A cold front is moving across the east, bringing winds over 100km/h.
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00:00Hello from the Bureau with an update on the severe weather that's buffeting
00:03southeastern parts of the country. Now we've had a series of cold fronts that
00:07have moved across this weekend and brought some really damaging and
00:10destructive winds to the area and we have another one on its way tonight. Now
00:16we're forecasting the winds to reintensify about southeastern parts of
00:19South Australia this afternoon and then to continue to reintensify as the cold
00:25front moves eastwards. Now damaging winds are possible anywhere within this
00:30coloured area and that's winds in excess of 90 kilometres per hour and over 100
00:35kilometres per hour for Tasmania. However there's also the risk of locally
00:41destructive so winds in excess of 125 kilometres per hour about the west coast
00:47and central coast of Victoria including the Bellarine Peninsula and the
00:51southeastern suburbs of Melbourne. Also the northeast ranges of Victoria may
00:56also have the locally destructive winds and the west and north coast of Tasmania.
01:01Now those winds are expected to gradually ease from the west as the cold
01:06front tracks eastwards and it's in the early hours of tomorrow that the winds
01:10about the east coast of New South Wales will really start to increase. So that's
01:14places like the Illawarra, the Sydney Metropolitan and the Hunter. Now winds of
01:19these strengths do have the potential to bring down both trees and branches
01:24that may cause property damage, also bring down power lines that could lead
01:29to power outages and also loose objects may be blown around and cause further
01:35damage. So let's take a look at the front and how it moves through. So here we're
01:41going to see it approaches the southeast reaching the far southeast
01:46during later this evening and we're forecasting it to move through the
01:50Melbourne area somewhere between 2 a.m. and 4 a.m. Now we're expecting a line of
01:56showers and thunderstorms to form along that frontal band, much colder conditions
02:00behind the front though with the potential for small hail and as well
02:04snow down to low levels. So just having a look at that seeing it scoot across out
02:10into the Tasman Sea clearing during Monday with an easing of the showers
02:14gradually as this high-pressure system here moves in and sees a return of the
02:19settled and clear weather by Tuesday. So how much rainfall are we expecting? Here
02:26we're taking a look at the accumulated rainfall so that's between now and
02:30Monday 6 p.m. You can see the heaviest rainfall is expected in the westerly
02:35flow about western parts and northern parts of Tasmania where they may see a
02:41further 50 millimetres. Looking at Victoria however the heavier rainfall
02:46totals are expected on and south of the ranges with the potential of 5 to 15
02:51millimetres and isolated totals higher than this. Now Tasmania has seen a lot of
02:58showers and rain over the past week with these series of cold fronts and it has
03:02led to really swollen river systems. There are a number of minor to moderate
03:07flood warnings current and even a major flood warning for the Derwent and that's
03:12the Derwent is expected to peak later this afternoon at the major flood level.
03:17However there is a broader with this blue area here a broader flood watch and
03:22that is due to the ground being so primed that any further rainfall could
03:26lead to a really quick response from the catchments. So the apart from the wind
03:34there has been very large and powerful waves that have been generated by this
03:39vigorous westerly flow and we're expecting seas to peak tomorrow
03:44afternoon between 7 to 9 metres off the west coast of Victoria and Tasmania. Now
03:51there are also abnormally high tides that are expected to peak on Monday and
03:57especially through the Port Phillip Bay, Western Port and Lakes entrance we're
04:02forecasting the tides to potentially lead to inundation of low-lying areas. So
04:10if you or anyone you know lives across southeastern parts of the country it's
04:14important they stay up to date with our latest warnings via the Bureau website,
04:18the app or social media and as always listen to the advice from the your local
04:23emergency services. Bye for now.