This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next 10 days 29/01/2025.
High pressure builds as we go to February but there could still be some wet and windy weather in the northwest.
Bringing you this 10 day weather forecast is Honor Criswick.
High pressure builds as we go to February but there could still be some wet and windy weather in the northwest.
Bringing you this 10 day weather forecast is Honor Criswick.
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NewsTranscript
00:00Hello and welcome to this week's 10-day trend. It's felt like the beginning of the year has
00:05been largely wet and windy, but a change is on its way. It's not going to be straight
00:09away and it's not quite going to be everywhere. To start off though, let's take a look at
00:14the bigger picture. So for the beginning of the week, it's largely been low pressure dominating
00:18the weather. There's been lots of dry weather around here on Wednesday, but lots of wet
00:22and windy weather as a result of this area of low pressure just to the south, bringing
00:25quite a wet day across Channel Islands and southern counties. But once that drifts away,
00:31that does allow a ridge of high pressure to stretch across the country. So that means
00:34Thursday is actually going to be largely dry and settled, lots of sunshine around. They
00:39can't rule out a few pesky showers, particularly around coastal areas of the north. I'm afraid
00:44this ridge of high pressure is fairly brief though. We've still got a good cold plume
00:48stretching across parts of North America and that's really driving our jet stream as it
00:54meanders into the Atlantic, largely moving northwards, so dragging areas of low pressure
00:59towards Greenland and Iceland. But that does still allow them to sweep in some frontal
01:03systems, particularly to the northwest of the country, where it's largely going to be
01:06wet and windy towards the end of the week. And then we almost end up with a bit of a
01:11battleground between this wet and windy weather towards the northwest. That's moving up against
01:15this area of high pressure down towards the southeast. And then as we head into February,
01:22that really makes a difference as to what's going to happen with our weather. It really
01:26depends on this location of the high pressure. And it could be the difference between something
01:29quite cold compared to something above average for the time of year. More on that in a moment
01:35though. Firstly, let's take a look at Thursday. So as that ridge of high pressure builds,
01:40that means there's going to be plenty of clear skies overnight. So a chilly night ahead,
01:44likely to see quite a widespread frost. Also some icy stretches, particularly across Northern
01:48Ireland and parts of Scotland. So do take care if you're out and about during the early
01:52hours of the morning. But it should brighten up nicely through the course of the day. Plenty
01:56of sunshine and dry weather. As I said earlier, they can't rule out a few showers, particularly
02:01towards the northeast of Scotland. Quite a brisk breeze here, too. So that's really going
02:05to take the edge off the temperatures here. Also, some showers merging into longer spells
02:09of rain across parts of Shetland. Also, the odd shower around northwestern coasts of Scotland,
02:15northwestern parts of England and northern parts of Wales, too. But for the most part,
02:18a dry day, plenty of sunshine around and temperatures around about average for the
02:22time of year. But as I say, perhaps feeling just a little bit chillier to the northeast
02:26of Scotland. Then behind me, you can see this frontal system edging its way in from the
02:32west. By the time we reach Friday morning, that slowly shifted its way towards the southeast.
02:36So it's going to be quite a wet start, particularly across parts of the south, central parts of
02:41England, also parts of Lincolnshire and Yorkshire can see quite a wet start. This will eventually
02:46drift its way further southeastwards, affecting parts of East Anglia, Sussex and Kent, parts
02:51of the southeast through the course of the morning. But behind it, it's still going to
02:55leave plenty of clouds, still even some odd spots of drizzle, particularly around hilly
03:00areas. But it's not all doom and gloom. We should also see some brighter weather, particularly
03:05across Northern Ireland, northern and northeastern parts of Scotland, also southern parts of
03:09Wales. Devon and Cornwall should start to see some sunshine by the time we reach the
03:13afternoon temperatures once again around about average for the time of year, perhaps
03:17not something slightly milder just to the southwest. Now, once again, you can see behind
03:22me another frontal system. So another area of cloud and rain starting to edge its way
03:27in from the west. But the difference is this time this one doesn't move its way too far
03:31inland. That's as it's pushing up against that area of high pressure that showed you
03:34earlier towards the southeast. Still, though, it is going to bring some thicker areas of
03:39cloud, perhaps even some rain just edging into western parts of Scotland and some fairly
03:43blustery winds as it moves into the northwest, too. But elsewhere, it should be largely dry.
03:48There is still going to be plenty of cloud around, so quite a murky start to the day.
