Super Typhoon “Ofel” (international name: Usagi) maintained its strength as it nears Cagayan Valley, with landfall expected over Cagayan or Isabela on Thursday afternoon, Nov. 14, said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
In its 11 a.m. bulletin, PAGASA said the center of Ofel was located over the coastal waters of Divilacan, Isabela, or 135 kilometers northeast of Echague, Isabela.
READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/11/14/super-typhoon-ofel-nears-landfall
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In its 11 a.m. bulletin, PAGASA said the center of Ofel was located over the coastal waters of Divilacan, Isabela, or 135 kilometers northeast of Echague, Isabela.
READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/11/14/super-typhoon-ofel-nears-landfall
Subscribe to the Manila Bulletin Online channel! - https://www.youtube.com/TheManilaBulletin
Visit our website at http://mb.com.ph
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/manilabulletin
Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/manila_bulletin
Instagram: https://instagram.com/manilabulletin
Tiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@manilabulletin
#ManilaBulletinOnline
#ManilaBulletin
#LatestNews
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NewsTranscript
00:00So let's start with the Super Typhoon Ophel. It's continuously moving
00:04near the landmass of the Northern Luzon area.
00:07And just this morning, it was in the parts of the ocean where Isabela Island is located.
00:12Due to the Super Typhoon Ophel, the wind speed reached up to 185 kmph,
00:18which is close to the middle of it.
00:19And the wind speed reached up to 230 kmph.
00:23It's moving in the direction of west-northwest at a speed of 15 kmph.
00:28So we expect that today, it's possible for it to landfall here in this part of the Northern Luzon area.
00:34Meanwhile, outside of our Philippine Air Responsibility,
00:37the Tropical Storm, which has an international name of Manye,
00:41we are also continuously monitoring and issuing
00:44the so-called Tropical Cyclone Advisory for the aforementioned bad weather.
00:49So what will be the impact of the Super Typhoon Ophel here in our country?
00:54So the image that we can see now is from our Pag-asa Baler Radar Station.
01:00So our radars are scattered in different parts of our country.
01:04It can see the eyes of the Tropical Storm Ophel
01:07and the thick clouds associated with this particular weather disturbance.
01:11And if it continues in this form,
01:15we expect that many areas of the Northern Luzon and some parts of the Central Luzon
01:21will be affected by the possible rainfall from this afternoon until tomorrow.
01:24What do we expect when it moves?
01:27Let's start with the forecast track of the Tropical Storm Ophel.
01:30So we can see that the 8 o'clock location is almost
01:33here in the ocean, in the eastern part of the Northern Luzon.
01:37And it's possible that between 12 and 5 p.m. today,
01:42it will landfall here in this part of Cagayan area.
01:46However, our countrymen should be prepared here in the northern part of Isabela.
01:51But generally, all the places that have a warning signal,
01:55whether it will landfall or not,
01:57even if the storm passes you, we should be prepared.
02:00So tomorrow or later tonight, we expect that it will pass here in the northeastern part of the Northern Luzon
02:08and it's possible that it will be here in the ocean
02:09between Baboyan Island and the northern part of Cagayan.
02:14Meanwhile, tomorrow morning, we expect that it will be here in this part of the ocean,
02:19almost here in the northwestern boundary of our Philippine Area of Responsibility.
02:24And we can see that all throughout the forecast period,
02:27it's possible that it will recur until Tuesday
02:30when it will remain or become a low-pressure area only.
02:34We will continue to monitor so that if there is a change in the forecast,
02:39speed, direction, and intensity in the following days,
02:43we will report it to our Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
02:47that we release every three hours.
02:51So what are the wind signals that are high in these hours
02:55due to the situation regarding Ofel?
02:57We have a wind signal number 5 here in the northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan.
03:03So the peak or lead time is less than 12 hours only
03:07because it's possible that this afternoon,
03:09it will landfall here in the eastern part of Cagayan or northeastern part of Isabela,
03:14the center of Ofel.
03:16Meanwhile, wind signal number 4 in the highlighted red is Baboyan Island,
03:21northern eastern portion of mainland Cagayan,
03:23and northeastern portion of Isabela.
03:26In the highlighted orange area, we have wind signal number 3.
03:29This is Batanes, the remaining part of Cagayan.
03:32This is the northern, central, and southern portion of Isabela.
03:36Northern portion of Apayao.
03:38Northern portion of Ilocos Norte.
03:40For the complete list of municipalities that are located,
03:44for example, here in the northern, central, and southeastern portion of Isabela,
03:48just look at our official document
03:52that is uploaded to our official website,
03:55bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph.
03:58There is a PDF file there that you can download
04:02and the complete list of municipalities is listed there
04:06in the mentioned parts that have warning signals.
