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00:00And we'll start with Thanksgiving, of course, Turkey Day, with the NFL and the Detroit Lions
00:09in the early game against the Bears.
00:11Here is Dan Campbell.
00:12We've mentioned to you a lot, the Lions have lost seven straight games on Thanksgiving
00:17Day.
00:18Dan Campbell obviously hasn't won any since he's been there.
00:22He is looking to change that.
00:23I think there's two things.
00:24Number one, get a W, right, and it's division win.
00:28That's why this is huge.
00:29Number two is because, you know, the players are going to get a couple of days off.
00:33So they got family, friends, and it'd be nice to, you know, to feel good about it when you're
00:39with everybody, because it's just not real fun.
00:44It's not real fun to be around.
00:46You know, ask my wife, she'll tell you, like, that's what she's praying for a win, I mean,
00:51big time, because she knows that, you know, I'm a Bear when we don't win.
00:55So we all want it.
00:58You know, and it is long overdue, but, you know, we got to win the win.
01:03He does seem like the type of guy, Cam, that, like, when he loses, you don't probably want
01:07to be near him, especially at home.
01:08Like, he's probably, like, sitting out on the back porch, like, you know, like, crushing
01:12a Miller Highlife or something after he loses a game.
01:15Shooting a rifle, target practice, cans, bam, bam, bam, bam, yeah, I'm with you.
01:23Hey, Dan, what's for dinner?
01:25What, dinner, Dan?
01:27Yeah, it could be a problem.
01:30They better win.
01:31Yeah, that guy looks like he's a, he looks like a great guy, like, party animal when
01:34things are going well, but other room when he's angry.
01:38Yes.
01:39Intense.
01:40Intense would be the word, I think, that we could throw out there for Dan, especially
01:44in a spot like this.
01:45So we talked yesterday about double-digit favorites, and believe it or not, Cam, this
01:51morning, strangely enough, this is now, at least at one or two of the places I'm looking,
01:56has dipped below ten.
01:58I'm seeing nine and a half for a few places for the Lions now, with a 48 and a half total,
02:05which ruins the stat that I had for you, or the trend with favorites of ten or more points
02:10on Thanksgiving since 2005, or 10 and 0 straight up and 10 and 2 against the spread.
02:16So that ruins that if it's going to go to nine and a half.
02:19It doesn't qualify anymore.
02:20I'm staying what I said to you yesterday.
02:23Smash City, they're on a mission.
02:26Campbell's not losing again on Turkey Day.
02:28The Bears coming off another excruciating loss.
02:32Gabe's probably right about that over 48 and a half, but I'm in, Cam.
02:36It bothers the hell out of me that everyone's on the Lions and the line has gone down.
02:40We all know what that means, but I'm still staying with it, Cam.
02:43I'm going after it.
02:44You know what?
02:45My initial pick was the Bears, but I got to stick with it, but I think the Lions are going
02:49to win this game in teasers.
02:51Gabe's right.
02:52I think there's going to be points in this game.
02:53I can see, like, literally, I like the computer.
02:55I like Lions by, like, a touchdown, seven or eight, just not the cover, but you're right,
02:59Carver.
03:00If they bring the heat, they can win this game by 20, but it's a divisional game.
03:04It's Thanksgiving.
03:05I just worry about the Bears' mindset, the way they've lost the last couple games, but
03:09they will show up.
03:10It's national TV, and it's on Turkey Day.
03:14I hope not.
03:15I hope they get destroyed.
03:16I hope it's, like, honestly, like, 45 to 10 Lions.
03:21I hope everybody's complaining that they have to watch the game while I'm sitting there
03:25with a whole bunch of Lion touchdown props and playing the 9.5 or 10, and I can just—
03:30the turkey dinner will go down a lot better, Cam, if that's the case.
03:35Favorites in general on Thanksgiving since 2005, 36 and 19.
03:40That's a 66% hit against the spread for favorites, so the favorites have been good in all of
03:46these matchups.
03:47I do have some tutties for you.
03:48I'll get you to those, Cam, after we do all the games.
03:51Second game of the day in Dallas, Giants and the Cowboys.
03:56We told you yesterday how Jerry said on that local radio hit that he does every week how,
04:02listen, it's very possible that Mike McCarthy's going to get an extension.
04:05He's done a good job here.
04:07That was news that Mike wanted to hear later in the day at his press conference, not thinking
04:11about it, but likes hearing it.
04:13This morning, Jerry Jones said it wouldn't be crazy for you to get a contract extension.
04:18Why are you laughing?
04:20I hope you get one.
04:23Crazy?
04:24I mean—
04:25You should trust that we're still talking about this, and here we are in late November,
04:31you know, about your future and that kind of thing.
04:33Well, I mean, I really haven't talked about it all year, so I'm definitely not going
04:37to start on a short week in an important division game, so—but I'm not going to throw away
04:42positive vibes either, so keep them coming.
04:45But that's all good.
04:47But, no, yeah, that's not something I'm really focused on.