03:52That's away from the southeast, though we could see a fair amount of sunshine here that
03:55will build through the course of the day. And we could also see the cloud break up at
03:59times, giving some brighter spells. And it is going to be largely dry, though that frontal
04:03system still continues to slowly edge its way in from the west and turning very blustery
04:07here, too. It's also bringing in some slightly milder air for western parts of Scotland,
04:12Northern Ireland, but elsewhere, once again, those temperatures around about average. Then
04:18as we head into the second half of the weekend, it does still move its way southeastwards.
04:24This is the same frontal system. So once again, quite a wet start across parts of Scotland,
04:29northwestern parts of England and Wales and parts of the very far southeast. This rain
04:32could be a little bit heavy at times, too, as it edges its way inwards. Also, once again,
04:36those very blustery winds moving through a chance we could even see some gales across
04:40the far northwest of Scotland. Once again, slowly trying to move its way towards the
04:45southeast, but it doesn't really move very far as it pushes up against the high pressure.
04:50So it rather stalls across northwestern parts of England and Wales. But the rain largely
04:55starting to fizzle out as it moves its way southeastward. So once again, some drips and
04:59drabs of rain and drizzle, but largely just an area of cloud. But to the far northwest
05:04away from this system, once again, things should start to brighten up during the course
05:07of the afternoon across Northern Ireland, western parts of Wales. But still, once again,
05:11very blustery here. And also, once again, across parts of East Anglia, Sussex and Kent,
05:16we could start to see some brighter weather before that frontal system moves through.
05:20Temperatures once again around about average, but likely feeling a little bit chillier under
05:23those cloudier skies. Then what about after that? Well, the frontal system I just showed
05:29you eventually moves its way towards the southeast. And then once again, we start to
05:34see this bit of a battleground between the northwest system, wet and windy weather moving
05:38in here, battling up against this area of high pressure across central and southern
05:42parts of the UK. So it's sort of a twist between low pressure and high pressure. But which
05:47one wins out? Well, taking a look at the stacked bar chart here, we can see more blue colours
05:53at the start of the period. That's a flavour of low pressure of some sort. And then as
05:58we head further into February, we can see more of these reds and these yellows and that
06:02indicates high pressure dominating. But as I say, it does really depend on whereabouts
06:07the high pressure sits and what kind of weather conditions we'll see. So it could look something
06:12like this by the time we reach Wednesday. So high pressure largely sitting to the south.
06:16So once again, lots of fine and dry weather across central and southern parts of the UK.
06:21But I'm afraid it's a fairly cold high. So we could see some pockets of frost, even some
06:25fog where we see the more settled conditions. And across the far northwest, that's once
06:30again where we've drawn the short straw, some wet and windy weather also likely here across
06:35the northwest of Scotland, perhaps northwestern parts of Northern Ireland. Then as we head
06:41towards the end of next week, as I say, it's really dependent on whereabouts that high
06:45pressure sits. Now, this is the most favoured solution. So once again, that area of high
06:50pressure staying to the south of the UK. So that means it is going to be wet and windy
06:54to the northwest, but still seeing something slightly milder here across southern and central
06:59parts of the UK. Temperatures around about average, if not slightly below. But it is
07:04going to be largely settled. It doesn't mean glorious sunshine throughout the whole throughout
07:09the whole time, but it should be largely dry away from the far northwest. There's also
07:15another option, not the favoured solution, I might add, but that's with an area of high
07:20pressure over Scandinavia and that drags in some easterly winds. So that means at this
07:26time of the year, quite cold conditions, perhaps even some flurries of snow if we see any showers
07:31move through. As I say, it's not the favoured solution, but there is a chance we could see
07:36something colder on the cards as we head into the first week of February. As I say, it's
07:42not the favoured solution. At the moment, it does look like high pressure sat to the
07:45south, so something slightly milder, but perhaps below average across central and southern
07:50parts of the UK. And there's also another solution, 9% chance of that area of high pressure
07:55slightly further south. So that's going to be dragging in the wet and windy weather across
08:00a more widespread area of the UK and also something slightly milder. But as I say, as
08:04it stands, it looks like the area of high pressure to the south. So milder, yes, across
08:09the northwest, wet and windy here, but largely settled across the south. As I say, could
08:15still be a fair amount of cloud around, some fog and also some frost at times too. So high
08:20pressure building in for February, yes, but as I say, it's not going to be quite everywhere.
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08:30channel. Otherwise, that's it from me. Bye bye.