• 2 months ago
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) on Monday, Oct. 28 warned that Severe Tropical Storm “Leon” (international name: Kong-rey) may impact the northern portion of Luzon in the days leading up to All Saints’ and All Souls’ Days.

READ: https://mb.com.ph/2024/10/28/pagasa-warns-of-storm-leon-s-potential-impact

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Transcript
00:00Good morning to all of you.
00:03This is our latest update on the Severe Tropical Storm León.
00:08We can see in the latest satellite image animation that the center of León is still in the ocean.
00:15Earlier this morning, it was still 735 kilometers away.
00:20They are probably Aurora.
00:22Or 780 kilometers away, they are Echague Isabela.
00:27The wind speed of León is up to 95 kilometers per hour,
00:31which is close to its center.
00:33And the force of the storm is up to 115 kilometers per hour.
00:37Six hours ago, the storm moved westward at a speed of 20 kilometers per hour.
00:43So we can see that this is the center of the storm.
00:46It is a thick cloud on the western and southern side of the storm León.
00:51If it moves closer in the next few days, even if it is offshore,
00:56it is possible for some parts of our country to experience rain.
01:00We will show those places later in the next slides.
01:05Our forecast track of the storm is León.
01:08We can see that the center of the storm is not expected to be correct.
01:14But the area of probability, the area where the center track is located,
01:20will show that there is a possibility that it will hit either the Batanes group of island
01:26or Babuyan group of island or not.
01:29So we are doing a press conference now to give a warning that regardless of the scenario,
01:36our countrymen should be prepared,
01:38especially in the northern and eastern section of León in the next few days.
01:44We will see in the forecast track that the storm is possible to be a typhoon
01:48before it reaches the northern tip of León
01:52and it can move nearby, pass closely over the Batanes area on Wednesday or Thursday.
01:59So we are not ruling out that this storm will experience rapid intensification
02:06and possibly reach the typhoon category within the next 24 hours or within 24 hours.
02:12So what are the places that have a warning signal?
02:15Even though the storm is still far away, let's repeat,
02:18the warning signal number one, its lead time is up to 36 hours.
02:22It means that not because we have already raised the warning signal,
02:25it will be experienced immediately.
02:27We still have a lead time of almost 36 hours to prepare
02:33before we actually experience the actual effect of the storm here in the places I will mention.
02:39Batanes, Cagayan, along with Babuyan Island,
02:41in the province of Isabela, in the province of Ilocos Norte, Abra, Apayao, Calinga,
02:46in the eastern part of Mountain Province, in the eastern part of Ipugao,
02:50in the eastern part of Quirino, here in the northern portion of Aurora
02:54and in the northern portion of Catanduanes area.
02:57Let's repeat, it is not necessarily that there will be a rainstorm and a gust of wind at this time
03:04the moment that we have raised the warning signal.
03:06We still have a lead time.
03:07It means that there is still a chance for us to prepare.
03:10In the next issue ones, that lead time will be reduced
03:15while the storm center in León is getting closer to our country.
03:20Now, earlier I mentioned the rain bands here in León,
03:23what are the places that will be raining.
03:25From today until tomorrow, we can see a possible heavy to intense rain in the province of Antique,
03:33moderate to heavy in the province of Cagayan, along with Babuyan Island, Occidental,
03:38Mindoro, Negros, Occidental, and Palawan.
03:42Meanwhile, tomorrow afternoon until Wednesday,
03:44Antique, it is possible to experience intense to torrential,
03:48heavy to intense in Occidental, Mindoro, Cagayan, Batanes, and Babuyan Island.
03:52Meanwhile, moderate to heavy rains in Ilocos Norte and Ilocos Sur,
03:56also in Apayao, Negros Occidental, Aklan, Cavite, and in Palawan.
04:01On Wednesday afternoon until Thursday afternoon,
04:04we can expect heavy to intense rains in Batanes, Babuyan Island, Occidental, Mindoro, Cavite,
04:10and moderate to heavy rains in Ilocos Region, Antique, Palawan, Zambales, Bataan, and Batangas.