04:09Meanwhile, in the highlighted yellow area,
04:13there is wind signal number 2,
04:16here in the western and southern portion of Isabela,
04:18northeastern portion of Quirino,
04:20in the remaining part of Apayao,
04:22here in Maybandang, Kalinga,
04:24in the northeastern portion of Abra,
04:26also in the eastern portion of Ipugao,
04:28eastern portion of Mountain Province.
04:30Wind signal number 2 here in the remaining part of Ilocos Norte,
04:35and in the northern portion of Aurora.
04:38Wind signal number 1, highlighted in light blue,
04:41in the remaining part of Isabela,
04:43in the remaining part of Quirino,
04:45in Nueva Vizcaya,
04:46in the remaining part of Mountain Province,
04:48in the remaining part of Ipugao and Abra,
04:50in the northern part of Benguet,
04:52also here in Maybandang, Ilocos Sur,
04:54in the northern portion of La Union,
04:56in the northern and central portion of Aurora.
04:59To our countrymen,
05:01who live in places with warning signal number 1,
05:03especially here in the northern part of Luzon,
05:06you may not be able to feel the effect of the storm,
05:09because you are still a bit far from the thick clouds
05:13that were brought by Opel.
05:15But the lead time of wind signal number 1,
05:1736 hours or less.
05:19Possibly now, you will experience generally fair weather,
05:22or maybe just cloudy,
05:24no heavy rain or wind yet,
05:26but as the storm approaches,
05:29you can expect that the effect will manifest slowly
05:32in the provinces that have warning signal number 1,
05:35especially here in the northern part.
05:38So the wind signal is about the strong wind brought by the storm.
05:42So if the wind signal is higher,
05:44the wind will be stronger.
05:46The wind can destroy houses made of wood,
05:50light materials,
05:52the power poles can fall,
05:54even the billboards that are not closed,
05:56the materials that are displayed,
06:01and many types of plants can fall
06:05in places that have warning signal number 5, 4, 3, and 2.
06:08While in places that have warning signal number 1,
06:10the highlighted blue,
06:12sometimes you can experience rain and gust of wind.
06:16So basically, we will say that
06:18warning signal number 1 has no effect,
06:20but we should still be prepared,
06:22regardless of warning signal,
06:24especially those that have higher warning signals.
06:26We should be prepared for a storm like this.
06:29And by this time,
06:30hopefully, we will be giving news,
06:32announcements.
06:34Hopefully, you will have enough stocks
06:36for maybe the next two days,
06:38or at designated evacuation centers
06:42to avoid the danger of a storm like this.
06:46Meanwhile,
06:48let's talk about rain.
06:50Earlier, we talked about the strong wind.
06:52From today until tomorrow,
06:54from 11 a.m. today
06:56until 11 a.m. tomorrow,
06:58we are expecting heavy rain
07:00in the areas highlighted in red.
07:02Intense to torrential rains
07:04will cover Cagayan and Isabela.
07:06Meanwhile, heavy to intense rains
07:08will be here in Ilocos Norte,
07:10Apayaw, Calinga, Mountain Province.
07:12Moderate to heavy rains
07:14will be here in Abra, Ipugao, and Nueva Vizcaya.
07:16So why is there a lot of rain concentration here?
07:19Because from today until tomorrow,
07:22when the storm lands,
07:24the closest to the center
07:26will receive more rain.
07:28But as soon as the storm opens,
07:30we are still expecting rain
07:32in some parts of our province.
07:34Especially,
07:36the previous storms affected
07:38the Northern Luzon area.
07:40Now, we should be ready.
07:42Like what I mentioned earlier,
07:44designated evacuation centers
07:46in the higher grounds.
07:48And then, our countrymen
07:50in low-lying areas,
07:52our countrymen near mountainous slopes,
07:54if they were not able to evacuate,
07:56they should be alerted to possible floods.
07:58Especially, our countrymen
08:00in the riverside,
08:02because water levels may rise
08:04in their rivers,
08:06either from rain that will directly fall on your area,
08:08or the rain that will come from
08:10other towns and the river
08:12will flow towards your area.
08:14So hopefully, we were able to do
08:16all the pre-emptive evacuations
08:18to ensure
08:20our safety
08:22from the potential
08:24impacts of heavy rains
08:26brought by Opel.
08:28Meanwhile, from tomorrow
08:30in the afternoon
08:32until Saturday,
08:34we will notice that
08:36although the Northern Luzon area
08:38is colorless,
08:40it means that there will be rains,
08:42but it will not affect
08:44our minimum requirement
08:47for heavy rains.
08:49However,
08:51because the areas of the Northern Luzon
08:53are saturated,
08:55because of the previous floods
08:57and the one we are expecting,
08:59Opel should remain alert.
