Can Patriots UPSET Bills? + Week 7 NFL Picks | Presented by OddsR - video Dailymotion

CLNS Media Sports Network

Prepare for an in-depth analysis of the Week 7 betting scene with our distinguished hosts, Taylor Kyles from CLNS Media and Mike Kadlick of WEEI.  In this wagering segment powered by OddsR, Taylor and Mike will delve into the FanDuel Sportsbook odds for the match-up between the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills as well as other AFC East clashes. Their sharp insights aim to provide priceless guidance for those keen on betting or simply wishing to grasp a richer comprehension of the matches.  Fanduel Sportsbook is the exclusive wagering partner of the CLNS Media Network. NEW customers can bet $5 and get $200 in BONUS BETS – GUARANTEED. Now is the best time to join FanDuel! The app is easy to use and you can be on everything from spreads to player props and more! So, visit https://FanDuel.com/BOSTON and kick off the NFL season with an offer you won’t wanna miss. 21+ and present in MA. Hope is here. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bets that expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. GamblingHelpLineMa.org or call (800)-327-5050 for 24/7 support. Play it smart from the start! GameSenseMA.com or call 1-800-GAM-1234.  Ever wished you could navigate the betting field with the confidence of a pro? Enter Download the Odds-R App! They're not a sportsbook, but they're the sports betting advisor you've always needed. It's like having a playbook for smarter bets right in your pocket. I've been absolutely loving the experience, and I think you will too. Especially since Patriots Press Pass viewers get a 30-day free trial! Elevate your game day and join the smart betting revolution! Go get it at https://oddsr.com/presspass  Visit https://factormeals.com/PRESSPASS50 to get 50% off your first box! Factor is America’s #1 Ready-To-Eat Meal Kit, can help you fuel up fast with ready-to-eat meals delivered straight to your door.

Transcript

00:00 All right, everybody. Welcome back. It is Friday again with me, Mike Kadlec from WEI,

00:05 joined by Taylor Kiles from CLNS Media here on Patriots Press Pass, like we do every single

00:12 Friday and weekend heading into the NFL slate, bringing you six games to bet on,

00:17 courtesy of, or odds courtesy of FanDuel, but the segment is powered by OddsR. If you head over to

00:23 oddsr.com/presspass, you will get a 30-day free trial of OddsR. What is OddsR? Like I've said

00:30 every week here, it is basically what me and Taylor do here, but it's an actual AI machine

00:35 computer that tells you what to bet, what not to bet on. They'll give you the green light,

00:39 means go, take the bet. Yellow light says maybe, red light, stay away. It's real simple. They'll

00:45 give you the best advice over at OddsR for all of your betting needs. So we're going to start here,

00:50 like I said, rifling through six games of the week, and we will start with the New England

00:55 Patriots. Our New England Patriots, the Patriots are eight and a half point underdogs according

01:01 to FanDuel. The total is 40 and a half. And if you really think the Patriots are going to upset

01:06 the Bills at home, you can get them at plus 330 on the money line. So Taylor, we've been down there

01:12 all week catching the vibe of the team. Obviously you've been studying the crap out of the Bills

01:18 with the old Anthony Cover One over there. You guys have done great work. You can check that out

01:23 here on Patriots Press House as well if you haven't already. But with what you've seen from this team,

01:28 with what you've seen with the Bills team, obviously the Patriots have a lengthy injury

01:32 report so far this week and things aren't going great. They've lost three straight. There's

01:38 whispers of Bill Belichick and Mac Jones and resetting and trade deadline. And long story

01:45 short, it's not good. So what do you make of this matchup? Can they do the upset? Can they make the

01:49 upset? And yeah, do you think they have any chance at all? It's hard to say they do when Josh Allen's

01:57 kind of owned them in recent history. He's like four and oh in their past four games. But at the

02:01 same time, I guess maybe as I've talked to Anthony, I'm starting to think maybe there is a chance

02:06 because the Bills have been pretty inconsistent this year. Like we've seen Josh Allen, like evil

02:10 Josh Allen come out. They'll see good Josh Allen come out like against the Dolphins. And then the

02:16 defense obviously lost two incredible players in Matt Milano and Tredavious White. That's,

02:21 you know, their version of losing Christian Gonzalez and Matthew Judon, like massive,

02:26 massive loss on that side of the ball. And they're pretty inconsistent on defense. They're

02:30 very boomer bust. So they generate a ton of takeaways. They're very disruptive up front.

