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00:00I've right here on this football friday on the early line on sports grid the eve of real college football
00:06Even if it's week zero on this friday night, though
00:10A triple header of action around the national football league in pre-season week number three
00:15It is the final week of the nfl pre-season before we get the real thing
00:20Starting in less than two weeks the rs3 games tonight
00:24We have a game down south in atlanta between the falcons and the jaguars seven points spread
00:31In favor of the jacks
00:32We've got an all sunshine state affair between the bucks and the dolphins
00:36And the raiders and the 49ers that we'll talk about in just a moment a former northern california
00:42Clash some very lofty spreads though. We've got seven and a half in favor of san francisco seven in favor of jacksonville
00:49Again, we got to dive through the reports here and make sure our research is on point
00:54That would almost lead me to believe when you see a touchdown number
00:58Might we see some starters tonight in jacksonville and for the 49ers?
01:03Yes, and and that's the key ingredient here because sometimes in the regular season
01:07You don't get to see this unless it's what week 18 where you get that announcement on tuesday
01:10I don't think my starters are playing and you see this big line reversal
01:14Let's take a look at these three games without handicapping them and just see where the lines are going
01:17Fan duel in new jersey open jacksonville and atlanta at a minus four and a half point spread now
01:22We see it across the board including fan duel sitting at a minus seven miami and tampa bay
01:26Do you know miami actually opened up as the one and a half point favorite now across the board?
01:30Tampa bay is a three point favorite and then in that nightcap out there on the west coast in vegas
01:34San francisco and las vegas that was actually a three and a half point favorite towards the vegas raiders
01:39That's now a seven and a half point favorite towards the san francisco 49ers ben
01:44That's exactly what they're telling you one team has already shut down their their preseason and one team that still says you know
01:50What there's a little meat left on the bone
01:52We have to check a few things out and we're actually going to game plan a little bit for this game
01:56More than the other team. That's what we're finding out now
01:59Yeah, it is really interesting donny the philosophy that we are seeing developed here in the three game preseason slate trevor
02:05Lawrence did not play in week number two
02:08For jacksonville, but he is going to play in week number three
02:12He played in the preseason opener against the chiefs had one offensive possession and did lead a touchdown
02:19Drive the jags I believe if I am not mistaken are a perfect
02:23Yes, two and oh so far throughout this preseason looking to make it a perfect three
02:27You know what perhaps is more peculiar about this game than even trevor
02:32Lawrence getting some reps as a touchdown favorite is the sentiment in atlanta
02:37That michael pettich jr has done all that he needs to do with the quarterback spot and is not going to play
02:43tonight against
02:45Jacksonville, I know that you and kevin have talked about this on the money line and if you're listening on sports grid radio
02:50Perhaps you have seen one of the promo clips going around during the commercial break where I think kev makes a very astute point
02:57Unless we get an update out of atlanta that kirk cousins is not ready to go
03:02From the achilles injury that ended his 2023 season after only 10 games. What in the world are they doing with pettix jr?
03:10And by the way, I thought the quote was something like we're going to bring a brand new energy to this show here
03:14So we might be getting our quotes backwards here on that commercial at this point
03:18So anyway, when you look at that game, look the seven point line
03:22Are we just getting john paddock at this point?
03:24Like is that who's going to be playing for atlanta because pennix isn't playing kirk cousins isn't playing
03:29Taylor heineke who's been a veteran for a while needs three and a half quarters of burn or he's just going to go
03:34Hey kid, this is your moment to shine. You're not going to probably make this football team call your family
03:39You're getting four full quarters tonight of action
03:42That's what it's telling me right now where jackson might have a little bit more competency at the quarterback position
03:47That's really what it's all about in preseason, but that's the only thing I can figure but getting back to your atlanta point
03:52Yeah, your goal is for pennix not to play this year
03:55Let him burn in the preseason
03:57So at least he can get those game reps in and show your fan base and your general manager
04:01Yeah, if he needs to step in he's ready to go a series against maybe some backups like you know
04:07What we saw all we need with this kid at this point now nothing makes sense
04:10And almost like ben sometimes you're rooting against the team while not really rooting against him
04:14It's like boy if this goes up in flames for atlanta, it's like see that
04:17Why did you take that tramp egg?
