Public Weather Forecast by The Manila Times - Dailymotion

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00:00I am Benison Estareja, and we have an update regarding the severe tropical storm Christine, with international name Trami, as of 5 in the morning, Friday.

00:15We are now in the West Philippines, and this is the latest forecast.

00:19125 kilometers north of La Union.

00:23Maximum sustained winds of 95 kilometers per hour near its center.

00:28And gustiness up to 115 kilometers per hour.

00:32Partly, the storm is speeding away from our land.

00:3525 kilometers per hour fast.

00:37West-northwest.

00:38As seen in our latest satellite animation, this thick cloud is still associated with the storm Christine, especially in the western sections of Luzon.

00:47While the scattered rains are still expected in the remaining parts of Luzon and Visayas.

00:53This is the latest track regarding the storm Christine.

00:56It is expected that it is still moving away from our land in the next 12 hours.

01:00And it is possible that the Philippine Area of Responsibility will be released later this afternoon.

01:05However, knowing that it is still close to our land, and the storm Christine is wide, around 700 to 750 kilometers.

01:14Its radius and width is 1,400 kilometers.

01:18It is possible that we will still have wind signals, and a large part of Luzon will still be affected by our next bulletins.

01:26It is expected that there will still be a severe tropical storm as it moves away from our land.

01:30However, based on our latest track, it is possible that it will move away by Sunday and Monday.

01:36Then by Monday, while it is in the east of Central Vietnam, the direction will be released.

01:42There will be a looping back to our land in the direction of Luzon.

01:46And we are still not ruling out that it will enter our Philippine Area of Responsibility again.

01:52It is expected that there will be a severe tropical storm while it is in the ocean.

01:57And the impact of the storm Christine is influenced by another storm that is outside our bar.

02:05As of 4 in the morning, our Tropical Depression that we are monitoring,

02:08in the east of Mindanao, is 2,440 kilometers away from the east of Eastern Visayas.

02:14As of 4 in the morning, it is 55 kilometers per hour and 70 kilometers per hour.

02:22The low-pressure area in its north is more than 2,500 kilometers east of Visayas.

02:29And eventually, because this is a low-chance storm,

02:32it is possible that it will become a trough or part of the Tropical Depression.

02:36It is expected that from now until the weekend, it will move closer to our land

02:42and the Tropical Depression will get stronger.

02:46Based on our latest Tropical Cyclone Threat Potential forecast,

02:51it is possible that by the weekend, the Philippine Area of Responsibility will enter the Tropical Depression.

02:57And if ever there is a storm, we will call it the Lion Storm.

03:02It is possible that by then, it will be a tropical storm or a severe tropical storm

03:06and it is expected to move west-northwest or up to the left.

03:11It will reach the Philippine Sea early next week.

03:18Starting from Wednesday next week until the weekend,

03:21it will move slowly along the coast of the extreme northern zone.

03:25It will recurve and move up to the eastern part of Taiwan

03:29and the Philippine Area of Responsibility will exit by the end of the first week of November.

03:35We can see by this time, the influence of the return or looping of the Philippine Cyclone Christine

03:40to the approaching of the Lion Storm.

03:43If the distance of the two storms reaches less than 1,400 kilometers

03:47and they will remain strong as a tropical storm minimum,

03:51then we may have the so-called Fujiwara Effect or the interaction of the two storms.

03:58That is why it is possible that the movement of the two storms will move around

04:02but it will not last.

04:04Eventually, it will move away from our land, the so-called Lion Storm,

04:08and it will also weaken, the Christine Storm, by the first week of November.

04:14As of now, because of the Christine Storm,

04:16we still have the Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals No. 2 and No. 1

04:19in a large part of Luzon and Visayas.

04:22We expect the Signal No. 2 or up to 95 or 88 kilometers per hour

04:27strong winds in Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Apayao, Calinga, Abra, Ifugao,

04:35Mountain Province, and Benguet.

04:37Signal No. 2 also in Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Aurora, and Nueva Iziha.

04:46Signal No. 2 also, we expect strong winds in Tarlac, Zambales, Bataan,

04:53also in Pampanga, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Signal No. 2 this morning,

04:58also in the northern part of Cavite, northern part of Rizal, and General Nacar in Quezon Province.

05:06Signal No. 1 here in Batanes and in the southern part of Luzon,

05:11particularly rest of Rizal, rest of Cavite, Batangas, Laguna, rest of Quezon,

05:17Signal No. 1 in Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon,

05:22northern part of Mainland Palawan including Kalamian Islands, Cuyo, and Calayan Islands.

