"Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Program 2nd Session Closing, Selasa (04/02/2025) dengan tema Analisis Saham PTBA, DEWA, ELSA".
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00:30PTBA's energy sector is dominated by Buy On Witness.
00:35Their support is at 2,650.
00:38Their resistance is at 2,800.
00:41PTBA is also our listed company for today.
00:45Then there's DEWA's Buy On Witness at 104.
00:48Their resistance is at 130.
00:50And lastly, there's ELSA's Buy On Witness.
00:54Their support is at 430.
00:56Their resistance is at 480.
00:59Those are the three recommended options.
01:01And again, the investment decision is still in the hands of IDX Channel.
01:07Let's continue our discussion with Mr. Halim Mintareja,
01:10Brands Manager, JUSS, Antonio, Surabaya.
01:13Mr. Halim, let's go back to the three options you recommended.
01:18First, we'll try to review PTBA's energy sector.
01:22You recommended Buy On Witness.
01:24Let's start with technical considerations.
01:27Why did you choose PTBA?
01:30Technically, it's been a flat base for a long time.
01:34From mid-December until the end of February.
01:38It's been a flat base for three months.
01:40And the sales are good.
01:44In terms of tonnage, it's good.
01:46And I think the report will be released soon.
01:48And I think it's good.
01:51It's better than Q3D.
01:55And the sentiment from Daina is also good.
01:58One of the reasons is that the US coal tariff is 10%.
02:06So there is a good sentiment for the coal sector in Indonesia.
02:10In the middle of the commodity price movement,
02:13which is still under pressure,
02:15the latest data shows that the US dollar is already below US$120 per ton.
02:19How do you see the prospect for the future?
02:22If we look at the energy sector,
02:24while the diversification position is still not optimal
02:27to replace the position of the coal community.
02:32The decrease in coal is around US$150 per ton.
02:38So it's below US$120 per ton.
02:40And that's quite significant.
02:41But PTBA, 40% of it runs domestically.
02:46More than 40% of it is domestically.
02:48So the local price is not too affected.
02:51The decrease is not as big as PTMG,
02:54the impact on PTBA.
02:56And the price of PTBA has also decreased quite a bit,
02:59from around US$3,150 to US$2,700, almost 10%.
03:04By one of the weakness, at what level for PTBA?
03:08Around US$2,670 to US$2,700.
03:13In this area, it's okay.
03:14In the consolidation area.
03:16And the target is around US$2,800.
03:19Until when is the target for PTBA, sir?
03:21Until the report comes out.
03:24Until the report comes out in February.
03:27Okay.
03:28In terms of pattern, sir,
03:29it touched the highest level at around US$3,100.
03:33Then in the last few months,
03:35from early 2025 to February,
03:40the power is still limited.
03:42It's still quite wide.
03:43The range will be chased to the highest level
03:46six months before.
03:47The pattern for PTBA?
03:49Yes.
03:50The pattern is,
03:52besides the downtrend,
03:53the downtrend has been successful,
03:54now it's sideways.
03:55This will be chased back up,
03:56but for New Iceberg,
03:58it's heavy.
03:59There is a strong resistance at US$3,000.
04:01So the target is US$2,800,
04:02which is quite good for PTBA there.
04:08While the first one is PTBA,
04:09Mirsa is recommended by OnWeakness.
04:11The support is at US$2,650.
04:13The resistance is at US$2,800.
04:16And again, the investment decision
04:18is still in the hands of Mirsa IDX Channel.
04:20Let's move on to the second sample, sir.
04:22There is DEWA.
04:23You also recommended by OnWeakness.
04:26Analysis and recommendations for DEWA.
04:31DEWA, when the recommendation was made,
04:34it was still a console,
04:35it hadn't recorded at US$120,
04:37so it didn't change much.
04:38When the recommendation was made,
04:41it just started at US$120,
04:43it was still consolidated,
04:44the flat base was good,
04:45the volume was good.
04:47But suddenly, after the recommendation was made,
04:50it recorded at US$120,
04:52until our target was set at US$130.
04:55So it can be said that it's invalid.
04:58If you want to enter now,
05:00it seems that the resistance above is already quite big.
05:02If you already have it, it's okay.
05:04Put a rally stop,
05:05we can sell on strength.
05:06What level is that, sir?
05:09Sell on strength,
05:10in the middle,
05:11today is US$130,
05:14the closing is US$117,
05:15so around US$120 to US$125,
05:17we sell on strength.
05:19For those who have already taken a position like that,
05:22Mr. Halim?