04:18It didn't make sense to begin with it seems like they're setting themselves up for that where no matter what happens
04:23You're going to be able to throw eggs at the atlanta falcons like ha ha bad franchise. Yeah
04:29I feel terrible for michael pennix jr
04:31I would want to play football if I knew that my future in atlanta probably wouldn't really start for the next two to three
04:36Years the falcons remain a minus 145 favorite to win the nfc south division
04:42They also extended a.j. Terrell their fifth year cornerback. We're about to enter year
04:47Number five for atlanta four-year deal worth more than 80 million dollars making him the second highest paid
04:53Cornerback in the national football league atlanta's made some good moves defensively in the last week plus they acquired via trade with new england
05:01Matthew judon, they brought in justin simmons as well
05:05One of the formerly great safeties in the nfl, but still was a late free agent acquisition
05:11This summer still I have my questions on the falcons
05:15We are not going to see to a tango by loa tonight for my emmy the bucks remain a short favorite in the sunshine state
05:22showdown three
05:24Points is the spread in favor of the buccaneers the highest total though of this friday night 37 and a half
05:32Yeah, and also if we're looking at backup quarterbacks
05:34Once again, you said that's interesting that tampa bay is going to be the favorite because typically obviously you're not going to see two
05:38Attacked by loa, but they do have some quality competent backup quarterbacks that do have some nfl experience
05:44But again, we're also reading the tea leaves
05:45We don't actually know who's playing here
05:47And there's a reason why miami opened up as the favorite and now sit as that three-point underdog
05:52Which means tampa bay might say like, you know, what maybe the starting quarterback doesn't play
05:56But we're going to play some of our defense here for a quarter. We don't know the the you know
06:00Results per se what's going to happen at the end of the game?
06:03But the one thing I do trust is those lines just don't move because it's fun and there's betting markets here
06:07Those lines are moving here because information is out there who a certain team expects to play more
06:13Second and third stringers than obviously first stringers here and that's what we're probably getting out of it
06:17Miami looks the part saying you know
06:19What we're ready to go for the regular season and maybe tampa is going to play their defense or their offense
06:24Maybe an extra series in this game, which isn't enough but that could tilt the balance of hey
06:28Look at that. My starters were in you went three and out back-to-back with your offense
06:32And our offense was able to get a field goal early and there you go
06:35Tua did not play week number one for miami did play last week at home against the commanders five of five for 51 yards
06:42And his only offensive possession and through a touchdown
06:45You would expect skylar thompson and mike white to be battling for that backup qb job
06:50Maybe it's why the total is up despite the buccaneers being a favorite baker mayfield not expected to play tonight for tampa
06:57But mayfield at this point last summer was in a qb competition
07:01With kyle trask who the buccaneers drafted in the second round in 2021
07:06Maybe the heir apparent behind tom brady trask is still there
07:10Has looked pretty good so far in the first few weeks of the preseason. I would expected I would expect trask to get a lot of burn
07:17Tonight elsewhere in las vegas the 49ers
07:21Over a touchdown favorite against vegas, of course
07:24The raiders have already named gordon minshu the starting quarterback this year total
07:2932 and a half more than a touchdown spread in favor of san francisco
07:34Let's confirm donny, but is brock purdy playing in preseason week number three
07:39Or is it just meaning like because typically if gardener minshu won the job. Aiden o'connor is still young
07:44You're still trying to get reps when you play him three and a half quarters
07:47And if that is the case where we understand that aiden o'connor is going to play a majority of this game
07:52And they're getting seven and a half in a preseason game something isn't adding up which leads i'm just looking at the depth chart here
07:57For the vegas raiders carter bradley or nathan peterman, I guess gets the run
08:01It's like boy, both of those guys really can't even play quarterback in the nfl
08:04That's the only thing i'm trying to surmise or unless yes
08:07Brock purdy is going to play the first quarter in this game
08:10Which means that you should be able to run out to a lead and then see if your backups can hold it
08:15But that is a massive number
08:16That's a 10 point swing a three and a half point favorite for vegas now a seven and a half point underdog
08:22That's as wild as it gets
08:24Yeah, so kyle shanahan has said that he is going to play some of his starters tonight
08:30Perhaps not too pleased with the starters performance despite a win
