Saham Penopang IHSG Kian Dekati 7.100
"Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Program Power Breakfast, Jumat (01/12/2023) dengan Tema Saham Penopang IHSG Kian Dekati 7.100".
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00:00 The IHSG's stock price on Thursday was close to 7,100, and it was supported by some stocks such as Telkom, Goto and Cuan.
00:08 The IHSG's stock price on Thursday was close to 7,100.
00:17 The IHSG's stock price on Thursday was 25 trillion rupiah and its volume was 32 billion units.
00:25 The IHSG's stock price on Thursday was close to 7,100.
00:36 The IHSG's stock price on Thursday was close to 7,100.
00:54 Which stock is worth to be the next investment?
00:58 Let's see in the next market buzz.
01:02 The IHSG's stock price on Thursday was close to 7,100 with a strength of 0.6%.
01:20 The IHSG's stock price on Thursday was close to 7,100.
01:28 The IHSG's stock price on Thursday was close to 7,100.
01:36 The IHSG's stock price on Thursday was close to 7,100.
01:42 Thank you for your time, Mr. Roni. We are in December now. The IHSG's stock price on Thursday was close to 7,100.
01:55 What do you think about the IHSG's stock price?
01:59 We think the IHSG's stock price is quite reliable since the last week, although it tends to be more variable.
02:10 But we saw in the last trading session on 30th of November, it formed an upper shadow.
02:17 It will be a signal that the majority of investors realized their profits.
02:25 But we have a window dressing in December that will be used by some investors.
02:32 Moreover, our dollar strength for the past three consecutive days has been at 15,430-5,500 USD.
02:43 So, if we look at the volume of transactions on 30th of November, our IHSG is quite liquid.
02:49 It means that the trust of investors has started to increase along with the window dressing.
02:56 We can see that the transaction volume has been at 25.22 trillion since 17th of October.
03:06 The transaction volume was the highest since then.
03:08 If we calculate, the IHSG's volume in November was at 4.87%.
03:16 But what's more interesting is the infrastructure.
03:22 We can see that the government's budget for infrastructure has increased in 2024.
03:28 So, this will be a positive catalyst for the infrastructure sector.
03:32 It will be one of the movers in the IHSG that can reach 7,100 level.
03:40 Okay, so liquidity and momentum can still support the market until the end of December?
03:47 Yes, there is still potential for liquidity.
03:51 So, investors should be more careful, but there is still momentum.
03:55 So, investors will probably be more cautious in the 7040 level for the support for the IHSG.
04:04 It will be the right momentum for the entry where the window dressing will arrive and continue to rally.
04:11 So, in the 7040 level, there will be a correction?
04:16 Yes, we will wait for the correction in 7040 level.
04:20 Okay, has there been any changes made by the people to target at the end of the year?
04:25 From the transaction value and volume that you said was quite liquid,
04:31 is there any change? Maybe the initial target was only 7,100, but now it's up or how about the end of 2023?
04:37 We think it's still consistent at 7,100 because that's the highest level.
04:43 It's a challenge for the IHSG, especially in 2024, there will be a little caution in investing.
04:53 I think the level is quite rational this year at 7,100, it still makes sense.
04:59 Okay, still 7,100, right?
05:02 Some of the stocks that supported the IHSG to 7,100 yesterday are
05:09 BBCA, Telkom, Goto, MDKA, BBNI, you can see there on the screen,
05:14 there are 10 that we listed, AMRT, Brand, BRPT, Cuan, and also Calbe Pharma.
05:20 These are the stocks that supported the IHSG to 7,100.
05:26 Okay, from the people, which of the 10 stocks seems to be supported by the people?
05:34 Okay, thank you. So the first thing we pay attention to is the mineral security,
05:39 which is indeed a report on the financials in the third quarter,
05:43 because it is affected by the export permit.
05:46 So when the export permit was given, it lasted until May 2024,
05:51 I think security still needs to be respected, technically it is still interesting,
05:56 and foreign companies are also routinely accumulating.
06:00 Because it is safe for the trade yesterday to enter into a weakness
06:03 and become a supporter of the weakness of the joint stock price index.
06:06 We will hold on to the next segment for the supporters to go down.
06:10 We will go to the one that goes up first.
