How to play vs Fish as the IP PFC SBvsBB
If you enjoyed this video, join the 100% free discord. All MDA is free and we talk about poker without a paywall. Add me on Discord. Screen Name = BertJames
#Online Poker#No Limit Holdem#Poker Strategy
If you enjoyed this video, join the 100% free discord. All MDA is free and we talk about poker without a paywall. Add me on Discord. Screen Name = BertJames
#Online Poker#No Limit Holdem#Poker Strategy
Category
🎮️
GamingTranscript
00:00what's up guys it's doo-doo poker here back for another video today we're going to be talking
00:09about a concept that i haven't really heard many people talking about and we're going to use mda
00:15to back up what our strategy is going to be we are in the big blind and our opponent is in the
00:21small blind okay so we are the in position pre-flop caller and our opponent is a fish in
00:30the small blind so in this hand he min raises i decide to call with six five off the flop comes
00:36eight of hearts six of clubs two hearts he bets 50 he bets 50 on the flop i call he bets 50 on the
00:44turn i call and he bets 50 on the river and i call okay so the first thing that i just want to tell
00:51you guys is how do we know this guy is a fish well he has a 15 gap between his vpip and pfr
00:58he's also using fish sizing a very good indicator of a fish is they like to use bet 50 or half pot
01:07okay so in this hand my opponent used half pot on every street and it's very likely he is a fish
01:14when i see the showdown i know he's a fish because what do fish do fish bet merged okay so my
01:23opponent bet third pair and owned me by accident because i called with fourth pair okay so let's take
01:33a look at some mda first i want to look at the not that one where is it somewhere around here sorry
01:44guys bear with me there it is okay so first thing we're going to look at is the c bet frequencies
01:49of a fish okay so we know fish bet 62 of the time and regs bet 51 now gto is anywhere between 50 and 70
02:00depending on sizing but fish over c bet okay so that's the first thing we want to know okay
02:07so we have to ask ourselves on the flop should we play tighter than gto or looser than gto now you
02:14might say looser because they c bet more but we have to look at turn frequencies okay let's look at
02:20turn frequencies we see from turn frequencies i'm going to show you this one i'm going to show you
02:26another one too you see from turn frequencies that fish after a bet 50 on the flop they bet 58 now we
02:37know gto is between 42 and 46 so we know they oversee that flop but they also over barrel turn
02:44so as an exploit you want to play tighter on the flop versus a fish because you will not realize
02:53equity okay so you want to play tighter than a solver on the flop because they're going to barrel too
02:59much on the turn okay so that's our first exploit now let's look at river frequencies okay river
03:06frequencies comparing bet 50 bet bet we see regs betting 49 over huge samples we also see fish
03:16betting 10 more betting 10 more okay so we know they over triple barrel and frequencies okay but let's
03:25look at let's look at the mda for this okay so we have fish here on the right and regs on the left
03:32okay so we know that the light green is bluffs without a pair we know dark green is bluffs with a pair
03:43we know that the blue is going to be gto ish and the red is under bluffed okay so i'm going to show you
03:52two
03:55um mda pieces of data and i'm going to tell you what is paradoxical about these two pieces of data
04:06this is the fish on the top 34 week bet bet bet 50 on the river now we know gto should be what should
04:17gto be gto should be sorry gto should be 25 week okay so we know they over bluff because they're 34
04:28weeks so they're over bluffing by nine percent now go down here this is regs we see regs are also
04:35over bluffing by a little bit one percent but notice the folding frequencies on the river the folding
04:42frequencies on the river we see 58 percent versus 51 percent this makes no sense do you see why this
04:53makes no sense how can someone be eight percent weaker this is a fish how can someone be eight
05:03percent weaker but fold seven percent less that makes no sense right how can someone be eight
05:11percent stronger but fold seven percent less or yeah some percent more rather you have someone a reg
05:21who is only 26 week right but they're folding 58 percent now you have a fish who's 34 percent weak
05:32but only folding 51 that makes no sense right well we have to think why is this why is this
05:44because fish bet merged that is the reason and they're going to call your raise okay so let's do some math
05:54here let's say we are in the big blind and my opponent's in the small blind and he raises up 3x okay
06:03we defend the pot is six big blinds on the flop our fish opponent bets 50 pot which is three we call now
06:10it's 12 big blinds on the turn he bets 50 again we call now it's 24 big blinds on the river he bets 50
06:1650 again and i raised three and a half times this bet okay so we know risk is 42 and i'm winning 42
06:27plus 24 plus 12 which is 36 so you divide 42 divided by 78 and this is the alpha the alpha is around 54
06:3854 but what is the alpha here 51 58 okay so they're over defending while being weaker and regs are under
06:50defending while being stronger okay so the question i'm going to ask you now is how
06:59how do you exploit a merge range that defends more than minimum defense frequency how do i exploit a fish
07:12that triple barrels third pair how do i exploit a fish that triple barrels second pair how do i exploit a
07:20fish that is merged and doesn't fold the way you exploit a fish that is merged and doesn't fold
07:29is you have to value raise thinner on the river okay so how do i do that let's say i have a hand
07:36like ace of hearts five of clubs okay i call flop i hit my top pair on the turn i call he bets 50 on the river
07:45now against a normal opponent i'm just calling but against a fish opponent i have to understand that
07:51he over defends versus raise and that he bets merged so now what i do is i shift my calls
07:59i shift my top pair calls and my strong second pair and i put those into raises now i raise my ace five
08:07now i raise my queen jack of hearts because why because he'll call me with jack eight he'll call me with
08:15pocket nines he'll call me with pocket tens right so you have to raise thinner
08:23but you have to over fold the flop okay so these are the two exploits the two exploits are the
08:31over fold flop because they over barrel turn and we know they triple barrel merged and now we raise
08:37thinner on the river okay so we see this in the data it's very clear that they are defending too much
08:47while being weaker okay so that is the exploit that we use we want to raise our top pair to get value
08:54from his merged hands all right guys this is kind of a lesser known mda concept versus fish
09:00but we got through it and hopefully everyone learned something please subscribe if you haven't
09:06a new video every day 9 a.m eastern standard time and i will see you in the next video take care