05:23Yes, those who already have a position,
05:24I will sell on strength there.
05:26If you don't have a position,
05:28forget it,
05:29because it has risen quite a lot
05:30and there is already enough resistance.
05:32There is already enough resistance.
05:33It's not hard to break US$130.
05:35Yes.
05:36Or those who have profit-taking
05:37and want to buy back again,
05:39WITNC is the best?
05:41I don't recommend it.
05:42Yes, WITNC.
05:43I don't recommend it
05:44because the volume is quite big today
05:46and usually the big volume above
05:48has made resistance.
05:50So the risk reward is not suitable
05:52for new entry.
05:54If you already have it,
05:55sell on strength tomorrow.
05:56Okay.
05:58Those who want to enter have not been recommended.
06:00But actually,
06:01from the volume side,
06:03what is it like for Dewa?
06:05Volume, yes.
06:06Dewa,
06:07when the recommendation was made,
06:09the volume below
06:11was quite big.
06:13So the push was quite strong.
06:14Yes.
06:15But then in the afternoon,
06:17it was pulled.
06:18Pulled up to US$129
06:20using the number PSAB.
06:22Oh, that's with PSAB.
06:23Well, this is the direction of PSAB,
06:25but Dewa fell quite a lot
06:27with a fairly good volume.
06:29Well, usually there is already resistance like this.
06:31There is already a resistance volume
06:33at US$120 to US$119.
06:35But the PSAB is in the direction of A.
06:37So maybe tomorrow there is a sentiment
06:40that can be used to sell on strength.
06:43Okay.
06:44We move to the third option.
06:46The last one, sir, is Elsa.
06:48Closed and weakened 1.75%,
06:504.50%.
06:51Today's intraday is more dominant in the red zone.
06:54How interesting is it for Elsa,
06:56especially from a technical point of view,
06:58and by un-weakness at what level?
07:00Sir, Elsa is interesting like this.
07:02It has been flat-pitched for quite a long time.
07:04The flat-pitch has been consolidated
07:06and this
07:07will be affected by the oil.
07:09The technical oil is not good.
07:11The technical oil is down-trend,
07:13but it is more towards the surface.
07:15So the price of oil is not directly affected by it.
07:17It's more contra-contra.
07:19Its pigmentary is bigger.
07:21Well, how is this?
07:23This is the LKQ3.
07:25It's bad because there's an adjustment.
07:31There is a one-off loss.
07:33This is the Q3.
07:34The one-off loss is gone.
07:36So it is estimated that the Q4 will be good again.
07:39And yesterday, there were some brokers
07:42who have started to consolidate.
07:45Consolidated at 450.
07:47Above 450.
07:48Yesterday it was broken,
07:50but today there is a pullback with a small volume.
07:52This pullback can be used
07:55to bear weakness around 450.
07:58446-450.
08:02Its stop-loss is below 440.
08:06The market is around 480.
08:08What is the potential of the 500?
08:10What is the opportunity for Elsa?
08:12The 500 is difficult because there is a lot of resistance.
08:15And the market is also not supportive.
08:18The market is not supportive.
08:20The price of oil has also dropped a lot.
08:22The PII market is also not crowded.
08:25The PII is in a row.
08:27So for break resistance, it seems a bit heavy.
08:29So 480 resistance is quite strong.
08:32Except the PII is back to bullish.
08:34We don't know where the consolidation is.
08:37If the PII is back to bullish, maybe it can change again.
08:40Okay, the three recommended options are PTBA, DEWA, and Elsa.
08:45And again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the IDEA Channel.
08:49We have reached the last segment.
08:51Thank you for joining us.
08:53Mr. Halim, let's continue.
08:55A few questions have entered our interactive chat.
08:58First, we go to Mr. Jason from Jakarta.
09:01Mr. Jason from Jakarta asks, has DRMA been bought at 920?
09:06Is it still recommended to hold for DRMA?
09:10DRMA is still sideways.
09:12If it's already bought at 920, just hold it.
09:15The last support is at 880.
09:19So if it's 880, it's out first.
09:22The resistance is MA200 996.
09:25It can be multiplied by 1000.
09:28So between 950 and 1000, there is resistance.
09:31If you want to update it to 1000, the stock loss is below 890.
09:36Okay, the closing today at 910 is 0.55%.
09:41Mr. Jason from Jakarta.
09:43Again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the IDEA Channel.
09:47Next, we will try to check.
09:50This does not mention the name and location.
09:52I want to ask about the gold producer stock.
09:55PSAB is already at the price of 322.
