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00:00When we get to the running backs here, I mean, you have a clear top two.
00:06The two all year long, it's Saquon Barkley, it's Derrick Henry.
00:10Is that where your eye would go, Donnie?
00:11Yes, your eye would go there, but you know what we're going to sprinkle on, just to try
00:14to have some fun with this?
00:15How about Lamar Jackson at 40-1 to lead the playoffs in rushing?
00:19How about Jalen Hurts, 150-1?
00:22So if you're saying to yourself, yes, I like Saquon at 195, why not sprinkle a little bit
00:26on Hurts?
00:27Because if he wins that, they're probably in the Super Bowl.
00:29You don't want to say injuries and what can happen, but we've seen quarterbacks.
00:31Who's to say today, like, you just have a playoff game and Lamar Jackson rolls out of
00:35the pocket on his own 20-yard line and runs for 80 yards.
00:39There you go.
00:40I'm not saying they can win, but it's a nice little insurance policy with a couple shekels
00:44that you can place on either one of those guys, and if it comes up aces at 150-1, crazy.
00:49Yeah, great value.
00:50I'll take it a step further.
00:52You talk about running quarterbacks.
00:53How about Josh Allen, 33-1?
00:55I believe Bills will be in the AFC Championship.
00:59I like the way they're running the football.
01:01James Cook has good value at plus 950.
01:03I'll give you my flyer, my lottery ticket, and it's going to go, again, it has to go
01:10if they win tomorrow, but Josh Jacobs, when you look at 25-1.
01:14I know.
01:15Goes against the desk.
01:16I know that.
01:17I like them plus the 4.5, but let me just say this.
01:20Josh Jacobs, how he's been such an integral part of that offense and knowing how they
01:25want to run the football somehow, some way.
01:28They do pick up the victory on the road.
01:30You're getting one of the best running backs at 25-1.
01:33I'm not saying he's right on the level of Saquon and Derek, but he's going to be getting
01:37the ball just as much.
01:38Yeah, I think the attraction there for me on the Jacobs number, that's a team that's
01:4210-1 to win the conference.
01:45If they win that conference, you're going to get four games out of Jacobs.
01:48That certainly would be a very tempting number.
01:50Whether I think that happens is a different conversation.
01:53I will say for me, this is the one market that I'm not as tempted in.
01:58If Saquon or Derek Henry, if it's not one of them, it means neither guy even made the
02:04conference title game, which is already a bit of a mountain to climb there.
02:08The Gibbs angle, I think the Gibbs number's atrocious.
02:11Do you?
02:12Montgomery's coming back.
02:13Yes, correct.
02:14And the Lions are insane.
02:15Listen, I've been banging this drum since I put money on Gibbs last year to win Offensive
02:18Rookie of the Year.
02:20They drafted Gibbs.
02:21They know how good he is, but Dan Campbell's a gimmick.
02:24So we've seen what Jameer Gibbs looks like since the battle count down the past two weeks.
02:28He's one of the best running backs in football.
02:30We love David Montgomery's stuff.
02:31Okay, goal.
02:32So a hobbit David Montgomery's going to grab 10-12 carries off of Gibbs' plate.
02:36He will.
02:37That's a 7-1 at a max three-game player.
02:39It's an atrocious number.
02:40It is a bad number.
02:41That number is only-
02:42Are we sure that Montgomery doesn't just get goal line opportunities?
02:47If his leg got amputated and he sewed it back on himself, he would get 10 carries from
02:52Dan Campbell.
02:53And get the first look at the touchdowns.
02:54I guess he's blue-collar.
02:56But listen, to the point, right?
02:59The playoff rushing touchdown leader, right, Gibbs 8-50, Montgomery 10-1.
03:04That tells you everything you need to know.
03:06The books are like, now listen, right inside the belly there.
03:10The most tempting number in that market to me is it is a foolish wager, but it is Saquon
03:17at 7-1.
03:18Jalen Hurts, it's interesting, Donnie.
03:21In this market, it's as if the books know Hurts is the guy who scores the touchdown.
03:26When you go to the anytime touchdown score market for, say, tomorrow, Saquon has a much
03:30heavier number at 7-1.
03:33He is a tempting wager for me here.
03:36Yes, and also if you're led to believe that, well, you take a look at the concussion scenarios
03:41for Hurts.
03:42No, they're going to push you through.
03:43Kenny Pickett had like 19 broken ribs, like, push this man into the end zone.
03:47It doesn't matter.
03:48This is what we do.
03:49But it is intriguing to see because, obviously, they're not going to give the ball to Saquon
03:52at the 1.
03:53But Saquon Barkley's hitting home runs, which include from 15 to 30 to 50 yards out, is
03:57a possibility there.
03:58So I like that look.
03:59I put it this way.
04:00I'd still rather bank on Saquon at 7-1 than Hurts at plus 6-50 because I do still think
04:06outside of the tush pushes, he's probably going to score more touchdowns than Jalen
04:09Hurts is.
04:10Yeah, but we're not.
04:11You know what?
04:12Like, they might start the tush push at the 5.
04:13Now, first we go at the 5.
04:14Here's the thing.
04:15Everything we just said, delete that.
04:16We don't agree anymore.
04:17I'm telling you, we know Hurts is going to score.
04:18Like, you're probably better off just betting Hurts and Josh Allen because now that the
04:21playoffs are here, Josh Allen's going to be like, James Cook, that was fun, congrats for
04:25all your history.
04:26Beat it.
04:27I'm running these in now.
04:28Well, then what about Lamar at 19-1 for most rushes?
04:30He just doesn't score as much as everybody thinks.
04:32You say that.
04:33Yeah, I know.
04:34But then all of a sudden, come playoff time, RPO goal line.
04:37This is it.
04:38No Derrick Henry.
04:39It'll be the Lamar Jackson show.
04:42I mean, 19-1?
04:43Maybe.
04:44I mean, if Josh is 7-1.
04:47Josh scores way more than him.
04:48Like, there's a big gap.
04:51I don't mean you specifically.
04:52No, I know.
04:53I don't mean you.
04:54Josh Allen feels like he's the goal line back on Buffalo when you know the goal line back
04:58at Baltimore is always going to be Derrick Henry, and the same thing, the goal line back
05:01in Philadelphia is Jalen Hurts.
05:03Not supposed to be that way, but it is.