• 3 months ago
Transcript
00:00All right, we got home run derby props from Carver High on the lion's share today brought
00:09to you by BetMGM.
00:11That's right.
00:12That is the main event tonight is the home run derby in Arlington.
00:18So let's get to it before we give you the odds and stuff.
00:21I got to tell you, they changed the rules a little bit this year.
00:23And there's some things that probably should be kept in.
00:25You know how they used to do like those one-on-one matchups in the first round, Scotty, and,
00:31you know, everybody would get mad.
00:32Some guy would hit 25 homers and he'd get eliminated because someone else hit 28.
00:36That's over now.
00:37The first round, all eight hitters will go.
00:39The top four, the four guys that hit the most home runs, they will advance.
00:43The tie will be broken, if there is one, by whoever had the longer home run in the first
00:50round.
00:51Then they get into the bracket style.
00:52The guy with the most will place number four most.
00:54Two will play three based on the first round home run totals.
00:58Three-minute rounds and 40 pitches.
01:00That's different.
01:01It used to just be time.
01:02Now there's 40 pitches that are involved.
01:05Three bonus outs.
01:07Every swing is a home run or an out.
01:09425-foot homer in the bonus round gets you a fourth.
01:13And the finals are only two minutes.
01:15So think about that.
01:16That's going to factor into some of these plays that we're going to have here.
01:19Here's the odds to win it completely.
01:22Alonzo is the favorite for us tonight in Arlington.
01:25Of course, he's won this a couple of times.
01:28And he's at 310.
01:29Gunnar Henderson has been flying up the board to 375.
01:32Ozuna, Bobby Witt, who's from that area down there in Texas.
01:36Garcia, who plays for the Rangers.
01:38Teoscar, Jose Ramirez, and Alec Boehm, Scott, are your competitors tonight.
01:43Yeah, I mean, we've gone over this list a thousand times over the last, you know,
01:50seven shows or whatever.
01:52You told me you were on Bobby Witt and Teoscar Hernandez, unless I'm mistaken.
01:58And then Gabe said he liked Gunnar Henderson and Teoscar.
02:02So I think you might both be on to something.
02:04I think Ozuna is the most dangerous guy for me.
02:10And I mean, it is what it is.
02:13I'm not going to lose any sleep over it.
02:15You know, I'm not betting it, to be honest.
02:17I'm not going to sit here and lie to you.
02:20Here's a couple things that I'll have some fun with tonight for you for this Home Run
02:24Derby.
02:25Because you know that I'm not going to sit it out.
02:27I mean, all I play now is taters.
02:29It's tater.
02:30Every day is a tater day here on C2C.
02:32So I got to be involved in this event.
02:35Player to hit the most home runs in the first round.
02:38This is just round number one.
02:39Like I said, all eight hitters do go.
02:41It's basically, Scotty, in the same order as those overall odds.
02:47So Teosca Hernandez is 9-1 to have the most in the first round.
02:51Garcia is 6-1.
02:53And Bobby Witt is 5-1.
02:55Those are the guys, same as the regular board, that I'm going to circle here in the first
02:58round that I'm going to try to go after.
03:01I don't need any of these, the chalk up there with Alonzo.
03:03I do like what you said, though, about Ozuna.
03:06He's had himself a hell of a year.
03:08And I could see him in the mix at the end as well.
03:10Yeah.
03:11Like, I like that.
03:13I have no problem with those bets.
03:15You know, if you get me motivated here, I might jump on some of your action for this.
03:19I don't see one way or the other, like, you know, who's going to hit the most in the first
03:24round?
03:25Why not Teosca Hernandez?
03:27That's what I'm saying.
03:28I think that I think we have a chance with some of those long shots to potentially get
03:34it.
03:35And we get it right out of the gate.
03:36They don't even have to win the whole thing.
03:37They just got to hit the most in the first round and we'll be good to go.
03:41Player to advance to the semis.
03:43That means that you want your player just to be in the top four and get you through.
03:46Alonzo's minus 250, which is nuts.
03:48Garcia minus 145.
03:50Ozuna minus 200.
03:51But again, the guys that we like, we're getting some decent numbers on further down the board.
03:57Teosca plus 140.
03:58Jose Ramirez two to one.
