• 2 months ago
Transcript
00:00A monday night doubleheader to end out week four of this 2024 nfl season last week
00:05We got two great games at least on paper where we might have needed the doubleheader because washington and cincinnati was exciting
00:13Buffalo and jacksonville was an absolute route from the very start
00:17Might be a similar thought tonight drs with the two games at stake the one that starts second in detroit
00:23Looks great the lions off to a two and one start the seattle seahawks a surprising three at oh
00:29But this by far the best team they have played all year. We'll look at the game in detroit in just a moment
00:36It's the second game of the night. It's the better game of the night on paper
00:40because the first one
00:42Oh boy, it might be a little bit tough the dolphins back at home with snoop hudley getting the start for miami against
00:49Will levis in the winless tennessee titans who are oh and three the dolphins have dropped two straight
00:55Of course the quarterback concerns. Kyler thompson not going to play to a tonga by loa on injured reserve total
01:0337 and a half by me a two and a half point home
01:08Favorite drs. How do you handicap the opener of the two we have on monday night?
01:13You're supposed to be looking at this game coming into it and let's just say the quarterbacks
01:17We're getting better play to will levis and healthy on to a tag about loa
01:20You'd love the wide receivers like waddle and tyree kill would be able to go off against probably he's still a decent defense
01:25But on the other side, you know the calvin ridley's of the world and the you know, hopkins of the world
01:29They should be able to perform but i'm actually looking at running backs tonight because both of these offenses
01:33Aren't very good and also questions on the defense as well
01:36Particularly on miami's side if you're looking at the von a-chain
01:39He's going to be a lead dog tonight getting news here that it looks like, you know per a source from tom
01:44Palacero that raheem mostard's probably not going to go tonight, which means a-chain it's going to all fall on him
01:48His touchdown prop tonight a minus 105. You probably figure he's getting at least 15 to 20 total touches
01:54But my question is going to come from you know, boy genius down there in miami calling the plays
01:59What do you have dialed up for us tonight? Because even though it was skylar thompson and we get it
02:05You didn't involve tyree kill you didn't get creative to get waddle the football and you got a hammered in that game
02:09If that's what we're gonna supposed to be
02:10Hey, I can draw up to get anybody open like kyle. Shannon has had some success outside of brock purdy's of the world
02:15Superstore quarterbacks and having nick mullins put up big games
02:18Why can't we have the same thing out of mike mcdaniel's display?
02:21That's what i'm expecting at least him to get creative
02:23I'm, probably going to fall down the rabbit hole and say like hey sooner or later
02:26Tennessee is going to win because I do think they technically still have better overall weapons
02:30And also a better overall defense than miami, but it's hard to go down
02:33The one thing I do know about snoop huntley, you're probably going to get an honest effort, which means ben what?
02:38Buck 75 maybe in the air make some plays with your legs
02:41Just an ugly ugly game tonight that you're hard-pressed to find me looking for a total to go to the over
02:48Yeah, you know so to your point we'll talk about we'll do a a triple option later on our favorite side total and proper
02:55Monday night football i'm looking at boy genius
02:58We've seen some of boy genius's friends like matt leflore sean mcveigh and kyle shanahan
03:04All be good at designing schemes to benefit people where you did not expect them to be good offensively
03:11So mike mcdaniel you want to be that offensive mastermind and guru make it work with snoop huntley tonight
03:17against a porous
03:18Tennessee team the titans defense has not been bad that we understand but you want to be creative tonight
03:25You better figure it out
03:26Miami enters this game as the worst scoring offense in the national football league miami last year
03:32That was one of the five best scoring offenses in the league is averaging 11 points per game
03:37Tennessee is only averaging 16 points per game and we'll talk about will levis in just a moment
03:44I am intrigued drs to see the fins booked as a favorite. Are the titans just that bad?
03:50They've been an underdog now in all three games this year and not only
03:54Do we have a winless team in tennessee and a team that has dropped two straight?
03:58In miami who would not expect a ton of this year now because of the quarterback concern around to a tongue of iloa
04:05And elsewhere we have a matchup of two of the three teams that have failed to cover a number
04:10So far this year both tennessee and miami oh and three ats the texans
04:15Oh three and one against the spread so far this season
04:20So miami booked as the favorite. What should that tell us?
04:24Well under mike mcdaniel who took over the reins in south florida to start 2022
04:29Miami is 18 and five straight up as the favorite. They are 14 and nine against the spread
04:36They are one and seven against the number as an underdog dating back to the start of last year
04:42But donnie when expected to win games from the odds makers
04:46They do and for whatever reason the odds makers look at snoop huntley and the dolphins tonight and say hey
04:53You should win what's going to be an ugly game?
