• 2 months ago
Tropical Storm “Kristine” (international name “Trami”) slightly accelerated and is poised to make landfall in Isabela on Wednesday evening, Oct. 23, said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

In the PAGASA’s 11 a.m. bulletin, the center of Kristine was located 200 kilometers east of Casiguran, Aurora, or 255 kilometers east of Baler, Aurora.

READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/10/23/kristine-accelerates-to-make-landfall-in-a-few-hours

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Transcript
00:00So, here in the latest satellite image animation, we can see that the center of the tropical storm, Christine, is still offshore or at sea.
00:09But its thick cloud, since yesterday, is affecting many parts of Luzon, some parts of Visayas, and Mindanao.
00:18Earlier this morning, the center of the tropical storm, Christine, is estimated to be only 255 kilometers away,
00:24east of Valer, Aurora.
00:26This storm has a strong wind that reaches up to 85 kilometers per hour,
00:31which is close to its center.
00:32The tornado, on the other hand, reaches up to 105 kilometers per hour.
00:36So now, it is moving in the direction of north-northwest, at a speed of 30 kilometers per hour.
00:41Because of the current situation, location, and strength of the storm,
00:45Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 2 is high here in the areas highlighted in yellow on our map.
00:52The areas of Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Apayao, Abra, Calinga, Mountain Province, Ipugao, Benguet,
01:02the area with Boboyan Island, Isabela, Quirinon, Nueva Vizcaya, and Aurora.
01:07Also here in Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Zambales, Bataan.
01:14And here in Metro Manila, the warning signal No. 2 is also high.
01:18Also in Cabite, Laguna, Rizal, Saquezon, Pulilo Island, Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay,
01:26and here in the northeastern portion of Sorsogon.
01:30So the areas with warning signal No. 2 will continue to experience harsh weather.
01:35When we say harsh weather, it is rain that can still cause floods,
01:40especially in low-lying areas or low-lying areas.
01:43When it comes to communities near rivers, it is possible for water levels to rise due to continuous rain.
01:50When it comes to landslides in areas near the foot of mountains, especially if it rains for several days in their area.
01:57Meanwhile, the wind signal No. 1 is high in areas highlighted by light blue.
02:02In Batanes, Batangas, Occidental Mindoro, Lubang Island, Oriental Mindoro,
02:10Marinduque, Sarumblon, Calamian Island, which is part of Sorsogon,
02:15in Masbate, Tikau, and Burias Island.
02:18Warning signal No. 1 is also high in Bisayas area, Aklan, Capiz, Antique, Caluya Island, Iloilo, Guimaras.
02:26Here in the northern portion of Negros Occidental and northern portion of Negros Oriental,
02:31northern and central portion of Cebu, together with Bantayan Island and Camotes Island.
02:36In Bohol, Eastern Samar, Northern Samar, Samar, Leyte, Biliran, and Southern Leyte.
02:43Warning signal No. 1 is also high in Mindanao area, particularly in Dinagat Island,
02:48Surigao Del Norte, together with Siargao and Bucas Grande group.
02:52In areas with warning signal No. 1, it is possible for continuous rain and wind.
02:57And as we mentioned earlier, in areas with warning signal No. 2,
03:01there are still chances of flooding and landslides.
03:04While the wind can destroy different structures, houses made of materials,
03:10some types of buildings can collapse, power poles can also collapse.
03:16So to our countrymen who are here in areas with warning signals No. 2 and 1,
03:21we have been giving news for a few days,
03:23I hope that in these hours, they have packed their supplies for the next two days
03:29and continue to inform their local government and local DRO officials
03:34for continuous disaster preparedness and mitigation measures.
03:37And as much as possible, today, tomorrow, and until Friday,
03:41stay inside your homes if there is nothing important to do,
03:45if we can avoid going out, to avoid the dangers of the upcoming typhoon Sea Christine.
03:52Now, what are we expecting from this typhoon?
03:56When will it landfall?
03:58So this is the current location of the typhoon Sea Christine.
04:01It is still offshore or in the center, still in the ocean.
04:05But as we have shown earlier, its thick clouds cover the entire Luzon,
04:09many parts of Visayas, and some parts of Mindanao.
04:12We expect that possibly later tonight, it will be upgraded or it will increase even more,
04:18possibly severe tropical storm category before it lands here in the Maybandang Isabela area.
04:25But let's repeat, the area probability shows that there are still possible scenarios
04:32that we will not rule out.
04:34That somewhere over the Cagayan or possibly the northern part of Aurora,
04:40a typhoon may landfall, in the center of the typhoon.
04:43So this area of Cagayan, Isabela, and Aurora should be prepared for a possible landfall scenario.
04:49And the areas that we mentioned that have warning signals number 2 and 1,
04:54should be prepared for the upcoming typhoon.
04:58We expect that from later tonight until tomorrow morning,
05:03the center of the typhoon Sea Christine will pass through the northern Luzon area.
05:08And even though the center will pass through the northern Luzon area,
