• 3 minutes ago
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said on Friday, Nov. 15 that Severe Tropical Storm “Pepito” (international name: Man-yi) has intensified into a typhoon, while Typhoon “Ofel” (international name: Usagi) has weakened into a severe tropical storm on Friday, Nov. 15.

In its 11 a.m. bulletin, PAGASA said Typhoon Pepito is undergoing rapid intensification, and now has maximum sustained winds of 130 kilometers per hour (kph) near its center and gusts reaching 160 kph.

READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/11/15/pepito-intensifies-into-typhoon-ofel-weakens-into-severe-tropical-storm

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00:00At around 8 o'clock last night, our Philippine Area of Responsibility entered Baguio, which has an international name of Mani,
00:09and we gave it a domestic name of Pepito.
00:13The latest location of Baguio-Pepito is 945 kilometers away from the eastern coast of Visayas.
00:21This is a severe tropical storm with strong winds in the middle reaching up to 100 kilometers per hour
00:28and an earthquake of 125 kilometers per hour.
00:32It continues to move at a speed of 35 kilometers per hour.
00:37As of now, this has not yet had a direct effect on our country,
00:41but we expect that as early as tomorrow,
00:43these storms will bring rain to a large part of Kabikulan and eastern Visayas.
00:50Meanwhile, we will continue to monitor Baguio-Ofel.
00:55This is still a typhoon and our latest location as of 10 p.m. today
00:59is here in the coastal waters of Calayan, Cagayan.
01:04It is here in the area of Babuyan Channel.
01:07There is a strong wind that is close to the middle reaching up to 130 kilometers per hour
01:12and an earthquake of 200 kilometers per hour.
01:16It continues to move north-westward at a speed of 15 kilometers per hour.
01:21We can see here in our latest satellite images,
01:24the clouds associated with Baguio-Ofel continue to bring rain to a large part of northern Luzon.
01:32For most of Visayas and Mindanao, this will continue to brighten the weather.
01:38We are still prepared for the chances of isolated rain showers or thunderstorms
01:42starting tonight until tomorrow early in the morning.
01:45For more details on the two typhoons in our PAR, let's start with Baguio-Ofel.
01:53Our latest track and intensity forecast for Typhoon-Ofel,
01:58the typhoon continues to move north-westward.
02:04As of 10 p.m., this is near or in the area of Babuyan Channel.
02:08It is possible that later tonight or later in the day,
02:12there will be a second landfall or close approach to any islands in the area of Babuyan Group of Islands.
02:19We are still prepared for this large part of northern Luzon.
02:22We are still prepared for strong winds and strong rains brought by Typhoon-Ofel.
02:28And throughout the remainder of the forecast period,
02:31starting tonight until over the weekend and early next week,
02:35we expect that due to the continuous interaction of Typhoon-Ofel in the Philippines,
02:42we will see the continuous weakening trend of the typhoon.
02:48We will see here in our track forecast,
02:51it is possible that this will come out of our Philippine Area of Responsibility on Friday morning
02:56and our PAR will enter again anytime within Saturday.
03:02So Saturday afternoon or Saturday evening,
03:04it is possible that our Philippine Area of Responsibility will enter
03:08prior to landfall over Taiwan area.
03:10And there it is, the continuous weakening of Typhoon-Ofel.
03:15And this is our latest track and intensity forecast for Typhoon-Pepi.
03:20This just entered our Philippine Area of Responsibility.
03:23So we will see the generally westward movement of the typhoon,
03:29westward until tomorrow,
03:30but by Saturday and over the weekend,
03:33it will be generally north-westward.
03:38And while this Typhoon-Pepi is still in the air,
03:42we will see the continuous strength or intensification of it.
03:46It is possible that this will become a typhoon,
03:49possibly tomorrow morning,
03:52and further intensification after that,
03:55possible super typhoon category on Saturday afternoon or Saturday evening.
04:01So prior to landfall,
04:02this Typhoon-Pepi will landfall at its peak intensity,
04:06where the strongest winds will bring it.
04:10So we also need to give confidence to this typhoon.
