Terbebani Konflik Timur Tengah, IHSG Merosot di Atas 1% ke 7.500-an
IHSG -0,93% ke level 7.600 ke 7.571,072 di sesi I Rabu (2/10). IDX-Infra -1,63% BREN -5,15%, IDX-Trans 1,56% BIRD -2,78%, dan IDX-Cyclic 1,33% HMSP -2,00%. Lawan arus, saham minyak mentah menguat ditengah konflik Iran dan Israel, MEDC +6,61%, AKRA +1,94%, ELSA +8,05%, ENRG +11,71% . Emiten emas ikut terkerek, ANTM +3%, PSAB +7% dan BRMS +9,60%.
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TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for those who are still joining us and in this segment we will review how the trade is going on throughout today's briefing.
00:07And we remind you again, you can still participate on our interactive WhatsApp at 0821-8788.723 as shown on the television screen later.
00:18And right now we are connected via Zoom with Mr. T. Herditya Wicaksana, who is a Technical Analyst at MNC.
00:24Our security, we will go straight to Mr. Didit. Good afternoon, how are you?
00:28Hello, good afternoon, how are you?
00:30Thank you, Mr. Didit, for taking the time to join us on IDX Channel.
00:34Today, the domestic market is weakening again, Mr. Didit.
00:38Over 1% and again leaving the level of 7,600.
00:43What is your analysis on the deep weakening that is happening again today?
00:48Have some previous S&B Caps experienced a significant increase?
00:54Then there is a negative sentiment from the global.
00:57The Middle East conflict is heating up.
00:59This makes investors secure profits, secure their investments first.
01:05Okay, thank you very much.
01:07That's right, Mr. Didit, for the ISG movement, the big way from a technical point of view is still in the downtrend phase.
01:14So the movement will still be heavy to go down first.
01:18And we think this is also influenced by several sentiments, both globally.
01:24If we pay attention, indeed, to heat up the conflict in the Middle East again,
01:28especially last night, where Iran attacked Israel,
01:33this raises concerns for investors about the expansion or the impact of the expansion of the conflict in the movement.
01:42Investors also shift from current assets to safe assets or safe investment instruments.
01:50As we can see from the gold price movement and the US dollar price movement itself,
01:56we estimate that it is still in the uptrend phase.
01:59And then, as we all know, indeed, some time ago,
02:04on September 25, the Central Bank of China also announced that it would provide stimulus for the industry in the country itself,
02:14which is also to revive or restart their slow-moving global economy.
02:24So there is still such a big outflow from the ISG, as we assume, to China first,
02:33where the stimulus is indeed on the way.
02:36And at the moment, the movement from the Chinese stock market is closing,
02:40highlighting the existence of golden weeks like that.
02:43Yes, it looks like it's going to close next week, sir.
02:46That's right.
02:47Yes, okay.
02:48You have explained earlier that this is also related to not only the share price,
02:52the rupee today is also tense, even almost approaching back to 15,300.
02:58With various sentiments that you have conveyed earlier, Mr. Didit,
03:02there is still a possibility that the outflow will come out of the domestic market.
03:07So where is the direction of the next joint economic movement?
03:10Is the pressure deep enough, will it continue for the short and medium term?
03:15Okay, for the short term, we see on the chart at 15 minutes,
03:19there is still room for the ISG to move stronger,
03:22at least later to test at the level of 7,568 to 7,580 first.
03:30However, with the passage of the nearest support area, which is at 7,527,
03:36we estimate that this downtrend is still likely to continue,
03:40at least later to test in the range of 7,366 to 7,460.
03:45This time it seems to be quite heavy for the movement of the ISG,
03:49where if we look at the pressures on the emitting and emitting B-Caps,
03:53especially the banks, the outflow is quite large in the movement of the ISG,
03:57some of the periods since yesterday, like that.
04:03Okay, Mr. Didit, in the middle of the weakening of the domestic market today,
04:07earlier it was also mentioned that the B-Cap stock that today is becoming a burden.
04:12I want to go to BBRI first, sir.
04:14BBRI is quite interesting if we pay attention,
04:17it went up high, then released again,
04:21yesterday it also became a support,
04:23today it became a burden again and left a level of 5,000.
04:27Analysis and recommendations?
04:29Okay, for BBRI, if we look at it from September 24th,
04:33it seems to be at the end of the uptrend in the short and medium term.