06:12 If what we record from the data from the people's stock is that the input is Telkom,
06:17 then there is Cuan and also Goto, right?
06:21 Yes, that's right.
06:23 Okay, we go to the first one, please.
06:26 Yes, first there is Telkom, Mr. Prisha.
06:28 Here, Telkom is still technically interesting to look at,
06:32 because it has just rebounded in the last few months.
06:36 But here Telkom still has indications to be corrected at level 3,720,
06:41 it will be an area by-on weakness than Telkom.
06:45 Overall, it will still increase because we know this is entering the infrastructure sector
06:51 which is quite optimistic at 3,820 with an upside of around 3% to 4%.
06:57 Okay, from the market cap, it's Rp 372.5 trillion,
07:02 the pair is 14 times, the share this month has increased by 4%.
07:07 What is your main highlight fundamentally that is interesting from Telkom?
07:11 Telkom in terms of valuation is still interesting,
07:14 although it is actually more likely to be in the area of ​​not being said undervalued,
07:20 but the overvalue is not too significant,
07:22 where the pair is 14 with the PPP at 2x.
07:26 I think this is still quite good,
07:28 moreover, technically, Telkom has just crossed with the EMA20
07:33 with a fairly significant spike volume,
07:35 around 3 times the average transaction for an average of 20 days.
07:39 Okay, if Telkom, we see the pair is still at 14x,
07:43 if the ISAT has reached 20.67x, so you see that this is still okay.
07:49 Okay, we leave Telkom, we switch to the next pair you chose
07:54 based on the data we collected, which is Cuan.
07:57 Yes, correct.
07:59 What is interesting about this Cuan pair?
08:01 With the market cap of Rp 99 trillion,
08:04 the pair is 424x and has increased by 65% in one month.
08:11 So, Cuan is still interesting here,
08:15 because it is still consistent with the strong uptrend and moving above the EMA20.
08:19 Technically, the volume also tends to increase over the span of a week.
08:24 But here what needs to be paid attention to is the strategy,
08:27 the swing trading strategy in the next few days.
08:30 By taking advantage of the end of the year,
08:32 I think Cuan will correct at the end of the year,
08:36 but the investor will be able to take advantage of it.
08:40 The current swing is at the highest area, around Rp 8,825,
08:45 with a volume that is also above average.
08:47 This is interesting to pay attention to because the potential to touch the external P/E level is 2.618,
08:53 precisely at the level of Rp 9,250, with a fairly tight risk limit.
08:58 Because this is a high risk trend, it is a strong uptrend,
09:00 the risk limit is at Rp 8,600.
09:04 Cuan can be used in a fairly short timeframe, ending this year.
09:11 Okay, just short, the timeframe, or the time frame.
09:16 With the range, at what level, Mr. Ronny?
09:19 With the range at the last price, with the buy area at Rp 8,825,
09:26 with the target price at Rp 9,250,
09:30 the potential to touch the external P/E level is at Rp 2,618, with a risk limit.
09:34 At the support level, if we look at the 5-minute timeframe, it is exactly at Rp 8,600.
09:40 Okay, one more thing, what about Gotoh?
09:43 Okay, for Gotoh, it will be one of the move force for the technology sector.
09:48 Moreover, the rumor is that next year the decline of the flowering season
09:52 will have a positive impact on the technology industry,
09:57 and if the flowering season continues, it will be celebrated by the technology sector.
10:00 Gotoh is consistently moving strong uptrend, and there is an indication from Repersal,
10:06 of course it will test the ball level first at Rp 100,000.
10:09 When Gotoh succeeds in breaking out in the Rp 100,000 area with a significant volume,
10:14 then I think Gotoh's next target is at Rp 105,000.
10:18 It is not impossible, Gotoh will return to Rp 120,000 with momentum in 2024.
10:25 Okay, compared to Cuan, Gotoh's timeframe can be a bit longer, right?
10:30 Yes, it can be longer.
10:32 Okay, but if you look at the pair, it is -9 times,
10:35 and actually if some of the technology emitters in the Indonesian business sector,
10:38 the pair is usually -9 times.
10:40 What is your take on this -9 times?
10:45 I think what is the main boost for Gotoh is the sentiment
10:49 that it will collaborate with TikTok, I think that will be the main boost
10:54 for Gotoh, apart from the pair and PBV.