04:14So our possible landfall,
04:16since our forecast period is still far,
04:19possible landfall here on the eastern coast of Central Luzon
04:23or eastern coast of Eastern Visayas.
04:26So these are the areas that we will give confidence to.
04:29So if there are significant changes in our truck forecast,
04:32it will reflect on the succeeding issuance of our tropical cyclone bulletins
04:38for the Typhoon-Pepito.
04:39So a large part of Luzon and Visayas,
04:41let's be prepared for the strong winds and strong rains
04:46brought by the upcoming Typhoon-Pepito.
04:50For the Typhoon-Ophel,
04:52we still have a tropical cyclone, which is signal number 4.
04:56Because of the strong winds brought by the typhoon,
04:59we still have signal number 4 here in the areas shaded by red.
05:03So here in the northern portion of Cagayan,
05:05as well as here in Boboyan Islands,
05:07we still have signal number 4 there.
05:08These are the areas most affected by the strong winds brought by the typhoon.
05:14Signal number 3 here in the areas shaded by orange.
05:18So here in the southern portion of Batanes,
05:20here in the central and southeastern portions of Milan, Cagayan,
05:24in the northern and central portions of Apayau,
05:27and in the northern portion of Ilocos Norte.
05:30So we still have signal number 3 there.
05:32Signal number 2 in the areas shaded by yellow.
05:35So in the southern part of Batanes,
05:38in the southern part of Cagayan,
05:40in the rest of Apayau,
05:42northern portion of Calinga,
05:44northern portion of Abra,
05:46and northern portion of Ilocos Norte.
05:49Signal number 1, so we have a warning leak time of 36 hours.
05:53We still have strong winds expected in the areas under wind.
05:58Signal number 1 in the southern part of Isabela,
06:01northeastern portion of Quirino,
06:03southern part of Abra,
06:05rest of Calinga,
06:07here in Mountain Province,
06:09northern portion of Ifugao,
06:11in the northern and central portions of Ilocos Sur,
06:15and the northern portion of Aurora.
06:18In these areas, especially in the areas under wind signal number 3 and number 4,
06:24we are still prepared for the occasional wind brought by the so-called storm.
06:29So this off-wind storm will still bring strong winds to a large part of northern Luzon.
06:34More in particular, the areas under wind signal number 3 and wind signal number 4
06:39in the extreme northern Luzon area,
06:41prior to landfall over any island here in the Bubuyan group of islands.
06:46And in anticipation, so that the storm Pepeto continues to approach our country,
06:53as of 11 p.m. today, we had a tropical cyclone with signal number 1.
06:58So this has a warning leak time of 36 hours.
07:02So this means that within the next 36 hours,
07:04it is possible for us to experience strong winds.
07:09So as of 11 p.m., we have signal number 1 here in the area of Catanduanes,
07:13the eastern portion of Camarines Sur,
07:16the eastern portion of Albay,
07:18the eastern and southern portions of Sorsogon,
07:22in the areas of Visayas, here in the northern Samar,
07:25the northern portion of the eastern Samar,
07:27and in the northeastern portion of Samar.
07:29So in these areas, since these are the areas that are closest to movement or to the center of the storm,
07:37we are now ready for possible winds,
07:40possible damages to infrastructure in the coming days
07:43brought by the storm Pepeto.
07:45In terms of heavy rainfall,
07:49because of the Ophel storm,
07:51where are we still?
07:52This heavy to intense rains,
07:54that is amounting to 100 to 200 millimeters of rainfall
07:58here in the area of Cagayan, including Bubuyan Island.
08:01Meanwhile, moderate to heavy rains will continue
08:04in the areas of Ilocos Norte, Apayau, and Abra.
08:07So this area of Cagayan,
08:09the province of Cagayan, including Bubuyan Island,
08:11we are still ready for possible winds of flooding and landslides.
08:16Gradually, the rainfall brought by the Ophel storm will decrease,
08:20so moderate to heavy rains will continue here in the area of Batanes,
08:24but in anticipation of the coming storm Pepeto,
08:27we will start experiencing heavy rainfall.