04:39And we see that the movement of BBRI itself
04:42is still moving in the downtrend phase.
04:46So we, for BBRI itself, recommend Bion Witness in BBRI,
04:51because we see that the selling pressure is still quite large
04:54with the movement of several other indicators,
04:56such as MSCD and Stock Antique, which have not yet shown signs of a downward trend.
05:01Later it can be reflected again for the lowest area today at 4,900,
05:06then the next correction target at 4,740.
05:10Both areas can be used as Bion Witness areas for the BBRI movement itself.
05:15So later, as long as it is still able to be above the stop-loss area or the support at 4,670,
05:21then we expect BBRI to have a chance to test
05:25in the area of ​​5,725 first,
05:28up to 5,400 to get close to the CPF budget.
05:32Okay, from BBRI we move to BMRI, sir.
05:35Today also experienced a fairly deep weakness
05:38and again, unable to maintain its position at the level of 7,000.
05:43Okay, if we look at BMRI, it also seems to be under pressure.
05:47If we look at the four banks that fell into the CAPS,
05:50however, it is still maintained by the MA60.
05:54We also see that on the other hand,
05:57MSCD and Stock Antique have not yet shown signs of a downward trend.
06:01So we expect for BMRI in the short term,
06:04there is still a chance of strengthening,
06:06at least a chance of strengthening from BMRI,
06:09later to test in the area of ​​7,125 to 7,300.
06:14However, as we can see, for the medium term,
06:17there is still a chance or a chance for BMRI to move to correction,
06:22at least test in the area of ​​6,550 to 7,750.
06:27Okay, analysis from several shares of the Pemirsa Big Cap Bank.
06:31We move to the next Big Cap Bank.
06:34There is a trend, sir.
06:35Today is interesting, accompanied by the last of the closure,
06:38back to the green zone.
06:41Mr. Didit, how do you see the reversal that happened
06:44in the brand that previously fell to 6,375 and was closed at 6,975?
06:50Are the investors returning to these shares, sir?
06:54Okay, if we look at the volume,
06:56there was an increase in the volume of purchases
07:00from the brand's movements today.
07:02So on the 1st and 2nd of October,
07:04the volume of purchases increased.
07:07However, we estimate that this brand
07:10can be used as a trading device like that
07:13by maintaining the stop-loss area at 6,350-6,375.
07:18As long as the brand is still able to be above that area,
07:21we estimate that the brand's movements have a chance to strengthen,
07:24at least not test first, the resistance area at 7,425
07:27and the next target at 8,125 to 8,900.
07:32Because if we look at it,
07:34the stop-loss area has started to support
07:36the presence of signs of an increase in the brand's movements.
07:39Okay.
07:40Outside the balance,
07:42there is a big cap share that today
07:45became a barrier for the shareholder's family.
07:48Mr. Didit, some positive-impacted shares
07:52such as the emitting of crude oil,
07:54gold, today experienced significant strength.
07:57I want to go to crude oil first,
07:59Mr. Didit, before we update the closing position of the second session,
08:02will this condition last long?
08:05Or is this just a momentary sentiment?
08:08Okay, if we look at the movement of the crude oil price itself,
08:12it tends to strengthen in today's trade.
08:15It moves at level 71.
08:17Later we can see that
08:19if the price of crude oil itself breaks from level 72,
08:23then we estimate that its strength will tend to continue.
08:28At least later to test at level 75-79.
08:33However, we hope to pay attention to it.
08:35It seems that the sentiment will also follow
08:37with the conditions in the Middle East itself.
08:40Whether this war or conflict will continue
08:43or just for a moment like that.
08:45Okay, just briefly for Medco, sir.
08:47Today, it is fast-moving at 8%, 1,400 closures.
08:51Okay, for Medco itself, we still see
08:53there is a potential for an uptrend.
08:55However, if we look at it, there is a gap in Medco
08:58at 12.95% to 13.30%.
09:01Later it can be observed for Medco itself,
09:04if Medco is able to break back from its resistance area
09:08which is at 14.05%, 14.10%,
09:11then Medco has a chance to continue to 14.25%
09:14up to 14.80%.
09:17Okay, analysis for Medco.
09:19Not only Medco,
09:20other Amiga stocks have a king.
09:22This strengthens above 8%.
09:24Then there is also Elsa.
09:26Today it is also fast-moving above 6%.
09:29And again, the investment decision
09:31is still in the hands of the IDF General.