09:01Our countrymen will not return
09:03to their homes immediately.
09:05So, listen
09:07to your LGUs
09:09and local DRO officials
09:11regarding continuous disaster
09:13prevention and mitigation
09:15measures for your overall
09:17safety.
09:19Meanwhile, from tomorrow until Saturday,
09:21there will be rains in Bicol Region
09:23and the Eastern Visayas.
09:25Why? That is what we are expecting
09:27because of the upcoming
09:29Pepito Flood.
09:31On Saturday,
09:33from Saturday
09:35until Sunday,
09:37there will be
09:39more rains in some parts
09:41of the Southern Luzon,
09:43in Quezon,
09:45and in the area of Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur.
09:47We are expecting
09:49intense to torrential.
09:51Meanwhile, moderate to heavy rains
09:53in the areas highlighted by orange
09:55or heavy to intense
09:57and highlighted by yellow,
09:59moderate to heavy.
10:01Because after the Opel Flood,
10:03we are expecting, possibly this weekend,
10:05there will be landfall or
10:07the nearest
10:09from the forecast track,
10:12Pepito.
10:14We will show the forecast track of Pepito
10:16so that you will be more clear
10:18on why we are expecting
10:20rain on Saturday and Sunday.
10:24Because of the storm surge,
10:26because of the Opel Flood,
10:28we still have tasks from 2 to 3 meters
10:30in the coastal areas of Cagayan,
10:32here in Baboyan Island
10:34and Batanes.
10:36The storm surge, or the torrential,
10:38is the strongest wave that can pass
10:40through the coastal areas.
10:42We have been giving news
10:44about the storm surge
10:46that Opel has brought.
10:48Hopefully, by this time,
10:50our people living in the coastal areas
10:52will be safe
10:54or their boats
10:56will be tied up
10:58to avoid strong waves
11:00or damage to their boats.
11:02The people here in the coastal communities
11:04will also be safe.
11:06In terms of
11:08gale warning, aside from the storm surge,
11:10we are also expecting
11:12strong waves around Batanes,
11:14Cagayan, including Baboyan Island,
11:16Isabela, Aurora, and the Northern Coast
11:18of Ilocos Norte.
11:20In those areas,
11:22any type of sea vehicle
11:24will not be allowed to sail.
11:26In the coming days,
11:28after the gale warning is lifted
11:30due to the Opel Flood,
11:32which is now out of the PAR,
11:34it is possible that we will start
11:36gale warning in the eastern section
11:38of the Central and Southern Zones
11:40and the Eastern Visayas
11:42due to the upcoming Pipito Flood.
11:44So, let's wait for the gale warning
11:46that we are issuing every 12 hours,
11:48at 5 a.m. and 5 p.m.
11:52Now, what are the coastal waters
11:54that we are looking at?
11:56Within 24 hours,
11:58as we mentioned,
12:00the conditions in the areas with gale warning
12:02are rough to very rough.
12:05As far as our coastal waters are concerned,
12:07any type of sea vehicle
12:09will not be allowed to sail.
12:11As much as possible,
12:13we should stay in our communities safely
12:15and only sail
12:17when we are assured
12:19that there will be no more typhoons
12:21in our area
12:23and the coastal waters will be safe.
12:25But for now,
12:27possibly until the coming weekend,
12:29even Mondays and Tuesdays,
12:31let's hope that
12:33there will be no more typhoons
12:35in the surrounding areas
12:37of the Central and Southern Zones
12:39and some parts of the Eastern Visayas.
12:41So, that is our update
12:43on the Ophel Flood.
12:45Meanwhile, let's go to the Simanyi Flood
12:47that is still outside of our air responsibility.
12:49Earlier at 10 p.m.,
12:511,900 kilometers east of the Eastern Visayas,
12:53this is a tropical storm category
12:55and based on the latest
12:57Tropical Cyclone Advisory,
12:59it is possible that
13:01it will enter our PAR last night.
13:03If it enters the PAR,
13:05we will give it a local name, Pepito.
13:07And if we look at the forecast track,
13:09it is possible that
13:11it will land either here in the northern part
13:13of the Eastern Visayas
13:15or here in the Bicol Region
13:17on the coming Saturday night
13:19until Sunday morning.
13:21In case of a favorable situation,
13:23we can see the area probability
13:25showing potential locations
13:27that can be actual
13:30hit by a tropical storm
13:32potential of Pepito
13:34within the forecast period.
13:36So, our countrymen should be prepared
13:38for the Central and Southern Luzon,
13:40Eastern Visayas,
13:42and possibly Northeastern part of Mindanao
13:44for the coming
13:46Tropical Cyclone Pepito.