04:56It's basically just flipping the coin on home field advantage and there's something to that at that point
05:00But also if you look at the miami dolphins schedule so far with to a game number one
05:0520 total points against jacksonville with and without in game number two against the buffalo bills to a tag of aloha
05:1110 total points without two and your backup quarterback three points against the seattle seahawks
05:16So I snoop huntley coming in and saying, okay, we're gonna score 27 points. I just don't see it
05:21So that's why I see that total 37 and also if you're the titans desperate for a win
05:25Is this the night you say hey will levis prime time football get out there?
05:29We're gonna let you throw 40 times. You're not gonna do that because you know, the dolphins probably won't be able to you know,
05:33Sort of counter attack. So why not just go out and not make the mistakes slow the game down and say we'll rely on
05:40Our wide receivers our quarterback that's been there all year long and our running game here
05:44This wouldn't have an impact because if I think overall the defense is maybe a slight nod to the tennessee titans
05:49But the offense is I actually still have to give a slight nod to tennessee
05:52Even though how bad will levis has been just because it looks like they have their offense intact
05:56Like the miami dolphins have been so bad on offense like maybe the worst in the nfl through three games
06:03Because it used to be the carolina panthers, but carolina looks like a juggernaut compared to the miami dolphins offense right now ben
06:10Yeah, listen, and that's why I think that mike mcdaniel needs to prove a little something tonight
06:16Everybody is dealt difficult blows in the nfl. You got to make it worth it
06:20Will levis to throw an interception tonight at minus 146. It's probably my best bet of this game
06:25Will levis to turn the football over would be juiced at minus 2 000
06:29He has accounted for multiple turnovers in all three games for the titans
06:33He has thrown multiple interceptions in two of the three
06:37He is so bad his new head coach brian callaghan. He yelled at him last week will what the f are you?
06:45Doing for that reason I can never back tennessee
06:49196 and a half is the passing yards prop for levis tonight a number he was well over
06:55A week ago, but I don't know how you have the confidence there. In fact donnie. This game is not great again
07:02I need to see mike mcdaniel do something tonight to get at least three touchdowns on the board
07:08It's the way i'm looking at this dolphins game just for a little bit of counter fun in the first game of two
07:15The second game of two though. It's a good one in detroit. We preview it next
07:20The second game of our doubleheader on this monday night is a good one to the motor city
07:25We go the lions a home favorite against the undefeated seattle seahawks off to a three and oh start detroit
07:32Two and one four and a half point spread now in favor of the lions earlier in the week
07:38Three and a hook total 46 and a half. We'll talk about that in just a moment
07:42How do you see the second game of the two on this monday night in the motor city playing out?
07:48I think detroit's the better overall team now
07:50You might look at this and say like hey donnie seattle one of those undefeated teams
07:53But again, you have to take a look at who they played where they played them and who was available to play
07:58I look at seattle and say yes, they're a quality football team. Do you know smith is having a good season?
08:02They have an elite trio of wide receivers
08:04You know that kenneth walker the third looks to come back tonight
08:06So now you have that double-headed combo in the back foot. I do like their offensive quite frankly. I like their defense
08:11I just don't know how good they are ben at this point
08:13The one thing I do know about the detroit lions
08:15That team has one of the best offensive line
08:16If not the best in football great wide receivers
08:19Maybe the best one to punch it running back in the nfl and jared goff playing well, and they're at home
08:24Love their offensive coordinator
08:25So I do agree that that line should be minus four and a half and a total of 46 and a half points for me
08:30I think the attack way it really is going to probably lead through the running backs of detroit
08:34That's not saying that detroit like i'm gonna ride st.
