IHSG naik 0,67% ke 7.503,05 sesi I Rabu (11/12). Sektor properti dan real estat +1,47%, PANI +9%, SSIA +5,71%. Sektor energi +1,10% BYAN +4,12%, sementara AADI -5,35% koreksi pertama kali usai IPO terimbas profit taking. Sektor keuangan +0,41% BBCA +0,72%. Sektor teknologi -1,07% GOTO -2,50%.
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TVTranscript
00:00Game Plus Arcade, available only on RCTE Plus Super App.
00:04Play it now.
00:06Thank you for joining us.
00:09In this segment, we will review how the trading process is going on today.
00:13And we remind you again, you can still participate in our interactive WhatsApp
00:16at 0812.8788.3723, as shown on your television screen later.
00:23And now we are connected via Zoom with Mr. Halim Minta Reja,
00:27Brands Manager at JYC San Antonio, Surabaya.
00:30Let's get started. Good afternoon, Mr. Halim. How are you?
00:33Good afternoon, Mr. David. I'm fine.
00:38Thank you, Mr. Halim, for your time on IDX Channel.
00:41Today, Indek Hargasa Menggabungan, as a whole, Mr. Halim,
00:45continues your strength, even intraday.
00:49You were able to break through at level 7530.
00:52However, in 30 minutes, the trading closing track in the second session,
00:55the strength is more limited.
00:58Even the position today is almost close to the opening level position this morning.
01:03What is your analysis?
01:05Yes, this is because the ISG has risen quite a lot in the last week.
01:10Almost only corrected for one day.
01:13And then later tonight there will also be inflation data from America.
01:17So, in the short term, it tends to realize the gain that has been obtained
01:21from the last week to anticipate if there is bad data coming out later tonight.
01:28So, profit taking is reasonable.
01:32Okay. Profit taking is like that, right, sir?
01:35After rising high, then the strength is more towards sustainability.
01:39But how do you see it, Mr. Halim?
01:42When from inflation data, because some are still projecting
01:47that inflation will continue to rise even though it is not too significant.
01:50This is reflected from the position of inflation data in the previous month.
01:55Yes, the inflation in November is estimated to still rise slightly for America.
02:01It is estimated to rise slightly from 2.6 to 2.7.
02:05So maybe the trader is afraid if the data is higher than 2.7,
02:11there is a possibility that the FED will slow down the cut rate.
02:17Because the expectation for next year is from 4 to 3.
02:21I'm afraid it will be reduced again to 2 or 1 if the inflation is too high.
02:25So, be more careful.
02:27The cut rate is still there, but maybe not as fast as before.
02:31Okay. With the position of the FED at the moment,
02:34the direction for the next few days until the end of Wednesday,
02:38by including some sentiment scenarios from the economic data you mentioned earlier.
02:44Okay, the first scenario, if the data is bad,
02:47maybe we will continue to profit-taking tomorrow and pull back again.
02:52Then maybe near Christmas, the index will rally again
02:55because it is already quite oversold weekly.
02:58But if the data is good at night,
03:01maybe in the future the index can go up immediately.
03:05So, just anticipate the pullback.
03:08Not anticipate the continuation of the correction.
03:11Okay. What is your target, Pak Halim,
03:14for the household income until the end of the year?
03:17With today's reach position, the intraday is already at around 7,500.
03:22If the interest rate starts to inflow at the end of the year,
03:26maybe we can see around 7,900.
03:297,600 to 7,900 until the end of this year.
03:33But if the data is bad, maybe it's around 7,500 to 7,700.
03:38The direction is still up, but it depends on the data that will come out.
03:42Okay. From the analysis and projection of the household income movement,
03:46some stocks today have become the burden of the household income
03:51so that the strength or level of 7,500 is not able to be maintained.
03:56We go to the energy sector first, Pak, which is quite interesting.
03:59There is AADI.
04:01Yes, Aadaro Andalan Indonesia TBK.
04:04After the rally, then the direction was drawn in a few days.
04:08Today is the first day.
04:10AADI finally experienced a fairly deep correction.
04:13Your analysis for AADI.
04:17AADI is quite a favorite.
04:19In addition to the low PI, people are following the IPO,
04:24and there are a lot of conversions, so there are quite a lot.
04:27Maybe this is profit-taking, because the increase is already quite a lot.
04:32On average, the gain is 20-30%.
04:35Meanwhile, AADI has profit-taking from short-term traders.
04:40For the time being, I see around 8,500.
04:52Hello, Pak Halim. Hello, Pak.
04:54Yes.
04:55The sound is cut off, Pak. Can you repeat it for AADI?
04:59Okay, maybe AADI temporarily supports around 8,500 to 9,000.
05:05Yes.
05:06Temporary support is quite strong, and the volume is also quite cheap in that area.
05:11Yes, this is just profit-taking in the short term.
05:15Okay, where will it go, Pak?
05:17And the recommendation of AADI with the correction today.
05:19Temporarily correction first.
05:21Temporarily correction first, this is still the direction of correction from those who follow the IPO.
05:25The direction is to strongly support 8,500 to 9,000.
05:31Okay.
05:32For those who have taken a position and realized their profit buyback at what level again?
05:38Then those who just want to participate, can this momentum be utilized?
05:43Yes, if you want to buyback, maybe the 9,000 area is quite strong.
05:489,000 to 8,500, the volume is also quite cheap.
05:51Based on the calculation, it will be quite high in 2026.
05:56Some analysts and securities have projected that AADI will continue to move forward.
06:03Some even say that the price will reach 30,000 again.
06:11Yes, 30,000.
06:12What is your opinion? Will this be achieved in the long term?
