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DooDooPoker
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MDA for the X B B Line SBvsBB SRP

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Transcript
00:00what's up guys it's doo-doo poker here back for another video okay so today we're going to be
00:09talking about the check bet bet line small blind versus big blind okay so the small blind checks
00:16flop big blind checks back and the small blind delayed c bets and then bets river all right so
00:22this is a small blind versus big blind hand we have ace 10 of clubs in the big blind small blind
00:28raises up everyone else folds to the small blind he raises we have ace 10 of clubs we can either
00:33three bet or call we decide to call okay flop comes jack of diamonds eight of hearts two of spades
00:40now my opponent decides to check okay so we're in the big blind we have showdown value we have
00:47nothing else to do except check here okay so we check back now the turn is a five of spades okay
00:54now my opponent bets 75 okay now here a solver will always fold okay now a solver fold is folding
01:05and says it's a slight mistake to call okay now we should never ever fold here okay why why should
01:13we never fold because we have to look at mda okay let's take a peek at mda so we know from mda
01:20that they over delayed c bet okay look they're going 43 or 42 depending on the stakes gto is 32 to 40 okay so
01:31we know they're over delayed c betting we also know they're over folding to a raise okay so you should
01:37be raising more on the turn versus a delayed c bet as the big blind versus small blind okay so the big
01:43over fold here ten percent around all right so in the hand let's check the hand out so in the hand i'll start from the
01:51beginning uh suppose the small blind raises up we call check check flop he bets i call okay so i call because i know they
02:01over c bet delayed c bet okay now the river is interesting because let's check the solver i call with my ace ten of clubs now the river
02:12comes in eight of spades okay now my opponent bets 75 again now this is not really a gto line
02:20okay so it's not the outputs are not going to be great because he's supposed to go over bet or bet small
02:26so he bets 75 in game it's here at 77 okay so we can't really look at a solver for this because
02:36it's not going to be helpful the sizings are not gto-ish and ace ten folds on the turn okay so we
02:43have to lean on mda here okay mda is our friend in this spot so let's look at check bet bet mda okay
02:51well first we're going to look we're going to look at the aggregate okay so we know it's 36 week
02:58okay we also know they fold 68 of the time to a raise big samples over 3 000 hands okay
03:06so we know two things we know it's over um bluffed and it's over folded remember reg mda principle
03:15any over bluff spot is by definition over folded okay it's very important so when you know a spot is
03:23over bluffed now if you don't have a bluff catcher now i get to raise now i get to raise all my non
03:31showdown hands okay i call with my ace highs but i raise with my weaker hands all right so it's very
03:37important all right so let's go to uh filters in this line okay so that's the aggregate let's go to
03:44filters we know it's 36 week overall let's go to river third to flush remember the board run out was
03:50jack eight five or jack eight two five eight okay flush complete on the river back door let's go to
03:58flush complete on the river back door 34 week so we know it's slightly slightly bluff less but still
04:04over bluff because the aggregate is 36 week okay so what do you want to do here well let's say i know
04:12this in game okay now i always call river okay now he has queen nine and i win but let's say i had a
04:20hand like seven six or ten nine or nine six okay let's say i have a hand that cannot call a river
04:28bet okay so what i do here is we can do the math on this we go to notepad and let's say he
04:38let's say the pot is let's say he raised three pre-flop right so the pot six check check on the flop
04:46let's say he bets 75 percent of the term we'll say we'll say four so that's four so now 14 on the river
04:51let's say he bets 10 on the river right so the pot's 24 now if i raise 3.5 x which is 35
04:58stay with me because 3.5 times 10 is 35 then i risk 35 and it's 35 plus 24 okay so we know where's the
05:12calculator calculator calculator here i'm risking 35 to win 59 i need 59 percent folds okay i need 59
05:23percent folds to make it a break-even fold how many folds am i getting well let's go
05:28in the aggregate we know it's 68 let's go to the filters filters 68 okay so i know there's a nine
05:37percent overlay okay a nine percent discrepancy between the alpha and in practice and the alpha
05:46in theory okay so you should be raising all your air on the river versus the check bet bet line because
05:52we know mda principle for regs any over bluff spot is by definition over folded so back to the original
06:01hand if i get here with a hand like 10 9 even like queen 9 queen 10 i would still raise okay i'm only
06:11calling ace highs i'll call all ace highs and if i have less than ace high i raise all right guys so
06:19this is another way we can deviate from a solver to outperform based on mda and increase our ev
06:28all right thanks for checking out the channel just started this channel uh please subscribe if you
06:35haven't and i will see you in the next video