08:36Brown st. Brown's not gonna have a big night
08:38He probably will jamison williams on the outside
08:40I understand that but I do think this game is going to be won because jameer gibbs and montgomery
08:45I think both have a legitimate chance to score a touchdown tonight and probably will but for my money
08:50I've liked detroit from day number one. They're at home on monday night
08:53I think the price is right because if I say to myself donny detroit's going to win this game
08:57I'm, not saying like oh, I don't know. How about how much it's four and
09:02Delay the four and a half now this could be a complete game changer tonight
09:05If seattle walks in on monday night football and beats detroit on the road
09:08I'm gonna have to re-evaluate my thoughts on seattle because the same way we talk about minnesota
09:13Look at those wins that they've stacked up. They're impressive. We don't have any impressive win from the seahawks
09:18They played nothing but trash at quarterback so far and jarrett goff. He ain't trash ben
09:25And seattle is 2 0 and 1
09:27Against the spread so far this season covering against the denver broncos
09:3326 to 20
09:35Pushing a number in overtime against the patriots
09:3923 to 20 last week. They hammered miami in the first game without to a tongue of iloa
09:45Against skylar thompson and then tim boyle 24
09:49To 3 but they allowed the broncos who won yesterday 10 to 9 over the jets and 60 passing yards out of bonyx to score
09:5720 albeit that game was pretty much in control the patriots
10:02Scored 20. I think the lions win this game and win it comfortably again
10:06It would completely change my evaluation of seattle if they even cover the four and a half point spread tonight in detroit
10:14Okay, maybe an actual playoff contender for the seahawks, but under mike mcdonald
10:19I don't actually think the defense has been all that great slightly skewed by last week against miami where the fins only scored
10:26Three so I think you could look at jared goff 240 and a half frankly a number
10:30He has only gone over in the one loss this year for the lions in that bad game
10:36Against the buccaneers jared goff has thrown an interception in all three games so far for detroit two against the bucks
10:43That was the only game. He did not throw a touchdown completely agreed on. I think it's a big night for both
10:49David montgomery and jameer gibbs as ben johnson has been getting both into the action, but I think it's a detroit game
10:56Tonight the lions in their two wins. They have been booked as a favorite in both. They have covered
11:01They are two and one against the spread
11:04They were 11 and five against the number as a favorite a season ago
11:08They have been the nfl's best cover team since the start of 2022
11:13I look at the lions tonight making a statement at home in the motor city
11:17yeah, and also
11:18Gina smith probably should have a good night because the way you attack detroit as we know is through the air you take a look
11:22At metcalf smith and jigba and also lockett they should be able to eat tonight
11:25But also one of those spotlights that we like to see every once in a while
11:28The number one rated defensive end in the nfl according to pro football focus is aiden hutchinson
11:34The number one left offensive tackle in football. That's charles cross of seattle
11:38So that's gonna be a fun matchup and maybe who wins that could decide this battle
11:41But for me, I do think we get points two offenses that should be able to score
11:44The only tough part is again as we stated we just don't know how good the seattle seahawks are at the end of this game
11:50We'll have a good measuring stick. They win and one of the few undefeated teams left in football. That's going to be really impressive
11:56I just don't think that's going to happen. I think detroit overall is the better team. They control the ground game
12:01They're at home and they handle their home field advantage
12:04Seattle well over in both of its first two games this year allowing 20 under last week is miami only put up three
12:11The lions this is their shortest total of the season their first three were 50
12:16Or above in fact the lions entered week four
12:20One of eight teams under in all three games and not just under but under by an average margin of two touchdowns
12:2814 points per game, but those totals were north of 50 tonight 46 and a half
12:34I do think we see some points on this monday hour number three
12:38Welcome to our number three our third and final live right here on the early line
12:44On sports grid so much left remaining in this third and final hour a double header
12:50Of monday night football we get you set for both games first in miami then in the motor city
12:56In detroit the best bets for it
12:58We run a triple option our favorite side total and prop later on
13:03In this third and final hour the prop perspective with tom becchio later in this third hour as well
13:10We'll get the injury analysis and insight for the pro football doc. Dr. David chow himself and
13:16Not just a double header in the nfl to end out week
13:19Number four a double header to end out the mlb regular season in atlanta the mets and the braves will play, too
13:27Everything at stake for the two games in the a a little bit later on in this third and final hour as well
13:34That's what we love drs a jam-packed final hour here on the early line
13:40Playoff baseball before we actually get to see playoff baseball
13:43You love that too because anytime you have some afternoon action as you wait a double header on monday night football
13:48That's great. And I know me as a fan of the phillies
13:50I was rooting for this same thing if you were a fan of
13:52Absolutely, absolutely not the atlanta braves and the mets you wanted to see this as well
13:56You're gonna have high drama on the field and then a double header tonight in the nfl
14:00Seems like a perfect monday on the final day of september when you wake up tomorrow the month of october kicks in
14:07Pumpkins all over the place, baby. Let's go
14:10Drs loves that pumpkin spice. There is no doubt about it
14:15All right
14:15So let's start off this third hour here on tel by hearing from the people for a second consecutive week
14:22Two games on this monday night to end out week number four of this nfl regular season last week
14:28The public had it slightly off but who could blame them two hefty favorites on monday night football the bangles and the bills
14:36Buffalo won outright at home easily. The bangles were upset by the commanders not exactly the same scenario
14:44Entering this monday night. So who are the people going with it was the question to all of you and fade the public
14:57First game up is miami and tennessee the fins storing snoop huntley a two and a half point home favorite
15:04Against the titans in the second game detroit lays four and a half against the undefeated
15:09Seattle seahawks
15:11So who wins the two games tonight?