06:19It depends step by step.
06:21There are a lot of factors that affect it.
06:23From the macro, from the currency, then from the price pool.
06:27If everything goes up, then the price will go up.
06:30But of course there is a process.
06:32There are 10,000, then 11,000.
06:34Slowly, you can't do it right away.
06:36There is a process that must be passed.
06:38Yes, okay.
06:39Today, AADI is at 9650, weakening at 6.08%.
06:44And as explained earlier, the recommendation is to support the resistance,
06:47for those who do profit-taking or want to buyback again.
06:50From AADI, we switch to Induk for ADARO, 2610, weakening at 4.40%.
06:58Yesterday, it rose significantly and today it's going back.
07:02Yes, ADARO rose significantly because there was a fund that used to be EFG,
07:08which used to not be able to enter ADARO because there was a factor pool.
07:11Now it can enter again.
07:13So, ADARO got fresh blood, so to speak.
07:16Fresh blood for the price to rise.
07:18But for further strengthening, of course, we have to look again at the fundamentals of ADARO.
07:22And that will be waited for when the financial report comes out.
07:25When the financial report comes out, how to calculate again, what is the target?
07:29Yes, for the time being, maybe there is profit-taking first because the rise is quite significant.
07:34Support and resistance and recommendation, sir?
07:36Support and resistance.
07:38The recommendation, if it's a high model, I'll long-strength first,
07:42because the valuation itself is not clear yet.
07:45I mean, how much will the earnings be?
07:49All of that is still unclear.
07:51Because for the time being, the company is still in a fairly large net cash position.
07:55So, in terms of ADI sales.
07:58So, for support and resistance, the closest support is around Rp2,530,000,
08:04the moving average is Rp5,000.
08:06But to enter, as best as we can, we wait for it to consolidate first,
08:10then the financial report will come out.
08:12So, BNC first for ADARO.
08:15Okay, Rp2,610,000.
08:17Today's closing is weak at 4.40%.
08:20Okay, from energy, we move to B-Cap banks.
08:23Today, B-Cap banks are generally experiencing strength,
08:27but the push is not too significant.
08:29On average, it still strengthens at around 0.X%.
08:33How do you see it?
08:35It looks like B-Cap banks are quite strong.
08:37This is based on a cycle of momentum introduced in previous years.
08:41Among these four banks, which one is the strongest?
08:45Mr. Halim.
08:46For B-Cap, the simple one is BCA.
08:49Because A-Sing is stable,
08:52A-Sing is not too strong compared to BCA.
08:55This year's banks are a bit bad,
08:58because the inflation pressure is quite high.
09:00So, maybe the rally expectations for December
09:04are not as big as the previous years.
09:07But it's still positive,
09:09because the ISG movement is generally strengthened.
09:11And today, it's also generally strengthened,
09:14even though the pullback has mostly come out of the downtrend.
09:17They've all come out of the downtrend.
09:19So, even if it goes down,
09:21only the usual pullback can be used to build weakness.
09:25Okay, what's quite interesting from BBC,
09:28when the first session was held this morning,
09:31Mr. Halim experienced quite a deep correction.
09:34It reached the level of Rp10,225 per share.
09:38Then it went back to normal, and experienced strength again.
09:41What can we expect from Mr. Halim?
09:43With the reverse direction, is the profit-taking short,
09:46and the investors will return to BBCA?
09:49Yes, maybe.
09:50More or less like that.
09:51Because maybe there are investors who are afraid
09:53that the inflation will be bad.
09:54But there are also investors who feel
09:56that it's quite cheap for BBCA to do this.
09:58So, coincidentally, today,
10:01those who feel that BBCA is quite cheap,
10:05and in terms of technical,
10:06it has also started to rally upwards.
10:08So, every pullback,
10:10if it has rallied up like this,
10:12for the technical people,
10:13every pullback is an entry position.
10:15An opportunity to enter again.
10:17Because it has started to uptrend.
10:19By achieving this far for BBCA,
10:21it has returned to Rp10,400,
10:23compared to the highest level of intraday.
10:25Some time ago, Mr. Halim,
10:27the target was until the end of the year for BBCA.
10:30It's still around Rp10,600-Rp10,800.
10:36BBCA is around that.
10:38Okay.
10:39Has it reached its peak, sir?
10:41Has it entered the current position for BBCA?
10:44You said earlier that in the short term,
10:46the downtrend has turned into an uptrend.
10:51Yes.
10:52If it wants to enter,
10:54it has to wait for a chance for BBCA to make a correction,
10:56just like this morning.
10:57Make the most of the opportunity
10:59if there is a correction.
11:00It's better to enter the correction time.
11:02So, in the meantime,
11:03the support is around Rp10,200-Rp10,300.
11:05If it goes that way,
11:06it can be used for buybacks that have been sold
11:09or new entries.
11:10Meanwhile, the strong support of BBCA is Rp10,100.
11:14In the short term, it's very interesting
11:16because the support is quite strong.
11:18Okay, today's closing.
11:19But if you want to buy here,
11:21if you want to buy above Rp14,000,
11:23the target is only Rp16,000-Rp18,000.
11:25That's why it's interesting.
11:27Wait for a correction.
11:28Okay.
11:29Today's closing Rp10,425,000
11:31is back to strengthen the support of BBCA by 0.72%.
11:33And again, the decision to invest
11:35is still in the hands of the chairman of IDX Channel.
11:37Mr. Halim, we will interrupt for a while.
11:39Later, we will try to see
11:40what Samsung chooses to recommend.
11:42And at the same time,
11:43the closing of trade
11:44in the second session today.
11:45And the chairman,
11:46we will be back in a moment.