08:34Over the new orleans saints to end out preseason week number two on sunday brock purdy looked shaky and inconsistent
08:41Just two of six
08:43Four eleven yards and joshua dobbs is the backup. He should get a lot of run tonight as well a backup quarterback
08:50With game experience in actual nfl matchups is always a key indicator of success in the national football league
08:58So maybe you look at a first half line for san francisco in terms of taking the full seven and a half
09:04Game spread we'll talk a little bit more about the rest of the nfl preseason
09:08And then have some more fun with futures fusion up next live right here on the early line
09:14On what we consider a football friday on sports. Come back and join us the final week of the national football league
09:21Preseason two games last night to kick it off on a thursday three a triple header on this friday
09:27We've got eight games on saturday mix it in with a little college football as you welcome in week zero
09:33As well and then three games on sunday to round out the preseason then in the coming days after that every organization
09:42Has to make the difficult decisions around their roster cut it down to the 53-man active roster and then we get ready for game
09:49week preparation
09:50Here are a couple of the notable games on saturday around the nfl the panthers and the bills not expecting to see
09:58Josh allen will talk pittsburgh and detroit in just a moment
10:02The texans a three and a half point favorite against the rams the packers
10:06Host the ravens a couple of spreads in favor of those two teams at the bottom donnie
10:12I think the biggest one of saturday not only from a betting perspective
10:16But also just what are we going to get for this organization moving forward is pittsburgh on the road in the motor city
10:23You'll see detroit as a six and a half point home underdog dan
10:26Campbell doesn't really believe in playing the starters much throughout the preseason wouldn't really expect them to get much burn
10:32However, russell wilson did hint earlier this week at steelers training camp that the starters are going to be out there
10:39And if the starters are going to be out there
10:41That means we're probably going to see russ and the potential other starter at the quarterback spot justin fields
10:46It's why the steelers are nearly a touchdown favorite on the road
10:49Yeah, we've seen this in the past with the pittsburgh steelers i'm not necessarily talking about preseason ben
10:53But let's just say they already have their playoff spot locked up with a week to go
10:57The steelers are always like hey, we got a game to play. We're playing our starters regardless because it's a football game
11:01And that's what we play. So if you're using that same mentality here
11:04We're not talking about the pittsburgh seals like hey, man
11:06Russ has been fantastic from the time
11:08We got them all the way through to otas through the training camp and now into the preseason schedule
11:13They have a lot to figure out here and i'm pretty sure like mike tomlin isn't satisfied with his quarterback play
11:18And we always say this you can't just say well
11:21I'm, not going to play my starters at wide receiver or running back or offensive line
11:24But i'm going to play my starting quarterbacks out there so they get some run that's not happening here
11:28If russell wilson and or justin fields is going to be on that field
11:31There's going to be starters that are going to play with him
11:33And if you want to honestly evaluate who should be your starter you have to game plan
11:37You have to give those guys opportunities and you have to have the starters on the offensive line out there and in sync
11:42So this line no surprise this week opened up at a three-point favorite for pittsburgh
11:46And now we're seeing it getting close to a touchdown and probably by game time will be seven points or more because you're figuring
11:52Pittsburgh is trying to figure things out. Detroit is just looking to get now into the regular season
11:57This game would make some sense from a pittsburgh betting side of it
12:01Yeah, it absolutely would russell wilson and justin fields both played five possessions
12:06Last week or both got five possessions at the helm of the stealer's offense
12:10It did not go well only three points scored out of pittsburgh
12:14It was a field goal drive led by fields a lot to figure out for the stealers other games on saturday
12:21Might we see johan dotson in an eagles uniform tomorrow drs the birds a two and a half point home favorite against the vikings
12:29I don't think that's going to be the case here
12:31But when you are looking at those spreads and you say the philadelphia eagles are a favorite because we like the backup quarterback
12:35Situation in philadelphia whether or not it's even going to be kenny pickett
12:38Which they want to tell you is already the quarterback number two like tanner mckee has been a very good quarterback in pre-season
12:44And if he's going to get like the majority of the time out there at least get two quarters or so
12:48He's probably going to be a decent weapon and also minnesota. What are we playing for sam donnelly?