04:52Probably only has one, Cam, and they're just not announcing it until after the game.
04:56He probably already has the extension.
04:57They just haven't said anything yet.
04:59I mean, that's what I'm saying.
05:00I like McCarthy, though.
05:02He's a fun, jovial guy.
05:03He's the type of guy you want to have a couple pints with, Carver.
05:05I can see us, like, walking to the bar, you loosen up the tie.
05:08McCarthy's got a couple beers lined up for us.
05:10He looks like a nice fella.
05:12I agree with that.
05:13He probably is, and if we—it probably helps us more because we're not Cowboy fans.
05:18So that's why it's easier for us to want to go have a beer with them.
05:21I think if you grab the Cowboy fans, Cam, I don't know if they think he's as jovial
05:26or want to sit down and have a beer with them.
05:28I think they want to kick him out the door.
05:29But I'm with you.
05:31I would like to do that with Mike if I was ever given the opportunity.
05:35The Cowboys are minus three and a half.
05:39The total is 37 and a half.
05:41That's a low total, Ted, but we get that total.
05:44We don't know definitely who's going to be playing quarterback for the Giants.
05:48It sounds like it is going to be DeVito, but it would be Drew Locke if it's not him
05:54going into the game.
05:55I'll tell you, I don't want to bet on DeVito, but I wouldn't mind taking a shot with Locke.
06:00I just want to see what he does.
06:01Like, you bring this guy over, he never plays.
06:04Like, what's the deal?
06:05Like, you know what I mean?
06:06It's just very interesting.
06:07And when he was back up to Geno Smith in Seattle, he's competent.
06:11I'm not going to say he's great by any stretch of the imagination, but he can't be any worse
06:15than Tommy Cutlets Carver.
06:17You've seen Tommy play.
06:19Like, come on.
06:20Drew Locke, you say, started in Denver.
06:22He's an NFL journeyman, and he has an upside.
06:26I think we know what we get with DeVito, not much.
06:30Well, here's the thing, and this was all from this afternoon.
06:33The Giant guys all say it's a long shot that DeVito will play.
06:37In fact, Cam, reports are that he's not even traveling with the team.
06:43He's not flying with the team.
06:44He will join them later in Dallas.
06:46Well, what the hell is that about?
06:47Why is he not?
06:48And then Schefter said it, too.
06:49Also notable, not only is Tommy DeVito not flying to Dallas with the Giants, but he didn't
06:53practice today.
06:54I think it's starting to sound, Cam, like it's going to be Drew Locke for this game
06:59tomorrow in Big D.
07:00So I think we should plan accordingly for that.
07:02And I believe we said yesterday that if it's Drew Locke, we'll take the 3.5 with the Giants.
07:07Cowboys 2-10 their last 12 Thanksgivings against the spread.
07:122-10 the Cowboys at home.
07:13Yeah, they get murdered on Thanksgiving.
07:15I'll tell you one thing, Carver.
07:16I wish we got that 4 if we knew this was going to happen.
07:19That would have been nice, but 3.5 is better than 3.
07:21So we'll take our shot with Drew Locke, and hopefully these guys play for him.
07:25As I said before on the other show the other day, he's playing for something else.
07:29He's playing for himself.
07:30He's playing for another deal, because I don't think he likes Dable and those guys.
07:34I think he just wants to get out and dodge.
07:36With a good performance, he can still keep a job.
07:38Here is Tua.
07:39As you know, he's 0-4 when the temperature is under 40 degrees.
07:44But it brings him back to the old days, Cam, sitting around as a kid, watching the games
07:49on Thanksgiving, throwing the ball around in the yard during halftime.
07:54Tua's very, very happy to be playing on Turkey Day.
07:57100%.
07:58100%.
07:59100%.
08:00I think this is an awesome opportunity, being able to play Thursday night football,
08:05primetime on Thanksgiving.
08:08It just takes me back to growing up in Hawaii.
08:11Obviously, the primetime games were a little earlier in Hawaii.
08:15But it's sort of the same deal.
08:18That's the only team that's playing.
08:20And whether you like the teams that were playing or not, you just sit down, eat,
08:27you spend time with family, and you get to watch that.
08:30And sometimes you go outside and you pretend to be some of the players that are playing.
08:37Very nostalgic, Cam, from Tua there.
08:40As he gets ready to play at the Lambeau Field, coming up here tomorrow night.
08:46I know that I'm nuts.
08:48You probably are too.
08:50But I'm taking Flipper here.
08:53I'm going to go swim with Flipper.
08:55Plus the 3.5 in Lambeau against the Packers.
08:5847.5 is the total.
09:00I think we can get there.
09:02I know it's going to be cold.
09:04I get it.
09:05But I think Miami's playing their best football of the year right now.
09:09And a key for me here, Cam, is that I don't think the Packer D is great.
09:16And you have to take advantage when Love gives you those couple opportunities a game to hand you the football.
09:23And he does it every game.
09:25Some teams take advantage.
09:27Some don't, like the Niners last week.