04:16So generally, while the storm is getting closer,
04:18it is not only the places in the northern and eastern section of León that can be raining.
04:24We can notice that there are also places in the western section of southern León
04:29and even in the western part of Visayas that can be raining in the following days.
04:33Even though we are issuing what we call a weather advisory
04:37so that our countrymen can be safe until the rain brought by the storm León.
04:42So our weather advisory will be issued at the same time as the Tropical Cyclone Bulletin every 6 hours.
04:49Meanwhile, in terms of strong winds, possibly strong to gale force gusts,
04:54in the areas of Batangas, many parts of Maropan and Bicol Region,
05:00in Visayas, in many parts of Northern Mindanao, and in many parts of Caraga Region today,
05:06those are strong winds.
05:08Tomorrow, in Aurora, Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Mimaropa, Bicol Region, Visayas, Dinagat Island,
05:15Sirigao del Norte, and Camiquin.
05:17On Wednesday, there will be strong winds.
05:20Possibly, in the area of Aurora, Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Mimaropa, Bicol Region,
05:26Western Visayas, Negros Occidental, and Northern Samal.
05:29Sometimes, when the wind blows, it may not be prolonged,
05:35but it can still be dangerous to some of our countrymen.
05:40Occasionally, some types of plants can fall,
05:44light materials can still fly.
05:49And then in terms of sea conditions,
05:51currently, we haven't issued a gale warning yet,
05:53but possibly later this afternoon,
05:55we will start issuing a gale warning.
05:58In the next 24 hours, we expect the seas to reach 4.5 meters
06:03around Batanes,
06:05while up to 4 meters in the seas around Boboyan Island,
06:10Bella, and the eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan.
06:13That is within the next 24 hours.
06:15Now, while the storms are still approaching the Northern Luzon area,
06:21it is possible that the seas will reach the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon.
06:28That is why we should also be aware of our issue of gale warning
06:31that we may start later this afternoon.
06:34The gale warning is the warning of hope
06:37regarding the sea conditions.
06:41Meanwhile, up to 3 meters,
06:43today, it is possible to experience the seaboards of Northern Aurora and Camarines Norte,
06:48the remaining seaboards of mainland Cagayan,
06:51the northern and eastern seaboards of Polilo Island,
06:53Camarines Sur, Catanduanes,
06:55the northeastern seaboard of Northern Samar,
06:57and of Eastern Samar.
07:00So, every 6 hours, we will give an update on the Sileon storm.
07:04We will also give an update on the storms every 6 hours
07:08through our weather advisory,
07:10and the sea conditions.
07:14It is possible that our issue of gale warning may start later this afternoon.
07:18Our next update will be later this afternoon.
07:22So, that is the update on the Sileon storm.
07:25Thank you very much, Engineer Christopher F. Perez,
07:28our officer-in-charge of the Weather Division.
07:33And now, for the updates on the dams we are monitoring
07:39and other hydrological updates,
07:41we will now call the Weather Specialist from the Hydro-Met Division,
07:46Mr. Jason Bausa.
07:50Good morning. We will just give an update on the major dams in Luzon
07:53as of 8 a.m. today.
08:11As of now, Angat is at 202.38 meters.
08:19It increased by 0.27 meters,
08:22and it still needs 7.62 meters to reach normal high.
08:27Ipudam is at 100.45 meters.
08:31It also increased by 0.11 meters.
08:34And Mesa Dam in Quezon City is at 79.52 meters.
08:40It decreased by 0.04 meters.
08:43As of today, Ambuklao in Binguet is at 751.44 meters.
08:49It decreased by 0.34 meters.
08:53And in Binga Dam, it is at 574.69 meters.
08:58It also decreased by 0.7 meters because of the open gates.
09:03Here, the total gate opening is two gates at one meter.
09:07In San Roque, it is at 276.96 meters.
