Top MLB Matchups and Predictions for Friday Night's Games
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00:00All right, Carver, hi.
00:02We're going to hit these baseball games tonight,
00:04a huge night to make money.
00:06And there's some great games and great series going on.
00:11Even though the Yankees stink, it's
00:13always good when the Yankees and Red Sox hook up.
00:15The Dodgers and Astros, Pirates and Diamondbacks
00:19has huge implications.
00:21So there's good baseball everywhere.
00:24There is good baseball everywhere.
00:26There's no question about that, Scotty.
00:28And why don't we start with the matchup of the team
00:31that, as of today, would have the number one
00:34seed in the National League, the Philadelphia
00:36Phillies, against the number one team in the American League,
00:39the Cleveland Guardians.
00:40How about that?
00:41In Pharrelladelphia, kicking off a weekend series.
00:44Ben Lively and Christopher Sanchez
00:46will get things going tonight.
00:48Minus $190 for the Phillies, plus $1.55 for Cleveland,
00:52and a flat eight.
00:54I think Sanchez has been great.
00:56The low ERA, made the all-star team.
01:01Tons of innings, tons of strikeouts.
01:04I like him on the run line at plus 105.
01:08I'm laying the run at a half.
01:09And the reason I'm doing it is because I
01:11don't deny Lively's good, but I think the Guardians
01:14have been scuffing lately.
01:18They won a game the other night, 2 to 1.
01:20It was the first time they'd won a game in a couple of weeks
01:24that mattered.
01:25They're just not playing good baseball right now.
01:27And you know, the Phillies are a tough team to beat
01:31and to play them at the bank.
01:33And you're not on all cylinders firing.
01:36Give me the Phillies, run line it.
01:38And I'll take the over.
01:41The Twins are one of those teams trying to chase down
01:43Cleveland in the AL Central.
01:45They are going to be in Detroit this weekend.
01:47Pablo Lopez goes for them tonight.
01:49Montero goes for the Tigers.
01:51Minus $185 for Minnesota, plus $1.50 for Detroit,
01:55and a 7 and 1 half.
01:57I can't believe it's a 7 and 1 half with these two guys.
02:00I mean, Lopez's ERA's almost at 5.
02:03Montero's almost at 6.
02:05I think the Twins, Lopez goes in there and beats them
02:10and controls them tonight.
02:12Montero's a mess.
02:14And I think Minnesota, I think, can catch.
02:17I told you that.
02:18I think they can catch Cleveland.
02:21And Detroit, by the way, one of their guys
02:23who's had a huge year, Riley Green, of course,
02:25went to the All-Star game for them.
02:27They placed him on the IL just now.
02:2910 days hamstring strain.
02:31So Detroit going to be without one of their best bats
02:34for the next week and a half.
02:35And let me say this.
02:36I think that the guy that they're going to trade
02:38is Flaherty, not Scuble.
02:41I mean, they'd be stupid to trade Scuble.
02:43And Flaherty's turned his season around.
02:45He's actually pitched really well.
02:48And I know that teams have their eyes on Flaherty.
02:52If I were them, I wouldn't trade Scuble.
02:54I know that.
02:55Scuble's the type of guy that you keep around,
02:57especially when he has a couple more years of control.
03:00He's like Durlander when he was young
03:02with the Tigers, honestly.
03:04You build around him.
03:05You're trying to get better.
03:07That's supposed to be the anchor of your rotation
03:09for years to come, not somebody that you trade away.
03:12The Reds are in Tampa against the Rays.
03:15Nick Lodolo against Shane Boz tonight.
03:17Minus 120 for Tampa, even money for the Reds.
03:20And a seven and a half,
03:22I can't figure that one out either, Scotty,
03:24the seven and a half for this game.
03:25I think both these guys are going to get lit up.
03:28Yeah, well, look, Lodolo's been flat out
03:33one of Cincinnati's best pitchers.
03:35So I think they have a shot to win this game tonight.