15:12Is it the lions and the dolphins the two favorites the lions and the titans the short underdog in tennessee?
15:18Can seattle pull off the upset most of the public drs?
15:2345 of the public saying it's detroit and tennessee
15:27The titan is the underdog but the better team in miami, which way did you vote?
15:32I voted lions and titans tonight plus 230 along with the public
15:37So i'm not fading them because I just can't trust it. It's crazy
15:39Like when i'm not trusting the tennessee titans, but I look at this football game and just say whoever is favorite should not be favorite
15:46So i'm just going to take the points the other way which again we get to the triple option
15:49I'll explain that also a little bit further. So I do think that's the right way
15:52I think the lions are the ones that you know what that's going to be my anchor of that parlay tonight
15:57I'm going to roll the dice take a little bit more plus money with the titans
16:00So that one falls to that plus 230 price. I think it's the right way to go
16:03But by the way, if you look at all four of those ben on this tweet the one that's getting the least amount
16:08I I can't blame the public because I don't know if it's like an extra math equation that we're waiting for here
16:14because it says seahawks plus dolphins and then it has the sort of the
16:17Parentheses plus 365 but no parentheses on the back end. Like maybe we can add something in there make up our own parlay here
16:24Yeah, the public is kind of confused by that
16:25That's why that came in last place
16:27If you did have the other side of the parentheses, I think you might have gotten more votes there. It just might be
16:32I mean drs as you know, if you don't have that second parentheses, it still feels like it's outstanding
16:39And so are we laying a legal wager really good point by you to highlight that I will say
16:46It is a little bit interesting and as we have seen this year year of the underdog
16:50We should expect at least one underdog probably to win outright or cover a number or keep the game more competitive than anticipated
16:58tonight
16:58But normally the public would look at the two favorites and say yeah, we're just winning outright, right? That's all you're asking
17:04We're not saying detroit to cover miami to cover. Let's lay it here
17:08I'm starting to talk myself into the dolphins minus two and a half and really it's a weird place to be
17:13It's a lot of faith. We're not even faith. It's a test of faith perhaps an admiration
17:20For mike mcdaniel if you are the guy that you have been your first two years in south florida
17:26If you are the offensive guru that you stack yourself up alongside your buddies shanahan mcveigh in the floor
17:34Prove it tonight. I don't care that snoop huntley's been there for just over two weeks
17:38I don't care that snoop huntley is now the starter for a week
17:42You have known he was going to be your starter for about seven or eight days
17:47Make it work tonight against a will levis tennessee-led team
17:51That ho boy
17:52I don't think very fondly of will levis
17:55He could make me eat some crow and eat my words
17:58But i'm starting to look at miami and I do believe detroit is the better side just to keep track drs
18:04As we have said we will track the fade the public to know if we should actually fade the public throughout this year
18:11Most of the public although the margins pretty slim did like georgia minus a point and a half
18:16It was our ftp poll on friday for the game of the year in college football
18:21Alabama was second and then the under of 50 and a half, of course it went
18:26Well over so the public technically if we go with the leading vote getter
18:30Is three and four this year three correct selections four incorrect leading vote getters
18:36Yeah, we're probably looking at the end of the season right 50 50 because that would mean like yes
18:40The public was right half of the time then that's probably something anticipated
18:44You just get juiced out at this point, but also let's look at mike mcdaniel, right?
18:47So he's more in the spotlight now and it's like hey, everything's running good too
18:51Is my starting quarterback now not but also how about the fits coming into the game?
18:54And I don't mean the run fits or the pass fits. How about the mike mcdaniel fits here?
18:58He wears the shoes with I think he stole them because he still has the anti-theft device on there
19:03he wears the rolex watch that doesn't actually have time because he got hired from the
19:08You know like tell 10 36 is when I got hired. So I bought a rolex
19:12So every time I look at my watch it says 10 36. He changes the hair up this year
19:16He's wearing those south beach shades. Is that a problem now right now?
19:19Like he maybe he's not focused on football
19:21He wants to be in the fashion industry bet any thoughts on that affecting the game tonight
19:26I I would think a guy that just celebrated a big b-day and got gifted some nice kicks and some jordans would appreciate
19:33The style that mike mcdaniel is
19:36Like he stole his shoes apparently and by the way
19:38How did he get out of the store without the bell ringing with the tag? Come on now?