12:52You're not going to see they're obviously j.j
12:54McCarthy's out for the season
12:55So maybe the philadelphia eagles should be a slight favorite this one, but should be a boring game, but interesting
12:59It's very rare that the philadelphia eagles on a saturday
13:02Usually the eagles are always a thursday night football team primarily through the pre-seasons of the past 20 to 25 years
13:08It's interesting to see them playing on a one o'clock saturday game at home. That's interesting
13:13It really is another spot just to pay attention to robert sala confirming earlier this week that aaron rogers
13:20Who they said would be held out for all the pre-season?
13:23Is going to be held out for all the pre-season a met life finale for both the giants and the jets
13:28Facing off on saturday night the g-men a slight two and a half point favorite
13:33That means aaron rogers first action back in an nfl game after only four offensive plays
13:39Last year on the opening monday night of the year will be the opening monday night of this year over two weeks away
13:44In san francisco the three games on sunday
13:47Just so you get a peek the tennessee titans and the new orleans saints the cardinals and the broncos
13:52Might not actually see a lot of bonics who has been great this pre-season after being named the starter
13:57For denver the patriots and the commanders. Listen. I don't think we see jayden daniels
14:02I don't know what the patriots are going to do, but they're a four and a half point favorite
14:06Hey, just know gerard mayo put bailey zappy back into the game last week against the eagles on thursday night to try to win the football
14:14Game, they did not anybody's bet is a good one on new england
14:18I have no idea what the patriots are doing in the pre-season or with their quarterback room at this moment
14:24Yeah, it feels like maybe it's the super bowl for the patriots like we better get those wins now
14:27Because they're gonna be really tough over the first 10 weeks with that hellacious schedule that they have but I expect
14:33We're still going to be taking a look at who that quarterback might be
14:36and I don't even know who's even going to be the start of this game, but if I was playing this and
14:40You're supposed to have jacoby brissette as your starter for the season
14:43He doesn't play in this game
14:44And I just let drake may spin and quite frankly if trey may look drake may looks really good even with backup players
14:49I probably make up my starter week one as well
14:52Yeah, we'll see exactly what happens
14:55All right, drs some more football friday futures fusion to end out this segment and in to our next one
15:03Now joe friso, did you come up with these or are these on the fan duel sports book?
15:07Because yesterday it was a or okay. These are and so you add them together. It is not an and
15:15It is an and right. It's not an or right. These are combined
15:18All right
15:20This is the fusion. We love it. Okay. So here are the fusions donny
15:23Here's the first one the chicago bears to win the nfc north and the pittsburgh steelers to win seven or less
15:30Regular season games, is it a good bet if you had to wager which one would you like more?
15:36Man, that's crazy. By the way, like the chicago bears again. We're talking about a plus 750 price
15:40It's not plus 100 like oh, that's a dumb bet like no you're getting a nice return on your investment
15:44but the question is going to be is
15:46Like we expect big things from the bears still with the rookie quarterback
15:49But when you flip it over to the opposite side the pittsburgh seal is doing seven
15:53Usually it's or more games like yeah, you know, they always are 500
15:56This is seven or less which means they're markedly under 500 which mean seven and ten or less on the season
16:03That's a tough one
16:03If I had to bet it
16:05it probably would be the bears to win the nfc north even though they have a rookie quarterback and detroit's really good the packers are
16:10because
16:11The steelers the bottom would have to fall out on that franchise for them to get six wins though
16:15For sure seven wins, right? So that's the way I would probably play it at that point. I wouldn't play it together
16:19But if I was betting either one probably more likely the steelers are going to win more than seven games
16:24Right and yesterday we chose between some match bets put together the future fusions versus another future
16:31Fusion, these are kind of parlays from a season futures perspective more on them on a football friday night
16:39Yesterday on the early line if you were not with us
16:42You should have been but if you were not we showed you futures fusion a new
16:46Category on the fan duel sports book under the national football league tab
16:51Where you could put a couple of things together the fan will putting basically season-long futures bets together
16:57We compared them yesterday
16:59Now we just talk about the fusions as they are our first one the bears to win the nfc north
17:04And the steelers to win seven or less games. It is a combined parlay at plus 750
17:11I don't like either of these bets
17:13And then the bears at plus 340 to win the nfc north is as much of a return as you would need
17:19For a long shot the steelers of course seven wins or less
17:22Because they have never won seven games or less in 17 years under my tomblid and the wind total is eight and a half
17:29Although I question what pittsburgh is doing at the quarterback spot. I don't like either of those bets
17:35So I don't like the futures fusion as it stands
17:39Here's another one out of the afc north the cleveland browns to win the divisional crown
17:44And the bangles to miss the playoffs donny would this be a parlay that interests you
17:49Which do you think is most likely if one of them had to cash?