09:12It also decreased by 0.2 meters.
09:15Its normal high is 280.
09:18It still needs 3.04 meters to reach normal high.
09:22Pantabangan is at 207.76 meters.
09:26It also increased by 0.29 meters.
09:29It still needs 13.24 meters to reach normal high.
09:35Magat is at 188.55 meters.
09:40It also decreased by 0.72 meters.
09:44It still needs 0.45 meters to reach normal high.
09:48And one gate is open.
09:50The total opening is two meters.
09:53Caliraya is at 287.96 meters.
09:58It increased by 0.47 meters.
10:01We have an issue with the hydrological situation in Agbo,
10:07Binga, Ambuklao, because there is an open gate in Ambuklao and Binga.
10:12Here, two gates in Ambuklao.
10:16The total gate opening is 0.8 meters.
10:18And the total discharge is 153.26 cms as of 8 a.m. today.
10:25In Binga, two gates are open.
10:28The gate opening is one meter.
10:31And the total discharge is 144.79 cubic meters per second.
10:44In Magat, we have an open gate, one gate.
10:50The total gate opening is two meters.
10:54And the total discharge is 385 cubic meters per second as of today.
10:59We have an issue with the General FUD Advisory here in Region 2,
11:04Cagayan, Bali.
11:06Issuance No. 1, Region 3, Central Zone.
11:09Issuance No. 1 as well.
11:11This is Region 4A, Calabar Zone.
11:14Issuance No. 1 is our advisory.
11:17And here in Bicol, it is still No. 1.
11:21That is our update as of today. Thank you.
11:27Thank you very much, Mr. Jason Bausa,
11:30our duty hydrologist from the Hydromet Division.
11:34And before we move on to our questions,
11:38let us acknowledge our media friends who are here now
11:43in the media room of the Weather and Flood Forecasting Center.
11:46Let us acknowledge Ms. Tina Panganiban-Perez and Mav Gonzalez
11:50and their crew from GMA 7.
11:53Let us also acknowledge Ms. Ako Ralseo from Rappler.
11:57And from Inquire.net, they are also here.
12:02And our colleagues from DZBB, Mr. Alan Gatos and Joseph Morong.
12:08And from ABS-CBN, Mr. Rafael Bozano.
12:13And our media partners from Radyo Pilipinas.
12:21If you have any questions,
12:23you may now go to the front
12:26and state your affiliation and questions.
12:32And for those who are connected to the Facebook page of Pag-Asa,
12:36you may now type your questions in the comment section.
12:43Yes, ma'am?
12:44Good morning. Meri from Radyo Pilipinas.
12:47Sir, what is the effect of the Leyon storm in Metro Manila?
12:50When will it be felt, especially in Tunga Maguundas?
13:01So far, if we look at our forecast track,
13:05it is far from the outermost rain bands of the Leyon storm.
13:12However, if it is still part of the westward,
13:15we are not ruling out the possibility
13:17that it may experience rain here in Metro Manila.
13:20That is why we will update every six hours.
13:23We will give not only the direction,
13:25but also the possible rainfall, including Metro Manila.
13:28So it will come.
13:29So far, it is far from the outermost rain bands.
13:31We are not expecting anything yet.
13:34If it continues to move,
13:37if there will be rain in Metro Manila,
13:39as we saw earlier in the forecast range,
13:41we do not expect it to reach moderate to heavy or heavy to torrential.
13:46But as I mentioned,
13:48we will update every six hours.
13:50And if it will be less than 100 kilometers from any landmass of our country,
13:55we will update more frequently.
13:57We may reach every three hours of updating.
14:01Although Metro Manila has a minimal effect of the Leyon storm,
14:09but of course, with the expected long weekend and waves,
14:15many will travel.
14:17Of course, there will be people going to Northern Luzon.
14:22So that is what we are advising to be extra careful.
14:27And especially those who will ride small boats,
14:31if possible, be careful.
14:33Especially in areas where there are signals.
