• 4 days ago
Transcript
00:00So, the odds board for the 2025 U.S. Open at Oakmont,
00:06Scottie Scheffler, plus 410, Rory McIlroy, 10-1,
00:10Xander Schauffele, 11-1, Jon Rahm, 12-1, Bryson, 12-1.
00:15This is the only board in which he appears in that top six list
00:19coming off his 2023 win at Pioneers No. 2,
00:22or I mean 2024 win, I'm sorry, at Pioneers No. 2,
00:25and Ludwig Oberg at 16-1.
00:28Those are your top six there.
00:30Ooh, I didn't play good.
00:34The cut was six over.
00:37I shot, I think it's a par 70.
00:39I shot 77-76.
00:42That place does not seem easy.
00:44Famously, it's not.
00:47Famously for those who are trying to kind of conjure an image.
00:50Yeah, I mean, this is, I'd say,
00:54Smiley, disagree with me if you think I'm wrong here.
00:56Oakmont, most famous for those church pew bunkers, right?
00:59That's a lasting image a lot of people see
01:01when they think of this course.
01:03It's the church pew bunkers on the third hole.
01:06They are on the left side of three
01:09and then also on the left side of four, par five.
01:12So those church pew bunkers,
01:14I don't remember if there's any more on the rest of the golf course,
01:17but Oakmont is the course that if the U.S. Open
01:22ever had an issue with one of their venues,
01:24Oakmont is always ready to host because it's always U.S. Open ready.
01:27And it's the most ridiculous hard golf course you'll ever play.
01:31You got to drive it good.
01:33The greens are insane.
01:37Some of the greens are too much, in my opinion.
01:40And the ones that are too much, this is where I think,
01:43I believe when I make my pick for this event,
01:48I'll probably side for a guy that fades the golf ball
01:51because I think the greens that are too ridiculous
01:53tilt this way right to left.
01:55And so obviously that's a fader favors a guy who can,
01:59you know, curve something into that slope, but.
02:02Ridiculous hard golf course.
02:05And should I should I play the U.S.
02:08Open tees and we go on a scouting trip?
02:09And what do you think I will shoot at this course from the U.S.
02:13Open tees?
02:14You wouldn't.
02:15I don't think I'd break 100 to be honest.
02:17You should in the 90s.
02:19You think so?
02:20Yeah, so would I.
02:21I don't know that we're allowed to do any sort of a video project at Oakmont,
02:31but I can guarantee you that if we do get the chance to do the scouting trip,
02:34we'll do our,
02:35we'll do our best if it doesn't offend the membership to play the U.S.
02:38Open tees and give you the full report as to how he did ahead of the U.S.
02:42Open.
02:43I'm very much looking forward to this now.
02:44So amongst that,
02:46do you like someone knowing what we know about the course and it's
02:50difficulty?
02:51Do you like, again,
02:52from our usual suspects list of six plus the other guy that is not in that
02:57top six on this list,
02:58but it appears in the other three is Colin Morikawa at 21,
03:01also at 21,
03:02Victor Hovland.
03:03Do you like someone from that list or you like someone beyond?
03:06I,
03:07I really,
03:08I,
03:09I,
03:10I mean,
03:11Xander's record at U.S.
03:12Opens is just ridiculous.
03:13If you go and look at it,
03:14it's like top 10 of his last eight years has yet to win one.
03:19So Xander's a guy that would be an obvious pick,
03:21but I really can't stop or I can't get this out of my brain.
03:26It's John Rahm.
03:27I just feel like John Rahm at this golf course to me,
03:31it's,
03:32it's like a,
03:33it seems like it's going to be a match made in heaven.
03:35Just his ability to fade the golf ball into some of these really difficult,
03:40challenging greens.
03:41He drives it long and straight.
03:42Rahm to me is,
03:44is a player at this course,
03:46you know,
03:47Dustin Johnson,
03:48at this place back in 16.
03:50So I,
03:51I,
03:52I just,
03:53I keep thinking about wherever Rahm,
03:55I don't know what Rahm's odds are,
03:57but to me,
03:58one.
03:59Yeah.
04:00Which is the,
04:01the,
04:02the fourth shortest and tied with Bryson 12 to one.
04:04Yeah.
04:05I mean,
04:06I know this is it's,
04:07it's early.
04:08So a lot of these are going to feel chalky when we're talking about
04:10them,
04:11but I,
04:12I just,
04:13you know,
04:14more so than any of these majors,
04:15we know the U S open is a grueling,
04:18demanding precision execution test.
04:21Right.
04:22On every single shot you hit in,
04:25in this major.
04:26And so to me,
04:27and we were talking a few months ago about the,
04:29I think it was gold digest that did the,
04:31the stat profiles of the webs of what everyone does.
04:34Well,
04:35and Xander was the only guy that had all five tools.
04:38And to me,
04:39it's,
04:40I know that's a little chalky,
04:41but to me,
04:42it's like,
04:43he is the guy that if you're telling me,
04:45you have to hit it straight on every single shot,
04:48you know,
04:49off the T and,
04:50and with approach shots,
04:52and you have to be a very solid putter on difficult greens.
04:55That to me is where I think Xander gets his third major of his
04:58career.
04:59Just because it,
05:00of,
05:01of how demanding and exacting Oakmont is going to be as a test
05:04of golf.
05:05Okay.
05:06I think.
05:07Yeah.
05:08So I got Scotty at the masters.
05:10I've got JT at quail at the PGA.
05:13And I've got Xander at Oakmont and we're going to wait for
05:16Smiley's.
05:17Okay.
05:18I'll get these pics.
05:19I'll catch up with,
05:20I'll catch up with you here.
05:21So for the masters,
05:22I'm going to go with a.
05:25I'm going to go with the first time winner and would be go bird.
05:27Oh,
05:28I love that.
05:30Which is what also is interesting to the last time there hasn't
05:34been a first time winner in a major championship was 2014.
05:38So it,
05:39that,
05:40that trend from 2015 and on,
05:42there's been a first time winner.
05:44I'm going to go with Ludwig Oberg.
05:46I think his experience last year is going to help him this year.
05:50And Hey,
05:51if it went for a pulled six iron on the 11th hole,
05:54who knows what happens.
05:55And guess what?
05:56He's not going to do on Sunday this year.
05:57If he has the opportunity pulled in that dang pond.
06:00So give me Ludwig there.
06:02Although Scotty,
06:03like any of these picks,
06:04I'm like,
06:05I'd like to take Scotty for them all.

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