17:53Probably more interesting than the first one
17:55The reason I say the chicago bears don't have any correlation to the pittsburgh steelers winning seven games or less
18:00But you can take a look here the cleveland browns and the cincinnati bangles playing in the same division in the afc north
18:05So theoretically if the browns do win the afc north, they probably handled their business in both games
18:10I would assume against the cincinnati bangles
18:12Therefore a couple losses helps to try to keep them out of the playoffs and the wild card round
18:16It's a plus 850 price, which is nice now granted
18:19I don't think the cleveland browns are going to win the afc north. So it's sort of tough to sort of
18:23Let me say like build my case towards making this happen on this parlay
18:27But I do see the cincinnati bangles with a legitimate chance to miss the playoffs this year keep in mind on something
18:32We still haven't seen jamar chase yet
18:34And I know this like the shepherd stuff comes out and then you see I think ocho cinco was out here
18:39Trying to you know, chad johnson trying to say, you know what?
18:41He should have a contract this week, but if he doesn't he's sitting out
18:44So nobody really knows what's going on
18:46But I don't know if he doesn't show up in week one or if they don't pay him and he says, okay
18:50I'll show up but i'm only gonna half-ass it in practice and i'll show up to the meetings
18:54But I just really wanted my money. You're not giving to me
18:56So I look at that also from the bangles and say joe burrow is the quarterback
19:00They haven't played him in the preseason
19:02And I understand that some teams are not going to play their quarterbacks in the preseason philadelphia eagles new york
19:07Jets just a few to name them at this point
19:09But joe burrow with that injury that he has he even said like
19:13I just wish I could go out there and get hit at first like it's not even so much about me getting tackled
19:18But when I land awkwardly and have to put my handers and stealers
19:22Yeah, joe burrow did play in week number one of the preseason five of 751 yards and a touchdown
19:27But he has not played each of the past two weeks. Listen. I don't think this is the worst bet
19:33I don't think either things happen
19:35But there is at least a track record last year in what we consider the most competitive division
19:40In football that being the afc north all four teams finished with a winning
19:45Record the browns made the playoffs. They did not win the division. So did the stealers
19:50They made the playoffs didn't win the division
19:52The ravens did with the best regular season record at 13-4 and even the bangles without joe burrow
19:58For the closing stretch of the year had a nine in eight record
20:02It would not be the craziest thing to see the bangles with a winning record, maybe even 10 wins
20:08They don't have to come in last in the division and still because of how competitive the afc is
20:13Miss out on a playoff spot whether it's via tiebreaker or whatever the scenario would be
20:19And the browns win totals eight and a half. Yes
20:21They have the third longest price out of the four teams in the afc north. It's not a substantially long number
20:27And again, the win total is eight and a half for cleveland and the over has the juice at minus
20:32138 a winning record perhaps competitive enough to earn the top spot in the afc north
20:39Now we go to the super bowl co-favorites the chiefs
20:42And the 49ers that ended last year against one another for the second time in the last five seasons
20:47The odds makers would expect out of right now these two teams to face off in the big easy
20:52That's new orleans in super bowl
20:5459 the chiefs to be the afc number one seed the niners to be the nfc number one seed
20:59It's a 21 to one number drs
21:02Yeah, it seems like they're setting you up on this one
21:03Like 21 to one feels like way too high a price here at this point should be around like a seven to one
21:08Or eight to one at this point because they're saying i'm going to give you right now on paper the best team in the afc
21:13I'm going to give you right now on paper the best team in the nfc and should they both actually live up to their
21:18Expectations you get a 21 to one payout usually that payouts like a three to one like well
21:22I had to parlay to get that price back here
21:24So I feel like the setup is in now due to the law of averages in the nfl
21:28We're probably not going to see that happen
21:30But I gotta tell you 21 to one is a pretty intriguing number for arguably the two best teams in football
21:36The eagles are actually a slight favorite to be the one seed in the nfc
21:40But outside of that like johnny, I can't believe the price is that long our three starts next