04:00So that's something that you could do if you just want to do advance to the semis.
04:03How about this one for you, Scotty?
04:04I like this.
04:05This is where we get the big guys on the table.
04:09Player to hit the longest home run tonight.
04:11Who's going to send it the furthest out of all these guys?
04:15The favorites are Ozuna, actually Bobby Wood Jr. is the favorite for the longest at plus
04:21175.
04:22Ozuna plus 375.
04:24The long shot is Boehm at 22 to one.
04:28Teosca again, 11 to one.
04:29I might just play Teosca in a bunch of these, Scotty.
04:3111 to one to hit the longest home run.
04:34Let's go.
04:35Well, again, I'm going to say Ozuna.
04:39I think that he, you know, if you're not going to have Alvarez and guys like this and
04:43judge and Otani in it, then the next guy in terms of bombs for me would be Ozuna.
04:50He hits long balls.
04:52So I'm on him and look, we've discussed Teosca, the guy can, the guy's a multiple silver sluggers.
05:00He can really pop the ball.
05:02So we'll see.
05:03I like Ozuna.
05:04I think that Garcia for that one at 10 to one's life too, for the longest, Garcia is
05:09a big dude.
05:10He's a big, strong dude.
05:12I could see him getting that.
05:13All right.
05:14Here's what I'm definitely playing.
05:15Alonzo in the first round, his number's 25 and a half homers.
05:19And I know Alonzo puts on a show all the time, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
05:24They've changed the format now, 40 pitches, Scotty, three minutes or 40 pitches.
05:29These guys like to look at a lot of pitches.
05:31I'm going to go after that.
05:33There's going to be 16 pitches that he does not hit out under 25 and a half first round
05:38homers for Pete Alonzo.
05:39I'm going after him, Scotty.
05:41Yeah.
05:42Why not?
05:43Like I think that everyone just thinks he's so automatic that he's going to win this thing
05:48because he's won two.
05:49And I think betters are going to be disappointed.
05:54Like I don't think he can just keep winning home run contest.
05:57Do you?
05:58I really don't.
06:00Even the thought of the younger guys, you know, who knows the new, you know, the format's
06:04different from when he won it.
06:06It's different now.
06:07So it's changed.
06:08And everyone thinks he's going to have these just automatic and nothing's automatic in
06:14this thing.
06:16And you know, I wasn't going to leave you here on the lion's share without at least
06:19one big bomb for tonight, right?
06:22Like I had to give you one really big bomb.
06:26So I'm going to play this.
06:27I saw this and it caught my eye.
06:29Teoscar to win in a straight forecast over Ozuna in the finals at 35 to 1.
06:38Teoscar over Ozuna in the championship round at 35 to 1.
06:42Get me both guys to the end and give me Teoscar to win at a nice price.
06:47I'll probably small, Scotty, play it the other way.
06:50Ozuna over Teoscar too.
06:52Because if it does happen, the numbers won't be great to hedge if he gets that far.
06:56So I'll probably go like 75% on the Teoscar, 25% on Ozuna to beat him.
07:01I won't be surprised at all if they make it to the final.
07:04I won't.
07:05You know, I told you I agreed with you on him on Friday.
07:10And I told you I like Ozuna.
07:13So those are two guys.
07:15I didn't even have a problem with Bobby Witt or Gunnar Henderson.
07:18So if the two guys that I agreed with you on, you're two I was cool with.
07:25But then I thought Ozuna, so if it's Teoscar and Ozuna and you hit that bet at 35 to 1,
07:30you'll be freaking out.
07:31Those are like your golf bets that you cash.
07:34The golf bets, which we'll get to in a little bit.
07:37What a Sunday.
07:39Just unbelievable.
07:40The Sunday that we had between both, did the double Bobby Mack, Bobby Mack and Sergio over
07:48at Live at Valderrama, which was, I mean, look, he made a couple of them.
07:57He made a couple of putts that were like 40, 40 footers.
08:01I mean, he was on with his putting and money putting.
08:05That Eagle on 16.
08:07I know there was a little controversy with the drop, but he's got a three threes to come
08:11in.
08:12I don't care either.
08:13I won.
08:14I don't care.
08:18I don't care.

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