19:41I think I think I think the tag represents fashion and legitimacy
19:46I'm, not a sneaker. I think it represents in the shoe game. I think it represents theft
19:53I don't think it's the same tag just for security reasons. Are you are you rocking the jordans tonight on air?
20:00I think I might be they were comfortable yesterday man. Jordan 11's little like space jam edition fantastic
20:05Gives me an extra boost what I gotta do throw my feet up on the table
20:09Yeah, that's that's the interesting thing drs. What's nfl football in game live game day doing for the doubleheader?
20:15You guys relaxing at the lounge feed out sneaker game on point. I guess you're always kind of behind the table
20:22But we don't by the way
20:23We're not really stable up which I should have a problem with so now I should have to slide my legs under so you get
20:28The complete fit we could take a look at me at that point because lisa had some nice purple shoes on last week
20:33He was looking there. So I had to slide together the table like look i'm matching as well over here
20:37I might flip that table about that
20:39Behind the desk you don't see him even standing at our wall monitor what we call the magic wall because of all
20:46That it can't present. We're really not seeing the feet on the floor
20:51Either so I just want to make sure you get the recognition and maybe your family for a great gift gets the recognition
20:57For those new jays tonight
20:59It's true comfortable good feel look look good play good call the game, you know commentate good
21:04That's always under the right ending here
21:05So the boys will be booted and suited having fun tonight and doubleheader action looking for some profits out there. Absolutely
21:13Pretty sure that's what deon sanders said before the nfl draft back in the 80s look good feel good commentate good
21:19That will be the case
21:21So that's where we go for this monday night doubleheader detroit laying four and a half at home
21:26The lions a favorite in all three games the best cover team in the nfl since the start of 2022
21:33and
21:352023 miami good as a favorite and somehow some way
21:39Is the favorite tonight against the titans but seattle's the only undefeated team of the four in play tonight
21:45They are three and oh can they make a statement improve the four and oh and steal one in detroit we'll discuss later on
21:52The jack of all trades the prop perspective with sports grids tom vecchio
21:57He joins us here on this monday to set the stage for not one but two
22:02doubleheaders monday night football in miami and in the motor city of detroit and maybe a thought on what we could possibly do from
22:10A numbers and handicapping perspective for the doubleheader today to end out the mlb regular season in atlanta between the braves
22:17And the mets vecchio as always we appreciate the time. Thanks for being here on the early line
22:23Thanks for having me. Yeah, we are in for an exciting day of sports
22:26Like you said two monday night football games one of which should be very good one of which should be very bad
22:32And then like an awesome scenario in baseball, which you guys were just talking about we were talking about
22:37You know just before we came live like there's a lot going on when it comes to baseball let's get to it all
22:43Let's get to it all vecchio
22:44Let's start with the not very good monday night football game to get it out of the way the dolphins somehow some way
22:50Booked as a home favorite laying two and a half tonight in south florida
22:54Against the tennessee titans 37 and a half is the total stupe huntley will make his debut
23:00For the dolphins will levis just turn the football over as I was speaking
23:05So vecchio with these numbers, how do you figure the game plays out tonight in miami?
23:11Uh, this is going to be a low scoring game probably decided by the field goal as the spread would indicate
23:17Uh, we got to remember like huntley was on the ravens practice squad
23:21so he's essentially like a fourth string quarterback and
23:25I just don't see a scenario where they want him to throw the ball 35 times and
23:30We're seeing some of these lines for tyree killed down at 52 yards
23:33I think it opened at 50. That is a prop. We've never seen for him waddles down at like 37
23:38What are we going to be seeing from the dolphins the titans if they lose this game their season's over?
23:43But I have a really interesting angle when it comes to the backfield for the dolphins
23:47I think that should be the key point of their offensive game plan tonight
23:51Yeah, we'll get to those props in a second looks like most or it's not going to give it a go tonight
23:54So devon a chance should be center stage here
23:57but I do want to keep it with the quarterbacks itself because
24:00When you get game three, you don't expect there's a lot of points
24:02It is reflective in some of the totals that you get typically. Hey quarterbacks in a throw for 232 42 50
24:07If you look at the fan bull sports book this morning, tom tyler huntley 165 and a half will levis
24:13196 and a half to throw touchdowns here. They're both listed at a half not even a one and a half now granted
24:19It's heavily juiced the expectations for you tom tonight from huntley and levis. What is it?