08:31These are the areas of Southern Luzon and Eastern Visayas.
08:34These are the areas of Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas.
08:38We expect strong rains.
08:40For more details, we expect heavy to intense rains.
08:43These are the areas shaded in orange
08:46in the provinces of Sorsogon, Northern Samar, and Eastern Samar.
08:49Starting tomorrow evening, Saturday evening,
08:52we expect strong rains in these areas.
08:55Moderate to heavy rains in areas shaded in yellow
08:59in the provinces of Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes,
09:03Albay, Samar, Biliran, and Leyte.
09:08More areas will experience heavy rains
09:13due to the coming storm Pepeto.
09:16From Saturday evening to Sunday evening,
09:20a large part of the Luzon area, as well as most of Visayas,
09:24will experience heavy rains.
09:26The Luzon area will experience heavy rains.
09:29A large part of Northern Luzon will experience heavy rains
09:34due to the coming storm Pepeto.
09:36We expect intense to torrential rains.
09:38This is greater than 200 millimeters of rainfall
09:41over the provinces of Quezon, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes.
09:48Heavy to intense rains.
09:49Again, these are the areas shaded in orange
09:53in the provinces of Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, Marinduque,
09:59Albay, Sorsogon, and Northern Samar.
10:02Moderate to heavy rains in areas shaded in yellow.
10:05We expect this starting from Saturday evening to Sunday evening
10:09in the provinces of Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Pangasinan, Zambales,
10:14Tarlac, Pampanga, and Bataan.
10:16Here in Metro Manila, Cavite, Batangas, Romblon, Masbate, Samar,
10:21Eastern Samar, Biliran, and Salete.
10:25That's why in the areas I mentioned,
10:27especially the areas shaded in red and orange,
10:31intense to torrential rains in areas shaded by red,
10:34heavy to intense rains in areas shaded by orange.
10:37Now, let's get ready.
10:39Let's take precautionary measures
10:42in the possible risk of flooding and landslides
10:45due to the coming storm Pepeto.
10:48Before we proceed,
10:49let's remind our local governments
10:52of the steps to be taken.
10:53Flush floods or landslides are possible,
10:56especially in low-lying and susceptible areas.
10:59Flooding of rivers and swamps is also possible.
11:03So, let's have a regular update
11:05for the heavy rainfall outlook for the storm Pepeto.
11:09So, stay tuned for the succeeding issuances
11:12of our tropical cyclone bulletins
11:14as well as the weather advisories
11:16that we will issue for this storm.
11:18And for the threat of storm surge,
11:22or stormy waves,
11:23due to the effects of the Ophel storm,
11:26we still have a storm surge warning
11:28as of 8 p.m. today.
11:30So, we expect more than 3 meters of storm surge
11:34here in the area of Cagayan
11:36or in the seaboards or coastal lines
11:40of Cagayan and Ilocos Norte.
11:42Meanwhile, we expect 2.1 to 3 meters
11:45in the coastlines of Aurora,
11:48Batanes, Ilocos Sur, and Isabela.
11:52So, to our fellow countrymen
11:54who are near the seabed,
11:57low-lying areas, and coastal communities,
11:59let's be prepared
12:00because the threat of storm surge is still there.
12:02This is the rise of the waves
12:05near our coastal areas.
12:09As of 11 p.m. today,
12:14we still have a storm surge warning.
12:16This is due to the effects of the Ophel storm
12:19on the seaboards of Batanes, Cagayan,
12:22including Baboyan Islands,
12:23here in the area of Isabela
12:25and the northern coast of Ilocos Norte.
12:27So, to our fellow countrymen,
12:29and to those who are near the seabed,
12:31in these areas,
12:32let's not go too far
12:34because we will continue to experience
12:36the threat of storm surge
12:38from the Ophel storm.
12:39And these are the seaboards
12:41that are not in the gale warning.
12:43So, we will still experience
12:44the waves here
12:45in the seaboards of Northern Aurora.
12:47So, let's be careful
12:48to our fellow countrymen
12:50who will sail in this area.

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