05:11we expect that we will still have a chance in some parts,
05:15some areas, central and southern Luzon and some parts of Visayas,
05:19that will still be affected by the typhoon.
05:21So not only the three areas that I mentioned earlier should be prepared for the first possible landfall,
05:26but let me repeat, all areas that have warning signals.
05:30And then we will look at the forecast track,
05:33possibly on the upcoming Friday, almost in the northwestern boundary of our air responsibility,
05:39Friday morning.
05:41And possible, Friday afternoon until night, this will continue to come out of our air responsibility.
05:47But because the typhoon is so wide, even though it comes out of the par on the upcoming Friday,
05:53we are still possible to have a warning signal here in the western section of the northern and central Luzon.
05:58So our countrymen, let's look forward to our three-hourly update on the typhoon Sea Christine
06:03because we expect that it is possible to have a landfall and that this typhoon will pass.
06:08Now, on the upcoming Saturday morning, this will continue to move away from the boundary of our air responsibility
06:14and even though we expect this to develop into a typhoon category,
06:19we expect that it will continue to move here in either the southern part of China or towards the Vietnam area.
06:27So our forecast track remains the same, almost the same scenario,
06:32but I repeat, every three hours we will give an update.
06:36If there will be a change in movement, intensity,
06:39it is possible that there will also be a change in the warning signal
06:42and what we expect, rain and strong winds, in the areas I will mention in the next slides of this presentation.
06:49In terms of rain, what do we expect?
06:52Today, we expect rain that is possible to reach more than 200 mm
06:57in Cagayan, Isabela, Apayao, Aurora, Quezon, Catanduanes, Camarines North and Camarines Sur.
07:04Meanwhile, heavy to intense rains today,
07:06Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Region, Rizal, Albay and Sorsogon.
07:15Moderate to heavy rains today, Central Luzon, Calabar Zone, Metro Manila, Occidental and Oriental Mindoro,
07:24Marinduque, Romblon, Calamian Island, Masbate and Northern Samar.
07:29Tomorrow, we expect more than 200 mm of rain.
07:34Intense to torrential, Pangasinan, Zambales and La Union.
07:38Moderate to heavy rains, heavy to intense in Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region and Bataan.
07:45Moderate to heavy rains, Tarlac, Pampanga, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Cavite, Batangas and Occidental Mindoro.
07:53On Friday, we expect, even though we don't expect heavy to intense or torrential rains,
08:00we still expect moderate to heavy rains in Pangasinan, Zambales and La Union.
08:05So, let's repeat the reminder.
08:07In the areas we mentioned, it is possible to experience this amount of rain.
08:11It is possible to experience flooding in low-lying areas,
08:14flooding in communities near the riverside,
08:18and landslides in areas near the mountains.
08:23Meanwhile, it is possible to experience strong winds.
08:28Aside from tropical cyclone wind signals 2 and 1,
08:32there are also areas outside the warning area where it is possible to experience strong winds.
08:37Today, Mimaropa, Visayas and Mindanao.
08:39Tomorrow, in Mimaropa, Bicol Region, Visayas, Basilan, Sulu-Tawi-Tawi,
08:45Zamboanga del Norte, Lanao del Sur, Northern Mindanao, Dinagat Island,
08:50Surigao del Norte, Dabao del Sur and Dabao Oriental.
08:53Meanwhile, in the area of Bienes, it is expected to experience strong winds.
08:57In Mimaropa, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Negros Occidental, Zamboanga del Norte, Basilan, Sulu and Tawi-Tawi.
09:05Strong winds can cause landslides,
09:10damage to houses made of light materials,
09:15and can cause power outages.
09:18So, that is what we should remember.
09:21From today until tomorrow, as much as possible, stay indoors.
09:26Because landslides, for example,
09:29can cause power outages.
09:34And then also, landslides, debris from damaged houses
09:40can also cause damage to our countrymen.
09:43Now, in terms of storm surge,
09:49when there is an approaching storm,
09:51the storm surge is usually experienced in coastal areas
09:55exposed to incoming storms.
09:57We can see here, highlighted in yellow,
10:00Kamarines Sur, Birak,
10:03Orange in Pulilo Island,
10:06Quezon, Aurora, Isabela,
10:09Cagayan, and some parts of Babuyan Island.
10:12And yellow in Ilocos Region,
10:14as well as here in the Sambales area.
10:17It is possible to experience a storm surge
10:20as a result of an upcoming storm.
10:22So, as much as possible, to our countrymen,
10:25even if you have a small sea vehicle,
10:27do not allow it to cross any of these areas.
10:31Especially in seas with a warning signal.
10:34Stay onshore first.
10:36And wait for the storm to pass before we cross again.
10:40And like what we said,
10:42every three hours, we will give an update on Christine's storm,
10:46be it on our forecast rains and strong winds,
10:49and sea condition.
10:50Our next Tropical Cyclone Bulletin will be released later at 2 PM.
10:54Meanwhile, our next live press briefing will be released later at 5 PM.
11:00That is the latest from the Pagasa Weather Forecasting Center.
11:03Good day to all of you.

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