loves the trade I'm serious not happy with Trey McBride
02:29That's what I'm saying. I think that she is happy with Trey McBride. I think she's fired up
02:35I think she's ready for that one, Arizona more than a half point road favorite in
02:40Carolina Joe, I think there might be a sneaky amount of points in that game with the Panthers showing some resolve
02:46But the cards still in the heat of the NFC West race need this one in Charlotte this Sunday
02:52In a game against the Rams next weekend in week 16 in LA to keep their season afloat
02:58My favorite touchdown score. I'm in Ross st
03:01Brown did score last week late in a game that featured a ton of points
03:06In fact our highest scoring game of this NFL season against the Buffalo Bills
03:10It was his first touchdown in a while snapping a three-game skid without
03:15Hitting Pater because he had scored in eight games in a row from week three on
03:22Up until a three-game slide back in the end zone last week and Joe. I think you heard it from Dan Campbell
03:29I think you heard it from Detroit in general. Yes. They know they are banged up. They know they are shorthanded
03:35They know it's not just a bunch of reserve players. It is those key and significant contributors
03:40But I think the Lions are out to make a statement against the Bears team that has lost all hope in fact has lost eight
03:46Games in a row and I think those key players that are still there
03:50Namely offensively for Detroit do a fair bit of the scoring on Sunday. Yes, it's outdoors
03:57Yes, it's Chicago. I understand. Give me Amin Ross st. Brown to hit Pater at minus
04:03105
04:05Moneyline underdog time who might pull off an outright upset on Sunday in perhaps
04:12spoil a season here in week 16
04:16Boy I said I would never do it Ben but yet here I am doing it and I'm gonna take
04:24the New York Jets as a
04:27home-underdog tonight
04:29Against the Rams here and listen, I mean the last five games
04:33We talked about it earlier with Mike Blewett
04:35The Jets have averaged around 27 points a game over its last five and we're talking about a Rams team that ranks
04:4327th and pass efficiency defense and 29th and
04:47Explosive pass rate allowed. So this secondary is not good. This defense
04:54Isn't great and Aaron Rodgers has had basically all day to throw the ball
04:59The offensive line has done a great job of protecting them
05:02But here's the kicker the Rams as a franchise haven't covered a game in temperatures under 30 degrees since the 1970s
05:11people
05:12We've also seen Matt Stafford not be able to be really good in
05:17The conditions and bad weather that MetLife is gonna see it's gonna be bitterly called the Jets
05:23All day long here have a really good shot at being an underdog outright winner I
05:30Really?
05:31Hope not Joe because I have a Rams ticket at plus 290 from a few weeks ago to win the NFC West the Rams now
05:37In first in pole position and a minus 185 favorite
05:41This would be a huge detriment to them
05:44It might not be the end of their season as they end the year at home in sunny
05:50Los Angeles indoors against the Cardinals and the Seahawks the two teams chasing them as of
05:56Right now my money line underdog
05:59Carolina Panthers
06:01Why not plus 180 for Carolina to strike the outright upset at home in?
06:07Charlotte Arizona needs this game ultimately the Cardinals are a four and a half point favorite
06:12but last week Joe the Panthers were favored for the first time since the end of
06:162022 snapping a 33 game streak of being an underdog
06:22consecutively with the weight of
06:24Expectation Carolina floundered miserably against the bad Dallas Cowboys
06:29It's not a five-game cover streak for a Carolina team that even as an underdog
06:34Had done a terrible job of even generating profits. So now the Panthers they sting price stings
06:40Everybody stings. No, sir. The Panthers now as a dog once again when outright for win number four
06:49Let me check that real quick just to make sure for win number four of this season
06:54Against the Arizona Cardinals, even if Trey McBride does score a touchdown
06:59All right, our favorite under of the weekend could be on Saturday might be the first game of Saturday
07:07Is it the first game of Saturday in Kansas City Joe?
07:11I
07:12I'm sorry. I'm
07:14Boy that that stunk so bad there Ben between the Jets and Carolina winning out, right?
