‘Carina’-enhanced ‘habagat’ to dampen SONA — PAGASA
Parts of Luzon, including Metro Manila where President Marcos’ third State of the Nation Address (SONA) will be held, may experience rain showers on Monday, July 22, due to the southwest monsoon enhanced by tropical storm “Carina” (international name: “Gaemi”).
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said on Sunday, July 21 that the southwest monsoon, or “habagat,” may bring occasional moderate to intense rains and thunderstorms over the western portions of Luzon from Monday to Tuesday, July 23.
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said on Sunday, July 21 that the southwest monsoon, or “habagat,” may bring occasional moderate to intense rains and thunderstorms over the western portions of Luzon from Monday to Tuesday, July 23.
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NewsTranscript
00:00Earlier at 4 in the morning, the center of Baguio, Carina, was last seen.
00:05490 kilometers away, it is the light of a certain aurora.
00:09It is still a tropical storm with a strong wind that is close to the center.
00:15It reaches 75 kilometers per hour and a storm that reaches 90 kilometers per hour.
00:22Carina's movement continues west-northwestward at a speed of 10 kilometers per hour.
00:29We can see here in our satellite images that this storm is affecting our country.
00:35It is the south-west monsoon, the strong wind that is being carried by Baguio-Carina.
00:41Today, we can experience a cloudy sky with a mix of rain, snow, and lightning
00:46in the western sections of Luzon and Visayas, particularly here in Antique,
00:52Northern Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, Zambales, Bataan, and in the province of Pangasinan and La Union.
01:01The weather is clearer than we expected in most parts of our country, including Metro Manila.
01:06Even now, we are still prepared for the chances of sudden and fast-flowing rain
01:11caused by localized thunderstorms.
01:14Here in our satellite images, the sea tropical depression,
01:18which used to be in Cebu, Choy, is here as well.
01:21It is still outside of our PR and there is no direct effect in any part of our country.
01:28And this will be Baguio-Carina's track and intensity forecast.
01:33We expect a continuous north-westward movement of thunderstorms.
01:37And 24 hours from now, so on Monday,
01:42Carina's location is 420 kilometers away from Garau City in Cagayan.
01:48Afterwards, Carina's north-northwestward movement will continue.
01:54On Tuesday, her location is 390 kilometers away from Calayan, Cagayan.
02:02This movement will continue towards the northern boundary of our Philippine Area of Responsibility.
02:08And by Wednesday, her location is 365 kilometers east-northeast of Itbayat, Batanes.
02:17And by Thursday early morning,
02:19it is possible that she is already outside of our Philippine Area of Responsibility,
02:23595 kilometers north-northeast of Itbayat, Batanes.
02:29And for heavy rainfall that Carina is bringing,
02:34we expect that Carina will bring direct rains in some parts of our country.
02:41As early as tomorrow, July 22, we expect 50 to 100 millimeters of rainfall.
02:47So this is the moderate to heavy rains in the northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan
02:51and in the eastern portion of Babuyan Islands.
02:54So the rainfalls that we may experience will be stronger by Tuesday, July 23.
03:00100 to 200 millimeters, so this is the heavy to intense rainfalls in the area of Batanes,
03:05while moderate to heavy rains in the area of Babuyan Islands.
03:10And in addition to the rainfalls that Carina brought,
03:14we will also experience the rainfalls brought by the Southwest Monsoon,
03:17or heavy winds that will bring the so-called typhoon in the coming days.
03:22So this Enhanced Southwest Monsoon is possible to bring moderate to intense rains
03:27here in the western portion of Luzon in the coming days.
03:32And for the additional details of the rainfalls brought by the typhoon for the next three days,
03:38as early as today, we will experience the rainfalls brought by the typhoon Carina.
03:44The areas of Zambales, Bataan, and Calayan Islands will experience moderate to heavy rains.
03:51The rainfalls brought by the typhoon starting tomorrow, July 22,
03:55will also be stronger in the areas that will experience rainfalls.
03:59We may experience 100 to 200 millimeter rains.
04:02This is the heavy to intense rainfall in the areas of Occidental Mindoro, Zambales,
04:06Bataan, Benguet, Pangasinan, and La Union.