05:29And Signal No. 1 here in Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay,

05:35northern and central part of Sorsogon, also in the northern and central portions of Masbate,

05:40Burias and Tikau Islands, Signal No. 1 in Aklan, Capiz, Antique, and northwestern portion of Iloilo.

05:49Some parts of Negros Island plus Iloilo, Signal No. 1 was also removed.

05:54And eventually, in our next bulletins, Signal No. 1 will be removed in southern Luzon and Visayas,

06:01and we will proceed to downgrade in central and southern Luzon,

06:05becoming Signal No. 1 in our next bulletins while this typhoon Christine is moving away from the mainland.

06:13These are the places that will experience heavy rainfall in the next 24 hours.

06:18If they will notice, the rainfall will be reduced and the places where it will rain.

06:23Expect moderate to heavy rains here in Mayla Union, Pangasinan, Penget, Tarlac, Pampanga, Zambales, and Bataan.

06:35In the remaining part of Luzon, including Metro Manila, as well as the remaining part of Visayas,

06:40expect heavy rain and thunderstorms this morning.

06:44There are times when the rainfall will be reduced, especially when it reaches afternoon to night.

06:49And at some point in the afternoon, it is possible that the sun will show up for most of Luzon and Visayas.

06:56Even so, we will still experience heavy rainfall in some areas.

07:00We mentioned that there will be moderate to heavy rains.

07:03There is still a high chance of flooding in low-lying areas.

07:07Waterlogging is still possible, especially if it is still raining in the mountains.

07:11Suddenly, the water level will drop in your area.

07:13And then, expect landslides.

07:16If the land is saturated or the water cannot be absorbed, landslides may occur.

07:22That is why we should make sure that we are coordinated with our local disaster risk reduction and management offices

07:27if evacuation is still needed, especially those who are affected by flooding.

07:32And also coordinate with local chief executives for possible work and class suspensions.

07:40For those who will experience heavy rainfall in remote areas from the typhoon,

07:45we still expect heavy rainfall in Mimaropa, Bicol region, as well as in a large part of Visayas,

07:51Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Northern Mindanao, Zamboanga Peninsula,

07:56Bangsamoro region, Socsabgen, and even Davao region.

08:00Then, tomorrow, on Saturday, we will still experience heavy rainfall in Palawan,

08:05Siquijor, Bohol, Southern Leyte, Zamboanga del Norte, Camiguin, Dinagat Islands, and Surigao del Norte

08:12due to the outer portion of the typhoon Christine.

08:17And when it comes to landslides, we still have gale warning or possible sea travel suspensions

08:22for the next 24 hours.

08:24Up to 7 meters of landslides or more than two layers of landslides are possible

08:29in the northern and western seaboards of Luzon, particularly in Batanes, Northern Cagayan,

08:34as well as Babuyan Islands.

08:36In the entire Ilocos region, landslides are possible up to 7 meters high.

08:40Aurora, Zambales, Bataan, Pababa ng Cavite, Batangas, and Lubang Island.

08:47We also have up to 5.5 meters of rainfall in the seaboards of Northern and Southern Luzon,

08:52including the eastern coast of Cagayan, Isabela, Pababa ng Quezon, Metro Manila, Bulacan,

08:59mainland Occidental Mindoro, and Hilagang Baybayin of Palawan,

09:03as well as Kalamian, Cuyo, Kalayaan, and Cagayan Silio.

09:09We also have up to 4.5 meters of landslides in the seaboards of Southern Luzon and Western Visayas,

09:18Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Baybayin ng Katanduanes, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque,

09:23Romblon, Burrias Island, Guinness Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Iloilo, Guimaras, and Negros Occidental.

09:31If we have wind signals, sea travel is automatically suspended for all types of sea vessels.

09:37If there are no signals, but there is still a gale warning, it is still possible to suspend small sea vehicles.

09:44And when it comes to storm waves, while the storm Christine is moving away,

09:49our waves will also decrease, but there are still up to 2 meters here in Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, and Zambales.

09:57So make sure that we can also coordinate if we see that the waves are increasing, those remaining in coastal areas.

10:04And that is still the latest from the weather forecasting section of Pag-asa.

10:08We have an update every 6 hours and our live update will be at 11 am.

10:13Again, I am Bennison Estareja. Take care.

Today's Weather, 5 A.M. | Oct. 25, 2024

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