09:59Can the PSAB stock go up again to the entry price at 322?
10:11Hello, Mr. Halim.
10:15Mr. Halim, hello.
10:17Yes, there is a PSAB stock.
10:19Asked, does not mention the name and location.
10:23Asked, the PSAB stock is already at 322.
10:28Can the PSAB stock go up again?
10:35Today I will try to deliver for PSAB.
10:37Still strong at 284.
10:40Strengthened significantly at 24.56%.
10:46The lowest intraday today was at 224.
10:50The highest intraday at 284.
10:53And it is also the highest level throughout today's trading.
11:00Then, in the last few days,
11:04the PSAB stock experienced a fairly high fluctuation.
11:08The highest level today, or in the last 6 months,
11:12at Rp 410 per share.
11:15And the lowest level was at 202.
11:20It happened at the end of September.
11:24However, in August, September, October and November,
11:28PSAB experienced significant strengthening.
11:33However, again, this level cannot be maintained.
11:36PSAB strengthens more towards the limit,
11:40and even tends to be stressed.
11:42Meanwhile, in November trading,
11:44after touching the highest intraday in October,
11:47the PSAB stock fell quite deep to the level of Rp 300.
11:52And the position at the same level, at Rp 300,
11:56throughout December trading,
11:58at the end of 2024.
12:02Then, entering trading in 2024,
12:06the PSAB stock,
12:08this pressure is getting stronger,
12:10and has left a level of Rp 300.
12:13Yes, I will try to call back Mr. Halim.
12:17Mr. Halim, please.
12:18Yes, good afternoon.
12:21Yes, that's right, sir.
12:22For PSAB, sir, stuck at Rp 322, sir,
12:25today significantly increased to Rp 284.
12:28Rp 322, yes.
12:29Yes, can...
12:30Watch the news today.
12:32There was news that it was going to be acquired by DEWA.
12:37So yesterday, today,
12:39so it is likely that tomorrow it can jump quite a bit.
12:43Tomorrow, we will test it at Rp 340.
12:46If it passes, we can move to Rp 420.
12:49Okay.
12:50When you have taken a position at Rp 322,
12:53and there is a possibility that there will be a profit,
12:56for PSAB,
12:57what is the strategy to maximize the profit?
13:01Just hold it.
13:04Just hold it, sir?
13:05Hold it between Rp 80 to Rp 340, yes.
13:08Okay.
13:09Just hold it, sir.
13:10Because the rallying stock,
13:11if there is a red rallying stock,
13:12it will come out first.
13:13Okay.
13:14What is the rallying stock, sir?
13:16The rallying stock is...
13:19Eh, the answer is the cycle of today.
13:21Okay.
13:22Rp 284.
13:23Okay.
13:24Let's move to BRPT, sir.
13:25Mr. Samecto from Surabaya.
13:27Has it been recommended well for BRPT?
13:30BRPT is still sideways with...
13:34with its resistance, yes.
13:36There is Rp 20, the volume is still not there.
13:40If you already have it,
13:41the recommendation is still not there
13:43with the stock and rallying stock.
13:46The rallying stock is Rp 910.
13:48The resistance is Rp 1110.
13:52Okay.
13:53If you already have it, just skip it.
13:54The resistance is heavy.
13:55Okay.
13:56Lastly, Mr. Ibu Liana from Surabaya.
13:58CBDK.
13:59Do you want to buy it?
14:00Is it recorded or not?
14:02If you just want to buy it,
14:04just look for another one.
14:05This resistance is quite heavy.
14:07And the sentiment,
14:08the sea market sentiment,
14:10the panic is still high, yes.
14:12Okay.
14:13So, avoid it for now.
14:15Yes, CBDK.
14:16For Ibu Liana from Surabaya
14:18and again, the investment decision
14:20is still in the hands of the ADI Channel.
14:22Our time is limited.
14:23We are sorry.
14:24From the technical side,
14:27there is a delay in the duration of the broadcast.
14:29Please join us again
14:31in time and in the program
14:32and in the next trading day.
14:34Thank you, Mr. Halim,
14:36for your participation today, sir.
14:40Yes, thank you too.
14:42Thank you, Mr. Halim.
14:43Minta Reja, Brands Manager,
14:44JWSN, Antonia, Surabaya.
14:46And viewers, don't forget to watch
14:48the Prime Market Highlight program
14:49which will air at 8.20
14:51on Indonesia Barat.
14:52For the upcoming issues,
14:53stay tuned.
14:54I am Investor Saham.
14:55I am David San.
14:56Please excuse me.
14:57See you again.