07:21I'm I'm whoo. I'm gagging on those two underdogs. They are winning out right now, but I do think we've got an under
07:29Primed and ready to go. We don't have to wait till Sunday
07:32I'm going Saturday man, and we talked about it earlier in the show. I'm going under 42 now that it's back up there
07:40because my homes has been
07:42Ruled in as the starter for Kansas City. Listen, the struggles for Kansas City are real
07:49Offensively the struggles for CJ Brown and that offensive line also well noted
07:56This is not a very good offense, especially on the road
08:01I expect the defenses to have their way gonna come down to special teams
08:06I think in this game either way. I want under 42 when it's all said and done
08:12Yeah, Joe
08:13I actually think you're getting a slight discount if that's the right word because the total is on its way up
08:18So then took that under is a good look
08:22This number was 39 and a half with Carson Wentz the presumed starter for Kansas City with the ankle injury to Patrick Mahomes
08:30I still think Mahomes is going to be in there and you're going to see a hefty dose of Kareem Hunt and Isaiah
08:35Pacheco and maybe even Samaj AP Ryan and if the Texans are going to keep this game close as a three-and-a-half point dog
08:42It's a defense that was on display like we saw last week against Miami. I agree Joe
08:47I think it's an under of 41 and a half my favorite under the rest of the pick six
08:53So much more to come next on this football Friday
08:57Live right here on the early line on sports grid. It is a football Friday
09:01We continue our week 16 NFL pick six that includes games on Saturday, too
09:07And that would be 12 on Sunday as well if I'm not mistaken in my quick math
09:13but a Thursday night and a Monday night game on the bookends of
09:17This week Joe your favorite under in the opening game of our Saturday doubleheader in Arrowhead
09:22Chiefs Texans under 42 or 41 and a half where it stands now
09:28I go to a marquee game at least in terms of storyline on
09:33Sunday in Atlanta
09:34Michael Pennix jr
09:36makes his starting debut for the Falcons who turned things over to the rookie the eighth overall pick in favor of
09:43Kirk Cousins trying to keep the Falcons in the NFC South
09:48Divisional race the reason I go under 42 and a half Joe is actually rather simple in my estimation
09:54The Giants under a 9 of 14 games this year in their nine game losing skid
09:59They have scored 18 points or fewer in seven
10:02Atlanta has now become an under team part of the reason perhaps they are pointing to Michael Pennix jr
10:08To get them out of this rut that Kirk Cousins led them into or as Joe might tell you first year offensive coordinator Zach
10:16Robinson might have led them
10:18Into because of that Joe with how often these teams find it difficult to score and I really do believe the Falcons
10:26Against a susceptible Giants front are going to trust Bajon Robinson and Tyler Algier to do a lot of the heavy lifting
10:33For the rookie Michael Pennix jr
10:35Getting his feet wet before a huge game next week against the commanders that might decide their season
10:42I expect this game to be low scoring. I'll go under 42 and a half Giants and Falcons
10:48Yeah, I mean listen, I think there is much more to this Atlanta Falcons
10:54Offensive woes than just oh, let's get rid of Kurt Cousins and in week 16 bring in the rookie
11:01against a Giants team and a coach
11:05That I would not put past
11:07Laying it all out on the field to try and actually get one here and stick it to Atlanta
11:12So that game I would want as far away from Atlanta as humanly possible in that game. Yeah, let's put it that way. I
11:20Mean the Giants have been an underdog in all but two games in their last two seasons
11:26That's 31 games in total
11:28So 29 of 31 the ATS record now Joe just 12 16 and one against the spread
11:35It's a to win New York team that is trying to play in games
11:39Maybe not win games, but try to make sure that draft position still looks pretty good
11:45Battling with the Raiders for that number one overall pick
11:49All right, all line of the weekend with a sprinkle of plus money Joe. Where do you go?
