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00:00We need to hit every race in this parlay, but we can use multiple horses in each race
00:05It'll just cost us a little bit more every time we use an extra horse
00:09So Matt it starts out with a pretty tough
00:12$10,000 claiming race on the synthetic where a lot of horses kind of look the same and you can make cases for many
00:18But you and I had I think the same top two and the same horse right on top in the number nine
00:24Mailman money. Why don't you talk a little bit about the night in here?
00:28Like this one just because you go back and look at the races
00:31This horse has run on the tepida surface down there on the synthetic and you have to go back to this time last year
00:37And those are really nice races strong buyer speed figures good effort the ability to track the pace
00:42I think that's so important when we talk about the synthetic particularly going long
00:46You rarely want to be on the lead. You also don't want to be a deep closer
00:49You really like to sit that tracking trip going two turns on the synthetic
00:52That's the sort of trip. This horse is gonna sit also dropping down a little bit in class was running in a claiming 20
00:58Last time out now dropping down to a claiming 10. I just think you have Johnny Velasquez up on the mount for Kelly Breen
01:04I like this one good value. I think as well five to one
01:07Yes, we've talked about the race as many times together a lot of my notes had you're dropping in class
01:12You're getting back to the synthetic surface and there's not that much early speed in this race
01:17He could sit a pretty good trip
01:18Just cut like a little bit off the pace sit in two or three lengths behind
01:21The nine mailman money is the one that we both like the most
01:25We're also going to include the six Onesto who is proven at Gulfstream Park. Who's a horse who will come running?
01:31You just feel like it's a good spot for this one
01:33So we'll be too deep in here using the six and nine trying to get out of race number seven
01:38That's the first leg of the pick five sequence
01:41So hopefully we get through there and we turn the page to race number eight. This one Maddie is a Florida bred
01:48Maiden special weight race. So these are newly turned three-year-old maidens. They'll be traveling six and a half furlongs here
01:54I think towards the outside of the field you probably get the real strength
01:58You have a couple horses in the seven Oleg and the eight just relax
02:02They're dropping out of races where they faced a very nice horse named rated by merit
02:07Who's been one of the fastest horses in their age group so far?
02:10They don't have to deal with him. So for them those two they get a little bit of class relief
02:15They're probably like the two horses to beat in here based on the company they faced
02:20Absolutely, you see rated by merit in the running lines and you have to automatically elevate those horses for people who don't know rated
02:26By merit has run four races and has never run slower than a 92 buyer speed figure
02:31I mean, this is a horse that is a serious Kentucky Derby future
02:33So you see a you know
02:35The large margin of defeat don't really take that into consideration because the quality of competition that they were running against
02:41I really like just relax as my top selection
02:44This one trained by Jose D'Angelo very sharp trainer with Irada Ortiz jr
02:48Up on the mount one of the top jockeys in the country and in the world
02:51So really like this one and I but this also feels like a race where you could go maybe a couple deep
02:56Yeah, we'll use a few others
02:58The four flood zone is another horse who comes out of a good debut where he was second
03:03I don't know how strong the race was
03:05But I think he was a horse coming out of that race who could definitely step forward then to the outside
03:09I'm seeing the nine. He's a beast. I'm seeing mr. Beast commercials all over the place
03:15But when you're looking at a first-time starter, you had a damn who won twice
03:19You had a horse who's a half to a horse named noble drama who is a ten-time winner in a multiple stakes winner against Florida
03:26Breads five of the six siblings one
03:28So the pedigrees there the barn is two for their last eight with first-time starters
03:34And if you go even bigger of the last five years, they've won about 12%
03:38So this checks a lot of boxes for things I'm looking for with first-time starters there
03:43So we'll end up going four seven eight and nine using four horses to try to get out of race number eight
03:49We turn the page to the ninth race
03:51It's a mile on the turf in here and another race Matt where we had the same top two
03:55So I didn't even have to go a little bit farther when we were building our ticket
03:58We had the two Mount Oreb and the ten talk a little bit about Mount Oreb who the form is just really good overall
04:05It feels like a nice fit in this race
04:07Yeah, very much
04:08I mean
04:09this is a horse that it just you know was very consistent at the
04:12Maiden special weight level and it felt like this horse just finally kind of started stretching out and
04:18Really ran a great race last time out came in up fourth
04:22But the second and third place finishers both came back to win next time out coming out of a race at Churchill Downs again
04:28It tracks. I rat Ortiz jr
04:29All he's doing is winning
04:3129% of his mounts during this meet seven and two in the morning line for a horse that really appears to be very versatile
04:36Between either the synthetic or the turf and has really never run a bad race
04:41So I thought that one made a lot of sense
04:42And then the ten also makes a lot of sense
04:45So you can talk about Navy SEAL maybe a little bit if you'd like
04:47Yeah
04:48You look at the races that Navy SEAL is coming out of he's raced four times since coming to the u.s
04:53After he ran in the UAE Derby against forever young
04:56Yeah
04:57Just saw win a big race the other day and forever young was in the Derby and in the Breeders Cup Classic and he's gonna
05:02Be pointing to the Breeders Cup Classic next year
05:04But you see a horse named flat and be who won five in a row
05:07You see Carson's run who's a multiple grade one winner in the running lines
05:11even in the last race at Churchill Downs where Navy SEAL finished fourth the fifth place finisher came out of that race and won a
05:18First level allowance race at Santa Anita last week. So Navy SEAL exits some strong races
05:23We're gonna use the two and the ten to try to make it through race number nine
05:27Race number ten is the mucho macho, man
05:30We spoke about that one a few moments ago just to recap the picks for everyone. We're gonna use the one guns loaded
05:36We're gonna use the three
05:38McKellen and the five cool intentions the two horses we think can sit off the pace a little bit and then we've got a fun
05:44Long shot in the eight naughty rascal who could offer us some really nice value
05:48So one three five and eight will turn the page to the ginger brew which will round out this pick five sequence
05:55That's gonna be race number 11 there
05:57I thought this was a tough race Matt where you mean a lot of horses you could use in these three-year-old fillies and I
06:03Think you included one of the horses that I like to the to love Travere a who's a fair price
06:09But talk about like your major contenders in here. Who are your top picks? We end up going or 810
06:15So we're we're four deep in here
06:17Yeah, my topics was Civetta the number eight for Brendan Walsh just a barn that I really like
06:22This is a good dolphin owned and bred horse
06:25Obviously that reputation speaks for itself coming off of a win in a stakes company last time out with our rat Ortiz jr
06:31Up should be able to sit a tracking trip ought to like there
06:34Yeah, so we put them all together. We can take a look at the pick five ticket. It's a hundred and twenty eight dollar ticket
06:40We don't have any singles, but there are two races where we shorten up a little bit
06:44we'll use two horses in the seven with just the six in the nine and then two horses in the ninth with just the two
06:50In the ten and there are a couple races where we don't have short price favorites in there
06:55So if we hit this ticket, it is going to pay very very well. We have a hundred and twenty eight dollar play
07:01However, you're playing it. We wish you the best of luck