02:35 They have a lot of tackles for loss, no gain, all those, you know, all that good stuff. But

02:38 at the same time, they give up a lot of big plays. Like you can pick on Kier Elam, who was one of

02:43 their more coveted picks a couple of years ago. Other defensive front is very aggressive. And as

02:47 Patriots fans have seen, you know, in the past, they've used a lot of those whams and traps where

02:52 you get a tight end or a guard coming and the defensive tackle thinks he's just got free reign

02:57 up the field and then just gets ear hold. So they can be had if you're patient and you keep the game

03:03 closing and actually run the ball. So I think if the Patriots can establish a ground game, I think

03:08 that the chances are going to be pretty good that they stay in the game and the defense, you know,

03:12 the bend but don't break thing. Like as long as they don't let Josh Allen throw over their heads,

03:16 much easier said than done. I think the Patriots might be able to keep it relatively close.

03:20 But I also want to keep it head and out.

03:22 - Eight and a half points spread. What do you think?

03:25 - Oh yeah. I, oh man.

03:27 - Put you on the spot here.

03:28 - I'm going to give it to the, I'd say take the Bills still. Like I, I think the Patriots have

03:34 to show me more than what they've shown me. They had their best offensive showing last week,

03:37 but even still Mack Jones like should have had two turnovers, had one, one should have been a pick

03:42 six to close out the game. So yeah, I'm going to go with Buffalo, but I will say there's a chance

03:47 for the Patriots.

03:48 - All right. I like it. I'm with you. I think, yeah, I know that, you know, like you said,

03:54 evil Josh Allen, me and my friends call it 2017, 2018 Josh Allen, whereas a rookie, he would just,

04:00 you know, try and light the world on fire and make some, some boneheaded mistake. But the thing is,

04:05 and you mentioned it being four and O in their last four, I think he's five and one in his last

04:09 six against this team. Like he owns the Patriots and that Josh Allen rarely ever comes out against

04:14 this team. Everyone talks about the, you know, Bill Belichick takes away their best weapon and

04:19 makes it beat everyone else. Like that doesn't happen against this Buffalo team, Josh Allen and

04:22 Stefan Diggs smoke them. And they've smoked them the last six times they faced each other,

04:27 even in the loss in the wind game. Like that was, I mean, that was sort of the anomaly here,

04:32 that the Bill's on the Patriots. And you said it, what we've seen from this Patriots team the last

04:37 three weeks, even though they did keep it relatively competitive against the Raiders,

04:41 at the end of the day, they still didn't beat the Raiders. They've lost their last three.

04:44 Until I see a difference, I got to take the opponent as well. So I think Bill's minus eight

04:49 and a half. And I don't know how much this Patriots team is going to score again either,

04:53 because you talk about that, that front at Oliver, AJ at Vanessa, obviously Leonard Floyd

04:57 is an addition this year. Von Miller's comes back from PUP that we really, if we talk about

05:02 Von Miller, because he hasn't been around yet, but he can dominate a game and he can muck up a game

05:06 too. So I like the Bill's minus eight and a half. I also like the under 40 and a half, because I

05:12 don't think the Patriots are going to score a lot of points. I don't think they're going to have to

05:15 going to be able to get it going against that Bill's front. So let's move on to game two.

05:21 We have chargers at chiefs at Arrowhead stadium. I don't know if we know if Taylor Swift is going

05:27 to be in the building yet. However, her friends from L actually she's from New York. She's not

05:32 even really an LA girl, but yeah, yeah, exactly. I'm walking here. The LA chargers are coming to

05:39 town. Chiefs minus four, minus five and a half, excuse me, at FanDuel. The total is a little

05:45 higher than obviously the Bill's game, Patriots game 47 and a half. We saw the chargers on Monday

05:52 night against the Cowboys. Justin Herbert still makes all the throws, still tries to make all the

05:58 plays, but somehow some way the kid can't really get it done in the end. I don't know if that's

06:03 a coaching thing. I don't know if that's a him not being able to, you know, get over said hump,

06:08 or if it's a little bit in the middle, because he does have a decent OC with him and Kelly Moore.