11:54I'm not let's not overthink this here people Joe burrow more than two and a half touchdown passes
12:01He's only hit this now in six straight games where he's thrown at least three or more touchdown passes
12:07And he is listen his numbers are
12:11Unbelievable and you've got now a Browns team
12:14That defensively has been breaking down and they've kind of thrown up the white flag here on the season
12:21Did they not I mean you're throwing
12:24DTR on their center now
12:26I think Cincinnati is poised for another ridiculous score here 30 40 points not gonna be a problem
12:33Three touchdowns, I see Joe Burrow having at least throwing the ball again in this one
12:39And it's kind of crazy
12:40It has that much plus money because it's not like Joe Burrow who's done that a few times this season or just in two
12:46Consecutive weeks Joe Burrow has thrown for at least three passing touchdowns in six in straight
12:53Gazes for Cincinnati completely agree Joe. I think it's all Bengals
12:57It must be all Bengals since he has squandered opportunities throughout this season
13:02Do not get us wrong
13:04But I think Cleveland is focused on next year and figuring out what's going to happen this offseason at the quarterback spot
13:11Financially talent wise so much in store for the Browns Joe
13:16I think the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are absolutely going to rally the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday night
13:21Dallas has been atrocious at home this year one and six both straight up and against the spread the lone win and cover
13:28Against the Giants on Turkey Day big whoop the average cover margin at home this year
13:34around 16 points per game with a minus a negative in front of
13:39That and I only think the line is three and a half
13:42Because the Cowboys have looked good a couple of times on the road in the last four games with Cooper Rush
13:48But they've also looked really really bad at times as well. And I think Tampa has figured something out here
13:56I'm gonna go Buccaneers minus six and a half up for me three and a half point spread
14:01Expecting Tampa to still win by a touchdown at plus
14:05132 and I guess it then correlates to my favorite yardage prop that you see there Mike Evans over 78 and a half
14:12Receiving yards Mike Evans now Joe
14:15Despite missing multiple games this year with a hamstring injury in year number 11 all with the Buccaneers is
14:21Trying to make history to have a thousand receiving yards in all 11 seasons
14:27Thought it was probably going to come to a close this year because of the injuries and those missed games
14:33But Joey had a buck 59 last week and two touchdowns against the Chargers
14:37He has had at least 68 receiving yards in four consecutive games for Tampa
14:42And I'm I think the Buccaneers are going to win big that means a big Baker Mayfield day a big Mike Evans day over
14:4978 and a half receiving yards for a Dallas secondary and a Dallas defense that is shorthanded even more so
14:56So now without Trevon digs, so give me Mike Evans over 78 and a half
15:01Receiving yards for an area your yardage prop to round out this segment here on the early line
15:07Yeah, I am gonna go back to MetLife
15:10With the New York Jets taking on the LA Rams and I'm gonna look at Matt Stafford over his passing yards here
15:19241 and a half Ben and I see legit no reason for Matt Stafford
15:25Not to hit this number
15:27He has done it a whole lot this season
15:30And I think he's going to have to here because I do think the Jets offense is gonna have success
15:35I like the over I don't believe they're gonna be able to do it with just Kyron Williams
15:41Running the ball there. I think this is time to have to be
15:45Cooper cup
15:46Puka Nakoa, there's gonna have to be a lot of throwing the ball in this game to keep up
15:51So I think he goes over Ben
15:53Yeah, Joe the total 46 and a half. I could see it over in this spot
15:57The Rams have shown us the last few weeks
16:00Multiple different ways to win a game. They played in the highest scoring game of the year at the time
16:0586 combined points against Buffalo two Sundays ago and then on the short week Thursday
16:09The only NFL game this season without a single touchdown by either team
16:14So the Rams could certainly add it up if necessary or on the early line next
16:18All right
16:19We round out our NFL week 16 pick six and it's a weekend pick six with games on
16:25Saturday two of them in 12 on Sunday for still a rather full Sunday slate here in week 16
16:32As we combine forces for a two-leg six-point teaser right here right now Joe. Oh so close last week
16:40You were spot-on Buffalo up to eight and a half didn't even matter could have been Buffalo
16:44Well, I guess not minus eight and a half
16:45But at least minus five and a half because they were the underdog who won outright in Detroit
16:50I thought I was groovy with the commanders
16:54Just take them down from a seven and a half point road favorite in the Big Easy against the Saints point and a half
17:00Basically a pick up when it comfortably just went out, right?