03:39And that's why it's a pick-em.
03:40I'll take Lodolo and the Reds at minus about 10.
03:43And I didn't get this in for the lion's share
03:45for Tater time today,
03:47because I wasn't sure if he was going to be back or not.
03:49But Yandy Diaz, who I told you is back for Tampa,
03:52five for seven with a homer off Lodolo in his career.
03:55That's 7-14.
03:57So there's a little one,
03:58a little add-on for you, Scotty, with Diaz tonight.
04:01And maybe that'll propel him to the Pirate lineup,
04:05as well, so we can get that one cooking, too.
04:08San Diego into Baltimore.
04:10So they were in D.C. the last couple of days.
04:12They take the short trip over to Baltimore
04:15with Grayson Rodriguez,
04:16and the Orioles will be waiting for them.
04:18Adam Mazur goes tonight for the Friars.
04:20Minus 200 for the Orioles,
04:22plus a buck 65 for San Diego and a flat nine.
04:28Yeah, look, Mazur's ERA's gigantic in the sevens.
04:33And look, Grayson Rodriguez is a badass.
04:36He's 12-4.
04:38He doesn't lose.
04:40I'm on the O's at Camden, run line.
04:45And, you know, they haven't been playing well either,
04:48and they haven't been scoring runs.
04:51But I say they bust out tonight against San Diego,
04:54and they win for Rodriguez.
04:57Rangers have gotten hot here since the break.
05:00Helps when you play the White Sox the last few days.
05:02But either way, in Toronto now for the weekend,
05:05Andrew Heaney against Cucucci tonight.
05:09Minus 125 for the Jays, plus 105 for Texas, and a flat eight.
05:15Yeah, I'm on Texas.
05:17I bet it this morning at minus a buck five
05:20for them to beat Cucucci in Toronto.
05:22I saw all I needed to see yesterday.
05:24I bet on Tampa in that game.
05:26I had a ticket on them, and they won 13 to nothing.
05:28The Jays look lifeless.
05:30Texas is playing good ball.
05:32Give me the Rangers at that minus a buck five price.
05:36I can't even believe Toronto's favored.
05:40The Mets, as we know, have been red hot.
05:43The Braves have been going in the other direction.
05:46They get together again tonight at Citi Field.
05:49Season debut, Scotty, for Senga.
05:51He returns for the Mets.
05:52Of course, he has been out all year.
05:55Just made a couple of rehab starts,
05:57coming back from the shoulder issues that he had.
06:00You have the fisherman, Charlie Morton,
06:02going for the Braves tonight.
06:04Minus 135 for Senga and the Mets,
06:06plus 115 for the Braves, and a seven and a half.
06:10Yeah, I like Senga and his forkball.
06:14I'm gonna bet him, I don't think it's too juicy
06:15at minus a buck 35.
06:18The Mets are hot right now, and this guy,
06:20they've waited for him to come back, and here it is.
06:24We saw Robbie Ray do it.
06:27We saw Kershaw do it.
06:29Can we see Senga do it tonight
06:31and cash another Mets ticket in Queens?
06:33Why not?
06:36The other team in New York, the Yankees,
06:38heads up to Beantown to visit the Red Sox this weekend.
06:41Nasty Nestor Cortez against Brian Ballo tonight.
06:44Minus 120 for the Yankees.
06:47Yankees are favored in Boston.
06:49Even money for the Red Sox, and a nine and a half.
06:54You gotta be kidding me that they're favored
06:56with this hack, Cortez pitching.
07:00He only wins at home.
07:02And I think he's getting lit up tonight in Boston.
07:06Baio has had a phenomenal season.
07:10I mean, my God, he's 10 and five,
07:13and I think the Red Sox pound them tonight.
07:16I'm going over the nine and a half.
07:18I'm going Red Sox, even money on the money line.
07:23I don't need to mess around with anything else.
07:25I can't believe the Yankees are favored over anyone.