14:38Thank you very much, Doc Nuts.
14:40And Sir Chris and Miss Mary, thank you very much.
14:44Yes, sir.
14:47Is it expected, particularly in Northern Luzon,
14:51that it will be rainy on Monday
14:55because by October 31,
14:58it will be closer to Northern Luzon, particularly Batanes.
15:03So are we advising our countrymen
15:07for Monday,
15:09because it may rain more?
15:12What is your recommendation?
15:14Should we go earlier
15:16or avoid going on November 1
15:18because it will rain as a result of the Leyon storm?
15:23Perhaps Sir Chris Inn.
15:25So they are right.
15:27If we see in our rainfall forecast today,
15:30which is covered until the 31st,
15:33as early as tomorrow,
15:36it is expected to rain in some parts of Northern Luzon.
15:39And especially when the storm is closer,
15:42as the end of the month approaches,
15:44more parts of Northern Luzon may be affected.
15:47For example, here, the whole Ilocos region,
15:50the Batanes and the Babuyan Islands,
15:53they are right.
15:55If possible, we should go earlier.
16:01Before November 1,
16:03we will go there,
16:04especially our countrymen here in the Northern Luzon area
16:08because we are expecting rain
16:11as the storm approaches.
16:13And likely,
16:14we will feel rain in the Northern Luzon area
16:16from tomorrow afternoon
16:19until November 1 or November 2.
16:25Thank you Sir Chris and Mr. Alan Gatos.
16:27Let us acknowledge the presence of our Deputy Administrator
16:31for Research and Development.
16:33We have with us now Dr. Marcelino Q. Villafuerte.
16:36And yes, the next question.
16:39Hello, Rafael Bosana from ABS.
16:41Sir, I would like to ask,
16:43is this normal?
16:44Because this is what we saw in Christine.
16:46And maybe this is also what we saw in Leon.
16:48Is it normal that it is stronger
16:50or the effect is stronger
16:52in places that are situated with rain bands
16:56than in the center of the storm itself?
16:58Because that is what happened in Christine
17:00and possibly here in Leon.
17:03To answer the question,
17:04first of all,
17:05generally, during the last quarter of every year,
17:08the storm is stronger
17:09compared to the first half of the current year.
17:13For example, the storms from January to June
17:15compared to July to December,
17:17the second half is stronger.
17:20And then,
17:21there was a time when our storm,
17:23if we look at the satellite image,
17:27the thick cloud of the storm Christine
17:30is in the northern part of it.
17:32That is why even before the center of our country
17:35got closer,
17:36there were places that experienced rain.
17:39If we recall,
17:40I also mentioned earlier,
17:41because of the thick cloud
17:43in the western and southern part
17:45of the storm Leon,
17:47if we look at the satellite image,
17:49if we move it here,
17:50if we bring it closer to the center,
17:52then likely,
17:53the southern part of the storm
17:55is hitting the land of our country.
17:58So it is normal
17:59that before the center got closer,
18:01there were places that experienced rain.
18:03And usually,
18:04if our country is still crossing,
18:06after the center,
18:07there is still rain
18:08that some parts of our country will experience.
18:13Three months before the end of the year,
18:15how many more storms are expected to come?
18:18Our latest estimate,
18:20based on the latest climate forum,
18:22is from 2 to 8,
18:24at least,
18:25tropical cyclones.
18:26And then,
18:27since we are already on the 2nd of October,
18:29likely,
18:30up to 6
18:31is the maximum number of tropical cyclones
18:33that we expect before the end of the year.
18:35Of this, sir,
18:36of this strength
18:37is what we expect.
18:38The intensity,
18:40as we mentioned,
18:41we expect
18:42last quarter,
18:43it will be stronger
18:44and there is a tendency
18:45that the land of our country will be affected.
18:49Alright, thank you very much.
18:51Okay, yes, sir.
18:52Sir, good afternoon.
18:53Joseph Pasa, GMA 7.
