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00:00The next couple might be a bit of a long shot in this spot.
00:03Steel Sunshine's the Grade 2 Gulfstream Park Mile winner.
00:07But he just doesn't really want to go quite this far,
00:10and I don't know about at this level.
00:11Then you have Vitality, who's the Prince of Wales winner,
00:14one of the Canadian Triple Crown races north of the border.
00:18But again, I think we need to see him jump up at this level
00:21and compete.
00:22Randy, what do we do with Mystic Dan, the Kentucky Derby
00:24winner, who came back and he was so flat in the Malibu?
00:27Do we just use that as a prep race
00:28and think he can shake some of the rust off?
00:30I think you can't use him.
00:31I really don't think you can use him at all.
00:34Coming off the Belmont and the way he ran,
00:36and then after the break when they were encouraged
00:38by the way he was training, he was totally
00:41uncompetitive in the Malibu.
00:43He's going to have to show a lot more in this race for me
00:46to even look at him next time out.
00:48But Saturday, no.
00:49And even if he were to get back to one of his better races,
00:51that's still not even really fast enough
00:53to compete with some of the races
00:55that the best in this race have run.
00:58And with that reputation being a Derby winner,
01:00he'll probably always get bet a little more than he should.
01:02So not really a whole lot of value there with Mystic Dan.
01:06Alexa, you like Skippy Longstocking a little bit,
01:08though, in this spot.
01:09I do.
01:09Timeform US also predicts to be the winner.
01:12Typically, his wins come on the front end
01:15and should, I think, be able to get that position pretty
01:17comfortably against these since there's not
01:19a whole lot of pace.
01:20And like Randy said, you really do
01:22want to be near the front in this race.
01:24Multiple graded stakes winner, but never
01:27been able to lock down that grade one win.
01:30He has run in this race the last two years,
01:32and those are like his two worst performances.
01:34So I don't love that pattern.
01:36But from a fitness, pace, and a figure standpoint,
01:40I think he looks great, especially
01:41at those 10 to 1 odds.
01:43You said the word locked.
01:44That's the next horse in here who will probably
01:45be the betting favorite at post time.
01:47And Randy, this horse was actually
01:48favored in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile at two.
01:51Then he missed most of his three-year-old year,
01:53which was really disappointing.
01:54But when he showed back up, he's
01:56been a little bit bigger, a little bit better,
01:58a little bit more mature, good speed figures.
02:00And now he goes third star to the forum cycle here.
02:03If all things were equal, I would probably give him
02:06a slight edge over Saudi Crown.
02:08I don't like his post position, though.
02:09I think, A, he could lose some ground on the turns
02:13in relation to Saudi Crown.
02:14And B, he might be a little farther back
02:17than you would want him to be in a perfect world
02:20in a race at Gulfstream with a short stretch like the Pikes.
02:23Rounding out the field, Alexa is power squeeze.
02:25She's the lone filly facing the boys.
02:27She is a grade one winner, but she's
02:28a little light on speed figures.
02:30She is.
02:31I mean, multiple grade six winner,
02:33but never run a performance fast enough to contend.
02:36So I'm going to pass.
02:37So as we finish up with the World Cup,
02:40we move to Randy for selections.
02:42I think we're all kind of looking for the horse
02:44down on the inside to control things, Randy.
02:46So we hope that Saudi Crown is going to get out there
02:48and get aggressive.
02:50Yeah, I think that's why I give him the edge.
02:51I think he's got a pace advantage.
02:53He's got a good post position for that kind of a style.
02:56He's 9 to 2 in the program.
02:58If he's even 4 to 1 or 7 to 2, I think
03:01he's a really, really good value play.
03:04I think Locke will come along for second.
03:06And underneath him and all the exotics,
03:09I'm going to stick Krupi in there, Stronghold in there,
03:13maybe throw a little Mixtos and Skippy Longstocking in there
03:17too.
03:17But I think the big two are Saudi Crown and Locke.