06:12 He does have the weapons, but it seems like Brandon Staley sort of gets in his own way there.

06:16 Obviously we know the chiefs, probably the best team in football, them and the 49ers,

06:22 obviously. So these games always tend to be close, you know, division rivalry, especially at Arrowhead,

06:28 the chargers usually show up there. So five and a half points spread for the chiefs. What do you

06:32 make of the matchup in the AFC West? I think this is a chiefs game. You know, I think the Cowboys are

06:38 a solid team. They're a better defense and they are, I think a team and Dak Prescott obviously

06:42 put the team on his back when he needed to. But at the same time, like you said, for some reason,

06:47 they, the chargers can't close out games. And I think the chiefs have a really, really good young

06:51 defense on top of all the magic they can make with her, with, with Kelsey and with Mahomes and the

06:57 chargers play a lot of zone. And I think it's literally like 90% of Travis Kelsey's production

07:02 this year has been against some coverage. So, yeah, I mean, these are teams I'm like super,

07:07 super familiar with, so I I'm not going to get deep into the weeds. I'm just going to go with

07:10 what I know. And what I know is I think the chiefs are going to handle business pretty thoroughly.

07:14 Yeah, I'm with you. I think you talk about it too. I mean, that's, that's the perfect way to

07:18 sum this thing up is, you know, that that's own coverage that I'm playing the most versus

07:22 Travis Kelsey where from, you know, not an outsider, but like sort of the outside looking in,

07:27 you turn on and watch a chiefs game and you see Travis Kelsey in the middle of the field wide

07:32 open. And it's like, why aren't they covering that guy? It's like, well, they're trying to,

07:36 he just beats the crap out of his own coverage and they just know how to read it. And they have that,

07:39 you know, I swear to God, my homes and Kelsey have some sort of telepathy on the field because

07:44 they are always on the same page. They're always working. Clearly they put in the work.

07:48 As far as the spread I do, I think the chiefs are going to win the game. I think you're right.

07:54 We've seen it from the charges that they can't really close it out, but they do keep it close.

07:58 And these games always do end up close. I think last year, even there was, you know,

08:03 what comes to mind is that one play when Justin Herbert, like completely broken ribs, somehow

08:08 still, you know, fired a deep post to Deandre Carter right on the chest. And they ended up

08:13 like keeping it within a field goal or may might even on the game. So these teams show up,

08:17 Herbert shows out. They're more of in a must win mode, I think, than the chiefs are here.

08:22 So I don't know if they'll win, but I do think they'll cover five and a half. And I also like

08:25 the over 47 and a half. I think in these spots, these teams score points. Each team could easily

08:31 score 25, 28 here. So I'm going to go with somebody scored 25 points. Yeah, it's crazy,

08:38 right? You know, actual offense getting the end zone. It's it's something to see if you turn on

08:43 NFL football outside of the New England Patriots. So I'm going to go chargers plus five and a half,

08:48 and I'm going to take the over 47 and a half. You can do both of those at fan dual sportsbook. So

08:53 right now we are going to take a moment and listen to them. Give us a word.

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09:50 That's where you can find all the odds that we've talked about here. All the other games outside of

09:56 these six. Um, so go check it out. Fan dual.com/Boston. You'll get some bonus bets over

10:01 there. Moving on here. We have the Pittsburgh Steelers taking on the Los Angeles Rams at home

10:07 at SoFi, uh, Rams staying out there this weekend. Rams are minus three on the spread minus one 78

10:15 on the money line. You get the Steelers at plus one 50, if you so choose. And that total is at 43

10:21 and a half. Uh, the Steelers coming off the bi-week. They also get Deontay Johnson back

10:25 this week. Um, I believe his practice window has been open and he could come back as soon

10:30 as this weekend. So Kenny Pickett getting one of his guys back, uh, the LA Rams,

10:35 they obviously have Cooper cup back at Stafford is throwing the ball as well as anybody. He always

10:40 does that. I mean, we talk about Stafford almost every week here on the show. Taylor, I mean,

10:44 that guy's a stud when he's healthy, when him and McVay are on, when him and Cooper copper on that