24:25They're super low and maybe the best props that we could be getting would be will levis to throw an interception
24:32Which I think is sitting at minus 140 or 142
24:34That might end up being the best because let's say the dolphins do get out to a lead
24:39By some miracle, they actually put up points compared to what we saw from them last week
24:43The titans are going to have to pass the ball and that's like a worst case scenario for them with will levis having to throw
24:47the ball 35 times against basically any defense so
24:51Maybe an interception prop is the best way to go about things
24:54I have a slight amount of interest when it comes to will levis over on completions
24:58Simply because they have to move the ball in the air
25:00These are not going to be like effective or like amazing passes
25:03But over 18 and a half is a number. I think you can get to despite it being a bad game
25:09Minus 146 the int prop for levis who has thrown an interception in all three games this year multiple interceptions
25:16In two of the three multiple turnovers as he has also lost a fumble in all three games so far this season should be minus
25:241460 not just minus 146 to throw an interception. I don't really care for will levis if you can't tell that deal
25:31So you mentioned the dolphins?
25:32Backfield trying to take some of the ease and the burden off the shoulders of tyler snoop huntley
25:39If we don't see raheem mostard, is it a big devon a chan game tonight for the fins?
25:44It is and and like donnie like you just said like he should be front and center in hn
25:48That is so over 13 and a half rushing attempts. It was sitting at plus 100. It is now up at 14 and a half
25:54I think it's minus 110 minus 120
25:56There about this is the game plan for the dolphins. Do not put the ball in huntley's hands again 30 35 times
26:02Can you throw the ball 18 22 times somewhere around there? Sure, that's fine
26:07But getting the ball to hn who has been great. We saw him great in the game against buffalo
26:11Obviously not uh as so much against seattle last week
26:14But get the ball into his hands move it efficiently keep third down to third and five third and fours
26:20You get manageable passes for huntley and try to come away with a three-point win
26:23Like that is the game plan for the dolphins tonight
26:27yeah, it should be interesting to watch it play out 37 and a half is that total and
26:31Probably going to be right around that number if not less seattle seahawks and the detroit lions
26:36How about this one look motown's finest seattle comes in unbeaten but tom
26:40They haven't played anybody the Detroit lions come in as a four and a half point favorite in the total of 46 and a half
26:45Let's get some thoughts on the seattle seahawks detroit lions game from you
26:49Yeah, like you just said they haven't played anyone and i've seen a lot of talk about the seattle defense being great
26:54We have to take this into context. They played mo nix in week one a rookie quarterback on a road game
26:59They played the pats doing absolutely nothing in offense
27:02And then they played the dolphins last week
27:04The first game without two atomic by low when skylar thompson and tim boyle saw the field
27:08Their defense has great numbers from a box score perspective
27:11But I want to say let's pump the brakes on that will they end up actually being good?
27:15Maybe but they haven't played anyone
27:16They have not played an offense as good as the lions at home on the turf with these great offensive options around jared goth
27:24So i'm expecting big things from the lions against this defense that is facing their first true test of the year
27:31Hmm seattle second best total defense in the nfl, but are they really that good?
27:37Again to vecchio's point the broncos did end up scoring 20 and the patriots even scored 20 in week
27:44Number two, so vecchio you see that it's the first total this year sub 50
27:49For detroit at 46 and a half the lions one of eight teams entering week four
27:55Under in all three games and under by an average margin of two touchdowns
28:00What do you expect out of the lions offense tonight?
28:02And who might be making the biggest impact for ben johnson's crew tonight in detroit?
28:08I expect good things from the lions offense tonight and good things from this game. I don't expect great things
28:13I actually have under 48 and a half in the game when it first opened up
28:16So, you know i'm on board with a modest amount of scoring not some massive 30 to 33 games
28:21Now we're going to be seeing uh, I want to be specifically targeting jameson williams for the lions over 20 and a half
28:27For as long as reception and over 42 and a half yards. This is the double dip
28:31We can get this done on one play first two weeks
28:33He had a 52 yard reception a 50 yard reception. We look back to last season
28:37He's routinely breaking off these 30 40 60 yard
28:40Plot, you know catches he has a 14.0 a dot. He has a 44 air yard share for the lions
28:45Those are both highest on the team. This is their big play threat
28:48They have the underneath options with amman ross and brown sandler porter who should be good to go
28:53Uh, jameer gibbs coming out of backfield. Those are the moving the chains players
28:57Williams is that deep ball shot with jared goff again testing the seattle secondary for the first season
29:02He can get this done in one play. Hopefully in the first half
29:05If we look at that seattle team here, do you know smith playing decent football again?