09:29But you have to take advantage when Love is willing to hand you a turnover.
09:32And if the Dolphins do, Cam, I think we're there.
09:35I think their defense is playing a hell of a lot better recently, Carver.
09:38And I think they can force some fumbles.
09:40You know what?
09:41I know we talk about the cold.
09:42I think the Dolphins are going to show up.
09:43They understand how big this is.
09:44They seem galvanized again.
09:46I'm taking the fish.
09:47But, Carver, I do have a lean to the under in this game.
09:49And it's not about the weather.
09:51I just think the defenses are going to step up a little bit.
09:53I think we just get under the number here.
09:57Just get under the number, huh, Cam?
09:59Just get under the number.
10:00Defense is stepping up for Cam in the cold at Lambeau Field.
10:06I do have picks for the touchdowns for Thursday.
10:10I usually, Cam, like on a Friday, I'll give you the Sunday games.
10:12Unfortunately, most, not all the touchdowns are out yet for Sunday.
10:16They don't have every game out.
10:17They don't have a full slate.
10:18But they absolutely have the Thursday touchdowns available for me.
10:22So, here is where I am going to go for Turkey Day.
10:25I'm going Gibbs for two touchdowns.
10:28That's right.
10:29Not one, but two.
10:31The Lions usually get about three rushing touchdowns a game recently.
10:34And two of them go to either Montgomery or Gibbs.
10:37Since Montgomery is a little banged up, I think it will be a Gibbs day.
10:40Two tutties for Gibbs, plus 3.30.
10:43DJ Moore, plus 2.30.
10:44Bear offense has looked good the last couple of weeks.
10:47CeeDee Lamb, plus 1.80.
10:49Was very involved against the Washington Commanders last Sunday.
10:53I think that Cooper Rush could find him.
10:55And in the nightcap, Jaden Reed for the Packers at plus 1.70.
10:58And if you notice, Tua has been hooking up with John O'Smith a lot.
11:03Yes.
11:04In the end zone.
11:05He has scored a couple games in a row.
11:06And they're still giving you a nice plus 2.50 price for him.
11:09The Turkey Day Thanksgiving picks, Cam.
11:13Let's go.
11:14Carver, I have four out of your five picks on your board.
11:18Let's go.
11:19Yeah, I got John O'Smith.
11:20I dropped pits for John O'Smith.
11:22Jaden Reed's on my fantasy team.
11:24I like him.
11:25I took Gibbs and Lamb.
11:27I wasn't sure about Moore.
11:29I was either going to give it to one of the backs, like Johnson or Swift.
11:32But, hey, I love your picks.
11:34And I love the John O'Smith.
11:36My hope is, Cam, that the Bears are going to be down like 24 or 30 points in
11:40this game.
11:41I think Dale Williams is going to be throwing the football in garbage time
11:44and hits Moore, probably hit it with Dunzey or Keenan Allen.
11:49But we're going to try it with DJ Moore on a Turkey Day.
11:52We have one other holiday NFL game, and that is on Friday, Black Friday,
11:57second year in a row, Black Friday NFL.
12:00And this year you have the Raiders heading to Kansas City against the Chiefs.
12:04Another big number for us here, Cam, Chiefs minus 12.5.
12:10With the 42.5 total, looks like it'll be Aiden O'Connell for the Raiders,
12:17who stinks, by the way, as they get ready for this.
12:20I know the numbers with the Chiefs, 6-0 straight up as favorites of six or
12:25more, but 0-5-1 against the spread.
12:28They never cover these big numbers, Cam.
12:31But that sound bite from Mahomes on Sunday after another close win against
12:36Carolina, of him saying, be nice to have a blowout for a change.
12:40I think that this is the team that could serve the blowout to them right there
12:44on a silver platter at home.
12:46Couldn't agree more.
12:47And I never take the Chiefs, Carver.
12:49You know me.
12:50I'm on the bills.
12:51I bet against these guys all the time because they don't cover numbers.
12:53This is the week.
12:55You're a hated rival.
12:56Mahomes is like, what's the deal?
12:58We almost lost to Carolina.
12:59Let's get it done.
13:00Chiefs, I think they win this game by 20 points, Carver.
13:04Yeah, I think they win the game by 20-plus points as well, Cam.
13:08They're going to take care of business and get it done against them.
13:11That is for sure.
13:13All right, Cam.
13:14So we have several other things that are going to go on here with this.
13:19And I didn't get the touchdowns in for the Chiefs either, but I think we go
13:24Hopkins, Cam, for the Chiefs on Friday.
13:27I do like Hopkins.
13:28And I can't play Bowers.
13:29I play Bowers every week.
13:31But I can't play him this week because O'Connell stinks.
13:33Exactly.
13:34So we're going to throw Bowers off the pile this week in that game, Cam.
13:39My raider is Abdullah the Butcher.
13:42Abdullah the Butcher versus Dusty Rhodes.
13:45Razor blade match.
13:46Abdullah.
13:47And he pays a fortune.
13:49♪♪