10:49 offense can just hum and they can, even if they don't score, you know, sometimes it's almost like

10:54 it kind of feels my homes and Kelsey S where like, they'll go three, four or five drives without

10:59 scoring. And it's all of a sudden backs against the wall. It's like, Oh, okay, let's just go bang,

11:02 bang, bang and score a touchdown. So, um, those guys obviously legit. Um, I'm kind of surprised

11:07 that this is only a three point spread. I know the Rams are three and three and have struggled a

11:11 little bit, but, um, I'm going to give my pick first. I think I like the Rams here. Um, just,

11:16 you know, again, just talking it over in my head here. I think Steelers coming off a buy is tough

11:20 because coaches like Mike Tomlin, like Andy Reed, um, used to be like Bill Belichick come off of by

11:26 get right week and sort of, you know, get in on the action. But, um, I don't know about the Steelers

11:32 this year. I know we've sort of talked about them a bunch, um, falling in love with Kenny Pickett,

11:38 liking them and then sort of falling off. So, um, I like the Rams here minus three and a half,

11:42 but what do you make of the matchup with Pittsburgh coming off the by heading to LA

11:46 and taking on the Los Angeles Rams? Yeah, man, I'm not putting my faith in Pittsburgh.

11:50 They scored, I'll say they scored 10 points last week. They scored six points against the Texans.

11:56 It's not been a great season for them. Uh, even with the by week and also the Rams, I love Matt

12:01 Stafford, as you said. Um, and also they have a really good run. They have a really good running

12:06 game, pretty good defense. This is another one. I'm not going to overthink. I think this is,

12:09 this is Rams. Yeah. And the only thing you mentioned the run, the run, um,

12:14 the run offense with, uh, you met, you said run offense for the Rams, right?

12:18 Yes. Yeah. Yeah. So I didn't, I couldn't remember who said defense because Kyron Williams is also

12:22 out. Um, however, and I think Ronnie rivers, their backup is also nursing something, but that's sort

12:28 of a McVay Shanahan, Lafleur, whoever you want to call it, plug and play Mike McDaniel plug and play

12:36 running back system where, um, it's up to the blocks, it's up to the scheme and whoever they

12:41 throw back there can get, you know, besides cam acres, apparently in LA, everyone, anyone can get,

12:46 you know, three to five yards of pop and, and help Matt Stafford, uh, in that situation.

12:50 So I I'm with you, you're right. Don't overthink it. I think LA, um, three or more seems, you know,

12:56 again, it kind of feels like a, uh, uh, tricky line from, from the betting angle where it's like,

13:02 Oh, why is this only three points in Pittsburgh? Somehow squeaks one out. But again, you're right.

13:06 Don't overthink it. That's, that's me overthinking it here. I think LA wins. Um, they could win by

13:10 10 or more. I like their offense much more than Pittsburgh's offense. So moving on Arizona

13:16 Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks out on the West coast, the Seahawks are seven and a half point

13:21 favorites. Uh, the total is 44 and a half Cardinals are three to one plus 300 on the money line at

13:28 FanDuel. Um, Cardinals getting Kyler Murray back this week at practice. Anyway, he opened his 21

13:35 day window to return from injured reserve after tearing his ACL, uh, last season. Apparently he

13:41 was full go at practice according to Jonathan Gannon. So look, I don't know if he'll come back

13:46 this week. I feel like they'll probably let him ease back into this a little bit more, even though

13:50 they didn't give him an injury designation of practice. Um, so I think they'll still roll with

13:53 Josh Dodds. Um, Cardinals kind of a frisky team, but also just like a bad team. I keep using that

14:01 word frisky on here. I think frisky pairs perfectly with gambling. Cause I think it's, you know, you,

14:08 you go from a team that you think is, you know, a dog crap team like the Cardinals.