04:10Meanwhile, moderate to heavy rains are possible to be experienced in Abra, Cavite, Batangas,
04:16Northern Palawan, and in the southern part of the Ilocos region.
04:21By Tuesday, July 23, heavy rains will continue to bring heavy rains.
04:27These rains will continue to be sustained by the typhoon Carina in the Southwest Monsoon.
04:34Heavy to intense rains, 100 to 200 millimeters, will continue in the areas of Occidental Mindoro,
04:39Zambales, Bataan, Benguet, Pangasinan, and La Union.
04:44We will also experience moderate to heavy rains in the areas of Metro Manila,
04:49Northern Palawan, Cavite, Batangas, and in some areas of Central Luzon,
04:53in Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, Abra, and in the southern part of the Ilocos region.
05:01In the mentioned areas, the areas that will experience the direct rains of Carina,
05:07as well as the Southwest Monsoon, or the heavy winds,
05:10we expect or continue to be prepared and alert to the dangers of floods and landslides,
05:16especially if the rains will continue to be experienced.
05:19It is also possible for our rivers and coasts to flood.
05:23We expect that the chances of floods will be higher,
05:26especially if we are in the elevated or mountainous areas.
05:33In the severe winds or the strong winds brought by Hurricane Carina,
05:37as of now, there is no increase in the tropical cyclone wind signal in any part of our country
05:41because of the truck, or the truck of Carina is far from our river.
05:47But we do not remove the possibility of increasing the wind signal,
05:51number one, in the extreme northern Luzon area and in the northeastern portion of the mainland of Cagayan,
05:57possibly by tonight or tomorrow, in anticipation of the strong winds brought by Carina.
06:04In addition to the strong winds brought by the typhoon,
06:07we expect that the Southwest Monsoon, or the heavy winds brought by Carina,
06:13we expect that it is also possible for strong winds to fall in some parts of our country in the coming days.
06:20Starting tomorrow, we will experience strong winds brought by the Southwest Monsoon in the area of Calayaan Islands.
06:30By Monday, July 22, the strong winds will continue in areas of Zambales, Bataan, Metro Manila,
06:39Calabarzon, Mimaropa, Bicol Region, and Western Visayas.
06:43And the day after that, on Tuesday, July 23,
06:46the strong winds brought by the Southwest Monsoon will continue here in Ilocos Region, Zambales,
06:53Bataan, Aurora, Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Mimaropa, Bicol Region, and Western Visayas.
07:01And in terms of our sea level, there are still no high gale warnings in any of our islands.
07:08However, our fellow fishermen will still be careful, especially here in the western section of Luzon,
07:14in the seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao, because it is still possible for us to experience
07:19strong winds brought by Carina and the Southwest Monsoon.
07:29And for more details on the truck and the intensity forecast of Tropical Storm Carina,
07:36we can see here in this truck image that starting today,
07:41the generally northwestward or the north-westward movement of Carina
07:46will continue until tomorrow.
07:50And after that, on Tuesday, Carina will move to the north.
07:54So generally northward is the movement of the storm on Tuesday.
07:58We can see here in this truck image that this northward movement will continue
08:03towards the northern boundary of our Philippine Area of Responsibility.
08:06So it is possible for this to come out of our PAR by Wednesday, July 24.
08:12After that, while it is outside of our PAR and far from our country,
08:16it will move north-westward.
08:21It is possible for this to pass through the area of Singkaku Islands outside of our PAR.
08:27And we can also see here in this truck image that it is possible for Carina
08:32to continue to intensify or intensify.
08:35It is possible for this to meet the Severe Tropical Storm Category by tomorrow.
08:39This rapid intensification will continue.
08:42It is possible for this to meet the Typhoon Category by Tuesday, July 23.
08:47So we are not removing the possibility of rapid intensification within the forecast period.
08:52We can see here in Carina's truck that this is far from our country.
08:57So mainly offshore are the storms brought by the storm.
09:00But even so, as I mentioned earlier, it is possible for us to increase
09:03the Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 as early as tonight or tomorrow
09:08here in the area of Extreme Northern Luzon and northeastern portion of the Bay of Cagayan.
09:12And we should also be prepared for strong winds and storms
09:15brought by the Southwest Monsoon.
09:17Strong winds and storms are expected in the coming days.