17:04The commanders did win outright but by a point because of really an unforgivable clock staff
17:10That the NFL officiating crew just said hey, sorry, it was a mistake
17:14We can't go back and review it and fix it
17:16So the Saints got a free play that they scored a touchdown on and regulation and almost pulled off the upset that they should have
17:21Had so hey, sometimes you win some sometimes you have the worst of beats and you lose some this week though
17:28Joe we win the teaser we combine forces
17:31We've talked a few times about getting ugly about getting down in the mud on
17:36This pick six or two Moneyline underdog picks to win outright that we've shared you with the Jets me with the Panthers
17:43This is an ugly way to start a six-point teaser, but please begin
17:49Ben listen, it's been my experience the final couple of weeks of the NFL season the uglier the more profitable
17:57It is for you here and it you're right. It is absolutely gross and disgusting
18:04But somebody explained to me
18:06How in the world the Raiders should be laying points against any bud be even the Jacksonville Jags
18:14And I get it both these teams looking to to get maybe the number one number two pick in the draft
18:21It doesn't matter. Somebody's got to win the game
18:24Unfortunately, and if you're gonna give me over a touchdown
18:28With the Jags who clearly haven't quit on the season
18:32Then and they have been putting together a lot of effort here. They have also
18:38Managed to out gain their last three opponents. I don't care that Aiden O'Connell is looking to come back here
18:45They don't have Max Crosby. Jacobi Myers is banged up
18:50And they only score 17 points in his four starts this year. They haven't scored more than that
18:56I think Jacksonville's alive to win this game out, right?
19:01I will gladly put them in a teaser and take seven and a half points against a Raiders team
19:07That has no home-field advantage and really does want that number one draft pick
19:13Joe the Raiders should not be laying a single point a half point a cent on the money line
19:20To anybody right now like whatsoever
19:23Yep, Jacksonville, right also a team that is struggling mightily this year 3 and 11. The Raiders are worse at 2 and
19:3212 but Jacksonville despite probably should have quit much earlier in the season than even Vegas
19:38With the writing on the wall their head coach Doug Peterson might be gone at the end of the year the injury to Trevor Lawrence
19:44Changes potentially in the front office entering next season the Jags have not quit
19:49They have covered in six of their last eight games last week, they had to leave the break at home against the Jets
19:56They ultimately did not cover as a three and a half point home dog losing by a touchdown
20:01But they were tied at 25 all in the final two minutes of regulation
20:06So yeah, it's ugly, but I agree with the thought process Joe
20:09It should be ugly in our second game of two tomorrow in that AFC North battle between the Ravens and the Steelers
20:16But I do believe Baltimore exacts some revenge and evens up the season score
20:21Against Pittsburgh to split the regular season series
20:23Give me the Ravens outright six and a half point favorite down to a pickup price just Baltimore
20:29Winning a football game would also offer another angle the Lions down to a pick them in
20:35Chicago to win that game outright against the Bears as well. All right, that's the two-point the two-leg six-point teaser Joe
20:43Let's now run through our pick six is quickly before we get to a robust football weekend you first
20:48Sure thing Trey McBride anytime TV score. I like the Jets as a moneyline underdog
20:54Give me the under 42 with Kansas City in Houston
20:58Expect Joe Burrow to get two and a half or more touchdowns basically three or more
21:04My yardage prop is Matt Stafford to go over to 41 and a half passing yards and my teaser leg
21:11Jacksonville getting over a touchdown against the Raiders
21:15I'll go on and Ross st. Brown to hit pay dirt for the Lions Panthers II
21:19Outright money line upset over the Cardinals Giants Falcons under 42 and a half
21:24Altline Buccaneers now nearly a touchdown favorite on Sunday night against Dallas Mike Evans to factor in in the Ravens as a pick them
21:33Price tomorrow again. It is a great football weekend. We hope you all enjoy it
21:38It's the holidays