MLB Day Games Insights with Expert and Insider Craig Mish
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00:00 So to help us get ready for this Thursday with six games as of now scheduled for some day baseball
00:06 That's craig mish the host of news wires starting at 11 a.m
00:09 Eastern time our mlb insider here on the sports grid network the daily basis craig on this thursday glad to have you here
00:17 Yeah, great start yesterday as we talked about cole reagan shut down the tigers man
00:23 Like you know, I I think the tiger has got to like do something evasive here with this offense like it is in american league
00:30 Pretty dreadful at this point to watch but that was a great game to watch
00:33 unfortunately school didn't come through for detroit, but
00:36 Naturally, we were on the right side yesterday of that
00:39 Oh always on the right side here on the early line six great wins craig
00:44 For kc the royals already at 32
00:48 It took them until the end of july to get the 30 wins craig mish in his crystal ball
00:54 Knows how to predict those win totals craig a ceremonious day on this thursday in major league baseball for the third time
01:01 In major league baseball history. It's paul skeen's day skeens on the bump at home in pittsburgh
01:07 As the pirates get ready to host the san francisco giants third start of skeens's mlb career
01:13 The first against the team not named the chicago cubs
01:16 Pittsburgh the favored side with paul skeens on the bump against san francisco today
01:23 What do you expect in outing number three of paul skeens's mlb career?
01:27 Yeah, the last one
01:30 Was incredible like watch watching what he did carving up that team in the last well, you know, certainly I mean
01:36 I I guess the thing is for me is that
01:38 Skeens, I would think would be treated a little bit differently than some of these other pitchers
01:43 Getting to the big leagues only because he played at lsu, you know and through so many pitches
01:49 I'm sort of surprised the way that he's being handled a little bit
01:53 Maybe the pirates feel like they have a run coming in them and and they would make the postseason potentially
01:58 And if that's the case, you want to have him hang around along with jared jones for a great one-two punch down the stretch
02:04 but it is it is sort of
02:07 Maddening to me to look at his props his k props and and even to win some of these games knowing
02:12 Ben that he's coming out after the sixth inning like it's just that's it
02:17 And again think about how well he pitched to get through six innings and they let him do it
02:22 He may only be a five inning guy. I can't back the pirates today. I just can't do it
02:27 I don't think he's gonna go deep enough into the game
02:29 Yeah, I was live on the air during that game against the cubs and he was filthy like every time he looked up and you saw
02:35 Another out you didn't even think about it was a ground as I probably struck the guy out and he did six innings pitched
02:40 11 k's he was phenomenal. Let's see what he does do today
02:42 The one thing that we do know a guy that's been phenomenal at the top of the cy young award-winning market here at the fan
02:48 Blue sports book that's zach wheeler and the philadelphia phillies taking on andre haney the left-handed pitcher for the rangers head the favorite here
02:54 But we see some overnight movement a minus 210 for the phillies now down to a minus
02:58 190 in a total of eight and a half the phillies have been sensational this year
03:02 Do they pull off the sweep against the rangers in philadelphia today craig? Yeah, I got a quick look at the phillies lineup
03:08 I think they announced a couple of guys are sitting today. I think maybe donnie
03:11 That's why the line moved a little bit. But look naturally the phillies are playing better baseball than anyone else
03:16 I find I still find it a little fascinating that imanaga is not the favorite to win the cy young and I guess I would ask
03:22 Myself the question that if imanaga was in his second year of major league baseball, would he be the favorite right now?
03:27 Is it just simply because he's gonna wrap up the rookie of the year award and they're not going to give him the cy young award
03:33 Too I mean is that the reason why because otherwise I can't figure it out
03:36 That being said wheelers had one bad start all season donnie. I saw it. It was against miami
03:40 I don't know what happened in that game. I still can't figure it out
03:44 I would lean under the eight and a half runs, uh, you know, certainly texas's uh,
03:48 Pitching leaves a little bit to be desired
03:50 But I I would think that wheeler comes through and generally speaking
03:54 The one thing that you could say about the phillies this year and donna
03:57 You know this from watching is every single one of their starters is going seven
04:00 Eight innings that's going to help them so much with this bullpen down the stretch. You have no idea
04:05 Yeah, by the way real quick
04:08 Oh, let me slide on this real quick with you craig
04:10 I agree with you and you saw an interesting one down in florida when you had wheeler had that start say boy
04:14 That's odd
04:16 Stubbs actually was the starting catcher that day because real mucho got banged up a little bit the night before
04:20 He got back on his bases last week and also usually on a day-to-day where you play a night game
04:25 Which they did in philadelphia in a day game you give the starting catcher the day off
04:28 But real muto is actually in the lineup today
04:30 So that might be a little bit of an extra boost for wheeler there
04:33 But you did see one of those games where he didn't have his normal catcher and he looked really bad that game
04:37 Yeah, there was by the way, there was one pitch in particular. He had a again. I watched the marlins, you know
04:43 Sorry to say I watch like every game. So there was like a it was like a three two count
04:47 And wheeler thought he got a strike. It was a ball the next batter. Uh, you know, actually it was a three
04:53 Uh, I don't I don't know what it was
04:55 But either way he the umpire missed a strike and the very next pitch was a home run
04:58 And I think that that really was what cost wheeler on in that game
05:02 I'm not going to make excuses for him because I don't with the umpires
05:05 But I think that was part of it too. That's a good point. Donnie. I don't know the catching dynamic there how it works
05:09 Who generally is with?
