Bernie Rayno spoke with AccuWeather Long-range Expert Joe Lundberg to find out what the forecast looks like next week for the United States.
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00:00 Joining me right now, you know who he is. We call him the crystal ball meteorologist Joe Lumber.
00:05 Joe, you and I have tons to talk about, but before we get into the upcoming week, boy, what a week we've had.
00:10 Let's talk about this week, but what we were saying about it last week. Play the tape.
00:16 Here are the two troughs. There's one here and one here. This one is actually coming again to California this weekend. Comes around the bend,
00:25 works its way northeaster and that's what we think gives rise to the severe weather in here Monday and then Monday night into Tuesday
00:31 farther east toward the western Ohio Valley. That moves northeastward, degenerates into some showers Wednesday, but it helps to pull warm air eastward.
00:38 Second system drops down and some chilly air with that. It looks like that's going to cause along a stalled frontal boundary more active weather.
00:45 Late Wednesday night or Thursday, and that'll spread into the east as a cold front on Friday.
00:53 Severe weather that we talked about last week, and I think if you look at that severe weather area, pretty much we had that nailed for you here.
01:01 Unfortunately, we were right. We don't like to be right about severe weather, but I think we pretty much diagnosed that severe weather threat that we saw this week last Friday.
01:11 Yeah, it's interesting. You look back at that, and I forgot what we had said last Friday.
01:14 Yeah, yeah.
01:15 And really, you're right. Everything panned out pretty much as expected. Well, what are we looking at for next week?
01:21 Well, there's actually going to be a couple of opportunities, strangely enough, for frost and freezes from the lakes to the mid-Atlantic.
01:26 You're actually going to have some concerns about that this weekend, but there's an even cooler shot middle of next week.
01:31 We'll talk about that. Warmth, though, will be spreading from the southwest this weekend into the plains next week, and there's limited severe weather most of next week.
01:38 I say most of next week. We get to Friday. Things change.
01:41 Here's the big picture for next week.
01:44 Keep an eye on this trough coming into the west or the middle part of the week.
01:46 That's going to be the impetus for trouble down the road, but initially that allows the ridge to develop and spread that warmth from the southwest early in the week into the plains states, say, by Wednesday and Thursday.
01:57 A shot of cool air. There'll be a storm system.
01:58 It'll come through here Tuesday night and Wednesday with some showers in behind it.
02:02 If it clears out and high pressure comes in, look at this.
02:04 This whole area we've got highlighted is a freeze potential, certainly a frost danger.
02:09 If you're underneath that high with clear skies and light winds, temperatures could bottom out in the upper 20s and 30s,
02:15 which, considering how things have been growing so far this season, Bernie, that's a recipe for trouble.
02:20 Yeah, I know that Ariel is worried about that for her bloom.
02:24 A lot of people sending in pictures of blooms, and here we go.
02:27 So this is going to be a problem.
02:28 Another problem is, Joe, that trough in the western United States.
02:31 That is always bad news for the plains when you see that this time of the year.
02:36 And I've been talking with Paul Pastelok, our long-range team lead, and he's been very concerned about that.
02:41 As that system comes down into California, the implications for them are not that bad, maybe some showers.
02:46 But as that comes eastward, it looks like it's going to come in a couple of pieces, and there may be multiple rounds of stormy weather.
02:53 So widespread severe weathers are a concern, developing Friday and lasting Saturday and into Sunday,
02:59 anywhere from, say, Austin, San Antonio, Dallas, up to Oklahoma City, Little Rock, even to Indianapolis, all at risk in that time frame,
03:07 Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, and of course, everything's in play, including flash flooding.
03:11 This year's going to get a lot of rain this weekend, and there could be more of it next week, late in the weekend into next weekend.
03:17 And Joe, there's some troubling signs as we close out April and get into the middle part of May.
03:23 Yeah, what you see there for next weekend could be the start of a two- or three-week period of very active weather,
03:28 and it looks like a pretty similar pattern.
03:31 Jet stream disturbances come into the northwest, dive into the Rockies, pull up warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico,
03:37 so there may be multiple severe weather events through the middle of May in the central and southern plains over to the Mississippi Valley, unfortunately.