14:12 And then they all of a sudden, uh, bang one out and, you know, win a game against, you know,

14:16 the Seahawks, a division game like, like this weekend, but, uh, Gino still Gino Seahawks are,

14:21 you know, despite losing last weekend, I think they're, you know, a solid team that plays

14:26 competitive against just about everybody. Um, a, and again, another NFC West rivalry matchup here

14:32 that, you know, it's anyone's game really. And in most division games, including again, this,

14:37 this Buffalo bills Patriots game this weekend. So having said that seven and a half points spread,

14:43 uh, Cardinals at Seahawks, what do you think? Do you think the Seahawks cover? Do you think

14:47 the Cardinals can upset them? I think the Seahawks cover, I'm not gonna lie. These are

14:52 another two teams where like, I'm not doing a whole lot of deep dives into them, but I love me

14:56 some Gino Smith. I know there were like certain rookies that tackle last game and still did pretty

15:00 well. Um, and they got a good defense. So yeah, I'm going to go Seahawks. I think, uh, I think

15:05 they cover, I think they cover. Okay. Um, I'm going to take the Cardinals with the points.

15:10 I think seven and a half, uh, you know, a two possession game, you got to win by a fear Seahawks

15:14 to cover. I think, um, Cardinals, like again, they, they can keep it close here. They can,

15:20 you know, muck it up a little bit with, you know, some of their, the weapons they have and

15:23 no Hollywood Brown. Look, look, he's struggling. He hasn't been great since he left Baltimore,

15:27 but that's a guy who you get them ball in space and he can roll Josh Dobbs to like,

15:31 look, if thinking about the Cleveland Browns right now with PJ Walker getting a win against

15:38 San Francisco, I think in Deshaun Watson's obviously hurt, but Josh Dobbs for, uh,

15:45 was it Tennessee last season? You know, finished the season and got them into the playoffs,

15:49 goes to Cleveland, gets cut for Dorian Thompson Robinson, then DTR stinks. So then Josh Dobbs

15:54 goes to Arizona. He's playing pretty well. If Josh Dobbs was with Cleveland Browns right now,

16:00 I don't know if they would even turn back to Dejaun Watson. That guy's pretty good. Like that

16:03 guy can play ball. You plug them into a system and he just kind of rolls. So, um, I think they

16:07 can keep it close here in Seattle. I don't know if they'll win. It feels like, um, a little bit

16:12 of wishful thinking there for Arizona to win this one, but I do, I think they can keep it close.

16:16 So I'm going to go seven and a half plus seven and a half Cardinals. And, uh, I'm going to take

16:20 the over 44 and a half to, I trust those offenses to put up some points here. So, um, let's listen

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18:06 off with cold press pass. Let's round this thing out. Taylor, we got Sunday night football and

18:12 Monday night football to get to. Let's start with Sunday night first and we'll keep it in the AFC

18:16 East. The Miami dolphins are heading to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles. Eagles are two and a half

18:22 point favorites at Fandul. In total is high 51 and a half. Dolphins continue to roll that offense

18:30 is dominant. They had one hiccup against Buffalo and I guess against New England, but it's still

18:35 obviously got the win there. That team is rolling, taking on the Philadelphia Eagles who finally lost

18:41 last week. Surprisingly, they lose to the New York Jets of all people, the AFC East New York Jets. So

18:50 that was definitely something, but they come home again and they are two and a half point favorites

18:56 according to Fandul. Do the Miami dolphins keep rolling? Do the Eagles lose two in a row or do

19:02 you see Philly getting back on track and knocking off Miami? Yeah, the Eagles are down. I think Reed

19:08 Blankenship and Bradley Robey most likely, but that's tough. And I don't know what against

19:13 the dolphins, you kind of need all hands on deck. So yeah, I think this is one that they're,

19:18 the dolphins are going to be able to pull out. I think their defense is going to be able to do

19:21 enough. It's probably going to be a competitive game, probably going to be a pretty high scoring

19:25 game. But yeah, I'd expect the dolphins to come out on top. Yeah, I think so too. You talk about

19:30 it in that sense with the injuries on the Philly defense, that immediately tells me that the

19:35 dolphins are going to score some points because that's just what they do. I think they've, again,

19:40 I guess had, they hit two little roadblocks offensively with, I guess the Patriots and the

19:44 Buffalo Bills. But I mean, really this team is scoring like 38 points a game on average.

19:49 I know that's a little skewed from their 70 pointer, but nonetheless, they're still rolling.

19:53 They lead the league in rushing. They lead the league in passing. No matter who they put back

19:57 there at running back, they're going to go for like 100 and 200 plus. Two is obviously back there

20:01 slinging the ball all around the yard. Two Tyree killed, two Jalen Waddell, that offense rolls.