10:57 I think Gotoh has been doing efficiency for the financial report since last year,
11:03 but at least it is not deeper.
11:05 It means that Gotoh's commitment to a fairly long time is excessive,
11:10 there is a sentiment that it will collaborate with TikTok.
11:13 Okay, it has risen by 37% in one month, what is the best strategy?
11:20 The best strategy can be seen in the last price, at 97, with the first target at 105,
11:26 then the target that is quite optimistic, I think at 120 to 130.
11:31 Okay, that's the recommendation for Gotoh,
11:33 the pairs that support the Sam Gabungan price index approaching 7,100 in the last trade,
11:39 where there are 10 that we show, 3 of which are evaluated by the people,
11:43 are worthy of being honored.
11:45 How about the ones that are the supporters?
11:48 These are also worthy of being honored.
11:50 We have finished the Jeda Pariwara, stay with us in the market bus segment.
11:54 Because we are optimistic that the IHSG will be able to reach 7,100 by the end of this year,
11:59 and it is getting closer,
12:01 yesterday it was tested, the IHSG was above 7,100,
12:05 so we will discuss the pairs that became its supporters in the trade yesterday.
12:08 We have discussed the ones that became the weak supporters,
12:12 or still weighed the IHSG to 7,100 yesterday,
12:16 the 10 that became its supporters are AM, MN, which is the most dominant,
12:20 7% became its supporters,
12:22 then BBRI fell 0.5%,
12:25 INCO, ASII, UNTR, BUMi,
12:28 then there is INKP, BOGA, MEDCO, and also BBJB became its supporters.
12:32 Those are the pairs that became the weak supporters of the IHSG to 7,100.
12:37 And supporters, we will discuss again about the pairs that became its supporters
12:43 with Roni or Asfa Roni Henrana Suin, a shareholder analysis.
12:48 Roni, from the weighting pairs, you said AM, MN,
12:53 but actually AM, MN was weak, 7%, how is it?
12:57 AM, MN, in a fairly wide time frame,
13:02 is still in an uptrend condition,
13:04 even though this morning it was said to be weak,
13:07 but I think there is still a potential to continue the rally,
13:12 it is possible.
13:13 Looking at the volume of transactions, there are sellers dominating here,
13:16 but if we look at a smaller time frame,
13:19 there is actually a kind of investor using the weakness moment to make purchases.
13:26 So I think the sentiment towards the export permit for AM, MN will again be a positive catalyst.
13:35 So making a profit in the next few days,
13:40 the foreign companies have started to make a profit.
13:43 But if we calculate, for AM, MN since September 11,
13:47 foreign transactions or foreign companies have always accumulated since September 11,
13:53 reaching 2.4 trillion.
13:55 Although today and yesterday became a catalyst,
13:57 I think it is still quite optimistic towards AM, MN.
14:00 Okay, AM, MN, we will present the fundamental information,
14:06 the cap is 522 trillion rupiah, the pair is 403 times,
14:10 for a month it has been 4%,
14:12 and yes, there is no need to discuss the increase since this IPO,
14:16 there are already a lot of such, right, Mr. Ronny?
14:18 But there is still a chance, Mr. Ronny,
14:20 even though the pair is 403 times, isn't it too premium for retail?
14:25 I think there is still a chance,
14:29 now the only thing that adjusts is the size of the portfolio.
14:34 So if it turns out that some retail investors consider it too premium,
14:38 I think the portion is more adjusted, so don't be too all in.
14:42 So we only take advantage of the moment, the sentiment,
14:44 open it or give permission to export activities.
14:48 Moreover, foreign accumulation is quite massive, I see, since September 11.
14:52 So it is more adjusted to the entry portion only,
14:55 not too big, maybe, more to diversification only.
14:59 Okay, AM, MN, although yesterday it dropped 7%,
15:03 it means it is accumulated,
15:04 it means that when it dropped, it was an accumulation of buying, not a net sale.
15:08 This morning, the opening of the trade,
15:10 since it has been opened for more than 4 minutes,
15:12 9.00 AM, more than 4 minutes, at the time of the West Indonesia premiere,
15:14 I observed AM, MN dropped 9% to 6,575.
15:18 What opportunities can be used from the AM, MN price range,
15:24 or AMAN Mineral, Mr. Ronny?