18:55Sir, regarding the outlook you gave,
18:57there is a saying here,
19:00it can become a super typhoon
19:02while getting closer
19:04or when it's close to Batanes.
19:06Is that correct?
19:07And when, sir?
19:08So it means,
19:09what it can do
19:11is it can become Batanes.
19:14Sir, please.
19:16If we notice here
19:18in our forecast track with the legend,
19:20typhoon category,
19:21but we're not ruling out the possibility
19:23that it will become a super typhoon.
19:25And if that happens,
19:26if it becomes a super typhoon
19:27before it gets close
19:28to the extreme northern zone,
19:29the highest warning signal we expect
19:31is possible to reach up to 5.
19:33That is why, yes,
19:34warning signal number 5,
19:35if it reaches the super typhoon category.
19:37So...
19:38Where is it, sir,
19:39when it reaches 5?
19:40Where is its location
19:41when it reaches 5?
19:42Before it approaches
19:43the extreme northern zone area.
19:45Extreme meaning Batanes?
19:46Yes.
19:47If we notice in the forecast track,
19:48all throughout,
19:49at the moment,
19:50based on our data,
19:51our forecast is only in the typhoon category
19:53until our PAR comes out.
19:55But, as we mentioned in the bulletin,
19:57we're not ruling out the possibility
19:59that before it hits,
20:01or close to the extreme northern zone,
20:03it will get stronger
20:04and become a super typhoon.
20:05Sir, the Batanes number 5
20:07and super typhoon category 5,
20:09what is the date, sir?
20:11Well...
20:12If, for example,
20:13it gets stronger.
20:15Well, if...
20:17Actually,
20:18number 3 is already having a strong effect.
20:20The strong wind is already strong.
20:22If it's signal number 5,
20:23more than 2,
20:24it's already
20:25185 kilometers per hour
20:27of strong wind.
20:28What is the date, sir?
20:29Date, date.
20:30What is the date?
20:31Likely,
20:32before the end of the month.
20:34October 30?
20:35Yes.
20:36Approaching October 30, 31,
20:37something like that.
20:38Sir, what are the chances
20:39of it becoming a super typhoon?
20:41For now,
20:42it's still small.
20:43But, we're not ruling out the possibility.
20:45So, we'll continue to give updates.
20:47And, I'll remind you again,
20:48if it's less than 100 kilometers,
20:50and there's a potential
20:51that it will hit our country,
20:53less than 100 kilometers,
20:54it will be frequent.
20:55Our bulletin will be a 3-hour issuance
20:57so that our countrymen
20:58can be updated more often
21:00regarding the movement intensity
21:02and the associated hazards
21:04of this typhoon.
21:05Sir, I'm focused on the 31 scenario
21:07because it's a warning.
21:08Later,
21:09there might be a lot of people outside.
21:11Right now,
21:12it's a typhoon category.
21:14It's a severe tropical storm category.
21:17For 31, sir?
21:19If our forecast track continues,
21:21it will be a typhoon category by 31.
21:23Can we know the effect
21:26in terms of rain
21:28in Metro Manila?
21:29Well,
21:30if it's like that,
21:31it's already far.
21:32If our center is here,
21:33and our radius is more than 500,
21:36it's already far from Metro Manila.
21:38So not so much rain?
21:39So in terms of rain,
21:40it's possible for it to rain,
21:41but not as frequent
21:43as with the areas we mentioned here.
21:46If we notice,
21:47our 3-day outlook up to 31,
21:49Metro Manila is not included.
21:51But as I mentioned,
21:52it can rain in Metro Manila
21:54possibly below 50 millimeters.
21:57But we will still update this
21:59depending on the status of the typhoon.
22:01I also mentioned earlier,
22:03for example,
22:04this is the actual track,
22:06our forecast track,
22:07and if it's fast,
22:08it's a typhoon,
22:09then likely,
22:10our scenario can change
22:12in terms of areas with warning signals
22:14and areas that will rain.
22:16Yes, sir.