20:06 But then also thinking about it from Philly's perspective against the Jets struggling

20:11 offensively from a team that was undefeated and then lost their first game. So I think they get

20:16 back on track offensively. So I love the over 51 and a half. I think both of these teams can score

20:22 30 plus in this one with two defenses that are pretty subpar, especially with injury.

20:27 As far as the point spread, I think that Miami goes on the road and wins this one.

20:34 I think that team has a lot of Jews right now. So I like Miami plus two and a half.

20:38 Kind of surprising to see the defending NFC champion, Philadelphia Eagles lose two straight,

20:43 but with the way Miami is playing, I think it's hard, hard to defend that team and hard to,

20:47 hard to count them out for a loss right now. So with those injuries in the Philly secondary,

20:53 I'm going to go with Miami plus two and a half and I'm going to go over 51 and a half. So

20:59 rounding this one out, Taylor, we have Monday night football and we have the San Francisco 49ers

21:05 who also just lost last weekend to the Cleveland Browns. So no more undefeated teams in NFL

21:11 football this season. Yep. They are headed to the dome to the Minnesota Vikings to take on

21:19 Kirk cousins, who was Kyle Shanahan's one-time love. Can't get his hands on him. So now he's

21:25 got to deal with Brock party out there in San Fran who had his one sort of down game from an

21:31 otherwise MVP caliber season, at least according to our friends at FanDuel Brock party before last

21:36 weekend was the favorite now goes to two attack of ILO. The spread on this game, San Francisco on

21:43 the road favorites at minus seven. The total is 44 Vikings, obviously down Justin Jefferson,

21:50 San Francisco 49ers again, one hiccup last weekend, but they're still rolling. That team's

21:55 pretty dominant. Otherwise outside of last weekend's down game. So seven points spread

22:03 Niners coming off a loss Vikings down for the count, basically all season.

22:08 What do you make of the game? What do you make of the spread? Who wins this one?

22:10 Yeah, well, the 49ers, you never know with them how much like not participating in practice means

22:16 because they got a lot of older players who are really good, but they got like Aaron Banks, a

22:20 guard, Dre Greenlaw, Christian McCaffrey, Debo, Samuel and Trent Williams. None of them participated

22:25 yesterday. So that's a good Patriots injury report, right? Yeah. So like not not great, Bob,

22:31 but at the same time, it took the best defense in football, like by a wide margin, the Browns

22:37 to take down the 49ers. I don't think the Vikings are like that. So yeah, I'm even with some of

22:43 their key players out. I think the 49ers role in this one. I think so too. I think this is another

22:48 one of those. Don't overthink it. Like they give you the seven points for a, you know, a touchdown

22:53 game, but I think they could easily win by 10, 14, maybe even 21 year. Like it depends because

22:59 with Justin Jefferson out, the Vikings are obviously they've been down. They've been down

23:02 all season. Again, I think her cousins, this is probably his last year in Minnesota. I think

23:08 they'll sort of do a reset after this year. So they seem to again be, I keep saying it,

23:13 but down for the count Minnesota after last year, having all those close one possession games,

23:17 they can't now can't find a win to save their life. So in a bounce back spot on Monday night

23:24 football in prime time, San Fran comes in and rolls and Brock Purdy might actually take over

23:28 that top dog MVP slot once again, as we leave week seven. So that'll do it for us. Make sure

23:35 you follow Taylor Kyle's on Twitter at T Kyle's 39, read all of his stuff, film breakdowns and

23:41 analysis at cnsmedia.com. It's the best in the business, at least out here in New England,

23:46 maybe even across the entire country. So make sure you get the world world. You can follow

23:52 myself on Twitter at my Catholic read all my Patriots analysis and coverage@wei.com.

23:59 Get on the action this weekend at fan duel and check out odds are.com slash press talk as well

24:06 for your 30 day free trial of odds. That'll do it. We'll see you in week eight. Hopefully we win

24:11 some money Taylor. We'll see what goes on. But until next time, thank you all for watching and

24:23 (upbeat music)

24:26 [BLANK_AUDIO]

Can Patriots UPSET Bills? + Week 7 NFL Picks | Presented by OddsR

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