15:26 I think we will pay attention to AMAN Mineral at level 6,000,
15:32 hopefully, it will not be corrected to 6,000.
15:35 But even if tomorrow, Monday, next week, it will continue,
15:39 I think it is the best price from AMAN Mineral.
15:43 When in these two days, it dropped significantly,
15:47 with the profit rating, I think it is no longer necessary for AMAN to drop or weaken in the next quarter.
15:53 So if we look at the usual from AMAN Mineral since November 20 to November 23,
16:00 the price dropped little by little, the profit rating was little by little,
16:03 but when the decline in two days was quite significant,
16:06 I think in two days, we can already pay attention,
16:10 in the next day, we can already enter for AMAN Mineral at level 6,000.
16:15 So the round level will be a psychological level, rather than AMAN Mineral.
16:19 Okay, that's it for AMAN Mineral's stock,
16:22 here are the stock options, among which AMAN Mineral,
16:25 Buy on Weakness, we just discussed,
16:28 then Telkom Buy on Weakness, we have also discussed,
16:30 Cuan Buy, and also Gotoh with AMAN Mineral support,
16:34 6,725, resistance 7,850,
16:37 Telkom 3,680, resistance 3,850,
16:41 Cuan 8,600, resistance 9,250,
16:45 Gotoh 92, with resistance 105.
16:49 We return the investment decision to you, Mr. Mirsa.
16:55 Update and information about the opening of our trade,
16:58 will be available in the Market Bus segment.
17:01 Thank you for coming back to the Market Bus, Mr. Mirsa.
17:05 The IASG is currently at 7,036, or down 0.62%,
17:09 as you can see on the screen.
17:11 After yesterday at 7,080,
17:14 in the morning, at exactly 9 o'clock, Mr. Mirsa,
17:17 it was 7,100, but finally experienced a profit taking action,
17:22 which was at 7,037, with the exchange rate of Rupiah
17:25 against the US dollar also weakening, 15,524.
17:29 Next is the stock market, which is the top gainers
17:33 based on value, or in terms of valuation,
17:36 is Gotoh, Mr. Mirsa, which experienced a boost,
17:39 then there is SII, BBYB, MDKA, STRK, NICL, BMTR,
17:44 and also number 8, there is FREN.
17:47 Losers are still AMAN, then there is Brand,
17:51 there is AYAM, NATO, ARTO, PGEO, BRPT, ICBP,
17:54 and the position still experienced a change, Mr. Mirsa,
17:58 as the first session of the trading opening.
18:02 Okay, we will talk again with Mr. Roni,
18:06 who is an analyst from the IASG's public stock,
18:11 as you said earlier, if it's 7,040,
18:14 you said there might be a profit taking, right?
18:18 Is it still normal for 7,030 right now?
18:21 I think it's still normal,
18:24 because it's the highest area since September 22,
18:27 it will be a strong support for IASG,
18:30 because it has been tested twice,
18:33 around the beginning of September and the end of September.
18:38 I think our IASG will last from 7,030 to 7,040,
18:43 I think it's still okay,
18:46 and yesterday, even though it increased,
18:48 there were some foreign investors who did profit taking,
18:51 it seems there was a net sale of around hundreds of billions,
18:55 if I'm not mistaken, but the majority tend to strengthen.
18:58 Okay, we saw earlier that Gotoh is still the top volume stock,
19:03 this morning at position 100, up 3%,
19:06 you said there is still a chance to target for Gotoh up to 105, right?
19:11 Yes, the optimism is at 105,
19:15 the closest target is 102 for Gotoh,
19:17 I think Gotoh has a high volume of transactions,
19:21 it's also a mover for IASG,
19:23 it's also a holder,
19:25 so for Gotoh, I think it's still worth to be tested,
19:29 it's already close to level 100,
19:31 the entry is 99 or 100, I think it's still okay,
19:34 with target 102, with upside around 3%,
19:37 with the optimism at level 105.
19:39 Okay, that's it, analysis and recommendations this morning,
19:44 hopefully it can be a reference for you, Ronny.
19:46 Thank you for sharing the information,
19:48 good morning, see you again.
19:50 Thank you.
19:52 (high-pitched tone)
19:55 [BLANK_AUDIO]