22:17Sir, when Christine,
22:18there were a lot of trapped,
22:19stranded passengers of Roro,
22:21our sea vehicles,
22:24how will our outlook be
22:27until before Undas?
22:31Can they travel
22:32or where can they travel?
22:35Actually,
22:36we also gave an update
22:37to our OCD colleagues earlier.
22:38We're expecting that
22:39we can increase the gale warning
22:41here in the northern
22:42and eastern section of Luzon
22:44from later tonight
22:45or until tomorrow.
22:46So we expect that
22:47there may be disruption
22:48of sea travel
22:50as Undas approaches
22:53this Sunday.
22:55But, sir,
22:56northern and eastern part?
22:57Northern and eastern section of Luzon,
22:59we're not ruling out
23:00that possibly the eastern section
23:01of Bicol
23:02will also be affected
23:04by sea travel.
23:05Starting tonight?
23:06Possibly,
23:07later tonight
23:08until tomorrow
23:09will be our first issuance
23:11of what we call
23:12gale warning.
23:13This is a warning of hope
23:14until there will be
23:15a disruption
23:16of sea travel
23:17around our country.
23:18Sir, Visayas-Mindanao?
23:20Visayas-Mindanao,
23:21generally,
23:22we expect it to be
23:23light to moderate,
23:24maybe occasionally rough
23:25sea condition,
23:26but generally favorable
23:27for sea travel
23:28until the end of this month.
23:30At least,
23:32sir.
23:33Thank you for your time.
23:34Thank you very much.
23:35And for the question
23:36on our Facebook page,
23:37from Raymart Gaviran,
23:38his first question
23:39has already been answered.
23:40Do you expect
23:41that it will be stronger
23:42than the super typhoon?
23:43This is the second question.
23:44Do you expect
23:45that it will be lower
23:46and will the possibility
23:47of landfall scenario
23:48in that area
23:49not be ruled out?
23:50Landfall scenario,
23:51sir.
23:52Landfall scenario,
23:53sir.
23:54Landfall scenario,
23:55sir.
23:56Landfall scenario,
23:57sir.
23:58Landfall scenario,
23:59sir.
24:00Landfall scenario,
24:01sir.
24:02Landfall scenario,
24:03sir.
24:04Landfall scenario,
24:05sir.
24:06Landfall scenario,
24:07sir.
24:08Landfall scenario,
24:09sir.
24:10Landfall scenario,
24:11sir.
24:12Landfall scenario,
24:13sir.
24:14Landfall scenario,
24:15sir.
24:16Landfall scenario,
24:17sir.
24:18Landfall scenario,
24:19sir.
24:20Landfall scenario,
24:21sir.
24:22Landfall scenario,
24:23sir.
24:24Landfall scenario,
24:25sir.
24:26Landfall scenario,
24:27sir.
24:28Landfall scenario,
24:29sir.
24:30Landfall scenario,
24:31sir.
24:32Landfall scenario,
24:33sir.
24:34Landfall scenario,
24:35sir.
24:36Landfall scenario,
24:37sir.
24:38Landfall scenario,
24:39sir.
24:40Landfall scenario,
24:41sir.
24:42Landfall scenario,
24:43sir.
24:44Landfall scenario,
24:45sir.
24:46Landfall scenario,
24:47sir.
24:48Landfall scenario,
24:49sir.
24:50Landfall scenario,
24:51sir.
24:52Landfall scenario,
24:53sir.
24:54Landfall scenario,
24:55sir.
24:56Landfall scenario,
24:57sir.
24:58Landfall scenario,
24:59sir.
25:00Landfall scenario,
25:01sir.
25:02Landfall scenario,
25:03sir.
25:04Landfall scenario,
25:05sir.
25:06Landfall scenario,
25:07sir.
25:08Landfall scenario,
25:09sir.
25:10Landfall scenario,
25:11sir.
25:12Landfall scenario,
25:13sir.
25:14Landfall scenario,
25:15sir.