07:28Seriously.
07:29I can't either, and Cortez is awful on the road.
07:33Awful.
07:33I mean, you get him outside of Yankee Stadium,
07:35he is awful on the road.
07:37And, well, we'll do him more in the taters,
07:39because I like those sea salt, salty taters.
07:41But, I mean, right now I'm putting Devers
07:44going deep on this guy tonight.
07:46Don't worry, because there's a very good chance
07:49you're going to see that name in a few minutes
07:51when we do the lion's share.
07:52All right, well, I haven't looked,
07:53so if I spoiled the beans, I'm sorry.
07:56Could be coming your way in a few minutes
07:59on the lion's share, as he's got some good numbers
08:01off of Cortez.
08:02The Cubs and the Royals tonight in Kansas City.
08:05Kyle Hendricks and Brady Singer get that series cooking,
08:09where the Royals are minus $1.50,
08:12Cubs plus $1.25 and a flat nine.
08:15Oh, I am all over Singer.
08:18I am all over the run line at plus $1.35,
08:23and I think they're going to score runs
08:24in droves on Jimi Hendrix.
08:27Give me the Royals, the over, the run line,
08:31Singer, home runs galore.
08:33You probably got some taters in there, too.
08:36Hendricks, honestly, he's given up.
08:40I don't know how many home runs he's given up,
08:42but he's given up.
08:43His ERA is sky high.
08:45He'll get it started with Frambois Valdez
08:46and Gavin Stone tonight, Astros minus $1.35,
08:50plus $1.15 for the Dodgers.
08:52I think this maybe is only the second
08:54or third time this year, Scotty,
08:55where you're getting plus money on the Dodgers in any game.
08:59Eight and a half is the total for this one.
09:03I got to tell you, I mean, it's such a great matchup
09:08with Stone and Valdez.
09:11And I, you know, I kind of feel for you
09:13that that plus money on the Dodgers
09:16is a decent bet at plus $1.10.
09:18I'd rather take a shot with Stone,
09:20who's been pretty magnificent for the Dodgers,
09:22all things being equal.
09:24I think he's like, whatever, nine and three.
09:26All I know is Valdez is eight and five.
09:27I don't deny that the Astros
09:29are playing great baseball right now,
09:31but at that price, I got to pay $1.30 for him,
09:34or do I go $1.10 with a guy that can beat him?
09:36I'll go $1.10 with a guy that can beat him.
09:38Give me the Dodgers.
09:40The Marlins are in Milwaukee against the Brewers.
09:43It'll be Trevor Rogers tonight against Freddy Peralta.
09:46Heavy lumber here, minus $2.25 for the Brew Crew,
09:50plus $1.85 for the fish and a flat eight.
09:53Yeah, I had to run line Milwaukee here in this bet
09:57because it was so expensive, the price.
10:00So I can live with laying the run and a half
10:03at minus $1.10 and the over.
10:06Rogers stinks.
10:09Yes, he's not very good at all.
10:12Mariners and the White Sox in Chicago this weekend.
10:15Kirby's Dreamland, George Kirby goes for Seattle.
10:18Drew Thorpe goes for the White Sox.
10:22Minus $1.75 for Seattle,
10:23plus $1.45 for Chicago and a seven and a half.
10:27So I bet this, this morning,
10:29and I bet it at, run lined it,
10:33minus a buck five on the run line with Seattle.
10:38I did make that bet this morning
10:40with Kirby's Dreamland over Thorpe.
10:42And I actually think it's gonna be, you know,
10:46another rough weekend for the White Sox.
10:48Seattle has to go in there and pounce on them.
10:51Everyone that plays them.
10:52I talked to, yesterday we talked about the Royals.
10:55They play the Cubs, then they play the White Sox.
10:57They gotta beat these teams because they both stink.
11:00I don't care what anybody says.
11:01I think the Cubs stink.
11:04Cubs stink indeed.
11:05Nationals and the Cardinals in St. Louis.