29:09And it's going to be in a dome so we expect a pretty good track tonight
29:12But if we're looking at the three wide receivers here dk
29:15Smith and jay and tyler lockett is one of those here tom that you're looking more than the others to possibly score a touchdown tonight
29:22Yeah, that's gonna be jsn. Jackson smith and jay ball
29:24He is second on the team when it comes to total targets here dk is up at 23.8
29:29Jsn is at 20.8. We see them tied with total receptions
29:32There's not a whole lot of redstone usage just because they haven't had a whole lot of chances
29:36We've seen dk with these big long touchdowns, so they're just not in the red zone
29:39But again, i'm always going to buy into a player that has high offensive usage high snap high snaps high yards per route run
29:45High target share and he just hasn't scored yet. I said this last year with chris
29:49Olave i'm gonna go back to the well time and time again for a talented receiver
29:52Who's up at plus 210 for a touchdown?
29:54He's the second highest target share and again that we're expecting to have a modest amount of points. Give me jsn tonight
30:01Really like that look beck. You look greater than a plus two to one number
30:04Let's go to the final day of regular season baseball this year
30:08You've been with us each and every week throughout this year
30:11But especially in the summer months is the jack of all trades the braves a minus 152
30:16Home money line favorite against the mets from a pure handicapping perspective ecchio. How do you approach this doubleheader today in atlanta?
30:24It is really really tough and the play as i've said before about playoff games. It might be unders on strikeouts
30:32Except if the braves lose game one if the braves lose game one it is all aboard the chris sale train and
30:39Admittedly, I was very wrong about chris sale this year. I got called out by my friends my fancy baseball chat last night
30:44I was very very wrong about him
30:46But he has been awesome this year and if he's been facing a watered down mets lineup
30:50It is not just chris sale over seven and a half strikeouts or over whatever it is
30:54But it's chris sale eight plus nine plus ten plus a true ace on the mound for the braves in a must win game
31:00Hmm it is going to be insane to see what the numbers are for that second game
31:05Regardless of who wins game number one vecchio. We'll see you later on sports grid
31:10The early line continues now time to establish the run ahead of the monday night doubleheader here on the early line on sports grid
31:17We want to run the triple option
31:18It's our favorite side total and prop from either of the two games
31:23That we have to end out this week for slate around the national football league two of them on this monday night
31:29First it's in miami
31:31The dolphins lay in two and a half at home against the titans a modest total at 37
31:37And a half when we have a pick from that game donny
31:40I'm proud of us both you and I found a number in that game
31:44That entices us enough to include in the triple option
31:48And of course, it's the night cap in the motor city detroit hosting the undefeated three and oh seattle seahawk
31:55So let's start in the triple option. What is your favorite side of this monday night doubleheader?
32:00Yeah, i'm going to actually look at the tennessee titans here because I thought the process was for me is I can't trust
32:07Anybody who's going to be favored in this game?
32:08So try to make a case for one of the teams if they're getting points and that would be the tennessee titans
32:14And not even for the full game just at the half be in the lead or be tied in this game
32:18Which I don't think is going to get a lot of points. I think that's going to be doable
32:21And we talked to doc as well completely healthy on offense doesn't necessarily mean that they're going to be great
32:27But it'll be better than an injured bad offense at this point two capable wide receivers two capable running backs in the back
32:33Will levis if you can just say you know what i'm not going to throw that
32:36Interception or fumble this football until the second half
32:38I do think you might be able to get a decent performance out of the titans
32:42Which again is not really a reflection of them then it's a reflection of the miami dolphins and what I think i'm getting
32:46Out of their offense tonight, which I don't think is going to be a ton
32:49If we're sticking with the vine hn on the ground going up against tony pollard
32:52I can look at that halftime and say we might be staring at seven seven ten ten thirteen ten ten
32:59You know what?
32:59I mean where it's going to be close to the balance and I do exactly I think the titans
33:03Can it be at least tied or have the lead at the break against this dolphin offense?