25:16Landfall scenario,
25:17sir.
25:18Landfall scenario,
25:19sir.
25:20Landfall scenario,
25:21sir.
25:22Landfall scenario,
25:23sir.
25:24Landfall scenario,
25:25sir.
25:26Landfall scenario,
25:27sir.
25:28Landfall scenario,
25:29sir.
25:30Landfall scenario,
25:31sir.
25:32Landfall scenario,
25:33sir.
25:34Landfall scenario,
25:35sir.
25:36Landfall scenario,
25:37sir.
25:38Landfall scenario,
25:39sir.
25:40Landfall scenario,
25:41sir.
25:42Landfall scenario,
25:43sir.
25:44Landfall scenario,
25:45sir.
25:46Landfall scenario,
25:47sir.
25:48Landfall scenario,
25:49sir.
25:50Landfall scenario,
25:51sir.
25:52Landfall scenario,
25:53sir.
25:54Landfall scenario,
25:55sir.
25:56Landfall scenario,
25:57sir.
25:58Landfall scenario,
25:59sir.
26:00Landfall scenario,
26:01sir.
26:02Landfall scenario,
26:03sir.
26:04Landfall scenario,
26:05sir.
26:06Landfall scenario,
26:07sir.
26:08Landfall scenario,
26:09sir.
26:10Landfall scenario,
26:11sir.
26:12Landfall scenario,
26:13sir.
26:14Landfall scenario,
26:15sir.
26:16Landfall scenario,
26:17sir.
26:18Landfall scenario,
26:19sir.
26:20Landfall scenario,
26:21sir.
26:22Landfall scenario,
26:23sir.
26:24Landfall scenario,
26:25sir.
26:26Landfall scenario,
26:27sir.
26:28Landfall scenario,
26:29sir.
26:30Landfall scenario,
26:31sir.
26:32Landfall scenario,
26:33sir.
26:34Landfall scenario,
26:35sir.
26:36Landfall scenario,
26:37sir.
26:38Landfall scenario,
26:39sir.
26:40Landfall scenario,
26:41sir.
26:42Landfall scenario,
26:43sir.
26:44Landfall scenario,
26:45sir.
26:46Landfall scenario,
26:47sir.
26:48Landfall scenario,
26:49sir.
26:50Landfall scenario,
26:51sir.
26:52Landfall scenario,
26:53sir.
26:54Landfall scenario,
26:55sir.
26:56Landfall scenario,
26:57sir.
26:58Landfall scenario,
26:59sir.
27:00Landfall scenario,
27:01sir.
27:02Landfall scenario,
27:03sir.
27:04Landfall scenario,
27:05sir.
27:06Landfall scenario,
27:07sir.
27:08Landfall scenario,
27:09sir.
27:10Landfall scenario,
27:11sir.
27:12Landfall scenario,
27:13sir.
27:14Landfall scenario,
27:15sir.
27:16Landfall scenario,
27:17sir.
27:18Landfall scenario,
27:19sir.
27:20Landfall scenario,
27:21sir.
27:22Landfall scenario,
27:23sir.
27:24Landfall scenario,
27:25sir.
27:26Landfall scenario,
27:27sir.
27:28Landfall scenario,
27:29sir.
27:30Landfall scenario,
27:31sir.
27:32Landfall scenario,
27:33sir.
27:34Landfall scenario,
27:35sir.
27:36Landfall scenario,
27:37sir.
27:38Landfall scenario,
27:39sir.
27:40Landfall scenario,
27:41sir.
27:42Landfall scenario,
27:43sir.
27:44Landfall scenario,
27:45sir.
27:46Landfall scenario,
27:47sir.
27:48Landfall scenario,
27:49sir.
27:50Landfall scenario,
27:51sir.
27:52Landfall scenario,
27:53sir.
27:54Landfall scenario,
27:55sir.
27:56Landfall scenario,
27:57sir.
27:58Landfall scenario,
27:59sir.
28:00Landfall scenario,
28:01sir.