11:07Mackenzie Gore and Sonny Gray.
11:09Minus $1.85 for the Redbirds,
11:11plus $1.50 for the Nats and a seven and a half.
11:15Yeah, I hate that big price on Gray.
11:18So I would run line it at plus $1.30
11:21if I could get it through.
11:23I think they can beat Gore.
11:27I think they can score against Gore.
11:29But listen, I'll be honest with you.
11:32Obviously, I think Sonny Gray is their best pitcher.
11:35But what I saw in Pittsburgh
11:38was a team that was struggling to score runs.
11:42Like the Pirates beat them in that series.
11:46When do the Pirates beat the Cardinals in a series ever?
11:49Besides never, okay?
11:51And then the thing that worries me about that whole scene
11:54is they go there in, I think, September.
11:57Four games at Bush Stadium in September,
12:00the Pirates have to go.
12:02And I guarantee you in September,
12:04the Cardinals will be hitting,
12:05even though right now they're not.
12:08You know that team.
12:09We've always talked about them.
12:10They always end up in the playoffs.
12:11They always end up being a team that matters in the end.
12:15So I would think when it matters most in September,
12:18they'll be hitting.
12:19They're not hitting right now.
12:22So I'm concerned about this bet on the run line tonight.
12:24But if you hit it, it'd be a plus 130 burger.
12:27A's and the Angels again in Anaheim.
12:30Carson Fulmer.
12:32Who for the Angels?
12:34And Paul Blackburn returns.
12:36He has not pitched since May.
12:37He comes off the 60-day IL off his foot injury.
12:41This is a pick-em now.
12:42Minus 110 both ways.
12:43And a big fat nine and a half.
12:45Let's go over again.
12:48I just look.
12:48Blackburn, the Pirates back.
12:51That's just all I need to know.
12:52And then the bats.
12:54The A's bats are just flat out better.
12:57I'm on Oakland.
12:58And the Pirate.
12:59Blackburn, my man.
13:02Speaking of the Pirates,
13:04they are in Arizona as we mentioned
13:06against the Diamondbacks.
13:07Louie Ortiz and Zach Gallin tonight.
13:10Minus 175 for the Snakes.
13:13Plus 145 for the Buccos.
13:15And an eight and a half.
13:18I mean, look.
13:19The stones that I got on me
13:22to take Ortiz at plus 140 in the Pirates
13:25to upset Gallin and Milk.
13:27The stones on this guy.
13:29Like, look.
13:30If you're gonna be for real.
13:33If you're gonna be legit.
13:35That, you know, Ortiz has pitched very,
13:38very well for the Pirates.
13:39No one talks about him
13:40because they talk about skeins and Helen Keller.
13:43But my God.
13:44My man is five and two with a 2.5 ERA.
13:48He has been great.
13:49A 1.11 whip.
13:51He's got 59 strikeouts.
13:53The guy's been good.
13:54He's got 21 walks.
13:56Relatively low with the walks.
13:58Look.
14:00The other day they got a great five, six inning
14:03shutout performance from Martin Perez.
14:05Why can't I get Ortiz to steal the first game
14:09and upset Gallin tonight in the desert?
14:12Give me the Pirates.
14:13Clear the decks.
14:14Wow.
14:15Little Buccos clearing the decks tonight
14:17out in the desert.
14:18I love it.
14:19And finally, the Rockies are in San Francisco
14:22against the Giants.
14:23Kyle Freeland and Kyle Harrison are the starters tonight.
14:27Minus 175 for the Giants.
14:30Plus 145 for the Rockies.
14:32And a flat eight total.
14:34I like the over in this game.
14:37I like the Giants run line.
14:39Plus 118.
14:41Harrison has been better than Freeland.
14:44Harrison, a 380 RA.
14:47Freeland's almost around six.
14:50Give me the Giants and Oracle.
14:52They're certainly a different team
14:53when they play at home, aren't they?