33:08I went with my side as the titans first half plus one and a half at vandal
33:12Listen, I think it's a really smart look right because you would kind of bake in even the fact that will levis has been a disaster
33:19This year that they're the more comfortable and ready side
33:22It's the same cast and crew all three weeks as it was throughout the preseason throughout training camp all that good stuff
33:29Miami has a lot to figure out. It will be stoop huntley's miami debut tonight
33:34He was signed just about two weeks ago. They have known he is going to be the starter just for this past week
33:40But i'll get to my thoughts about miami in the long haul in just a moment
33:44My favorite side rather simple detroit land four and a half three and a half was a better number earlier this week
33:50It would be what I highly recommend, but it is now gone. I'll lay the four and a half with the lions
33:55They've been the best cover team in the nfl since the start of 2022
33:59They've been the best cover team in the nfl since the start of last season
34:03They are both two and one straight up and against the spread this year
34:06They've been favored in all three games last year. They were 11 and five against the spread as the favorite side
34:13It's pretty simple drs. I think seattle will be a fine team
34:16I think they will flirt with 500
34:18They are not going to be an undefeated team for much longer or even after tonight
34:23The level of competition just has not been there for the seahawks if they make me eat my words congrats
34:29Seattle is a formidable 4-0 side
34:32Maybe kind of readjust how we look at the nfc the nfc west
34:36All of that can be baked in if seattle pulls off the upset tonight. I just don't see it happening
34:42I think detroit wins by a touchdown. They'll cover as a four and a half point home favorite
34:46I think it's the right side to do as well because you're also looking at adversity
34:49Which technically we really don't have to have much of seattle
34:51I think that game went to overtime against new england, but you're now going to get an oh
34:56That's what an offense looks like against our defense because if you're just looking at some of the grading systems
35:00It looks like the seattle secondary which includes cornerbacks and safeties should be the best in the nfl
35:05Then you they don't actually downgrade those based on the talent that you play
35:09You're going to get top flight wide receivers top flight running backs top flight offensive line a very good offensive coordinator
35:14And a capable quarterback tonight to really stress and also you don't have the elements to creep in like hey
35:19It was really windy or rainy that day to keep it down. You're in the dome tonight
35:22It's going to be full go and I expect detroit to have a pretty good day like a 27 to 20 type final
35:27I don't know if detroit completely rolls here because seattle is a respectable football team, but I think you're right about this
35:32It's under the thought premise donny just picked the winner tonight. I think it's going to be detroit
35:36Well, then you got to lay the four and a half simple as that
35:38Yeah
35:39Yeah, I would agree drs with that thought process which goes into your favorite total seeing some points tonight in detroit
35:46I'll just say this the lions one of eight teams that entered week four having gone under in all three
35:51But all three of those totals were north of 50
35:54They were under by a considerable margin by an average of 14 points two touchdowns per game
36:00But this is their first sub 50
36:02It's at 46 and a half and just kind of to echo your point here drs on that favorite total that I like as well
36:09Especially if I think detroit is going to cover seattle did allow the broncos
36:13And the patriots to score 20 points against them in the opening two weeks
36:19Yes, and that is certainly going to play into that at that point here
36:21But I do think that detroit is the better side overall
36:24I think those points are going to come and certainly over 46 and a half
36:27I think does make a lot of sense also pushing the football down the field if the way to attack detroit secondary
36:33You're gonna have three really good wide receivers. It's up to geno smith
36:36If I get three geno smith tonight, they should be able to move the football and be competitive tonight
36:40That's what i'm anticipating here tonight
36:42Jared golf's number 240 and a half a number
36:45He has been under well under and both of detroit's wins just something to pay attention to I think a win and a good golf
36:52night in store
36:54For the lions drs. It's something we talked about earlier metrically stats wise
36:58There's not anything really for me to back this up
37:00In fact, miami is the worst scoring offense in the national football league
37:04Yeah, 19 and a half is the team total for the fins tonight
37:07They must go over if mike mcdaniel is that guy if he is the offensive guru, we give him credit for being he has known
37:14Stu puntley has been his starter for seven days make it work tonight against tennessee dolphins over 19 and a half for their team total
37:22Should be an interesting one if they don't win tonight ben
37:24He's gonna have to go back to t.j. Maxx and return those shoes here and say I apologize and somebody didn't take off the uh,
37:29Sorry, a little theft advice on it. Yeah, exactly
37:32Tough scene at this point you win you get to keep all the stuff you got here
37:35You lose you got to return it ben simple set. All right favorite prompt to end out the triple option
37:39We're establishing the run in both of our favorite props drs you first
37:43On fire, by the way with touchdown props so far late. Let's keep the fire burning tonight
37:48David montgomery anytime touchdown scoring market minus 120 price. There's one thing that we know there's levels to this game
37:54I think both of the running backs by the way have a legitimate chance to score but who gets first crack inside the three yard line
37:59It's typically montgomery. They'll be inside the three yard tonight touchdown. David montgomery. I'll lay the minus 120 that he gets in tonight
38:06Drs, there was some competition between the two and I guess there still kind of is for who is used more
38:12But they both have been utilized jameer gives over 78 and a half combo prop rushing plus receiving
38:17He has had over a hundred in each of the last two games donny right side
38:22Enjoy the money line. Enjoy nfl football in game live game day always sad when we end out of monday together
38:29I'll see you on thursday more of the early line up next

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