28:02Landfall scenario,
28:03sir.
28:04Landfall scenario,
28:05sir.
28:06Landfall scenario,
28:07sir.
28:08Landfall scenario,
28:09sir.
28:10Landfall scenario,
28:11sir.
28:12Landfall scenario,
28:13sir.
28:14Landfall scenario,
28:15sir.
28:16Landfall scenario,
28:17sir.
28:18Landfall scenario,
28:19sir.
28:20Landfall scenario,
28:21sir.
28:22Landfall scenario,
28:23sir.
28:24Landfall scenario,
28:25sir.
28:26Landfall scenario,
28:27sir.
28:28Landfall scenario,
28:29sir.
28:30Landfall scenario,
28:31sir.
28:32Landfall scenario,
28:33sir.
28:34Landfall scenario,
28:35sir.
28:36Landfall scenario,
28:37sir.
28:38Landfall scenario,
28:39sir.
28:40Landfall scenario,
28:41sir.
28:42Landfall scenario,
28:43sir.
28:44Landfall scenario,
28:45sir.
28:46Landfall scenario,
28:47sir.
28:48Landfall scenario,
28:49sir.
28:50Landfall scenario,
28:51sir.
28:52Landfall scenario,
28:53sir.
28:54Landfall scenario,
28:55sir.
28:56Landfall scenario,
28:57sir.
28:58Landfall scenario,
28:59sir.
29:00Landfall scenario,
29:01sir.
29:02Landfall scenario,
29:03sir.
29:04Landfall scenario,
29:05sir.
29:06Landfall scenario,
29:07sir.
29:08Landfall scenario,
29:09sir.
29:10Landfall scenario,
29:11sir.
29:12Landfall scenario,
29:13sir.
29:14Landfall scenario,
29:15sir.
29:16Landfall scenario,
29:17sir.
29:18Landfall scenario,
29:19sir.
29:20Landfall scenario,
29:21sir.
29:22Landfall scenario,
29:23sir.
29:24Landfall scenario,
29:25sir.
29:26Landfall scenario,
29:27sir.
29:28Landfall scenario,
29:29sir.
29:30Landfall scenario,
29:31sir.
29:32Landfall scenario,
29:33sir.
29:34Landfall scenario,
29:35sir.
29:36Landfall scenario,
29:37sir.
29:38Landfall scenario,
29:39sir.
29:40Landfall scenario,
29:41sir.
29:42Landfall scenario,
29:43sir.
29:44Landfall scenario,
29:45sir.
29:46Landfall scenario,
29:47sir.
29:48Landfall scenario,
29:49sir.
29:50Landfall scenario,
29:51sir.
29:52Landfall scenario,
29:53sir.
29:54Landfall scenario,
29:55sir.
29:56Landfall scenario,
29:57sir.
29:58Landfall scenario,
29:59sir.
30:00Landfall scenario,
30:01sir.
30:02Landfall scenario,
30:03sir.
30:04Landfall scenario,
30:05sir.
30:06Landfall scenario,
30:07sir.
30:08Landfall scenario,
30:09sir.
30:10Landfall scenario,
30:11sir.
30:12Landfall scenario,
30:13sir.
30:14Landfall scenario,
30:15sir.
30:16Landfall scenario,
30:17sir.
30:18Landfall scenario,
30:19sir.
30:20Landfall scenario,
30:21sir.
30:22Landfall scenario,
30:23sir.
30:24Landfall scenario,
30:25sir.
30:26Landfall scenario,
30:27sir.
30:28Landfall scenario,
30:29sir.
30:30Landfall scenario,
30:31sir.
30:32Landfall scenario,
30:33sir.
30:34Landfall scenario,
30:35sir.
30:36Landfall scenario,
30:37sir.
30:38Landfall scenario,
30:39sir.
30:40Landfall scenario,
30:41sir.
30:42Landfall scenario,
30:43sir.
30:44Landfall scenario,
30:45sir.

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