05:12 Right, that was a sound follow-up drs way to get in there about your philadelphia phillies. Craig the question
05:17 We've been asking about the phil's 36 and 14 the best 50 games stored in mlb in over two decades
05:25 How legitimate is philadelphia as a pennant contender in the national league all year long?
05:30 It's been the dodgers and the braves slightly behind the phil's and then everybody else in the national league craig
05:36 Would you place philadelphia on the same tier with the dodgers and the braves?
05:40 Uh with the braves. Yes with the dodgers
05:43 I'm, not sure I I kind of feel like otani is putting the dodgers over the top this year
05:47 If I had to predict how far the phillies go, I I know donnie's not going to want to hear this
05:51 I think it's very similar to last year. I think that they get to the nlcs and i'm just not sure
05:56 What would happen but look if I am the phillies this year?
06:00 And I am dave dobrowski who is a lot of history going to the world series with detroit and with boston
06:06 And with the old marlins the florida marlins, this is the year donnie
06:10 They got to do it. They have to get whatever they can whether it's mike trout or whether it's boba shed or vladimir
06:16 They have to go all in this year. The window is now for them
06:22 They got to push it all the way down if i'm them now craig
06:25 Is there any chance that we can get you to head to twitter right now and just say we're hearing rumors
06:30 Could be lining up something big. Let's go
06:33 You just gave him an inch he's gonna take a mile you just open the door and right side's kicking it down
06:40 You just gave him his sources that mike trout coming home. I saw donnie's chair
06:45 It was weird. I saw donnie's chair just you know, sort of rise a little bit like it was
06:49 Oh
06:54 Oh perked up a little bit did drs as soon as you said my trout craig
07:00 We knew that was going to be good clip that clip that make sure it's shared craig mish
07:06 Yep, there it is quickly here drs. Let's transition back to major league baseball to go through
07:14 Our eight game thursday slate. We've got a couple more to preview including the rubber match in wrigley between the cubs
07:22 And the brave chicago won game number one atlanta, of course with a nine run performance yesterday winning nine to two
07:30 The braves have been favored in each of the first two games inside wrigley same story today
07:35 - 118 on the money line for atlanta
07:38 I think we might get runs in this game again
07:40 Because if we're taking a look at the 78 degrees, which is nice in chicago
07:44 Wind's not really going to help you all that much blowing more from right foul pole over the left foul pole
07:48 But if we take a look at the pictures and here's always the some times where I like to break down a game and say
07:52 I don't have enough information. Darius vines only faced 41 batters here in major league baseball this season
07:57 None of the past 30 days. He's got some pretty brutal numbers and 184 iso power number and a weighted on base percentage of 358
08:04 So let's go back to see what he was actually doing in triple a his last start bet in triple a which came against st
08:10 Lewis's affiliate four and two thirds innings pitched over 25 batters faced eight hits six earned runs
08:17 Two home runs and three walks giving up with only four strikeouts
08:22 So if there's a chance for the chicago cubs to bounce back today, it's going to come from the first four guys in that lineup
08:27 It's talkman suzuki bellinger bellinger, excuse me and morel
08:30 Those guys all elevated iso and weighted on base percentages against a pitcher that might not technically be a major league pitcher today
08:38 So maybe i'll lean on that aspect here. I think the braves might go down today
08:41 But more than that, I like the total in this game to go to the over
08:45 I like a couple of the underdogs in the early slate
08:48 I kind of like the giants plus 150 in pittsburgh despite paul skeens being on the bump and the companies at even money
08:55 Makes some sense chicago, of course in the national league central the team in the bottom of that division the cincinnati reds
09:02 Disappointing start to the year in cincy 20 and 29 a near pick-em today at home in the great american ballpark against the padres
09:12 Yeah, I mean not a great look overall and that's why you're seeing that basically it is a coin flip the nine and a half is
09:17 Interesting here because waldron's not a good pitcher but having said that he's really bad ben against left-handed batters
09:22 You don't have that good of left-handed batters in the lineup today for the cincinnati reds
09:25 Frankie matas hasn't been that great against left-handed batters
09:28 You do have one really good left-handed batter in that lineup and that's jake cronin
09:32 We're 73 at bats over the past 30 days against righties at 328 iso
09:36 Maybe that's your rbi look today for the padres and the reds
09:39 Would they win for san diego?
09:41 They would be a game above 500 the only other team in the nl west outside of the dodgers to have a winning record